Tonight the free falling Reds open a five game series versus the Central division leading St Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium.  The best news for the Reds may be that when the dust settles on this five game four day affair, they get a day off on Monday.

Starting Pitchers

Chase Anderson squares off against the Cardinals Miles Mikolas in a match up of right handers.

Pitcher IP ERA WHIP BB% K%
Chase Anderson 9.0 9.00 1.67 22.5% 27.5%
Miles Mikolas 181.1 3.42 1.04 4.6% 18.7%
Links: Chase Anderson Stats | Miles Mikolas’ Stats

Chase Anderson

Anderson makes his fourth start in his fifth overall appearance with the Reds. His results have not been good as the numbers above shout out. He faced the Cardinals in his first Reds start then was brought 2 days later to face them in relief. The Cardinals had their way with him both times. The better news for Anderson and the Reds is that he posted relatively stronger results in his latest appearance, against the Brewers 5 days ago, allowing 2 earned runs on just 1 hit (but walked 3) in 4 innings of work.

Both right handed and left handed batters have an OPS > 1.100 versus Anderson. Maybe if he cut his BB rate by 2/3, he would fare better, particularly versus RH batters?

Trying to manage 6 pitches might be a mistake when sporting a BB rate of  20%. Anderson’s curve and sinker both have significant negative value ratings. Perhaps he would be well served to drop both and throw more cutters and change ups?


RHH 22 3 0 0 2 4 5 .177 .318 .848
LHH 18 3 1 0 1 4 6 .231 .444 .983

Pitch Usage

4-Seam Cutter Sinker Slider Change Curve
Velo 92.8 91.2 93.3 84.1 84.2 78.6
Usage 37.7% 12.3% 8.7% 7.2% 21.6% 14.9%

Miles Mikolas

Mikolas makes his 30th start of the season tonight. He is a grinder, averaging just short of 6.1 innings per start. His handedness splits are essentially neutral. With an ERA just a tad more than 10% better than league average and a WHIP half a tad over 1.00, Mikolas is having one of the strongest seasons of his career despite a winning % right at .500 (plus 7 no decision starts). However, the Cardinals have won 17 of his 29 previous starts (.586 winning % versus an overall team winning % of .587). The Cardinals have won 2 of 3 games versus the Reds started by Mikolas in 2022. His only 2022 decision against the Reds was the loss.

Mikolas mixes his stuff among 5 offerings. About 50% of his pitches are fastballs, slightly more of them are 4 seamers than sinkers. He throws about the same percentage of sliders as 4 seamers and essentially uses his curve as a change up although he occasionally slips in a straight change. With a combined K%+BB% of just over 23%, Mikolas is clearly a pitch to contact guy.


RHH 376 86 13 0 12 17 70 .244 .283 .384
LHH 346 69 14 2 10 16 65 .214 .254 .362

Pitch Usage

4-Seam Sinker Slider Change Curve
Velo 93.6 93.0 88.7 82.6 76.2
Usage 26.8% 22.3% 25.9% 4.2% 20.4%



Joel Kuhnel, and Derek Lowe are probably unavailable tonight following heavy pitch counts on Wednesday.  Reiver Sanmartin and Kyle Dowdy may still be limited after throwing over 30 pitches each on Tuesday. Reinforcements arrived during the afternoon in the form of Dauri Moreta and Raynel Espinal. Luke Farrell (DFA) and Justin Dunn (15 day IL) are off the active roster to make way.


Jordan Hicks is very limited or unavailable after throwing 25 pitches Wednesday. Packy Naughton may be limited on the heels of a 27 pitch outing on Tuesday.



SP: Chase Anderson


SP: Miles Mikolas

1. T.J. Friedl (LF)
2. Jonathan India (2B)
3. Kyle Farmer (SS)
4. Jake Fraley (DH)
5. Donovan Solano (1B)
6. Aristides Aquino (RF)
7. Nick Senzel (CF)
8. Spencer Steer (3B)
9. Austin Romine (C)
1. Brendan Donovan (2B)
2. Tommy Edman (SS)
3. Paul Goldschmidt (1B)
4. Nolan Arenado (3B)
5. Albert Pujols (DH)
6. Tyler O’Neill (CF)
7. Alec Burleson (LF)
8. Yadier Molina (C)
9. Lars Nootbaar (RF)

