The Cincinnati Reds are looking to put a stop to their 5-game losing streak and avoid being swept in Milwaukee. The Brewers have already clinched a playoff spot but are looking to get one step closer to clinching the division. This afternoon’s first pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm ET.

Starting Lineups

Cincinnati Reds

Milwaukee Brewers

Dane Myers – CFGarrett Mitchell – CF
Elly De La Cruz – SSJackson Chourio – LF
Sal Stewart – 1BBrice Turang – 2B
Eugenio Suarez – 3BGary Sanchez – C
Tyler Stephenson – DHJake Bauers – 1B
JJ Bleday – LFChristian Yelich – DH
Juan Brito – 2BJoey Ortiz – 3B
Jose Trevino – CLuis Lara – RF
Hector Rodriguez – RFCooper Pratt – SS
Chase Burns – RHPRobert Gasser – LHP

Starting Pitchers

PitcherIPERAWHIPBBK
Chase Burns148.12.731.1451176
Robert Gasser91.14.431.282987
Links: Chase Burns’ Stats | Robert Gasser’s Stats

Chase Burns

Coming down the stretch in the final month of the season, Cincinnati is limiting Burns workload to get him through the entire season without shutting him down. In his last outing he threw just 44 pitches and was limited to three innings. Back in early July Burns faced the Brewers for the only time this season and allowed two runs in 6.0 innings in a game the Reds won 7-2.

The splits against Burns are big. He’s been completely lights out when facing right-handed hitters. Teams have sent as many lefties out to face him as they can. While they haven’t been too successful, they’ve been solid against him as they’ve walked at a solid rate and when they have found their hits they’ve shown a solid amount of power.

Splits 

SplitPAH2B3BHRBBKAVGOBPSLG
RHH216399021065.189.227.262
LHH386791531341111.232.314.408

Pitch Usage 

4-seamSliderChange
Velo97.790.290.2
Usage56%39%5%

Robert Gasser

It’s been an up-and-down season for Gasser, literally. He didn’t make the Brewers out of spring training and after being called up in mid-May he has been optioned back to Triple-A three different times this season. Despite that, he’s still started 17 games and thrown 91.1 innings in MLB this year. Back on June 29th he faced the Reds and allowed three runs in 5.2 innings in a game that the Brewers won.

The splits this year against Gasser are huge. Teams haven’t sent too many lefties out to face him but the ones that have gotten that chance have not done well in any way. Right-handed hitters, though, have found plenty of success. Righties are hitting for a high average and hitting for plenty of power.

Splits 

SplitPAH2B3BHRBBKAVGOBPSLG
RHH27370130121756.283.343.482
LHH124187121231.165.266.303

Pitch Usage 

4-seam2-seamCutterSliderChange
Velo92.792.488.280.387.8
Usage24%23%18%26%9%

When and Where

  • Game time: 2:10pm ET
  • Where: American Family Field
  • Watch: Reds MLB Channel, Reds.tv (in-market), MLB.tv (out of market).
  • Listen: 700 WLW AM (Cincinnati area)
  • Forecast: They play in a dome

Notes worth noting

Sal Stewart’s September

It’s been a strange month so far for Stewart. He’s hitting .297 through the 10 games he’s played in September. He also has not had a single extra-base hit and has driven in just two runs. He’s had at least 20 RBI in April, June, July, and August (he only had eight in May).

Division Standings

TeamWLGBPlayoff Odds
Milwaukee93560.0100.0%
Chicago836610.099.0%
Pittsburgh747519.00.0%
St. Louis737620.00.0%
Cincinnati697923.50.0%
Playoff Odds via Fangraphs

98 Responses

  1. Fin

    Looks like Tito going with my lineup suggestion from yesterday with Ty Stephenson DH, Treviño catching and Suarez at 3B (w/ Hayes on the bench). He must be assuming he won’t need Treviño on the mound with Burns going at least 2-3 innings. As for Stewart I’ll go out on a limb and call at least one extra base hit today. Way overdue.

