Fresh off of their wins on Saturday and Sunday against the Pirates, the Cincinnati Reds are looking to plant their flag in the state of Pennsylvania as the best team in the state or something as they begin a 4-game series tonight against the Philadelphia Phillies. First pitch is set for 7:05pm tonight.

Starting Lineups

Here are the lineups for this today’s series opener:

Cincinnati Reds

Philadelphia Phillies

Jake Fraley – RF Kyle Schwarber – DH
Jonathan India – 2B Rhys Hoskins – 1B
Kyle Farmer – 3B Alec Bohm – 3B
Mike Moustakas – 1B J.T. Realmuto – C
Donovan Solano – DH Nick Castellanos – RF
Nick Senzel – CF Bryson Stott – SS
TJ Friedl – LF Jean Segura – 2B
Jose Barrero – SS Nick Maton – LF
Austin Romine – C Bradley Zimmer – CF
Luis Cessa – SP Noah Syndergaard – SP

Starting Pitchers

Pitcher IP ERA WHIP BB K
Luis Cessa 37.2 5.50 1.46 15 28
Noah Syndergaard 98.0 3.95 1.27 24 76
Links: Luis Cessa’s Stats | Noah Syndergaard’s Stats

Luis Cessa

Tonight may be the first real start for Luis Cessa in nearly four years. He did make a start for the Reds earlier this year, but he was “the opener” and not expected to pitch beyond the 1st inning. And he didn’t. How long he’s expected to pitch, though, probably isn’t going to be much. He’s only thrown more than 30 pitches once this season and that was back on June 8th when he threw 35 in 1.1 innings against Arizona.

The sample size is small for Cessa on the splits this year, but that’s the case with relievers. Right-handed hitters have performed far better this season against him than left-handed hitters have, showing significantly more power, making way more contact, and drawing far more walks.

Splits

Split PA H 2B 3B HR BB K AVG OBP SLG
RHH 93 23 2 0 5 11 14 .288 .376 .500
LHH 69 17 2 1 1 4 14 .262 .304 .369

Pitch Usage

4-Seam Sinker Slider Change
Velo 93.9 94.1 82.9 88.4
Usage 11.0% 26.3% 41.7% 21.0%

Noah Syndergaard

The Reds were the last team that Noah Syndergaard faced. It’s been a full week since then, but he allowed three runs in 7.0 innings, pitching into the 8th but not recording an out, while striking out six batters and not walking anyone.

The triple-digit fastball is gone for Thor, but he’s still finding ways to be successful without it. He doesn’t walk many batters from either side of the plate. But he is striking out a lot more right-handed hitters than lefties, who make plenty of contact against him. Neither righties or lefties are hitting for much power against him.

Splits

Split PA H 2B 3B HR BB K AVG OBP SLG
RHH 239 57 11 0 5 12 51 .255 .294 .371
LHH 176 43 8 1 5 12 25 .270 .330 .428

Pitch Usage

4-Seam 2-Seam Slider Change Curve
Velo 94.2 93.9 84.3 88.5 76.2
Usage 18.5% 28.2% 21.6% 21.4% 10.4%

When and Where

  • Game time: 7:05pm ET
  • Where: Citizens Bank Park
  • Watch: Bally Sports Ohio, MLB.tv (out of market)
  • Listen: 700 WLW AM (Cincinnati area)
  • Forecast: 80°, cloudy, 50% chance of rain

News and Notes

Do you like Fangraphs?

If you do, they released an app for both Apple and Android devices and announced it to the world this afternoon. While it’s similar to their website, it may make things a little bit easier for you while you’re on the go.

The Reds were never close to extending Luis Castillo

Bobby Nightengale of the Cincinnati Enquirer has an article up today (for subscribers only) that is about the trade deadline, rebuilding, and the events that led up to things. Within the article he notes that Nick Krall and Castillo’s agent met in person back in June and then had a few talks after that in-person meeting, but Castillo’s agent Rafa Nieves noted that “We never got to second base. We understand why.”

77 Responses

  1. Mark Moore

    Each team has 1 hitter over .300 and 1 under .200 in the line-up tonight. So that’s a wash, right? 😀

    Looked down the HR column … 😮

    Here’s hoping we can send Thor back to Valhalla early tonight.

    • Melvin

      I checked recently. I think there’s only like 12 players in all of MLB hitting over .300. Getting rid of the shift next year should help averages go up. That will make the game more fun to watch at least a little.

  2. Hunt4RedsOct

    My hope is the Reds develop the position players next season then sign Castillo for 2024.

    • MadMike

      Skimmed a Mariners blog, they cited an interview with Castillo shortly after arriving in town, they think he is headed to New York in free agency. Would be nice to hear that interview to interpret that myself, but thats what a piece of Mariners fandom thinks.