David Bell would probably say this is the best lineup he can field versus the Cardinals who are in the midst of a playoff chase. Take a breath or two to think about

News and Notes

The Reds shuffled the deck chairs this afternoon to reinforce the bullpen.  Doug Gray, reporting from the media lifeboat, has the details here


Jim’s Thought Of The Day

Today is MLB’s Roberto Clemente Day. Clemente is my all time Reds opposition hero. As a kid in sitting in the grandstand at Crosley field one afternoon, I watched in amazement as Clemente climbed the up the chain link fence in right field attempting to catch a moonball. I don’t recall if he was able to make the play; but from that day forward, I was hooked on him.

My other enduring remembrance of Clemente on the field is him pressed against the wall in right centerfield of Riverfront Stadium looking up helplessly as Johnny Bench’s game tying 9th inning home run soared over his head in the deciding game of the 1972 NLCS won later in the 9th by the Reds.

Sadly for Roberto Clemente and the world, there would be no more Clemente moments as he was gone from this realm less than 3 months later, dying while trying to improve the fate of humans in distress.

When and Where

Game time: 7:45pm ET
Where: Busch Stadium St. Louis, MO
Watch: Bally Sports Ohio,
Listen: 700 WLW AM (Cincinnati area)
Forecast: 77°, some clouds possible, 1% chance of rain



151 Responses

  1. Mark Moore

    “The free falling Reds” … what an appropriate phase to describe our band of castoffs and AAA/AAAA players. I do believe I’ll take my walk starting at 7:30 and then join the game in progress. Candidly, I don’t anticipate anything much on our side for the first 15-20 minutes anyway. If I’m surprised, then so be it.

    The big question is, will Anderson or another Reds pitcher tee one up for Prince Albert to move him closer to that 700-HR mark? Tune in to find out.

    I’ve pretty much stopped trying to “Kick this Pig” … I’d just like to see a decent showing.

    • Jim Walker

      I was seriously tempted to use the Tom Petty Free Fallin’ chorus lyric as a block quote somewhere in the post but I didn’t want to get Doug in trouble or cost him $$$ for a possible licensing fee/ violation.

      So everybody who knows the song just think of it, count to 3 and cut loose if things go wrong as they often will for the Reds tonight!

      If you don’t know it, well you won’t have the tune but just shout “Free Fallin’ I’m Free Fallin'” several times!

    • Dennis Westrick

      Actually Mark, I hope Pujols gets 3 HRs tonight so the media will move on to something else! He’s a great player and I could like him more if he wasn’t back plating with the Dirty Birds!

      • Jim Walker

        Yeah if Albert had plagued the Reds with about any other team he would probably be 2nd to Clemente on my list of All Time favorite Reds opponents.

      • Mark Moore

        Same here, Dennis. Let him have a three-fer and get it over with tonight.

      • Melvin

        I wouldn’t mind seeing history when he gets #700.

    • Dennis Westrick

      “playing” NOT “plating”

      • Jim Walker

        Got to take the good with the bad of autospellers and correctors. Overall they are the greatest thing since my mom used to “spell correct” school papers she was typing for me back in the middle school day and often made what I wrote better for it.

  2. 2020ball

    My best lineup would be Lopez instead of Steer, but Steer is also young and has the higher ceiling so its just small fish. Would like to see India at 3rd and Lopez at 2nd someday.

    • DataDumpster

      You are being contrarian! That would be consistent with both their natural positions. I think with the recent pitching troubles, they are holding Lopez back for possible late inning pitching. But of that whole lineup, I still think his batting approach is top 2 at least but he just doesn’t seem to have found favor with Bell.

  3. LDS

    I’d like to see Senzel on the bench. Can’t remember his last hit.

    • Melvin

      Yes. There is an argument to be made of Lopez instead of Senzel and just shuffle the outfield a little.

      • 2020ball

        mm, yeah you can shuffle Fraley out of the DH spot, I hadnt thought of that.

      • 2020ball

        small fish though, Lopez started the last four gamedays. I’m fine with Senzel seeing the field, everyone on the roster should be getting playing time.

      • Melvin

        I believe Lopez can play some LF too.

