The Reds and Diamondbacks meet tonight for the second game of their 3 games series at Chase Field in Phoenix. Fresh off a win in game 1 of the series, the Reds can assure themselves of no worse than .500 road trip with a win tonight. And who can say? If they get the win tonight, they can garner a winning road trip with victory in the upcoming Wednesday matinee. But first things first, a win tonight.
SP: Tyler Mahle
SP: Zach Davies
|1. Jonathan India (2B)
2. Brandon Drury (3B)
3. Tommy Pham (LF)
4. Joey Votto (1B)
5. Kyle Farmer (SS)
6. Nick Senzel (CF)
7. Mike Moustakas (DH)
8. Albert Almora Jr. (RF)
9. Aramis Garcia (C)
|1. Daulton Varsho (RF)
2. Josh Rojas (3B)
3. Ketel Marte (2B)
4. Christian Walker (DH)
5. David Peralta (LF)
6. Pavin Smith (1B)
7. Carson Kelly (C)
8. Alek Thomas (CF)
9. Geraldo Perdomo (SS)
Nick Senzel loses the straw draw for the leadoff spot but recovers to beat Mike Moustakas in the coin toss for the #6 spot.
The Reds Tyler Mahle is scheduled to oppose fellow right hander Zach Davies of the Diamondbacks. Just as with Monday’s game, this is a rematch of starting pitchers from 5 days ago in Cincinnati. The ‘Backs won that game 5-4 on the strength of a 4 run ninth inning against Tony Santillan.
|Links: Tyler Mahle’s Stats | Zach Thompson’s Stats
There is not much to choose from in Tyler Mahle’s 2022 handedness splits. Right handed hitters have slightly better batting and slugging averages against him. However, left handed hitters reach base more often because of Mahle’s much greater propensity to walk them (13.8% vs 6.25%).
Over the last month, Mahle has looked at least a little more like the Mahle Reds fans had expected to see. In 6 starts he has accrued a 3.86 ERA versus his prior 6.46 ERA. He has however continued to walk about 10% of hitters and has allowed 5 homers over the last month. Both those figures need to come down for Mahle to get into range of performance expected from him.
Before reading any further, glance down at the pitch usage chart for Zach Davies. See anything strange? Yes, Davies has completely eschewed the use of a 4 seam fastball in favor of a mix of the sinker and cut fastball. Back in the day, he would have been called a sinkerball pitcher. In other words, he pitches to contact and hopes to induce a high rate of ground balls. Added together, groundballs, infield popups and strikeouts comprise nearly 80% of Davies’ outcomes.
When it comes to handedness splits nothing really jumps out. Left handed batters get on base slightly more frequently versus Davies. Right handed batters hit for a tad more power; but they also strike out at a markedly higher rate.
Reds relievers covered just 2.2 innings Monday night as Mike Minor gave the team a boost by pitching an out into the 7th inning. Hunter Strickland needed just 12 pitches to record a 1 inning save. However Strickland joins Alexis Diaz with a 3 day pitch count just over 30. They could be restricted tonight. Reiver Sanmartin marked his return with a strong 0.2 innings requiring 20 pitches due to an extended at bat. He could be unavailable.
J.B. Wendelkin and Ian Kennedy are likely unavailable after high pitch count appearances Monday. Caleb Smith did not pitch Monday but has a 3day pitch count over 40.
News and Notes
Word on Aristides Aquino’s injury from Enquirer beat writer Charlie Goldsmith. What looked like not much at all when it happened or even yesterday afternoon has turned into a significant situation. Charlie also has updates on Max Schrock and Nick Lodolo.
Aristides Aquino, who injured his ankle sliding into home plate, is expected to miss about 4-6 weeks.
David Bell said Max Schrock continues to be very close to returning. He’s playing tonight in AAA.
Nick Lodolo will have two or three more rehab starts to build back up.
— Charlie Goldsmith (@CharlieG__) June 14, 2022
Thought Of The Day
Mike Moustakas returned Monday. The stage is set for Jonathan India’s return tonight. Donovan Solano and Max Schrock are also presumably on the cusp of returning to the Reds. Jose Barrero lurks at AAA. This begs the question trying to hide like an elephant in the corner of the dugout. What should be the Reds immediate goal? How should the roster spots and playing time be parsed? Should the Reds focus on putting the best team on the field every night? Or, should the Reds focus on building the trade value of players like Brandon Drury, Albert Almora Jr, Schrock and Solano, not to mention Matt Reynolds, all who could be coveted pieces for contenders looking to build out their benches at the trade deadline? And are these two paths even necessarily mutually exclusive? GO REDS!
Where, When and Weather
Game time: 9:40pm ET
Where: Chase Field Phoenix, AZ
Watch: Bally Sports Ohio, MLB.tv
Listen: 700 WLW AM (Cincinnati area)
Forecast: 100° or more but who cares. Chase Field is indoors and air conditioned.