After the bullpen blew a lead last night the Cincinnati Reds will look to win the series finale and split the series with the Washington Nationals this afternoon. The Reds will be sending Luis Castillo to the mound to try and get the job done. Washington will counter with Patrick Corbin. First pitch is set for 1:40pm ET.
Starting Lineups
Here are the lineups for this afternoon’s match up:
Washington Nationals
|
Cincinnati Reds
|
| Cesar Hernandez – 2B | Nick Senzel – CF |
| Lane Thomas – CF | Brandon Drury – 3B |
| Juan Soto – RF | Tommy Pham – DH |
| Nelson Cruz – DH | Joey Votto – 1B |
| Josh Bell – 1B | Tyler Stephenson – C |
| Yadiel Hernandez – LF | Kyle Farmer – SS |
| Keibert Ruiz – C | Albert Almora Jr. – LF |
| Maikel Franco – 3B | Aristides Aquino – RF |
| Luis Garcia – SS | Matt Reynolds – 2B |
| Patrick Corbin – SP | Luis Castillo – SP |
Starting Pitchers
| Pitcher | IP | ERA | WHIP | BB | K |
| Luis Castillo | 26.2 | 3.38 | 1.01 | 8 | 28 |
| Patrick Corbin | 54.1 | 6.96 | 1.79 | 24 | 48 |
| Links: Luis Castillo’s Stats | Patrick Corbin’s Stats |
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Luis Castillo
After missing the first month of the season Luis Castillo has been very good in his first five starts this year. He’s found more success against righties than lefties. Right-handed hitters have done a bunch of nothing against him on the season, posting a .354 OPS against him. Left-handed hitters, though, have had plenty of success as they’ve posted an .862 OPS against him.
Splits
| Split | PA | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG |
| RHH | 58 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 17 | .127 | .172 | .182 |
| LHH | 47 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 11 | .286 | .362 | .500 |
Pitch Usage
| 4-Seam | 2-Seam | Slider | Change | |
| Velo | 96.1 | 95.8 | 86.1 | 87.5 |
| Usage | 24.3% | 28.6% | 17.6% | 29.5% |
Patrick Corbin
It’s been a tough few years for Patrick Corbin and 2022 isn’t helping. He’s 1-8 with an ERA nearing 7.00 and he’s given up the most hits in the league this season. Teams have avoided sending too many left-handed hitters to the plate against him this season, but the ones who have gotten the opportunity have done well as they’ve hit .353 and walked more than they’ve struck out. Right-handed hitters have also hit over .300 against him, but unlike lefties they’ve shown some power along the way, too.
Splits
| Split | PA | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG |
| RHH | 202 | 55 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 41 | .302 | .366 | .489 |
| LHH | 59 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 7 | .353 | .441 | .431 |
Pitch Usage
| 4-Seam | 2-Seam | Slider | Change | Curve | |
| Velo | 91.3 | 91.8 | 81.1 | 81.9 | 74.2 |
| Usage | 24.2% | 34.1% | 32.2% | 9.3% | 0.1% |
When and Where
- Game time: 1:40pm ET
- Where: Great American Ball Park
- Watch: Bally Sports Ohio, MLB.tv
- Listen: 700 WLW AM (Cincinnati area)
- Forecast: 80°, sunny, 0% chance of rain
News and Notes
Vladimir Gutierrez to the IL, Jared Solomon recalled
Prior to the game this afternoon the Reds placed Vladimir Gutierrez on the injured list and recalled Jared Solomon from Triple-A Louisville.
Riverfront Remembered
Cam Miller (of Cam Miller Films) just released the latest trailer for his film – Riverfront Remembered
Mr. Moose gets a day of rest. Best defensive OF we can run out there.
Everybody hits; Everybody scores.
Plus 1000
I’ve given Mr Moose’s performances this year a fair share of grief and I’ll stand by it. However, that was a heck of a PA by him yesterday to work that walk which tied the game and set the stage for the Almora salami. We need to see more work at the plate like that from Mr Moose and as little as possible of him anywhere on the field when the Reds are on defense.