        Lopez in his last 15 games: .409/.435/.591

        Senzel in his last 15 games: .137/.241/.157

      • 2020ball

        I certainly would use Lopez in the OF since UTIL is his most likely spot in the bigs.

      • Dennis Westrick

        The player with the higher BA is generally better, right? Asking for a friend.

      • 2020ball

        hm, this was covered already above and I at least gave it thought, something your friend may not be able to do.

  4. Rut

    Flew up and took my 11 yr old (she was tracked out of school) to the games against the Pirates, other than the make up game Tuesday day.

    Glad she loves the zoo, the aquarium, Graeters, and our extended family who lives there. Tough for her to feel anything about them other than “they suck dad”.

    Glad she got a ball, wish it had more meaning. Anyway, tough to make Reds fans these days, so Phil et al better be careful with their assumptions. My bet is neither of my kids gives a rat’s arse about the Reds once they can avoid my influence!

    • Rut

      Haha, realized 2nd paragraph my kid is referring to the Reds, NOT our extended family! ?

    • Mark Moore

      +5,000 for the memories even Phil can’t dampen.

  5. Melvin

    Bright spot: Aquino in his last 15 games.

    .288/.339/.586 with only 12 Ks.

    Something to keep an eye on to see if he can keep it up.

    • Mark Moore

      Definitely seeing improvement. Key is sustainability.

    • Jim Walker

      This series could be a bellweather for AA. The Cardinals know him, have decent pitching and are playing for position in the new seeding scheme.

      • Melvin

        Pretty good start tonight don’t you think? 🙂

  6. Old-school

    Whether it be the ball, aging, GABP or just the ebb and flow of seasons, Nick Castellanos is not having a good season.

    He injured his oblique sept 2 and may miss most of the month of September

    -0.4 WAR. OPS+ 96, slugging .397. 2022
    3.2 WAR. OPS+ 138, slugging .576. 2021

    He’s owed 4 years and 80 million from 2023-2026 and turns 31 in march.

    Im disappointed the Reds have had no cornerstone franchise level position players develop at the MLB level to add to India and Stephenson in 2022. Im not disappointed that Krall didnt sign more huge over 30 contracts that paralyze roster construction and winning.

      • 2020ball

        Philly aint no pitchers park, trust me

  7. Old-school

    Terrible at bat by Friedl
    Not ready to play. Bunts then doesnt bunt on 2 strikes and takes strike 3 right down the middle. If your going to that which 99.9% of players dont do( bunt with 2 strikes), better be definitive

  8. LDS

    So how many runs will the Cards score in the first two innings? And how many will Anderson walk? Side bets are about all we have left.

    • Luke J

      Just started reading the comments here in the 4th inning. I see your fist two comments were about Senzel and now Anderson. Please keep ragging on players. The reds may just win this series as every player you rag on prives you wrong. lol

  9. Mark Moore

    I like the take on the 3-2 count, AA … but he did nail you. Don’t PO the umpire as well.

    • 2020ball

      The pitch before was low middle and he took that too, hittable pitch. I’d like to see more aggressiveness but at least he’s not wailing at everything low and away.

    • Jim Walker

      I agree AA did not give them a free strike in that PA. There wasn’t much he could have done with any of the 3. As the Ol’ Lefthander used to say, sometimes just tip your cap and vow to yourself to get them next time

  10. Old-school

    Nick Senzel home run by a lot?

    Is it a full moon?

    • Mark Moore

      Nope. 75% waning, actually … 😀 (my personal weather station)

  11. Mark Moore

    Surprise, surprise, surprise!!!

    A no-doubter by Senzel.

  12. 2020ball

    I wanna see Pujols finish the year with 699

  13. Jim Walker

    So, I took one look at Mikolas’ K rate and BB rate combined at 23% and brazenly wrote he was a pitch to contact guy. Then he gets 3 Ks on in the 1st 6 outs! Is it me, Mikolas or the Reds hitters????

  14. Mark Moore

    Where were these guys vs. the Pie-rats?

  15. Mark Moore

    Anybody but The Lettuce Guy on 3rd and we challenge the Nootbaar

  16. Bet on Red

    How many more games must we suffer through,… i mean are left in the season

    • Mark Moore

      We home and home with the Stupid Cubs into the first weekend in October. So, probably too many.

  17. 2020ball

    India, what on earth happened there?

