The Cincinnati Reds are looking to bounce back after dropping the first game of the series on Friday night. The Milwaukee Brewers will be looking to pick up a series win with another victory this evening. First pitch for this game is scheduled for 6:40pm ET.
Starting Lineups
Milwaukee Brewers | Cincinnati Reds |
| Jackson Chourio – LF | Hector Rodriguez – RF |
| Luis Lara – RF | Elly De La Cruz – SS |
| William Contreras – DH | Sal Stewart – 1B |
| Andrew Vaughn – 1B | JJ Bleday – LF |
| Garrett Mitchell – CF | Tyler Stephenson – DH |
| Joey Ortiz – 3B | Eugenio Suarez – 3B |
| Cooper Pratt – SS | Jose Trevino – C |
| Gary Sanchez – C | Carlos Jorge – CF |
| David Hamilton – 2B | Matt McLain – 2B |
| Dustin May – RHP | Andrew Abbott – LHP |
Starting Pitchers
| Pitcher | IP | ERA | WHIP | BB | K |
| Andrew Abbott | 148.1 | 4.49 | 1.44 | 70 | 115 |
| Dustin May | 128.2 | 4.69 | 1.32 | 45 | 122 |
| Links: Andrew Abbott’s Stats | Dustin May’s Stats | |||||
Andrew Abbott
It has been an up-and-down season for Abbott. The last time out was most certainly a “down” as he allowed three home runs and seven earned runs while recording just nine outs in the game that the Reds lost 17-5 to the Cubs. Earlier this season when he faced the Brewers he held them to two runs in 5.0 innings on five hits and five walks.
This season left-handed hitters have hit for a higher average and hit for more power when facing Abbott. They are not walking much at all, though. That said, since the start of May they are not hitting nearly as well as the numbers below show (.650 OPS since May 1). Right-handed hitters are showing a solid average, walking nearly as often as they strikeout, but they aren’t showing much power.
Splits
| Split | PA | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG |
| RHH | 478 | 103 | 17 | 1 | 15 | 60 | 69 | .250 | .343 | .405 |
| LHH | 171 | 41 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 46 | .259 | .298 | .437 |
Pitch Usage
| 4-seam | Cutter | Curve | Slider | Change | |
| Velo | 92.5 | 88.8 | 79.6 | 82.1 | 86.1 |
| Usage | 45% | 3% | 14% | 20% | 19% |
Dustin May
Acquired at the trade deadline from St. Louis, Dustin May has struggled in two of his last three starts and the one that he didn’t struggle in he pitched to one batter before taking a line drive off of his back. But in the two starts surrounding that one he allowed 11 runs in 6.1 combined innings with five walks. On July 24th he faced the Reds while with the Cardinals and allowed one run in 6.0 innings in a game the Reds would win 4-2.
The splits against May are noticeable this year. Left-handed hitters are hitting for a high average and walking at a good rate. They are not showing much power at all against him, though. Righties hit for a lower average, rarely walks, and they don’t hit for much power when facing him.
Splits
| Split | PA | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG |
| RHH | 216 | 48 | 14 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 47 | .239 | .287 | .368 |
| LHH | 331 | 77 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 37 | 75 | .270 | .359 | .382 |
Pitch Usage
| 4-sm | 2-sm | Cutter | Curve | Slider | Change | |
| Velo | 96.9 | 96.6 | 83.2 | 83.3 | 85.9 | 90.2 |
| Usage | 26% | 19% | 23% | 7% | 19% | 7% |
When and Where
- Game time: 6:40pm ET
- Where: Great American Ball Park
- Watch: Reds MLB Channel, Reds.tv (in-market), MLB.tv (out of market).
- Listen: 700 WLW AM (Cincinnati area)
- Forecast: 85°, cloudy, 15% chance of rain
Division Standings
| Team | W | L | GB | Playoff Odds |
| Milwaukee | 88 | 54 | 0.0 | 100.0% |
| Chicago | 80 | 62 | 8.0 | 99.6% |
| St. Louis | 71 | 71 | 17.0 | 4.0% |
| Pittsburgh | 70 | 72 | 18.0 | 2.8% |
| Cincinnati | 67 | 74 | 20.5 | 0.0% |
| Playoff Odds via Fangraphs | ||||
Play good ball today guys. As much as I want to win this game, I know you have to be loose at the plate, and focused in the field. Eat ’em up, spit ’em out, and walk all over ’em !