    • Oldtimer

      This is the best Reds lineup overall. Despite Burns limited to 3 IP (maybe), this should be a guaranteed W today.

      Reds are at 198 HR on the season. Ranked 3rd or 4th in MLB. Maybe HR #200 today?

      • Fin

        A guaranteed win? Against the Brewers?? Is there such a thing?

      • Fin

        Reds are tied for third in homers, but 21st in slugging percentage and 25th in OBP.

      • Oldtimer

        Reds W today. Best lineup overall. Best SP. Best RP (closer).

  2. TJ

    Have any of the announcers or analysts said anything about about Sal?
    Is he pressing? Wow, batting 297 this month? I would never have guessed. Although I haven’t paid much attention to the team recently.

  3. billmummer

    Oof………After losing 14-1 in Los Angeles, followed by a 20-0 loss in the series opener in Milwaukee, the Reds allowed 13 more runs Saturday (Sept. 12) to the Brewers – the first time in available franchise history they’ve allowed at least 13 runs in three consecutive games………..Make that a DOUBLE Oof!!!!!!

  4. RedsGettingBetter

    How many pitches Burns will throw today? After him will get Williamson with a 5.80 ERA…

  5. DWCT

    114.7 mph off the bat of Elly. but caught.

  6. RedsGettingBetter

    Elly smashed that ball at 114.2 mph but it was caught…unbelievable

  7. DWCT

    Burns threw 44 pitches last outing. Hopefully, he gets threw 3.

  8. DWCT

    Chase doing what Chase does. Scoreless inning with 2 Ks.

  9. Mark Moore

    Great play by Elly. Took his time and made an accurate throw.

    I’m grilling T-bone tonight no matter what (with baby bella mushrooms). If you show up, Melvin, I’ll let you watch 😀

  10. Mark Moore

    I still say Cooper Pratt is a great baseball name 😉

    • DWCT

      If he shows up tonight, does he get a T-bone?

      • Melvin

        I know he would just give me a bone. 🙂

  11. CincyDo

    I just tuned in and yes we are not down by a TD. That’s awesome.

  12. CincyDo

    Stop nimbling Burn. They won’t swing at those pitches.

  13. Mark Moore

    For the official record … if ANY of y’all ever show up on my doorstep, I will prepare you a Redleg Nation Feast!!! Just need some notice to plan the proper menu … 😀

  14. DWCT

    Bengals 27 Bucs 10. I figured we needed some good news.

  15. DWCT

    Strike ’em out, throw ’em out erases the walk.

  16. DWCT

    That has got to be all for Chase. One bad pitch.

  17. Mark Moore

    Have I mentioned how much I’m going to miss Tyler?

    • DWCT

      Depending on the CBA, there might be a chance he resigns.

      • Mark Moore

        I agree. Despite the over-abundance of words, I like the discussion about how he might play out going forward for any team. Cowboy made a point about great pitch handlers generally not being able to hit when catching “full time” and great hitting “full time” catchers being the guys nobody wants to throw to.

        Let’s just hope there wasn’t too much bad blood shed near the end of July.

  18. DWCT

    Reds have two runners on again. Stephenson double and Bleday walk. Can they push a run or two across?

  19. Mark A Verticchio

    I think the Reds just want to get out of Milwaukee.

  20. Mark Moore

    So very many words to say so relatively little … I normally stick with it when it’s a road game but … MAN!!!!

  21. RedsGettingBetter

    Reds scored 9 runs yesterday but had a bad pitching…the Reds pitching has been better so far today but the offense is not doing the job though…that is repeating in every game against the Brewers except the last two games in Cincinnati last weekend which The Reds won…I thought something could change after those games but no..apparently

  22. DWCT

    Elly starts the inning off with a grounder that was hit wicked hard.

  23. DWCT

    Sal lashes one through the infield. Runners on the corners with nobody out. They have to score.