  3. Bet on Red

    getting notification that ESPN says the game is delayed?

      • LT

        Oops it will be delayed. Just saw a message from Mark Sheldon.

  4. LT

    Look forward to seeing if Reds offense can continue to score some runs. Not playing Pirates anymore, but I feel like the line up can still do some damage. Can Cessa give 5 innings with no more than 3 runs allowed?

    • Mark Moore

      Based on his peak performance, I think 3 is the max. And he’ll need to be VERY efficient.

  5. Old-school

    Couple of must reads today.
    1.) C Trent spent last week in Alabama watching Chattanooga and has an article up.
    2.) Bobby Nightengale article with Krall and FO asst quotes on trade deadline.

    Surprising thing to me was C. Trent saying how impressive MIke Siani is in CF and how many scouts say he’s the best defensive OF in the Reds minor league system.

    Krall on Drury extension. It didnt make sense for where we are now.
    Reds knew Castillo would be 20 mil AAV and north of 100 mil and an extension never got any traction

    That should inform decision making this off-season. there’s not going to be any $80 million signing for Benintendi and no big bullpen signings either.

    I think you will see Votto at 1b with Moose as plan B and at DH against righties.
    With Spencer Steer at 25, HE could be 3b and DH role against lefties and I do wonder about Farmer and his $5 mil + salary next year. Reds have non-tendered or traded a lot of players recently once they go north of $5 million. They arent paying Farmer $5 mil to be a utility player and if you acquire Steer in the Mahle trade and hes dominated AA/AAA and its a rebuild…what are you waiting for?

    • Daytonnati

      That C. Trent piece was interesting. Siani sounds like the Next Man Up according to performance?

    • JB

      Honestly Old School I have no problem with sorting next year. They are just going to wait for Votto and Moose to get off the books. Plenty of guys in the minors who will be here next year and 2024. No need to sign the Minors of the world. Plenty of guys coming back for the bullpen as well.

      • Old-school

        We can agree or disagree on the plan. But, its a plan and Reds have lacked a coherent long term plan for awhile.

    • LDS

      Old-School, is it a plan or the pretense of a plan? Stocking the minors was probably a good thing, but while still early, are we really seeing any commitment? I look at the difference between Cleveland and the Reds and I just can’t take the Reds ownership, FO, and field management seriously. It’s not a “small market” thing. It’s organizational.

      • Old-school

        I dont know LDS. Krall is at least consistent and not changing and pivoting. He’s sent a consistent message and focused on rebuilding the farm system and acquiring and drafting and developing a pipeline of talent.
        I will give Krall another year and see what payroll looks like in 2024 from ownership.

      • LDS

        I agree that Krall is the lesser of the issues. I waver daily whether it’s Castellini & his cronies or Bell and his that are the bigger issues.

      • Old-school

        LDS. I promise I wont tell GMR you are waffling on whether Bell is the biggest problem. He would be disappointed.

      • LDS

        Haha, sorry didn’t sleep well last night. I’ll try to be back my consistent self tomorrow.

      • VegasRed

        It’s always been the owners for the last 16 or so years. But the owners are responsible for Bell and his Teflon coating.

        The owners have proven clueless and aren’t even intelligent enough to hire proven winners to be their “baseball people.”

        In other words, Castellini and crew are too dumb to know they don’t know what they are doing.

        I don’t know how smart Krall is but I am sure he doesn’t have the power to fire Bell, who has total cover by the owners. So I don’t blame Krall for Bell.

        That is also why Bell manages the way he does and why winning doesn’t matter.

  6. Mark Moore

    Radar model on TWC has a nasty line of red/yellow rolling through for the next 1+ hours.

  7. docproc

    Reds Twitter says 8 pm start time.

  8. Mark Moore

    OK, Game On!!

    Oddly enough, we’re getting an unexpected downpour here. And I’m talking “cow peeing on a flat rock” stuff.

  9. Mark Moore

    OK … here we go with the Cessa experiment. Hoping we get 3 innings.

  10. Mark Moore

    Got to keep an eye on that zone tonight. More than a little generous on that first AB. If it at least stays consistent, we can deal with it. Likely to make the hitters more aggressive (not that our guys need any boost in that department).

  11. Bet on Red

    BTW, how far into the US did the Aliens make it yesterday…. Moose out here getting hits.

    • Mark Moore

      Based on that and a relatively clean inning for Cessa … they are in direct orbit.

      • Mark Moore

        So far … if Moose scores, the invasion is ON.

  12. Mark Moore

    Thor didn’t exactly look sharp that inning. And at least Barrero is putting the bat on the ball more and letting some of the down and away garbage go.

    Cessa for the 2nd coming. Alien invasion on hold for the moment.

