After being 1-hit last night in a loss the Cincinnati Reds will look to rebound on Sunday afternoon and take the series from the Milwaukee Brewers after the two teams split the games on Friday and Saturday. The Reds will turn to Justin Dunn this afternoon. Milwaukee will hand the ball to Brandon Woodruff as he looks to continue his dominance over the last four months. First pitch is set for 2:10pm ET.

Starting Lineups

Here are the lineups for this afternoon’s season finale:

Cincinnati Reds

Milwaukee Brewers

TJ Friedl – CF Christian Yelich – LF
Jonathan India – 2B Willy Adames – SS
Donovan Solano – 1B Rowdy Tellez – 1B
Jake Fraley – LF Hunter Renfroe – RF
Aristides Aquino – RF Kolten Wong – 2B
Spencer Steer – 3B Andrew McCutchen – DH
Alejo Lopez – DH Jace Peterson – 3B
Matt Reynolds – SS Omar Narvaez – C
Austin Romine – C Garrett Mitchell – CF
Justin Dunn – SP Brandon Woodruff – SP

Starting Pitchers

Pitcher IP ERA WHIP BB K
Justin Dunn 28.0 4.82 1.43 14 20
Brandon Woodruff 121.1 3.41 1.13 36 141
Links: Justin Dunn’s Stats | Brandon Woodruff’s Stats

Justin Dunn

After a tough start to August, Justin Dunn’s turned things around a bit in his last four starts where he’s thrown 19.2 innings with a 3.20 ERA. He’s certainly walked a fine line in that time, though, walking 10 batters with just 14 strikeouts, and giving up five home runs.

This season we’re looking at a really small sample size, but left-handed hitters have put up Ted Williams-like numbers against Justin Dunn this season. They are walking more than they strike out, hitting over .300, and slugging over .600. Righties aren’t hitting for much average or drawing walks, but they are crushing the ball when they do make contact.

Splits

Split PA H 2B 3B HR BB K AVG OBP SLG
RHH 59 11 3 0 5 4 12 .212 .276 .558
LHH 60 15 4 0 4 10 8 .306 .433 .633

Pitch Usage

4-Seam Slider Change Curve
Velo 92.1 83.3 87.9 79.8
Usage 49.5% 23.2% 5.8% 21.5%

Brandon Woodruff

The Reds faced Woodruff in back-to-back starts back in early May and scored nine runs against him in 10.0 innings while hitting two home runs in each game. After that second game, Woodruff’s ERA on the season was 5.97. Since then he’s made 16 starts with a 2.62 ERA.

The right-handed pitcher has reverse splits this season. Lefties are hitting just .196 against him and slugging just .323. Right-handed hitters are hitting .247 and showing way more power while walking at a similar rate and making way more contact.

Splits

Split PA H 2B 3B HR BB K AVG OBP SLG
RHH 261 58 10 0 11 20 61 .247 .313 .430
LHH 238 43 14 1 4 16 80 .196 .253 .323

Pitch Usage

4-Seam 2-Seam Slider Change Curve
Velo 96.3 95.8 88.3 86.2 84.0
Usage 38.5% 22.2% 9.9% 16.2% 13.2%

When and Where

  • Game time: 2:10pm ET
  • Where: American Family Field
  • Watch: Bally Sports Ohio, MLB.tv
  • Listen: 700 WLW AM (Cincinnati area)
  • Forecast: They play in a dome

News and Notes

Hunter Greene makes another rehab start

Hunter Greene is set to make a rehab start in Louisville this afternoon. It will be his 3rd rehab start in Triple-A and if things go as expected it should be his finale start before returning to the Cincinnati Reds rotation the next time around.

Nick Senzel out again

57 Responses

  1. LDS

    And the only guy with a hit yesterday, goes to the bench today. Another Bell’ism.
    At least, Lopez gets another shot.

    • Doc

      One hit in one game, raising one’s average to the lofty .160s, doesn’t really warrant special consideration either way for the next game. It’s not exactly a hot streak.