+10000000000
Looks like AA needs to lose 10 pounds. Maybe that is why he seems to run out of steam late?
A little takeout BBQ tonight, Melvin.
Let’s see about righting the ship in the CC2 uniforms on ELDC bobblehead night.
Gopher ball to Contreras doesn’t help.
There goes the shut out, but just a solo shot.
Trevino BETTER have challenged that. Could be a long night if that’s the Chumpire’s zone. Good grief, Charlie Brown!!! 😮
And we waste our first opportunity. Got to know who is throwing it there.
Celebrate your bobblehead, Elly. Too bad nobody was on in front of you.
Too bad Hector wasn’t still on when Elly blasted that one !
Elly hits the ball awfully hard and often.
Elly continues his hot streak!!
You just don’t think of Sal Stewart as a threat to steal … he’s on 2nd.
Have to settle for one in the first, we’re all tied up !
Ya know I do wish they would replace Sadak. Here he goes again with a story about the other team. Larkin stays quite
All broadcasts do that.
When the Reds are on the road, I get the home team’s broadcast.
They tell stories about Reds players.
That wasnt my experience recently listening to the Cleveland broadcast team when playing the tigers.
However, good to know Sadak isnt the only one. Lol
I kind of enjoy the tidbits about other players. To hear where they from, strengths and weaknesses.
Nice inning for AA.
It’s a shame that nobody else can make plays at 3rd, except the guy that bats .150.
WOW!!! What a pick and throw. 😮
Is Ke’Bryan Suarez playing at third? Nice play
Abbott ends the 2nd with a 3 pitch strikeout … After I was thinking he didn’t have a strike out pitch !
Nothing doing for the Reds in the bottom of the second.
Carlos Jorge hit the ball on the nose, but all for naught.
Good wood by Jorge…..
Bullet right at the 1st baseman though.
That seems like a ball Mclain should of got too and Sal going to the bag. As Andrew had no chance.
Thoughts?
Initially I thought that, but after watching the replay, I changed my mind. Ball only took two hops, and Sal caught it. Looked like Abbott was a tick late leaving the mound to cover….that’s all it took.
Thanks VA.
Abbott was late and slow in that play
Sal!!! You can’t do that, buddy!!!
Two bone headed plays by Stewart give the Brewers a run
Thanks VA, pay no attention to my comment
No worries…I’m not necessarily correct…
Just opinion
And I got to keep in mind ball looks slower on TV. Sal has a spilt second to make a play or let it go. Etc
Hamilton have to be out twice but the bad defense gives the Brewers the lead …you can’t play bad against this Brewers team
Brewers don’t need any gifts. Grrr. 2-1.
Are the Reds trying too hard when playing Milwaukee? 2 singles and a Hr and we scored 1 run. They didn’t in theory have a hit and scored 1 run. Mind boggling.
Team needs to stop giving the opposition 4-5 outs per inning. They need to stop being allergic to leather.
Can’t tell what happened on Gameday, but the runner we had picked off ended up on third and scored on a ground ball. 2-1 Brewha’s middle of the 3rd.
Sal’s throw to 2nd sailed a little high.
MMC was shielded and couldn’t adjust to the throw.
E-3
Sal made a bad throw to second.
We may be looking at the 2027 OD outfield roster today.
I think that would be shortsighted on the Red’s part.
Bring in known talent, instead of hoping 3 guys will blossom.
Reds K twice on pitches out of the zone, nothing across in the 3rd.
The Brewers play the same game night in and night out.They have a team plan at the plate and just wait till you make mistakes.Lock down pen and most of all do not fall in love with players.Sell high on players to keep the farm stocked and develop other players..Its a small market that gets it from top to bottom.So obvious where they are at and where we are at as an organization.Good model to copy in order to build a franchise with limited revenue.
+1
I’d add to those facts that, the commitment to hit, bunt, move runners, and steal bases. No reliance on hitting the ball over the fence. Low strikeout rates.