I’m happy for Almora Jr. but he’s drawn only 1 walk in 65 at-bats. How does a hitter stay aggressive, but patient enough to draw some walks? Its not easy, but Drury is on pace to draw 43 walks this season and he’s had the same issues in his career. Drury had 3 years as a starter previously and his highest walk total was 31.
The post Votto Reds look to have some holes there with walks/obp. Stephenson is patient and India gets hit a ton so they have to build it up from there. The HRs will come at Gabp, just have to get guys on first.
I don’t know how the Post Votto Reds will look, but looking at the prospects coming up, they seem to be faster, which BLarks and I both like. Suarez, Winker, Votto, Moustakas, Barnhart were all slower than the average MLB’er. I’d like to see a more agressive base running team.
Same sort of issue for Aquino. Before he was sent down, I had looked at some of his numbers and despite striking out at a 50% rate he was running a lot of PAs to 6, 7, and a few even more pitches. I was like how can a guy get to so many 3 ball counts or foul off several pitches to hold counts at 2-2 then virtually always strike out?
My mind’s eye memory that I wasn’t sure how to research was that in the end if he didn’t chase a slider away or in the dirt, he got rung up looking at a reasonably good hitters’ pitch, most likely because he was determined not to chase the slider (which in the end didn’t come).
Starting today, Drury OBP .315, Almora OBP .318. Who cares how they get on as long as they get on?
MLBTrade rumors is reporting Miguel Andujar has asked the Yankees to trade him. He made he worth taking a flyer on.
Interesting quotes from Krall today in sunday enquirer on the 2018 Dodgers trade
He said Reds were trying to fast forward a winning window but going forward- the Reds will not be developing players that play in the big leagues for other teams.
They are focused on developing players to play for the Reds in MLB and that is their plan.
Perhaps that also means an extended look for home grown products to play at the MLB level
Developing players to play for the Reds until they become expensive that is.
Well played, V4L 🙂
Particulary interested in LC, Drury, Votto and Farmer having good games today
Watching GameDay while at lunch. Just closed the app. I can’t emotionally invest in a garbage game.
Sorry for the rant. Just frustrated.
I closed it after LC walked the lead off hitter. I had seen enough.
Votto with some Matrix moves
That’s 25 stolen bases this year for the Reds. They only had 36 last year and 24 caught stealing as well. Much better base running this year. Got rid of all non runners and the station to station running.
New ballgame. Joey heating up.
There we go JOEY and TOMMY…. Met the 2x H/R/RBI of my Parley, Lets keep it going
also easily going to clear first inning HRE of 2.5
Biggest bet of the year on Reds Over 4.5. Corbin has been the worst pitcher in mlb for atleast 2 years. Need Castillo to get 5Ks to cash same game parlay too
Wasn’t a big fan of the Senzel steal attempt, but he made it. I knew the guys behind him were going to hammer it as long as it wasn’t right at someone
Need LC to K 6 or more, Votto Farmer and Drury to have more than 2 hits, runs, and RBIs. all Parleyed out. I should have bet the over too. you are right about Corbin
Stephenson always pays good for RBIs….already hit that on the parlay, but have to be careful with Joey/Stephenson type hitters because they walk alot and that doesn’t help unless bases loaded
IRM> so there it is. A walk, while better than an out, is not as good as a hit! FWIW, RE24 stats agree with the over/ under odds makers. 🙂
Does Bell read the Enquirer? Does he know the plan?
@Doc, just read Krall’s comments. How gullible does he think Reds’ fans are? My read of that article tells me not to expect improvement in the foreseeable future. Developing a competitive team from scratch, internally, sure sounds like a really tall order.
Yeah that’s at least three years away. I do like the approach but they’ll need to bring in at least a couple of guys. OF in particular looks pretty shaky at the upper levels.
I’d like to see them take a look at a couple of the guys in Louisville. Yeah, they are too old to build around but then so are the current of’ers.
Lunch finished. Runs scored. Less grumpy.
Was the panacea food, Reds runs or a combination of the two?
