The Cincinnati Reds (57-87) let Paul Goldschmidt and Nolan Arenado beat them Friday night. It was a disappointing loss, but the beauty of baseball is that there’s always tomorrow. And the Reds will have two chances to bounce back today against the St. Louis Cardinals, with a day/night doubleheader on the docket. The afternoon game is a make-up from July 17th.

Mike Minor will take the mound for the Reds this afternoon. He will be opposed by right-hander Dakota Hudson.

Details:

  • Time: 1:15 p.m. ET
  • Place: Busch Stadium
  • Weather: 84 degrees, sunny
  • Watch: Bally Sports Ohio
  • Listen: 700 WLW

Lineups

Cincinnati Reds

St. Louis Cardinals

TJ Friedl – DH Tommy Edman – 2B
Jonathan India – 2B Dylan Carlson – RF
Kyle Farmer – SS Paul Goldschmidt – DH
Jake Fraley – LF Nolan Arenado – 3B
Aristides Aquino – RF Albert Pujols – 1B
Nick Senzel – CF Paul DeJong – SS
Alejo Lopez – 3B Brendan Donovan – LF
Matt Reynolds – 1B Yadier Molina – C
Chuckie Robinson – C Ben DeLuzio – CF

Arenedo, Goldschmidt, and Tyler O’Neill all have three home runs each against Minor.

Starting Pitchers

Name IP ERA xERA FIP xFIP WHIP K% BB%
Mike Minor 95.0 5.78 4.55 6.01 5.03 1.34 17.2% 8.0%
Dakota Hudson 126.0 4.43 5.10 4.44 4.81 1.42 13.5% 10.5%

REDS

Minor has done exactly what fans expected him to do when the Reds signed him during spring training in March. He’s given the Reds innings, and sometimes has been good, but most of the time has not been good. On September 7th, he pitched into the sixth inning against the Cubs, and while he allowed ten hits, he allowed only one run, no walks and no home runs. But in his most recent start against Pittsburgh on Monday, he gave up six runs, albeit only four of them were earned, and surrendered three home runs with three walks in five innings, en route to earning the loss.

Does Minor just pitch better on the road versus at home? Well, his home/road splits aren’t drastically different. His 5.28 ERA on the road is definitely better than his 6.22 ERA at Great American Ball Park, but in the end, they both aren’t good. The only real difference comes from the home run and walk categories. He’s given up 15 home runs at GABP and only eight on the road. He’s walked 21 batters at home and only 14 on the road.

It’s the home runs that have really hurt him. His 44.0 FB% is about three percent higher than than a year ago when he was with Kansas City, and his HR/FB% of 16.5% is 3.1% higher than a year ago and 3.6% higher than when he had one of his best seasons of his career in Texas in 2019.

CARDINALS

After a stellar rookie season in 2019, Hudson has battled injuries the last two years, first with an elbow injury that kept him out until September in 2021, and then a neck strain that shut him down for about a month this season. The Cardinals optioned him to Triple-A on the fifth of this month after he gave up five runs on nine hits in 4.2 innings in his last start, coincidentally against the Reds. He’s being called up today as the 29th man for the doubleheader.

Hudson was a first round draft selection for the Cardinals in 2016 and made his debut in 2018 with his first full season in 2019. With the shortened season in 2020 and his lengthy injury in 2021, I guess you could say this is his sophomore season. In 126.0 innings, he has 4.43 ERA and a 4.44 FIP with 72 strikeouts. It’s not completely terrible, but after his rookie season where he had a 3.35 ERA with 136 strikeouts in 174.2 innings, he is having a bit of a “sophomore slump.”

News and Notes

Roster moves for today

Reds sending 7 prospects to the Arizona Fall League

Cincinnati is sending seven players to the Arizona Fall League, including four Top 25 prospects and the group is led by #3 prospect Noelvi Marte who was acquired at the trade deadline in the deal that sent Luis Castillo to Seattle. You can read about all seven of the players heading to Arizona over at RedsMinorLeagues.com where Doug Gray wrote about each of them.

50 Responses

  1. Votto4life

    Eugenio Suarez 31 HRs 84 RBIs with a 4.4 WAR
    Who did the we received for him again?

      • Votto4life

        Isn’t the idea to put the best team on the field? Oh forgive me, I know, that’s crazy talk.

      • greenmtred

        not crazy talk at all, but isn’t the larger goal to build a team with a serious chance at the world series? the only way the reds are going to do that is by accumulating promising prospects, given ownership’s unwillingness to spend. geno might have made them a little less pathetic this year, but he’s too old to build around. we’ll have see how the trade looks in a few years.

      • Votto4life

        Greenmtred, I have far less faith in the Red’s front office than you do. The Reds have spent the last two seasons dumping salaries, pure and simple. With the possible exception of the Castillo trade, the Reds have traded away over half of their major league roster and haven’t added any significant talent in return.

        The Suarez trade was certainly not about adding talent, it was about dumping salary. Sorry, but I don’t need to wait three years to conclude the Mariners have won that trade.

        It amazes me that most of the conversations in this forum revolves around what the Reds plan is moving forward. There is really no need to guess. They have been implementing their plan for the past couple of years.

        The main tenants of the Red’s plan moving forward will be
        1. Keep payroll low
        2. Do not sign FAs seeking multi- year contracts
        3. When the young players become eligible for arbitration, and thus more expensive, the player will be traded.
        4. Only sign free agents who are agreeable to single season contracts. Sign Free agents who are unsigned coming into Spring Training.
        5. Do not get into a bidding war for free agents.
        6. Don’t be overly concerned about attendance. Attendance is just one revenue stream. It is also the revenue stream that is most expensive. Maximizing attendance would require making significant investments in payroll.
        7. Focus on the other key revenue streams namely, TV contracts and revenue sharing.