+100,000
Exactly! Something about them just breeds consistency year after year. And they aren’t spending Cubbie or LA money to do it.
Why was that second run by Brewers an earned run? He should have been out, or at worst on second with a good throw..
Good question
Abbott is pitching well. How was that second run earned?
It’s me or Abbott’s phisycal shape doesn’t look optimal for the big leagues
It is you
He is not the only one that thinks so. I posted earlier about this. Maybe AA running out of steam rapidly in games is a conditioning issue.
See David Wells
Two straight games committing silly defensive errors, that’s why Reds can’t beat them anymore.
Sadak mentions how fun it is to watch McLains defense. I mean, he can’t hit so I guess there’s his defense…
I can’t believe how inept he is offensively. How many more opportunities does he deserve?
About as much as you point out how “bad he is”
Abbott shuts ’em down 1-2-3 in the 4th !
It should be 2-1 Reds. But shoulda coulda woulda. Good teams don’t beat themselves .
Reds = last place team. Facts. You make a very valid point. Good teams don’t beat themselves. Unfortunately Reds aren’t a good team. A few fun players and 1 superstar in the making in Sal.
They keep talking rain … I’ve got LSU v. Clemson ready to go if that happens.
Bleday and Sanchez giving Reds fans some hope. And we will head into a rain delay.
Wonder how long we’ll delay …
In the meantime, we have a raindrop by raindrop call as if we are watching a moon launch …
1st and 3rd with 2 outs, and a Rain Delay is called.
Build a roof
I mean the Hamilton county tax payers already paid for GABP and Paycor. Why not spend more of their money?
Meanwhile Clemson v. LSU is in delay (I’m assuming lightening in the area) so we’ll move on to one of our regular shows instead.
With the stuff that has been going on with LSU having injunctions and threats from their conference about who can and who cannot be on their roster, the delay could have little to nothing to do with the weather. 😉
AA has been a massive disappointment this year. His WAR last year was. 5.4 This year it’s 1.7 It looks like most of it is attributable to walks. Really a letdown in his 26YO season.
https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/a/abbotan01.shtml
I think kind of a down year for Abbott considering his standards, but I wouldn’t say massive disappointment. He does seem to fade a bit late in seasons. I wonder what type of career he’ll have moving forward. He’s been pretty good for the Reds, reliable, but not sure if he has the talent athleticism to improve upon his best seasons or not. But also he feels like someone that could pitch for a long time in the league even as a reliever later in his career. And pitching in a different home park, more pitcher friendly probably would help him if be leaves the Reds in the future.
It might help if he got in better shape. He’s got a dad bod at 27. Maybe his conditioning is why he runs out of gas late in the season?
De La Cruz hasn’t really put it all together yet as talented as he is. If he does, I could see a Aaron Judge, Juan Soto, Ohtani type of Offensive year.
2027 honestly does not look very promising to me right now as far as win total, but an MVP level year by EDC is one thing that could elevate the team beyond what it initially is looking capable of.
Yet Sal is a superstar in the making after 1 season. “Eye roll”
My goodness the expectations for Elly are never good enough. Dude is a superstar now and some are just too blind to see it.
Kevin, I mean it mainly as a compliment for De La Cruz. Him hitting the Homer tonight and being so hot hitting recently. He’s close but not to superstar level yet.
Love Stewart, but he doesn’t have superstar talent. There’s maybe 5 players or so in the league that i think have superstar talent and Elly is right there…ohtani, judge, crow-armstrong, maybe Witt. He hasn’t quite had those elite seasons those guys have had yet, but I think he will eventually.
the games has just restarted …
And Trevino singles to drive in Bleday … 2-2
Game on
And Jose Trevino ties it up at 2.
Trevino ties it.
Oppo single.
Look at Jose coming through. Nice hit Trevino.
Julian Garcia heads to the mound for the 5th …
He walks one, but got his sweeper under control to come thru clean in the 5th.
Julian Garcia has been a kind of work horse
He’s earned it too. Turned into a very quality arm.
Elly has consistently put good wood on the ball lately.
Very nice at bat Sal. Battled pitches and drew a walk. Respect.
Not surprising though from the guy who leads the Reds in hits, homeruns and RBI’s.