Hangry never feels good.
+1000
Reds on Radio with C Trent reports India is getting an MRI tomorrow. If it’s 100%, he could start a rehab assignment at Louisville Tuesday. Solano is already starting so you could see India 2b, Barrero SS, Solano 3b on Tuesday.
LOL..Barrero at SS..only if Farmer is traded….someone needs to tell that to DB
Decisions to be for sure but the money plays so I am sure my cry of play the young guys will not be heard.Going to be fun watching the older slower under performing players play
Matt Renyolds out here playing like there are two replacements on Rehab assignments
Sloppy defense
The throw by farmer wasn’t scored an error? Seriously?
The Reds need to get as much as they can for Castillo and Mahle asap, neither one is a true ace. They both throw way to many pitches and very seldom give several good starts in a row. They need to go young with Green, Lodolo , Ashcraft and some others. Right now if they have a true ace it looks like Ashcraft.
Not taking anything away from Ashcraft, however not ready to declare him a ace. He has only 3 starts to his belt.
I am not declaring him an ace, just saying that if anybody looks like a possible future ace it is Ashcraft. I am sure he will have is ups and downs but he has all the makings of a future ace. I think his minor league success really helps him.
The time to trade Mahle was in the offseason. They need to hope he can put a few good months together still. I wouldn’t be in a hurry to trade him now.
Castillo is tricky. He’s going to want a lot of money, but, like you said, he’s so inconsistent. I’d be more inclined to keep him around long-term, but it really depends on the cost. I think another team might be more inclined to overpay for him, though, so the package coming back would almost certainly be better and might be worth moving him this year.
I agree with your last post. He and Lodolo have pitching in college to add to their experience.
Farmer throw was an error.
Reynolds egregious error on routing double play, bunt is error because you cant assum a double lay. Why not?
That was a 5 out inning.
Doug, we need an edit function, fat fingers.
Votto should had that hit too or atleast kept it on the infield, but we know he wants to be a bullfighter in the future so ole’ in effect. Really ugly. Castillo walked Ruiz too when it was 2-2.
Was listening on car radio on a run to pick up food during this half inning. At least Tommy and Cowboy were telling it like it was versus glossing over. They also didn’t much like the Votto throw on the following ground ball when the Reds missed another GIDP chance.
Completely agree
Let’s see. Stephenson couldn’t throw to second on stolen base attempt, Votto with a bad throw to second for double play and ball under glove on grounder, Reynolds drops ball at second, Farmer a throwing error, Drury not exactly gobbling them up at third…a clinic in the infield on how to lose a lead!
Tired of waiting on Castillo to become what he never will be.Send him packing and let’s move on.Just tired of the way our staff just has to walk hitters time after time.Send the pitching coach with him before he wants Ashcroft and the other young guy whose name I can’t even think of to try and strike out everybody
Technically speaking, walking a guy is missing their bat, so thats a pitching success.
He has a career 3.75 era… Last season his era was under 4..
Finally on video. I see I haven’t missed all that much. At least not things that would lower my overall BP and mood about this game, series, and team.
What’s the projection for the next 25 at this rate (counting this entire series)?
Not Good.
So far 1-3 for month of June. I believe they will be 15-10 over their next 25 games.
I salute your optimism, sir.
I was predicting a .500 record. I’m not so confident in that anymore. I’m leaning back toward 10-15.
One team is full of Latin ballplayers and the other team not so much. The Reds foray into those big international signings years ago has yielded them almost nothing. Vladimir Gutierrez, Jose Barrero, and Alfredo Rodriguez. What a dismal outcome. As a result, it appears the Reds will now try to build solely through the draft. It’s a lot cheaper, that’s for sure, and besides the results can’t be any worse.
Chapman and Iglesias were both big successes and probably too early to tell with Barrero. The ARod signing looked bad from the minute it was done. He could never hit enough. Reds tried to find a market inefficiency with defense first guys but the game has changed too much for that to work. If anything they didn’t put enough resources into the lower end international signings, which seems to have changed in the last few years. Think that’s already apparent in the lower minors.