    • Jim Walker

      We’ve seen the same play and result several times.

      Bell seems determined to use that delayed steal attempt to score a run when they have 1st and 3rd, decent speed on the bases and the batter gets an 0-2 count.

      • Jim Walker

        And there are 2 outs in the inning

      • 2020ball

        I hadnt considered the count, strange play though since he had it stolen.

    • 2020ball

      I really dont understand stopping there, strange play if that was planned, esp with our best hitter at the plate

  18. Mark Moore

    Not sure if I’m happy we tried that move or not. India did his job. Friedl was just half a step too late.

    • Mark Moore

      Frankly, I think we could have challenged that.

  19. VaRedsFan

    I was hoping they’d ditch that Little League crap.
    1st/3rd with the best hitter up….just dumb

    • Chris Holbert

      Agree. That stopped working in U12

  20. Melvin

    Haha Our “little league” play failed again. Maybe try some hit and runs instead some times. Anyway that play worked for Billy Haywood in Little Big League. Oh well.

    • Melvin

      That MAYBE wasn’t the best time to try that since we would have had two runners in scoring position with Solano at the plate.

      • Old-school

        David Bell insulted Solano. He said our best chance to get that run in is a 10 year old trick play.

      • Jim Walker

        @OldSchool>> Pretty much, I agree. Bell’s decision says he thought the best chance of scoring Friedl once Solano was down 0-2 was the trick play.

        Bell was also hoping if it didn’t work Solano would get on ahead of Aquino to start the 4th so they wouldn’t pitch AA like it was the 7th inning of the 7th game of a playoff series b/c the risk of ending up with 2 on and no outs.

        Bell came up snake eyes all the way around.

      • Old-school

        @ Jim

        Sacrifice bunts and hit and runs are better at run creation than that nonsense.

      • Chris Holbert

        That is what is so frustrating. DB thinks he can outsmart other managers….and they say scoreboard…

  21. DataDumpster

    That play reminds me of the old Pony League when you are 7-8 years old. The manager would yell “pickle” at the right time and of course the run would come in every time. Don’t remember seeing that “stunt” in the MLB.
    Even Thrall was able to tell how they screwed up. Friedl is certainly fast enough.

  22. Mark Moore

    Two base runners with no hits … sounds about right.

  23. Old-school

    Thats a play where any good team above 12 understands as a defense the goal isnt to get the runner on first out. It’s dont let the runner from third score. If that means the runner is safe and gets back to first base…ok

    Cardinals understand that and they played it to perfection…they were goading the runner at third to run with the SS preventing India’s advance to 2b and not caring if they got India out.

    This is the second unacceptable Reds play that has nothing to with bullpen talent or Barrero swinging at sliders.

    Friedl half hearted at bat to lead off the game striking out on pseudo bunt attempt with 2 strikes and baserunning out.

    • Harry Stoner

      This will never get transmitted from Bell to Friedl or any other player.

      Likely Friedl will come away from both plays clueless about what went wrong and Bell will blow it off by saying “We look for that kind of aggressiveness….”

  24. DataDumpster

    Farmer showed why he is perhaps the only guy on the team except Aquino to consistently turn in a quick, on the money throw to the plate. Beautiful execution.

  25. Mark Moore

    Re-thinking that little “show”, the words of Jimmy Duggan to Dottie Hinson come to mind …

    “What are you, stupid? Bunting with our best hitter up?”

  26. Old-school

    Aquino back to Aquino
    K and a 1 handed soft infield pop up.

    Pump the brakes on Aquino.

    Pittsburgh and Chicago in September on 95-100 loss teams dont count.

    • Harry Stoner

      The AA car is barely going 15 mph. I think it can safely coast to a stop on its own.

    • 2020ball

      If can hit at all I’m all in with him as a 4th OF, its nice that we’ve seen even a little success. Unlikely he ever cements himself as a starter but he can still be a nice piece for the team.

    • Jim Walker

      He also had .273/.333/.545 series vs the Brewers in among that.

    • Old-school

      Brewers 14-21 since the hader trade deadline until they took 3 of 4 against the Reds. Not exactly the Dodgers or Cards either but the Billy Hamilton ……er Aquino fans can keep hoping.