  13. Bet on Red

    well this is unfortunate…. Alien invasion cancelled by the looks of it

  14. LDS

    Cessa for 5 innings is beginning to fade and I’m not sure 3 is looking all that likely. I think that Castellanos guy would have done well in Cincinnati. Toobad the Reds didn’t make a run at him.

    • VaRedsFan

      The reason that Nick C’s numbers WERE down, was he hadn’t faced Reds pitching until a week ago. Trending up, needless to say

      • LDS

        That and GABP is more favorable to hitters than Citizen’s though Citizen’s isn’t terrible.

  15. Mark Moore

    Aliens looking for clearance to break orbit. I was out of the room when my wife called out the Blastellanos. Feels like a pretty deep hole even if it’s early. Not sure if Cessa can manage 50+ pitches and 3 innings.

  16. Old-school

    I like Fraley.

    Hes not a right fielder.

  17. Dennis Westrick

    Not expecting much tonight! Reds had no luck beating Thor when he was with the Mets and he just beat them a week ago! Hope the Reds bullpen can hold the fort and give the offense a chance!

  18. VaRedsFan

    Moose would have left the surly bonds if that was GABP

  19. VaRedsFan

    Cueto named AL pitcher of the week

  20. Daytonnati

    Not the only knob that got hit …

  21. Mark Moore

    I’m thinking there will be no more alien sightings tonight. Thor might not be sharp, but he’s holding us in check.

  22. Mark Moore

    And then The Lettuce Guy smacks one out 😀

  23. VaRedsFan

    Romine blast….Pap starts the next 3 for sure now

    • SteveAreno

      Plus, Romine severely reduces the number of stolen bases against us.

  24. Old-school

    Romaine has my respect

    Thats quite the comeback

  25. Bet on Red

    Again, why does Romine not get more starts?

    • Mark Moore

      Beats me … he’s better than Pap.

    • SteveAreno

      He should be the starting catcher. Did pretty well for the Yankees for about four years.

  26. Mark Moore

    Fraley still can’t catch a break … even the opposite way.

  27. Mark Moore

    The hole remains at 3 runs … I don’t see us filling that back in.

    Due to the late start, I’ll be bailing shortly. Maybe tomorrow?

    • Bet on Red

      maybe…. with an actual starting pitcher

  28. Old-school

    I can see a scenario where Solano/ Farmer/Wilson/Cessa/Strickland /Sims are all let go after this year. Votto and Moose cant go anywhere but the 3rd highest paid player will be Nick Senzel.

    Krall is blowing this roster up and will replace veterans making millions. He will go FA 1 year signings again looking for the 2023 versions of Drury and Solano.

    • LDS

      Farmer stays is my bet. Krall doesn’t want to hear Bell whining if they dump Farmer. Waive Moose and just eat the contract. And I’m not sure Antone shouldn’t join Sims on the exit list. Two TJs is tough to come back from.

      • Old-school

        Farmer is going to cost $5 mil
        Spencer Steer was traded for Tyler Mahle and is a right handed 25 yo with a big hit tool who can play 3b. Castellini aint paying Farmer $5 mil to be a utility player and Krall isnt trading his best pitching for a righty hitter who plays 3b.

        Opening Day lineup assuming health 2023:

        Fraley LF
        India 2b
        Stephenson C
        Votto 1b
        Moose DH
        Steer 3b
        Krall FA RF
        Senzel CF
        Barrero SS
        Ashcraft P

      • LDS

        I hope you’re right. I don’t see Votto ready by opening day. Fraley can’t hit lefties (neither can Moose or Votto). Don’t really see Krall springing for a RF. You are certainly more optimistic than I.

  29. Doc

    I sense a trend. Kuhnel gets the first two outs in the inning, then single, double (run), out.

    Warren gets the first two outs of the inning, then single, double (run), out.

    Three outs in a row appears to be a huge challenge.

  30. VaRedsFan

    Reds just hit their 81st batter…most in franchise history. 5 weeks to go

  31. Dennis Westrick

    Bell just had to get Strickland in this game! Detwiler strikes out the first 2 batters and then makes a mistake on an 0-2 count to give up a harmless single! Calling it a night!

  32. LDS

    Get your bets in. Can Strickland pitch another scoreless inning?

    • Dennis Westrick

      One out does not equate to a scoreless inning in my book! Again, not sticking around to see if Strickland gets a chance to turn a relatively close game into a laugher!

      • LDS

        Yeah, but a couple of good outings and Bell will touting him as the closer again.

  33. SteveAreno

    Radio announcers said Ross Detwiler was showing great command of his pitches and struck out three of five batters. ERA down to 3.13!

    • Dennis Westrick

      Everybody noticed except Bell.