The Reds (18-35) hope to end a 3 game losing streak and resume their quest for respectability in the start of a 4 game series tonight with the Arizona. The Diamondbacks (26-29) are surprisingly hanging around the edges of the Wild Card chase. However they arrive in Cincinnati on a 2 game losing streak, winners of only 3 of their last 10 games. For what it is worth, or not, the Diamondbacks are playing only marginally better than the Reds versus teams with a .500 or better record (.333 vs .290).
SP: Hunter Greene
|1. Daulton Varsho (DH)
2. Josh Rojas (3B)
3. Ketel Marte (2B)
4. Christian Walker (1B)
5. David Peralta (LF)
6. Jake McCarthy (RF)
7. Alek Thomas (CF)
8. Geraldo Perdomo (SS)
9. Jose Herrera (C)
|1. Nick Senzel (DH)
2. Brandon Drury (3B)
3. Tommy Pham (LF)
4. Joey Votto (1B)
5. Tyler Stephenson (C)
6. Kyle Farmer (SS)
7. Albert Almora Jr. (CF)
8. Alejo Lopez (2B)
9. Aristides Aquino (RF)
Reds rookie righthander Hunter Greene is scheduled square off against veteran lefty Madison Bumgarner of the Diamondbacks.
|Links: Hunter Greene’s Stats | Madison Bumgarner’s Stats
The narrative about Hunter Greene says he is perhaps a generational talent given his ~100MPH fastball and put away slider. Nevertheless the 22 year old phenom has struggled at times to close out batters. Contact with his pitches when made has often been very solid. He has also walked a few too many batters. Thus the disquieting WHIP, Slugging and OBP numbers for him in our tables.
However, the most important information in our tables is that Greene has essentially been a 2 pitch pitcher; and, that simply doesn’t fly for a starter in MLB. The task ahead for him is to refine and use his change up effectively. He would also be well served to add a 2 seam fastball to his repertoire.
The good news is that Greene seems to be a very self aware hard worker who is determined to succeed at realizing his potential. There has been a lot of back and forth as to whether Greene should have started to season at AAA to finish the work still ahead. The decision taken, right or wrong, is in the rearview mirror now. Our job is to take a step back and give the kid a chance to show what he is made of.
Perhaps a bit of surprise it is the RH hitters have really hurt Greene more than LH hitters, especially with the long ball.
Madison Bumgarner is at the opposite end of the career arc from Hunter Greene. He is just shy of 40 career bWAR, with two top 5 seasons in Cy Young voting and two other seasons in the CYA top 10. He has also won an NLCS and World Series MVP award.
After a couple of seasons where Bumgarner looked to be on the brink retirement, he has to date put together a very solid 2022. Looking over his career pitch usage and velocity stats, the amazing thing is he hasn’t really changed that much who he is as a pitcher, He isn’t quite as quick as he once was; but then, he was never a true power pitcher. His K rate is down significantly from his glory years with the Giants; but, he still strikes out 2 for every batter walked. Probably more importantly, his BB rate is in the same range it was in his prime years. He is pitching to contact and getting people out.
Art Warren threw 21 pitches Sunday. Jared Solomon threw 13. Warren is probably limited or unavailable today. Alexis Diaz topped 30 pitches on Saturday. He may be questionable.
Keep in mind that the Reds are in the 6th game of a run of 16 games between off days. Teams are still permitted to carry 14 pitchers; however the minimum time for an optioned pitcher to remain in the minors (except as an injury replacement) is now 15 days instead 10 days. This could impact how the bullpen is used.
Sean Poppen and Kyle Nelson worked Sunday throwing 22 and 17 pitches respectively. They appear to be the only players who may be limited today.
News and Notes
Mike Moustakis has been put on the IL. TJ Friedl has been recalled to fill the roster spot. Here is our Redleg Nation in depth report.
Now for some really exciting news! Jonathan India will start his rehab assignment Tuesday with AAA Louisville. Donovan Solano will also start his rehab tomorrow with Louisville.
Per a C. Trent Rosecrans of The Athletic’s tweet, the Reds hope to have India ready for the home series coming up with the Brewers on June 17.
Thought Of The Day
On a glorious spring weekend in Cincinnati, the Reds combined announced attendance for Saturday and Sunday came up 492 sold seats short of 40,000. I found myself wondering how many of the fannies not in empty seats at GABP had taken the implicit (Phil) Castellini challenge to find something better to do.
When and Where
- Game time: 6:40pm ET
- Where: Great American Ball Park
- Watch: Bally Sports Ohio, MLB.tv
- Listen: 700 WLW AM (Cincinnati area)
- Forecast: 76°, Scattered T-Storms, 50% chance of rai