      • Melvin

        Never seen Billy Hamilton with hit with power or throw someone out from near the warning track. haha 🙂 Just playin with ya buddy. I AM an Aquino fan. Not ashamed. 🙂 I will say Billy Hamilton has/had much unrealized potential but not near as much as Aquino.

  27. Melvin

    Good catch but it seems as though Fridl is TRYING to get hurt tonight. Glad he’s not.

    • DataDumpster

      I’m not too excited about Friedl in general but I thought that was a fantastic catch. He didn’t gamble, he had no choice because of where the ball was hit. He twisted to secure the ball after the catch and I would think a top athlete could survive a little belly flop at the end….Ouch, the hit in the knee AB lots worse.

      • Melvin

        I was thinking he was in danger of a broken wrist there.

      • 2020ball

        When your hand gets caught up like that it makes for an awkward and uncomfortable slide, I’ve been there

  28. Old-school

    Steer with a professional at bat.

  29. Mark Moore

    5 innings from Anderson. Solid ones at that. Maybe he goes 6, maybe he doesn’t. But I’d call it a good night to this point anyway.

  30. DataDumpster

    I can’t keep up with all the pitchers that come and go on this team but Anderson is mowing them down with a good pitch count after 5. Not getting on any bandwagon but this is a welcome surprise.

  31. Mark Moore

    Hit that one right on the Nootbaar … too bad.

  32. Jeff Morris

    Dunn to the DL with shoulder tightness. Another pitcher/player injured this year. Something has to be wrong with the Reds strength and conditioning regiment and/or the coaches. No other team has this many injuries to their pitchers/players. Reds doing something wrong!

    • 2020ball

      and yet, most of the commenters want Bell to overextend his best relievers

      • Chris Holbert

        Should the use of the word pitcher there really be plural?

      • Chris Holbert

        Apologies, should have said relievers.

  33. Mark Moore

    Ooops … the 70’s stache guy hung that one

    • 2020ball

      on a low and away pitch too, nice HR

  34. LDS

    Just checking in. Anderson has 1 hit the Cards through 5 and Senzel & AA have both homered? I need to check my temperature. I must be having a COVID relapse.

      • LDS

        Haha. Don’t care to have COVID for a third time. But, you have to admit Anderson going 5, giving up only 1 hit, and walking only 2 is a bit surrealistic.

  35. 2020ball

    I didnt even consider the pitch clock contributing to a player rushing so much they maybe get injured. Gonna be a weird adjustment for the game esp in the l;ater innings where I as a fan dont want it rushed. Stupid rule but we’ll see how it plays out.

    • VaRedsFan

      What scenario do you see a player getting hurt because he’s throwing a pitch every 20 seconds, or a batter having to be in the box?

  36. DataDumpster

    Five innings, one hit, 80 pitches. Why can’t Anderson continue? Now we have 3 or 4 relievers that have to come through to make good on the 71% chance of winning. Like most everything else, it seems like a computer program is managing this game.

    • 2020ball

      Because at the end of the day its still Chase Anderson, so I really dont think it matters. I’m fine with pulling him around where he’s been getting pulled as far as pitch count, but if he left him in I wouldnt have been upset either.

  37. 2020ball

    That might be the only time I like a sac bunt in a lineup with a DH

    • 2020ball

      I’m still not that enthused with them, even there. Why give up an out, and a runner at first with no outs is still a high chance of scoring in an inning

      • Melvin

        I’m not that big of a fan either but when you only score eight runs in a four game series against the Pirates, at home, it might be time to try something else at least temporarily. haha I will say David Bell is trying to manufacture runs even if I don’t agree with his “Little League” run down managing call earlier.

  38. Old-school

    The Punisher hammering some baseballs tonight. That would be Nick Senzel the Punisher.

    Per baseball savant.
    2 hardest hit balls in the game are Nick Senzel @ 106.2 mph and 105.6 mph and the longest home run as well at 421 feet.

    Good for Nick.

    • Melvin

      Happy for him. I wouldn’t mind having lots of “Punishers” if they do that.

    • 2020ball

      I liked the contact he made in his second AB, his swing looked a bit more fluid to me. He’s been struggling with power all season so its nice to see him swing hard at some.

