After taking the first game of the series, the Cincinnati Reds are looking to make it two in a row at home over the defending National League champions. The Philadelphia Phillies are hoping for a repeat victory that they had last week when Connor Overton and Taijuan Walker matched up in Philadelphia. Tonight’s first pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm ET.

Starting Lineups

Cincinnati Reds

Philadelphia Phillies

Jonathan India – 2B Bryson Stott – 2B
TJ Friedl – LF Trea Turner – SS
Jake Fraley – RF Kyle Schwarber – DH
Tyler Stephenson – C Nick Castellanos – RF
Wil Myers – DH Brandon Marsh – CF
Jason Vosler – 1B J.T. Realmuto – C
Spencer Steer – 3B Alec Bohm – 1B
Nick Senzel – CF Jake Cave – LF
Jose Barrero – SS Edmundo Sosa – 3B
Connor Overton – RHP Taijuan Walker – RHP

Starting Pitchers

Pitcher IP ERA WHIP BB K
Taijuan Walker 9.0 6.00 1.67 8 10
Connor Overton 8.0 10.13 2.25 4 9
Links: Connor Overton’s Stats | Taijuan Walker’s Stats

Connor Overton

Last week the Phillies saw Connor Overton and had plenty of success against him, scoring four runs on six hits and three walks in 4.0 innings against the right-handed starter. That start didn’t go any better than his first one of the season against the Cubs when he allowed eight hits and five runs in 4.0 innings. He’ll look to rebound this time around in his second home start of the season.

Overton is going to have to find a way to get better success with lefties in the batters box. Last year they didn’t hit him, but made elite amounts of contact against him and walked plenty. So far this year they are hitting .467/.579/.867 against him with four walks and just one strikeout in 19 opportunities.

2022 Splits

Split PA H 2B 3B HR BB% K% AVG OBP SLG
RHH 63 12 2 0 1 6.3% 17.5% .207 .254 .293
LHH 61 9 1 0 0 11.5% 4.9% .167 .262 .185

Pitch Usage (from 2022)

4-Seam 2-Seam Cutter Curve Slider Change
Velo 91.4 91.1 91.1 78.6 81.5 85.3
Usage 25% 22% 2% 2% 31% 19%

Taijuan Walker

This past offseason saw the righty sign with the Phillies as a free agent. Taijuan Walker is coming off of a season with the Mets where he had an ERA of 3.49 in 29 starts. Through two starts he’s struggled this year. In his previous start he faced the Reds, and while he only allowed two runs in 4.2 innings, he walked five batters as he struggled to find the strikezone. In 2022 he never walked more than three batters in any given start.

Last year there Walker didn’t show any huge differences in his splits, but lefties did have a bit more success in getting on base against him thanks to a higher walk rate and hitting for a little more power. Neither platoon side had all that much success, though.

2022 Splits

Split PA H 2B 3B HR BB K AVG OBP SLG
RHH 386 86 15 0 8 22 75 .239 .288 .347
LHH 263 57 12 1 7 23 57 .242 .316 .390

Pitch Usage (in 2022)

4-Seam 2-Seam Cutter Curve Slider Split
Velo 93.8 92.9 89.0 75.1 85.2 88.9
Usage 30% 11% 5% 9% 18% 27%

When and Where

  • Game time: 6:40pm ET
  • Where: Great American Ball Park
  • Watch: Bally Sports Ohio, MLB.tv
  • Listen: 700 WLW AM (Cincinnati area)
  • Forecast: 77ยฐ, cloudy, 15% chance of rain

News and Notes

Andrew Abbott dominates with 14 strikeouts

No pitcher in minor league baseball is off to a better start to the season than Reds lefty Andrew Abbott. After striking out 11 batters with one walk in his season debut where he threw 4.2 hitless inning, last night Abbott topped that. The left-handed starter fanned 14 batters in 6.0 shutout innings without a walk and he allowed just two singles.

Kevin Newman is available tonight

Standings

Team W L GB Playoff Odds
Brewers 9 4 0.0 70.6%
Pirates 8 5 1.0 8.2%
Cubs 6 5 2.0 16.5%
Reds 5 7 3.5 1.6%
Cardinals 5 8 4.0 58.3%
Playoff Odds via Fangraphs

78 Responses

  1. Dennis Westrick

    I know I’m stating the obvious here, but, Conner Overton would be a much more effective pitcher if he would cut down on the walks! Again, walks, especially by Reds pitchers more often than not turn into runs! Hoping for a better start by Connor tonight and some early run scoring!

