Tonight the free falling Reds open a five game series versus the Central division leading St Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium. The best news for the Reds may be that when the dust settles on this five game four day affair, they get a day off on Monday.
Chase Anderson squares off against the Cardinals Miles Mikolas in a match up of right handers.
|Links: Chase Anderson Stats | Miles Mikolas’ Stats
Anderson makes his fourth start in his fifth overall appearance with the Reds. His results have not been good as the numbers above shout out. He faced the Cardinals in his first Reds start then was brought 2 days later to face them in relief. The Cardinals had their way with him both times. The better news for Anderson and the Reds is that he posted relatively stronger results in his latest appearance, against the Brewers 5 days ago, allowing 2 earned runs on just 1 hit (but walked 3) in 4 innings of work.
Both right handed and left handed batters have an OPS > 1.100 versus Anderson. Maybe if he cut his BB rate by 2/3, he would fare better, particularly versus RH batters?
Trying to manage 6 pitches might be a mistake when sporting a BB rate of 20%. Anderson’s curve and sinker both have significant negative value ratings. Perhaps he would be well served to drop both and throw more cutters and change ups?
Mikolas makes his 30th start of the season tonight. He is a grinder, averaging just short of 6.1 innings per start. His handedness splits are essentially neutral. With an ERA just a tad more than 10% better than league average and a WHIP half a tad over 1.00, Mikolas is having one of the strongest seasons of his career despite a winning % right at .500 (plus 7 no decision starts). However, the Cardinals have won 17 of his 29 previous starts (.586 winning % versus an overall team winning % of .587). The Cardinals have won 2 of 3 games versus the Reds started by Mikolas in 2022. His only 2022 decision against the Reds was the loss.
Mikolas mixes his stuff among 5 offerings. About 50% of his pitches are fastballs, slightly more of them are 4 seamers than sinkers. He throws about the same percentage of sliders as 4 seamers and essentially uses his curve as a change up although he occasionally slips in a straight change. With a combined K%+BB% of just over 23%, Mikolas is clearly a pitch to contact guy.
Joel Kuhnel, and Derek Lowe are probably unavailable tonight following heavy pitch counts on Wednesday. Reiver Sanmartin and Kyle Dowdy may still be limited after throwing over 30 pitches each on Tuesday. Reinforcements arrived during the afternoon in the form of Dauri Moreta and Raynel Espinal. Luke Farrell (DFA) and Justin Dunn (15 day IL) are off the active roster to make way.
Jordan Hicks is very limited or unavailable after throwing 25 pitches Wednesday. Packy Naughton may be limited on the heels of a 27 pitch outing on Tuesday.
SP: Chase Anderson
SP: Miles Mikolas
|1. T.J. Friedl (LF)
2. Jonathan India (2B)
3. Kyle Farmer (SS)
4. Jake Fraley (DH)
5. Donovan Solano (1B)
6. Aristides Aquino (RF)
7. Nick Senzel (CF)
8. Spencer Steer (3B)
9. Austin Romine (C)
|1. Brendan Donovan (2B)
2. Tommy Edman (SS)
3. Paul Goldschmidt (1B)
4. Nolan Arenado (3B)
5. Albert Pujols (DH)
6. Tyler O’Neill (CF)
7. Alec Burleson (LF)
8. Yadier Molina (C)
9. Lars Nootbaar (RF)
David Bell would probably say this is the best lineup he can field versus the Cardinals who are in the midst of a playoff chase. Take a breath or two to think about this.best.lineup.
News and Notes
The Reds shuffled the deck chairs this afternoon to reinforce the bullpen. Doug Gray, reporting from the media lifeboat, has the details here
Jim’s Thought Of The Day
Today is MLB’s Roberto Clemente Day. Clemente is my all time Reds opposition hero. As a kid in sitting in the grandstand at Crosley field one afternoon, I watched in amazement as Clemente climbed the up the chain link fence in right field attempting to catch a moonball. I don’t recall if he was able to make the play; but from that day forward, I was hooked on him.
My other enduring remembrance of Clemente on the field is him pressed against the wall in right centerfield of Riverfront Stadium looking up helplessly as Johnny Bench’s game tying 9th inning home run soared over his head in the deciding game of the 1972 NLCS won later in the 9th by the Reds.
Sadly for Roberto Clemente and the world, there would be no more Clemente moments as he was gone from this realm less than 3 months later, dying while trying to improve the fate of humans in distress.
When and Where
Game time: 7:45pm ET
Where: Busch Stadium St. Louis, MO
Watch: Bally Sports Ohio, MLB.tv
Listen: 700 WLW AM (Cincinnati area)
Forecast: 77°, some clouds possible, 1% chance of rain