Good point about signing Chapman and Iglesias from Cuba. Both those guy panned out. So pitching not so bad, but position players has been a big zero.
LEts wait before lumping Barrero in there.
Hes 24 and missed the entire year due to a wrist injury but should be back soon.
Hes an MLB top 100 prospect, has all 5 tools and combined in 2021 at AA/AAA for a slash line:
.303/.380/.539/.919
Reds signed him 5 years ago and we’re still waiting. He’ll be 25 next April. His current rehab assignment, he’s hitting .213 with 23 strikeouts in 47 ABs. Not good. Given the Reds track record, I’ve learned to temper my expectations. I doubt he makes it.
He ‘s 24. Lets not fast forward him being 25 in June of 2022 because his next birthday is in April of 2023? That would be forcing a narrative…but lets do the same to Kyle Farmer then….thats puts him at 32, looking at 33 and already showing signs now of wear and tear again and less range at SS.
Barrero also fractured a bone in his wrist and had surgery 8 weeks ago. I would’nt call 49 at bats in 14 games a failed rehab. I’d call it a needed extended spring training for guy coming back from a hamate hook fracture.
I admit, I don’t understand the negativity surrounding Castillo. He is a good MLB pitcher. I agree with a earlier comment of him not being a ace, but he is a solid niumber 2. I feel he is someone you can build a pitching staff around as well.
3.90 era? Thats barely a #3 on a good team. You can say Gabp adds on a little, but the problem is his arm talent level. Only a handful of current starters could dream of 1 hit/10Ks in Fenway
He has a 2.95 era on the road this season. I am sure if one would dig even more his road era is much better. He in my opinion is a good solid mlb pitcher.
So LC isn’t really efficient today, but he’s not giving up that much more than we are tacking back (at this point). It’s going to come down to our guys’ ability to manufacture crooked numbers and then … wait for it … the BP’s ability to get outs.
Frankly, I’m pretty sure we’ve seen this show before. It hasn’t had a happy ending in a while unless I’m mistaken.
And, as if on cue, we get Bet on Red’s favorite Miami Valley spot … AWESOME!
thank goodness i was in the bathroom for it. That truly is an Awsome feeling
Feels like a make it or pack it in kind of inning to me given the first 3 up to bat.
3 in the 1st and then they don’t do squat? Luis had some bad luck, but then he loses concentration and centers up a HR ball. A couple of the walks also scored, but our infield gave them 2. We need to rally because Corbin is horrible
Agreed. WLW booth telling us the reversed both of those ditties to errors, so 6 innings and 3 ER’s. The proverbial “quality start” yet it yields only pain and suffering for us.
And we exit the 6th with a whimper … color me shocked … 😮
LC hit over on Ks. Votto already met his as well. Drury is halfway there. Farmer doing nothing even though he “slaughters” lefties. One more turn around the block more than likely. I would like to see them both be an intrical part of a comeback
Farmer hasn’t made 2 plays today he made a year ago.
He’s playing hurt. Even if this team had playoff level talent the injuries eat them up every single year. I know everyone has issues, but this is ridiculous. Young and old both miss huge chunks of time
Farmer isn’t making a lot of plays that he (would have) made last season. He is at that age. Plus whatever he got that cortisone shot for is probably a factor too.
Cowboy is openly calling out our HP ump today for completely blowing the zone on both sides. Yet I’m sure we’ll see no remediation as a result, will we …
No, if anything Cowboy will be fined
Art Warren with inherited runners … who has the lighter to ignite the dumpster fire?
Did I just see a GIDP? Very timely.
Now for the crooked number parade.
Looks like the Reds little hot streak is over and it’s back to reality now.
Analytics have ruined the game of baseball. Shifts etc etc etc
Should’ve won 3 of 4 vs the Nats. They’ll miss the Dbacks ace Gallen and should get 3 of 4 vs them, but have to get a split here first. This would be a really bad loss after the way Castillo threw in Fenway and the way Corbin has pitched.
Shoulda-coulda-woulda …
I hear you. Reality bites. It bites really hard.