        I really do believe this is the “plan” for
        The Reds moving forward.

        If winning was the goal Nick Krall and David Bell would have been relieved of their duties by now. They kept their jobs largely because the Reds just don’t care about winning.

    • Grand Salami

      Our clubhouse leader has 12. :-/

      There was no good reason to force him into (and dilute) the Winker trade if that is indeed how it went down.

  2. Daytonnati

    Well, Phil probably got a new car.

  3. Melvin

    Let’s get one win closer to Ashley getting a free lunch. 🙂

  4. Mark Moore

    In for a while until I need to go do an errand or two. Mandatory stop to having the game on the big screen at 2:30 to give way to the Notre Dame game (and perhaps more yelling by my First Wife and DD#1).

  5. Mark Moore

    Here we go. Do we see the moderately effective Minor or the one who throws batting practice?

    • Mark Moore

      Or maybe a guy who can’t find the strike zone with a map?

      • Grand Salami

        That should be the opposing pitcher . . .

  6. Mark Moore

    Is he going to walk Albert again so he can face Goldy?

  7. Mark Moore

    Looking like it’s time to go do my errands.

  8. LarkinPhillips

    Bullpen game yesterday, followed by a short outing by minor. We may see Lopez get multiple innings in today.

  9. Mark Moore

    Yep. It’s errand time. Somebody hold my place in line, OK?

    Thanks 😀

  10. Roger Garrett

    Bell knows what he is doing.He chose not to try and win the game last night so he could use those guys today and a game that will be over by the 5th.Reds may never lead these last 3 games.

  11. Melvin

    Robinson couldn’t hold on to the ball. Would have been out.

  12. Bet on Red

    That’s not on Aquino, a catch gets an out….minor certainly not showing up

  13. Roger Garrett

    Must change my prediction.Game is now over in the third.Bell can now use all those pitchers he was saving while he lost last nights game today.Guy is a genius.

  14. Kevin H

    Congrats to Dusty Baker who takes his team to the playoffs again. A great manager that he is.. Reds had a good one and let him get away.

  15. Pete

    Reds bats need to get busy and get us back into this game.

  16. Roger Garrett

    Gone for today and will be out of touch for several weeks so good luck to all as this season comes to an end.Hopefully before we all get too old we will see winning baseball again.

  17. LDS

    So Minor is being Minor today I see. And Bell holds Barrero out for the 3rd straight game, waiting for more favorable matchups? This is the big leagues. Sink or swim. Though the real reason is likely Farmer whining that he’s the SS.

    • Mark Moore

      If that actually were the case in any way, he should be benched and DFA’d. I’d like to think that’s not how Farm Dawg roles, but you really never know.

      And if Barrero is sitting to “clear his head” which automatically means we’re playing a man down except for some unknown emergency situation … that’s even more baffling. Send him down for the rest of the AAA season (says the guy who says you are limited in what you can learn there as opposed to in The Show).

      • LDS

        Never know. But I’ll take my chances with Barrero over Reynolds any day of the week. And I’d say if anyone needs to clear their head, it’s Senzel. Hasn’t produced much. And AA has closed to within .017 on the BA with better power and defense. Not a good place for a #1 pick.

  18. Mark Moore

    Good news is the first place I went had the right burgers, so dinner is set for tonight. And the beers I like (plural because I mix them) … color me happy 😀

  19. AMDG

    While I may not have agreed with the strategy, I do understand the idea of acquiring a bad veteran pitcher like Minor, to eat innings.

    With the idea that you start him, recognizing you won’t win many (any?) games which he starts. But you just roll him out there for 6 innings to take his beating and save your bullpen.

    With that in mind, there is no reason to pull him early (like they did today). It defeats the only reason the team uses Minor as a starter.

    The Reds have lost every single game which Minor pitched 5 IP or less, so it’s not like they are magically coming back to win – especially with the bats in their lineup.

    • Mark Moore

      +50,000

      Had the exact same thought. You let him throw meatballs for 6 innings if that’s what’s necessary to save your BP arms on a weekend like this.

    • Red Thunder

      For 10 million I was hoping he would eat more innings than that. Is what it is!

      • Red Thunder

        Minor 89 pitches in 3 innings, Dowdy 4 innings with 54 pitches. Good job today by Dowdy.

      • Doc

        He nibbles at innings but doesn’t really eat them.

      • Red Thunder

        Doc- Like chewing gum but not swallowing it, LOL!

  20. Mark Moore

    I’ve always wondered, what if there were an option for the home team to defer their half of the 8th if they were ahead by a number of runs. Just clear off the bases and let the visiting team bat again just like they would in the 9th. Seems you would rarely need to go back and play that (and the home 9th) and it would shorten the game plus save on visiting team’s pitchers.

    Oddball thought I know. It would get the pain over with more quickly on a day like this, though.

  21. Kevin H

    Dowdy saved the bullpen today.. kudos to him. Great day for college football. Lol

  22. Mark Moore

    On a much happier note, my Syracuse Orange came back with under a minute to take down Purdue!

    • JB

      Just got done watching it. Purdue not disciplined. Cuse 3-0

  23. Mark Moore

    Reynolds is just dialed in today.

  24. Mark Moore

    Whelp … that’s one down today. Too little too late on our side, but a few stand out performances in the loss.

    Back at it in a couple of hours.