Welcome to a Thursday matinee Reds fans. Today the Reds seek to gain a split in the final game of their 4 game series with the Giants at GABP. And yes, this weekday matinee is a bit out of the ordinary as it is not a getaway day for the Reds. Instead of hitting the road after today’s game, the Reds will remain in town for a weekend series with Diamondbacks.
SP: Alex Cobb
SP: Andrew Abbott
|1. Austin Slater (LF)
2. Wilmer Flores (1B)
3. Mike Yastrzemski (RF)
4. Patrick Bailey (C)
5. Luis Matos (CF)
6. Joc Pederson (DH)
7. David Villar (3B)
8. Casey Schmitt (SS)
9. Brett Wisely (2B)
|1. Elly De La Cruz (SS)
2. T.J. Friedl (CF)
3. Spencer Steer (3B)
4. Jake Fraley (RF)
5. Jonathan India (2B)
6. Joey Votto (1B)
7. Christian Encarnacion-Strand (DH)
8. Will Benson (LF)
9. Luke Maile (C)
Matt McLain sits as the rotation plan to accommodate the arrival of Encarnacion-Strand continues. Speaking of CES, when does he get moved into a juicer RBI spot???
|Alex Cobb (R)||95.2||2.82||1.317||5.7%||22.4%|
|Andrew Abbott (L)||47.2||2.45||1.007||8.6%||27.3%|
|Links: Alex Cobb’s Stats | Andrew Abbott’s Stats
Where would the Reds be if Andrew Abbott had not made his meteoric rise from Class AA to the Reds this year? Let’s not even contemplate that at this point since he did make that rise and has become the mainstay of a Reds rotation rocked by injuries Hunter Greene and Nick Lodolo.
Today Abbott makes his 9th MLB start. Not only has Abbott been effective saving for one start back on July 7, he has also pitched deep into games averaging just a wisp less than 6 inning per start. While the Reds have won 6 of Abbott’s 8 starts, both losses have come in his last two outings. However his most recent start was a quality start despite the Reds losing the game.
If there is a concern with Abbott, it would be that he has allowed 5 home runs in his last 3 starts. Nonetheless, except for the July 7th game, Abbott has avoided serious damage due to not allowing very many runners to reach base ahead of the long balls.
Nobody has done serious damage to Abbott; but, he has been kryptonite versus LH hitters. He has yet to allow a walk to a LH hitter; and, 36% of plate appearances by LH hitters against him have ended in strike outs.
Abbott throws his 4 seamer about half the time. The other half of his pitches are almost equally spread among change ups, curves and sliders. He mixes pitches and locations to keep hitters off balance.
If you’ve heard very little of Alex Cobb, it may be because prior to 2022, he spent the first 10 seasons of his MLB career in the American League with Tampa (6 years), Baltimore (3 years), and a single season with the LA Angels.
The journeyman righthander has a career ERA 8% better than league average. However in his year and half in the NL his ERA is 21% better than league average including a whopping 51% better than league average this season.
Cobb’s handedness splits are a mixed bag. He is markedly more prone to walking LH hitters; and, they also have a higher batting average against him. Hence, their much higher OBP. However RH hitters do more slugging damage against Cobb.
Cobb features an unusual repertoire. While he throws some variety of a fastball on nearly 78% if his pitches, he very rarely throws a true 4 seamer. Instead in relatively equal portions, he serves up sinkers and splitters. In addition to its diving action, look for the splitter to provide a change of pace dimension off his sinker. He prefers his curve as his primary breaking ball over his slider. He appears to use the slider off the splitter for pace and movement variation.
The back end of the Reds pen could be problematical today. Alexis Diaz, Lucas Sims, and Ian Gibaut all worked an inning Wednesday night. In addition to the short turnaround for today, all three worked on Tuesday. Diaz however has thrown only ~25 pitches in those last 2 appearances. He could be a go for today. Gibaut had higher pitch counts both Tuesday and Wednesday and is almost certainly out for today,
The Giants appear to be in better shape for today than the Reds. They used only one reliever, Ryan Walker (no known relation to yours truly), for 2 innings on Wednesday. Count him out for today.
When and Where
- Game time: 12:35pm ET
- Where: Great American Ball Park
- Watch: Bally Sports Ohio, MLB.tv
- Listen: 700 WLW AM (Cincinnati area)
- Forecast: 88°, cloudy, 39% chance of rain
Any and everyone feeling down hearted about the turn of events with the Reds since the All Star break, please take note of this
— Cam Miller ? (@cammillerfilms) July 20, 2023
Keep up with the Reds draft pick signings on our companion site, Reds Minor Leagues
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