The Chicago Cubs come back to Great American Ball Park this afternoon to take on the Cincinnati Reds in game two of their 3-game set. Cincinnati will look to seal a series win. First pitch is set for 4:10pm.
|Joc Pederson – LF||Jonathan India – 2B|
|Kris Bryant – 3B||Jesse Winker – LF|
|Javier Báez – SS||Nick Castellanos – RF|
|Anthony Rizzo – 1B||Joey Votto – 1B|
|Willson Contreras – C||Tyler Stephenson – C|
|Jason Heyward – RF||Tyler Naquin – CF|
|Ian Happ – 2B||Eugenio Suárez – 3B|
|Rafael Ortega – CF||Kyle Farmer – SS|
|Adbert Alzolay – SP||Tyler Mahle – SP|
The breakout from 2020 for Tyler Mahle has continued into 2021. Over the last two seasons he’s now pitched in 26 games and thrown 132.0 innings with a 3.68 ERA, just 103 hits allowed, walked 48, and he’s struck out 165 hitters.
Mahle has faced the Cubs twice this season. The first time was on May 2nd and while the Reds ultimately won the game 13-12, it was a tough day for Mahle as he allowed three homers and six earned runs in 5.0 innings. The next time was on May 30th and he allowed just one hit in 5.0 shutout innings as the Reds took the victory in that one, too.
There are some big splits for Tyler Mahle. Lefties have done very little against him this season, posting a .189/.280/.284 line against him on the year. Righties are doing much better, hitting .248/.307/.467 against him. He’s struggled at home where opponents have hit .270/.326/.516 against him (nearly 300 points of OPS higher at home than on the road for Mahle). His ERA this year at Great American Ball Park is 6.75, while it’s just 2.01 on the road.
Pitch usage from 2021
It’s been a bit of a tough season for Adbert Alzolay, who has posted a 4-7 record with a 4.55 ERA (85 ERA+). He doesn’t give up a bunch of hits, has a good walk rate, and a solid strikeout rate. But when guys do get hits, they tend to go for damage as he’s allowed 14 home runs in just 65.1 innings this season.
Alzolay has faced the Reds once this year and things went well as he shut them out in 5.2 innings as the Cubs won the game 1-0 on May 28th. He’s struggled in his last three starts, allowing 11 earned runs in just 10.2 innings – including five homers.
There are some big splits for Adbert Alzolay. Right-handed hitters have a .190/.254/.302 line against him with just seven extra-base hits against him in 139 plate appearances. Left-handed hitters, however, have crushed him by comparison. Lefties have a .241/.318/.578 line with six doubles and 11 home runs in 129 plate appearances against him this year. He’s also struggled a bit on the road, posting a 5.34 ERA (3.86 at home) while hitters have a 101 point advantage in OPS against him on the road as well.
Pitch usage from 2021
When and Where
- Game time: 4:10pm ET
- Where: Great American Ball Park
- Watch: Bally Sports Ohio, MLB.tv
- Listen: 700 WLW AM (Cincinnati area)
- Forecast: 77°, sunny, 0% chance of rain
News and Notes
Buyers or Sellers?
C. Trent Rosecrans of The Athletic spoke with Nick Krall for an article published this morning about whether the Reds could be buyers or sellers this year as we get within 4 weeks of the trade deadline.
There’s a lot of stuff in the article, so please go read it. But this quote stuck out to me a little more than the others (again, go read it, there’s more than a few things of note in here):
Within reason,” Krall noted when asked if he could spend money. “We’re just working through it, just have to monitor the trade market to see how we can best improve the club.
What’s next for Jeff Hoffman?
The question that’s been asked 1000 times on this website over the last few weeks still doesn’t have a definitive answer, but talking out loud it sure doesn’t sound like a vote of confidence for a return to the rotation. But hey, I’ve been wrong before on trying to read into things people say.
When asked today about what's next for Jeff Hoffman, David Bell said this: pic.twitter.com/g2SxaGcHQk
— Doug Gray (@dougdirt24) July 3, 2021
Michael Feliz to begin a rehab assignment
In a case of “we may have forgot he was on the Reds”, Michael Feliz will begin a rehab assignment with the Louisville Bats according to The Cincinnati Enquirer’s Charlie Goldsmith. He was claimed off of waivers and then activated on May 17th. three weeks later he was placed on the injured list with a right elbow injury. He’s been out since June 8th, but he’ll begin throwing again in Triple-A with the hopes of re-joining the bullpen soon.
NL Central Standings
Playoff odds via Fangraphs