  39. Bill J

    Jim if I’m not mistaken Clemente was the first player to wear a helmet the whole game. One play i remember was when Clemente was into 2nd base standing up to stop Temple from throwing to 1st for a double play but, Temple threw and hit him in the helmet. They said Clemente always slid after that.

    • Jim Walker

      Bill, If you saw it or knew from reliable sources, I don’t doubt it but I have no specific memory of it.

      I would have been less than 10 years old, lived 50 miles away, only got to few games in person and heard the rest that I heard on radio or talked about by family adults, little to no TV.

  40. Grand Salami

    Fraley will go down as first out of the 8th in the score card but his AB was some bad luck on the call and he pushed the Cardinals pitcher forcing a change in the first game of the series. Good, quality AB

  41. Mark Moore

    Cowboy saying if Fairchild had already been running, we’d be up 4-1

    • 2020ball

      Did he or anyone suggest this before the double?

  42. Beaufort Red

    Despite what I’ve said this year, I think the Reds have their right fielder next year. What a difference a few tweaks has made.

    • Chris Holbert

      Second good month in 4 seasons.

  43. 2020ball

    The umpire had the best view of that ball that Fraley hit, why the dinos in NY thought they had a better view is beyond me.

  44. Mark Moore

    First, why is The Neck Tattoo wearing rouge?

    Really good throw by the Lars Nootbaar. No nougat on that one.

  45. Mark Moore

    Nice play by Steer to nail him.

  46. Old-school

    Spencer Steer flashing some leather at SS shift.

  47. Melvin

    I don’t understand why Bell burned two players there late in a close game when he could have moved Senzel to 3B and Steer to 1B.

    • Mark Moore

      Good point. Though given the play Steer just made, it worked out. I don’t think Senzel coming into the infield cold makes that grab and throw.

    • 2020ball

      well, as you said its late in a close game, I dont consider that the time to save players like Reynolds because they arent going to have much impact on an extra inning game. So it doesnt bother me, but I still would’ve done it the way you said. He must not be comfortable placing Senzel there defensively, and I dont do it with India either if he hasnt played there. Either way the substitutions dont bother me, its how I would play the later innings too. Everyone says they want him to be more aggressive, and then want more conservative managing which I guess I dont understand.

    • Chris Holbert

      So everyonecan can get into the game. Gotta keep ’em fresh…

  48. Old-school


    Spencer Steer looks like a ball player. He’s making adjustments and had some struggles but he looks like part of the solution and is competing. Hes in my 3b/1b/DH rotation in 2023 for sure.

    • Melvin

      I like him too especially his hitting approach and plate discipline. We’ve seen he’s able to flash some leather as well. I wish Bell would just leave him at 3B until he gets settled in the majors though.

      • Mark Moore

        Can’t offend Farm Dawg that way … not that it really matters. And I do believe he’s been told to play Barrero more days than not at SS.

  49. Mark Moore

    Could be setting up some pretty high drama if Albert comes to the plate.

  50. Mark Moore

    Great choice to throw to 3rd by AA. Very close.

    • TR

      Plus two hits including a homerun by AA.

  51. Melvin

    Walk this guy now? That run doesn’t matter.

  52. Melvin

    Woah good play by Steer and we dodged a bullet in that game.

  53. Old-school

    Defensive indifference when the guy steals 2nd as the winning run?

    Thats a David Bell thing

    Steer is the reds new 3b..just move on. Great defense.
    Farmer can play SS until someone moves him off.

    Great win

    • Grand Salami

      Yes, competitive in all phases and the late, home-team, playoff push was diverted.

      If Senzel rediscovers his power, then all bets are off.

      I like Barreo but he needs vets, not subs, in the the lineup around him or he’s exposed.

      Lots of debate but TJ and Jake look like keepers.

  54. Mark Moore

    Wow … what a way to start this marathon series.

    Back at it tomorrow, friends. Time to shut it down and head for bed.

  55. Dennis Westrick

    Nearly had a heart attack there! Whew!

  56. VaRedsFan

    Steer can play wherever you put him. You aren’t hurting his feelings by moving him around. This is the majors…you don’t need to baby guys anymore.

  57. Dennis Westrick

    It’s games like this that keep this Reds junkie hooked!

  58. Old-school

    That was a good baseball game despite some reds poor execution on offense.

    Reds pitchers beat the cards offense and senzel and aquino hit well.