The Cincinnati Reds (61-99) will look to finish the 2022 season with a winning streak. The Reds ended their 6-game losing streak with a 3-1 last night over the Chicago Cubs (73-87). The Reds have not won two consecutive games since their 3-game winning streak back on September 7-9. The Reds need to win both today and tomorrow to avoid their first 100 loss season in 40 years.
Luis Cessa has pitched fairly well in his starting pitching role, and overall since he returned from the IL at the beginning of August. Cessa has a 3.43 ERA in 44.2 innings with an impressive 2.82 BB/9 mark. Cessa has a career 4.85 ERA against the Cubs in 13.0 IP. Cessa beat the Cubs at Wrigley Field on September 8th when he recorded his most strikeouts in game since 2017: 5.2 IP, 3 H, 2 R, 0 BB, 8 K.
Javier Assad will look to finish his strong rookie season tonight. Assad was not a top prospect for the Cubs, but got the promotion after a breakout minor league season. One of his worst starts of the season actually came against the Reds at Wrigley Field on September 7th: 5.1 IP, 5 H, 4 R, 2 HR, 1 BB, 6 K.
Jake Fraley has been the Reds best hitter in the 2nd half, hitting .291/.374/.533 with 11 HR and 146 wRC+. Fraley homered off Cubs starter Javier Assad earlier this month. It was kind of surprising to see Aristides Aquino out of the lineup, as he homered off Assad on 9/7 also.
-Aramis Garcia made his return to the Reds roster for the first time since July 7th. He had finger and elbow injuries that kept him sidelined. It will be interesting to see if he gets the start in the finale over Austin Romine. TJ Friedl‘s season is officially over after his injury last night. Friedl had a 139 wRC+ in the second half of the season.
— Cincinnati Reds (@Reds) October 4, 2022
MLB Draft Lottery
The Reds and Pirates remain tied for the third worst record in MLB. The Reds are guaranteed to finish with at least the fourth worst record in MLB.
For the 2023 draft, MLB will be implementing a draft lottery to determine the order. The Reds would have the highest odds should they fall into the worst three records in MLB. The Reds do however “lose” the tie-breaker to the Pirates because the Reds had a better record in 2021. The Pirates could “clinch” the number three spot in the draft odds with a loss tonight combined with a Reds win.
-How the odds work explained by Jim Callis of MLB Pipeline.
All 18 non-playoff clubs will enter a lottery for the top six picks. The percentage chances of each team getting the No. 1 choice, in reverse order of winning percentages: pic.twitter.com/lzWR3PeOqW
— Jim Callis (@jimcallisMLB) March 11, 2022
It was starting to look like the Reds might end the 2022 season losing 9 straight games with the way they had been playing. It was nice to see the Reds get a victory last night behind a brilliant season finale from Hunter Greene. It would be really nice to see the Reds end the season on a winning streak and avoid 100 losses. But if for some reason that doesn’t happen, maybe the Reds can sneak into the top 3 draft odds? Go Reds!