  2. LDS

    Letโ€™s see if Senzel or Vosler can get a hit tonight. Or if Overton can go at least 5.

  3. Melvin

    Well, at least it took three batters for the first BB tonight. ๐Ÿ™‚

  4. LarkinPhillips

    I’ve got stuff going on tonight so I won’t be able to watch, will have to listen. But this game may get out of hand early if Overton don’t figure it out quickly.

  5. Dennis Westrick

    “Reds Killer” Kyle Schwarber strikes again!

  6. JB

    What is the ball boy doing? He almost played that one.

    • VaRedsFan

      He tried to play Schwarber’s double and missed.

    • Melvin

      As Larkin said, “Instincts”. ๐Ÿ™‚

  7. Dennis Westrick

    Another RISP abandoned at 3rd by Reds hitters! Drat, Drat and double Drat!

    • Dennis Westrick

      Gotta be better than our No. 4 & No. 5 starters! Wouldn’t be the first player to make the jump from AA to the majors!

      • Melvin

        That’s what I’m hoping. At least very little time in AA and AAA.

      • Melvin

        “Gotta be better than our No. 4 & No. 5 starters!”

        You were saying about Abbott? Call him up now. lol

      • 2020ball

        He’s on a good track so why alter it? We dont see guys called up to the pen much anymore, I’m not against that maybe.

        I’d at least find Doug’s article via his website above and give that a read if y’all haven’t.

      • Melvin

        I guess we might be a LITTLE impatient. lol

  8. Dennis Westrick

    Stop with the leadoff walks! Please!

  9. Melvin

    A walk to begin an inning….again. This happens so often that Johnson has to take responsibility for at least some of it.

    • VaRedsFan

      Straight from the DJ playbook to nibble.
      Although the strikes he’s throwing are getting clobbered.
      Not a good combo.

  10. Melvin

    Well, at least we threw out the leadoff walk so he didn’t score too. lol

  11. Dennis Westrick

    Two (2) HRs in two (2) innings doesn’t bode well for Overton!

  12. Melvin

    Votto with a hit and scored a run in his first AB. Driven in by McLain.

  13. Melvin

    Steer with a good play. Getting better all the time.

  14. AMDG

    For the lineup, I don’t understand Vosler ahead of Steer, or Vosler & Senzel ahead of Barrero?

    Steer is hitting 0.500 over his last 5 games, and Barrero is hitting 0.286 over that same span.

    Meanwhile Vosler is 1 for his last 22…

    • Melvin

      Too much baseball logic you’re using buddy. Cut it out. ๐Ÿ™‚

    • J

      Vosler is left-handed, so that explains him. Senzel makes more money, so that explains him. Performance doesn’t factor into the equation.

    • Melvin

      Lineups don’t matter. Don’t you know that. ๐Ÿ˜‰

  15. Dennis Westrick

    Another inning, another RISP (via a leadoff walk by the Philly starter) hung out to dry by the Reds batters! Frustrating! It’s early, I know, but the odds of Overton going deep into this game are Slim & None, and Slim left town!

  16. Melvin

    Casty does it to us again with ANOTHER double.

  17. JB

    I’ve seen enough of Overton this year. Send him down and bring up anybody.

  18. Dennis Westrick

    So far this series the only 2 Philly batters who have tortured the Reds are Schwarber and Casty!

  19. J

    Overton is truly a joy to watch. I look forward to the many many more games I assume he’ll be starting for this team.

    • Melvin

      I’m guessing you’re a fan of HR derbys?

  20. Dennis Westrick

    Well, looks like a good night for Stanley Cup playoff hockey!

  21. Old-school

    Overton ERA 11.45

    That doesnt sound good

    Hopefully weaver is ready next wednesday

    The surest way to eliminate the fan base is non -competitiveness

    • Dennis Westrick

      I’d settle for the bat boy at this point!

    • Melvin

      Weaver pitching tonight. Hopefully he does well.