  24. DWCT

    Eugenio clears the decks with a 3-run shot. Reds lead 3-2.

  25. RedsGettingBetter

    Well well , Suarez overturned things with a long shot…

  26. DWCT

    I think there is some hope of signing Elly to a long-term deal. They did it with Votto. Fingers crossed.

    • Mark Moore

      I like your optimism. But given his elite talent and skill position compounded by being a Boras client and how cheap our organization is … I’m thinking his arb years will cause a LOT of angst in the C-Suite. At his pace, he’ll set records for all three years.

  27. DWCT

    9 up and 9 down for Brandon. I like it.

  28. Mark Moore

    7th inning and we’re ahead? It feels odd. I like it, but it definitely feels odd.

  29. RedsGettingBetter

    It seems when Williamson doesn’t walk guys could be a different pitcher

  30. DWCT

    Well, there goes that lead. 3-3 after a bomb.

  31. DWCT

    And now a single. Bullpen help please.

  32. Mark Moore

    Bernie isn’t rolling over … then again I didn’t expect him to.

  33. DWCT

    Pitcher’s best friend. The double play. Out on the inning. 4 innings, 1 run. That works every time.

  34. Tony Cloninger

    Williamson pitching ok. Spiers doing well recovering in AAA. Bengals winning. That’s about it.

  35. RedsGettingBetter

    Elly and Sal doing a nice job

  36. DWCT

    Elly leads off with a single. Sal sends Elly to third with a single. Haven’t I seen this one before?

  37. DWCT

    Brock Burke has been brought on to navigate the 8th inning. Nice job from Brandon Williamson.

  38. DWCT

    It’s almost to be expected. Single and an error on a bunt and they have the first two guys on.

  39. Mark Moore

    Perhaps KBH should have fielded that one?

  40. DWCT

    Oh my. He got out of it on a line drive double play.

  41. Mark Moore

    That makes up for it, Brock. You owe Brito a HUGE dinner on that throw.

  42. RedsGettingBetter

    Few times luck smiles to the Reds

    • Mark Moore

      Just a tiny bit of luck in that inning.

  43. Mark Moore

    Way to go Trevino!!

    Everybody hold on to your butts …

    An insurance run or six would be great about now 😐

    • DWCT

      I would have lost a ton of money on Milwaukee scoring that inning.

  44. DWCT

    Jackon Chourio hit a laser beam that Burke turned into two. And then they gunned down Frelick trying to steal.

  45. DWCT

    I believe that is going to turn around the Reds season and they will probably win the rest of their games.

  46. Mark Moore

    Hustle “double” takes advantage of a mistake. I like it.

    • Mark Moore

      Erased on a failed bunt attempt.

  47. Chris

    Man. Play Brito every day rest of season. Hustling all the way to take advantage of misplay

  48. CincyDo

    Brito got a double. When was the last time Hayes got a hit, Oldtimer?

  49. Chris

    Com’on Francona? Bunting with guy on second no outs that worked out well ..

    • Don A

      bad bunt, needs to go down the 3rd base line!

  50. Don A

    Hate to say this, but, Elly must be traded during the Off-season. Will never sign a long term deal with the Reds, and he will bring a Mint!

  51. DWCT

    Emilio has to hold them down in the 9th.

  52. DWCT

    Brewers just keep the pressure on and wait for the other team to crack.

  53. Mark Moore

    Weird flight and spin on that. Nice job to force the lead runner.

  54. Chris

    Wow. Reds got a big big break right there

  55. Chris

    Friedl makes the long run catch. Pagan does the job! Reds win!

  56. DWCT

    All luck accepted after getting beat down the first two games.

  57. Dennis Westrick

    Great win! Bring on the Hollywood Dodgers!

  58. DWCT

    Pagan has been nails for quite a while now.

  59. Mark Moore

    WOW!!! Very satisfying win. Still haven’t been swept in Bernie’s house since early 2022.

    Complete team effort.