      • LDS

        And two hits the game before yesterday. So, rookie strings together a couple of productive games and then sits. Sorry, that’s not the way to manage. Most folks here wouldn’t do that to their kids for fear of hurting their confidence. Same thing applies to any profession or skill. If the guy is successful, you give them more.

  2. Klugo

    Steer has been struggling mightily.
    Senzel may be a head case.

    • Doc

      I thought after his first game folks were penciling Steer in as the third baseman of the future, or maybe 2B with India sliding the 3B. What happened? LOL

  3. Mark Moore

    Interesting if not odd getaway day lineup …

    We’re going to need all the offense we can muster and then some today. Kicking this particular Pig will not be easy, especially if we play like we did last night.

  4. MBS

    After living in FL for the last 2 years, and not watching the Bengals routinely, I forgot how infuriating this team is to watch.

    • Mark Moore

      I did the fan-boy thing for the playoffs, but I don’t follow the NFL at all. It just doesn’t have any draw for me anymore. I’ll tune into the StooperBowl to watch the commercials, but that’s it. I’d much rather watch college games.

  5. PTBNL

    There are a few of us out there, not from Cincinnati, that are huge Reds fans but not Bengals fans.

  6. Mark Moore

    Great start to the game … something really has to change or Woodruff will own our sorry butts for 7 innings or so.

  7. Dennis Westrick

    Reds have to be leading the majors in strikeouts!

  8. Mark Moore

    I’m predicting an early Clete for me today. Too many other things I can do besides watch us struggle this much.

  9. RedsGettingBetter

    In the first inning after just 3 Brewers batters the game is lost practically…

  10. Old-school

    I dont know that Justin Dunn has “the stuff” to be an MLB pitcher.
    Hes got a good curve ball but what exactly does he have in his pitching arsenal that suggests hes a starter who can give you 6 good innings every 5th day or shut down reliever with 2 good pitches? His FIP isnt good and lefties crush him.

    I like Cessa as a potential 5th starter more than Dunn.

    • Mark Moore

      +1,000

      I think Dunn is filling a space that will revert back to Greene or Ashcraft shortly, provided their rehab stints progress as planned.

  11. Mark Moore

    Nice job by Fraley of going with that pitch and shooting the oppo gap.

  12. Mark Moore

    A little redemption for Lopez. As Cowboy just said, we’ll take it.

    • Mark Moore

      That also works. I guess they’ve sucked me back in for a bit … 😀

  13. Mark Moore

    Now we see if Friedl learned anything from his first AB.

    • Mark Moore

      Nope … he really didn’t.

      Still, we got the 2 back.

  14. Doc

    Greene threw 3 innings today. I hope the low number of innings across three rehab starts is due to the Reds saving innings so he can finish the year as a normal rotation piece rather than having to build arm strength. Our BP does not really need another innings nibbler.

    • Mark Moore

      WLW team is talking about that with Mark Sheldon. 60-some pitches. They are thinking maybe he’s set up to lead off a bullpen day.

  15. Old-school

    Fraley a great at bat, Aquino and Steer not competitive, but then bat to ball skill guy Lopez gets it done as does Reynolds and Romine. Brewers fans have to be stunned at the events of the last 2 months. you’d think with this pitching staff the Brewers would have gone all in.

  16. Old-school

    Jake Fraley is quietly putting together a nice couple months.

    Walk rate is above 10% for the year now.
    K rate is a solid 20%.
    WRC+ is now 125.
    Power and on base there as well.
    No, hes not Andrew Benintendi on defense but he’s also not Jesse winker. Give him some AB’s against lefties too and see what happens.

    • LDS

      A decent platoon option but lousy defender. Though in the Reds OF, do they have a decent defender beyond Aquino.

    • Old-school

      A cookie?
      That was hot fudge sundae with a warm brownie underneath.

      And I cant even get that in before Tellez hits a 2 iron out.

  17. Mark Moore

    Hang one inside to Rowdy and what do you get?

    Bernie on the slide again.

  18. RedsGettingBetter

    Starting to think Dunn isn’t a competitive pitcher to be considered to the rotation in next years… He has the lower value of the players obtained from Winker/Suarez trade until now….