  22. RedsGettingBetter

    Overton is performing according to his poor numbers. He is a 11.00 ERA pitcher.It is embarrassing . How long is Overton going to start games? The answer could be until Weaver comes back but the real issue is that Cessa has been crushed too…

  23. VaRedsFan

    TJ robbed of a hit.
    Philly D is showing up tonight.

  24. VaRedsFan

    Jake picks up an RBI.
    Gonna take a few tonight.

  25. Old-school

    Overton and Vosler need to be DFAโ€™d

    Vosler had a nice week and fun but hes 1-19 with 7 kโ€™s and not part of the future nor part of the new hitting plan

    Old guys who arent competitive should never be on the roster

  26. JB

    Maybe Herget should get a start. Can’t be any worse.

  27. LT

    Letโ€™s start chipping away right now.

  28. GMan88

    Has anyone checked out Votto’s numbers in AAA? 5 for 33 (.152) with 1 double and a home run. Don’t expect him to come up and do any better than Vosler. Ready to shed the $20 million+ off the payroll and hopefully open up some new possibilities.

    • Harry Stoner

      Votto had major shoulder surgery last year.

      Major.

      Guy came back to ST to be part of his team, to be part of the vibe and to work hard to get back in shape and up to speed.

      He knew it was early.

      Everyone knew it was early.

      But the Reds had Joey Votto in Arizona instead of hanging out in Canada or Baja.

      Yeah, it’s taking some time.

      He had major shoulder surgery.

      RLN wiseguys want to blow him off because his recovery from major surgery doesn’t fit their timeline.

      • Melvin

        I think he’s probably doing better than most guys would have in the same circumstances.

      • AMDG

        Votto’s K rate has been trending in the wrong direction for a few years now. And he’s only hitting 0.237 over the past 3 seasons (was a career 0.307 hitter before that stretch).

        If those wiseguys are correct, all these attributes reflect Votto’s performance before the surgery, and can’t be simply dismissed as “shoulder surgery”.

      • Melvin

        AMDG – In his defense his downward performance might have something to do with him being injured for several years and gradually getting worse. We’ll see how he does when he feels “ready”.

      • GMan88

        I get it. I’m rooting for him. I’m sure everyone who is on Redleg Nation is. I just went to check out his Louisville stats earlier when I saw Vosler had slowed down and it got my attention.

        And yes, it is a big chunk of an already anemic payroll.

      • David

        So, your saying that Joey Votto had major shoulder surgery? ๐Ÿ™‚

        Actually, not funny, and honestly, Joey may be done. But I wish the best for him. This outcome was really a strong possibility.
        Don’t know what Cincy and Joey do next, because he is really not ready to hit ML pitching.
        60 day DL, and more physical therapy, excercises for his shoulder?

      • Melvin

        David – You may be right about what’s next. Who knows? Votto is a really smart guy and I have no idea what’s going on in his head. I do know in ST at times he will let the ball travel deep in the zone just so he get used to seeing it better for during the season not necessarily trying to hit it every time as the highest priority. I just don’t count him out. I do know he had two hits tonight including a double, an RBI, and a run scored from first with one K.

  29. Nicole Cushing

    Glad to see them finding a new way to lose. (Starting pitcher throwing up all over himself instead of bullpen pitcher throwing up all over himself.) Would like to see more errors, though. Particularly slapstick sorts of errors. Remember: you don’t *have* to root for them. You can hope they fail in ever-more-interesting ways. This has made the season far more interesting, from my point of view.

    • Dennis Westrick

      Don’t worry! The Reds find unique ways to lose in most of their losses!

  30. AMDG

    Isn’t the whole point of one of these subpar “innings eating” pitchers, to throw some low-end starter out on the mound who you know will get shelled, but will give you 5 or 6 IP in the process, to save the bullpen?

    I ask, because if that is their purpose, why pull Overton after 3 IP?

    They did the same thing with Minor last season. They let him pitch long enough to let the game get out of reach, and then they would burn thru the bullpen for the next 5 or 6 innings.

    I would think if you are rolling Overton out there, you are already conceding the game. So, instead of letting him go 3 IP with 5 ER, just let him do his job and go 5 or 6 IP while giving up 7 or 8 ER in the process.

  31. Old-school

    Vosler 1-27

    Time to act on vosler and Overton

    DFA tomorrow

    Accountability or no???