Reds are threatening with 2 outs here in the 5th …
Too much lefty on lefty action for Bleday, but the score is tied at 2.
Two on courtesy Sal’s walk.
Too bad Bleday couldn’t come through. Not even contact, just a K.
They changed AA’s second run to unearned.
Trevino with a successful ABS challenge, nice.
Elly De La Cruz is batting 478 last 7 games and 417 last 15 games.
Dude is simply amazing.
And what ~275 for year he’s good eliminate a few errors and bat 290 or higher for a year and then amazing. He has potential to do all that and more as he matures.
I stand by my opinion. Most people I know agree. He is a amazing player.
Before Saturday’s game where he had a home run and two hits he was the 6th most valuable position player in baseball according to Fangraphs version of WAR. I don’t quite understand how so many people in the comments section here every single day have no idea just how good he is and think that just because he could improve it means that he’s only just good. The guy is one of the best players in baseball.
Excellent inning by Tejay. Let’s get some runs.
Light ’em up Antone!
Antone has rebounded last two games
Tyler goes deep.
A thing of beauty Tyler.
Wow Stephenson! got it
Now that home run is what you would call a moonshot. Wow.
Anyone else a little bit nervous?
Absolutely. Brewers execute at a high level with RISP.
Bases loaded one out. Time for a double play.
Cheapest hits ever … unbelievable
The score is tied at 3, and I have got to leave … rout the Reds home !
get Tony out the game TITO !!! GEEZE MAN !!!
Moll last night, Santillan tonight. Bullpen not getting it done.
Francona was playing with fire but Santillan gets the big strike out. Tie ball gate at 3.
Thrill a minute … glad he found a way
Matt says take that. Boom! 4-3.
A Mclain hit? A home run?
WOW!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
But But But Matt Mclain cant hit
Dude is hitting what, .190?
Lol.
League avg is what 245 maybe
Beautiful 2b hit HRod!
Now that’s hitting.
Even out, appreciate the hustle HRod.
Goes deep 2 games in a row. Matt is on a mission.
Gotta love new age baseball. He is safe,but he isn’t as glove is on him. As slide takes him off the bag
Rodriguez is going to be out at 2nd for the 2nd time in the game.
That can’t happen. Hustle is great,however gotta play smart
Hector must not have learned about Chourio.
Clutch Sal with another hit.
Could have has some insurance, but NOPE.
Rodriguez base running blunders has cost reds a extra run. Maybe two depending on what Bleday does.
How so?
Elly followed with a homerun in first inning.
I was saying second run if Bleday got a base hit.
Totally different scenario with a guy on 2nd.
One…he’s pitching from the stretch…
Two …different pitch selection.
Once the past changes, everything else from that point forward changes.
Fair enough.
Another K for Bleday. No surprise there.
McLain reaches career high 15 homers if I’m not wrong
He had 16 in 2023.
Correct
Brock Burke has been a stud all year long.
Yes he has been. Surprised he wasn’t extended.
To be honest , I’d like to see Burke next season with the Reds again
Couple more runs would be nice.
Man, that was sweet. Thank you, Suarez.
Elly Suarez! scoring from 2nd base in a wild pitch
Geno a one man wrecking crew in the 8th!!!
Geno…US citizen.
Speed runner.
Nice to see Brewers give us a run. 2 run lead, is it enough?
How did Eugenio Suarez score from second on a wild pitch? Reds will take it. 5-3
WP went to backstop. Catcher couldn’t find it.
Cincinnati has scored in five different innings.
Christian Yelich resembles Pete Davidson to me.
Brewers doing clutch things.
Pagan ….. NEVER EVER EASY FOR THIS DUDE , NEVER
One more out please.
ATOBTTR. BREATHE.
WWWW
Never a doubt.
Pagan holds them with bases loaded. Nice Reds W.
Finally able to beat them Brewers. Not easy by any means.
Reds win!!! Elly continues to stay hot batting over 400. Last 15 games or so. Somehow though not many talking about that.
Pitching comes through and Reds win!!
Can exhale! …Reds win a game with a lot of drama at the end against the Brewers…even up this series…Nice job by the bullpen as a whole depite some jams …the offense was good again tonight
The oh so rare and illusive win against the Brewers. Tastes sweet!