    • Old-school

      Shoulder injuries are big. He missed an entire year. I’d like to see The Reds medical team take a timeout on both Dunn and Senzel and look at those R shoulders again. Senzel isnt the same player he was before his 2019 shoulder surgery. He was a guy who hit home runs to right field and doubles galore. Dunn isnt the same prospect either.

      • LDS

        Senzel hasn’t hit since Ward “fixed” him. Add the injury to bad instruction and you have what we see. The Reds need to realize that anytime you make a deal with the Dodgers, you’re likely on the losing side.

    • Mark Moore

      He was essentially a lotto ticket, scratch-off variety.

  19. LDS

    Nothing snaps a decent team out of the doldrums better than playing the Reds. I expected to lose today but it’ll likely be far worse than I expected. The mirage Dunn constructed in the recent past seems to have burst.

    • Doc

      Why is it that when Dunn gets blasted after good outings his pitching is a mirage but when Greene gets blasted after a couple good games it is a learning curve?

      • LDS

        In my view, Greene wasn’t ready to be called up. It was to attract attendance. As I said earlier, leave him in Louisville. Dunn on the other hand has never had a particularly good year, even in the minors.

  20. Mark Moore

    Walking Jace Peterson and his 2-17 with 10K profile … SMH Very Hard!!

  21. RedsGettingBetter

    The top three batters of Brewers lineup against Dunn: 6-6 , 5R , 6RBI… Now , he is walking the 6th and the 7th …seems to be the end… Maybe we are goona see Aquino pitching for the first time…

    • Mark Moore

      Pause pressed (again)

      And only because we’ve seen just 3 innings total.

  22. Doc

    I’m beginning to think that this plan of stocking the BP with retreads might not work too well.

  23. William

    Lopez keeps hitting. I am tired of hyped players who do not hit. The good MLB players hit the ball. Of course, Steer is just starting, so he gets time to figure it out. I think he will do fine over time. Some of the other players have not lived up to the hype. You already know their names. Good news is the Reds have plenty of good prospects who will get their chance in the next couple years. Hopefully, there will be some stars or superstars in the bunch. De La Cruz looks like a sure bet.

  24. RedsGettingBetter

    Woodruff has overmatched Friedl, 3 ABs , 3 Ks

  25. RedsGettingBetter

    The three top Reds lineup hitters vs Woodruff until now 0-8 , 7 Ks

  26. Mark Moore

    Well, that Clete I was loading didn’t really pause, it just slowed down a bit. I guess I run slower on Sunday.

    And Jace Peterson is on again. That might speed up the loading process.

  27. Mark Moore

    And with that GIDP, the Clete is back to loading again. Somewhere around 90% at this point. Going to take a blast from AA to keep my interest at this point.

    • Mark Moore

      Yep … fully loaded.

      Catch you all tomorrow and hope we can feast on some Pie-rats.

  28. LDS

    So, apparently Lopez can hit MLB pitching .

    • Harry Stoner

      This is really going to cause Bell some problems.

      My hunch is that he has no idea what to do with Alejo / Altuve.

      He much rather run Farmer or Reynolds out there.

  29. Harry Stoner

    Alejo is a budding Altuve.

    He must be causing Bell all kinds of fits.
    Clearly Bell would rather not be playing him.

    Reds will likely mire him in AAA or trade him off for another ‘prospect’.

    Very bright present as well as future for him.

    Bell and Reds are too confused to take advantage of it.

  30. Doc

    Thank goodness we have soft hitting Lopez or this game would have been embarrassing.

  31. Doc4uk

    Lopez, Friedl, and Fraley should be part of the 2023 line up. They have earned a spot. Steer and Barrero must earn a spot in Spring Training or more likely start in Louisville.

    Other options at 3B and SS should be looked at in ST including EDLC and Christian Encarnation-Strand. Santana is someone else at AAA that has earned a shot at being on the roster.

    • LDS

      I don’t see Fraley – one dimensional and lousy fielder. Lopez & Friedl, at this point, Neither Steer nor Barrero have had enough at bats to pass judgment on.