    These arent proven vets like myers

    Time to move myers to 1b and open up OF to 3 fโ€™s and Senzel and if newman doesnt get it together go with senzel and McLain as infield depth
    Might be time to pick a 2nd catcher and get rid of the other

    This game is an insult to Reds fans

    Not competing

      • Old-school

        8-3 actually

        That didnt age well

    • Votto4life

      Old -School, I must say I have been impressed with your willingness to change your opinions when faced with a different set of facts. A lot of us like to think we are open to change, but the truth is, most of us take a position and more or less, stick with it.

      Last year, I felt your posts were always well thought out, but often, I felt they were overly optimistic. This year though, you have been willing to criticize the areas of this organization worthy of criticism. I appreciate you keeping an open mind. Thank you.

  32. GMan88

    I get it. I’m rooting for him. I’m sure everyone who is on Redleg Nation is. I just went to check out his Louisville stats earlier when I saw Vosler had slowed down and it got my attention.

    And yes, it is a big chunk of an already anemic payroll.

  33. Old-school

    Alvarado was a lefty bullpen free agent next year. Phillies just extended him till 2026

    • Melvin

      I have a feeling we’re going to be very unpleasantly surprised about how much money Big Bob & Son are going to spend on extensions and free agents next year. Hoping I’m wrong or even get new owners by then.

      • Old-school

        Reality is they have to spend money to fill in gaps . Bullpen is obvious .
        (1) SP for sure and to be determined 2 position players – C or DH or OF

      • Old-school

        Trades too

        TB trades last 3 years amazing

        Cards missing Arozerano

      • Melvin

        I agree that’s what they should do but the reality is they don’t HAVE to do anything when it comes to spending money. It’s one reason why I like the salary floor idea. I can see trades as the more likely possibility. We can only optimistically hope and pray. ๐Ÿ™‚

  34. Dennis Westrick

    OK, ladies & gents, enough for me tonight! Better luck tomorrow!

  35. David

    Well, I think we can all agree that Connor Overton is not part of the future for the Reds. Well….bye.
    Does Weaver replace him?

    I also noticed that David Bell pushed Ashcraft into the 4th starter spot. This was probably done to break up Overton (4th) and Cessa (5th) on successive days. I think this implicitly indicates that David Bell knows these two are the weakest links in the rotation.
    If Cessa pitches badly on Sunday ( a distinct possibility) then who else can slide into the rotation? Maybe Kevin Herget goes into the rotation and Cessa moves into the bullpen?
    Overton goes on an extended vacation and Luke Weaver gets mobilized from AAA?

    I honestly thought that Tony Santillan had an outside chance to be re-instated as a starter, which he did for his minor league years. And now his knee is on the blink…likely because he is OVERWEIGHT. Tony, push yourself away from the table at supper time.

  36. Jeff Morris

    #4 Overton not working out at all. Reds got to think about another option….Also, not sure #5 Cessa will work out either as starting pitching.

  37. J

    I’ve grown quite tired of having two bad hitting catchers on the roster just so that one of them can perhaps be slightly helpful once a week.

    • Melvin

      Especially since Stephenson is catching more so far then Bell said he would, which I’m not against as long as he’s healthy. We’re basically just wasting the 26th spot on the roster. Really good teams with great players can maybe afford to do that. I’m not so sure we can. Honestly with David Bell it’s kind of scary in my eyes. Adding a versatile 26th man could just mean more reasons and opportunities to platoon or whatever and keep good even hot hitting players out of the lineup. We KNOW Bell thinks he has to play everybody. Having a third catcher that doesn’t play often could be a blessing in disguise on this team.

  38. Votto4life

    It was pretty clear that the big question marks, coming into the season, was the thin starting rotation and unreliable bullpen. The Owners were aware of it, Nick Krall was aware of it, David Bell was aware of it and anyone who even casually follows this team were aware of it.

  39. LDS

    Ok, my pregame questions were answered: no, Overton canโ€™t go 5, neither Senzel nor Vosler got a hit. Bell seemed to be a bit more lenient with the bullpen, on balance good, but stayed with Cruz too long when it was a bit evident that he was past his point of effectiveness. Kind of felt like the โ€œtake the loss and preserve the bullpen for tomorrow โ€œ. We saw that often in years past. Oh, well so it goes.