The Moose as pinch hitter. 2-0 count, popup to 3B stands, grounder to 1B or 2B for out. Seems like at least half of his ABs involved those 4 elements. Why can’t he (and many other players) just hit one to the opposite field? I just can’t believe this guy was considered a good enough player to be paid $16 mill per.
They need to Shogo him tonight. Dead $, but atleast he’s no longer a hack at both the plate and in the field
Not defending his play. It has been more than disappointing. Putrid, even. But at the time they signed him (to a contract, I agree, that was a little ridiculous), his batting line the previous (All-Star) season was .254 BA/ .329 SLG/ .845 OPS with 35 HRs and 87 RBIs. So, at the time, he was considered fairly valuable. It obviously has not worked out well. He has been injured quite a bit and has regressed offensively and defensively (to an often-embarrassing extent). So, the frustration with him is real. But the acquisition, at the time it occurred (regardless of the money involved) seemed promising. Now, obviously, he’s an albatross. One of those things. Life sometimes bites the backside.
C’mon guys. We are tanking. This is tanking 101. Reds are doing a great job of trying to win but still losing and they have legit injury issues to refute the tanking narrative and Minor and Pham and Solano signings were simply a tanking smokescreen and a brilliant one as they have zero residual implications on the budget in 2023. The bengals went 1-14 and lost a crucial tanking game to the dolphins who were also tanking. Bengals got joe burrow. Dolphins got Tua.
Trade castillo and Mahle and finish the tank.
Get a top 3 pick and a 35 pick and compensation pick in the 2023 draft and 3 top 100 prospects for Castillo and Mahle plus the #18.32.55.73 picks in the 2022 draft. Reds need to finish the tanking job and rebuild the right way for 2024.
I don’t think tanking works that well in mlb. Idk? My Pacers did a brilliant job and still only got the 6th pick. They went into countless games with no backup center.
I love the Pacers. I try to make a game each year with my sons. Stay downtown . Ive had many conversations with Pacer fans that Ill root for them and they root for the Reds. Good venue, good times. Never regretted a pacers game. Saw Derrick Rose drop 42 MVP year and yet lose in OT for the Bulls. Saw Damion Lillard when nobody knew who he was and said this dude is good. Pacemates add value.
Your point is valid though. No rush on India’s rehab. No rush on anything. Who cares? Its all about young guys getting their feet wet and nothing else really matters.
Please please be ruled a hit
and its not. Ruled an Error, which means I need Drury to score
That hurts to watch it. Hope he’s OK.
“You don’t look like an athlete?”. “Lady, I’m not an athlete. I’m a baseball player”
John Kruk
+5,000
Krukky was priceless
I believe we’re seeing Lucky vs. Good right here
I’ll take it, especially if Joey bangs one.
Getting weirder in a weird way I suppose
Dribbler…Nacho Libre falls down. Chopper back to the mound….2nd pitcher turns 2 outs into 2 on.
Lets Go!!! My bankroll depends upon it!
Wow. Our team really really sucks. Joey gets the rbi double in the 1st, but then man on 2nd nobody out and doesn’t advance him then 4-6-3 with 2 on.
I have to conserve bankroll now for football and no other reason to follow this team pitch by pitch imo. Unless you’re into torture
Instead we get that
Yes, how many times has Joey let the team down the past several years in game winning situations and adds to his Left On Base total. He is certainly not the Joey of old. Now his LOB is a lot more then his RBI’s.
Drury hits. Now it all rests on Farmer, a HR would do it right here
and that is not a HR
Stephenson with the ribeye steak. Indy cashes in
Can we move Stephenson to first base and let him win a batting title and play 155 games?
Curious question. Has anyone ever hit a 95mph fastball or a slider that looks Ike a fastball till it dives downward.
Hitting at this level is hard. Simply amazes me they can pick up the spin of the ball in less than a second.
Ive hit a 92 mph Fb once for a lucky single over the first baseman’s head. Played against a #30 overall several games and went 1-7 with 3 or 4 strikeouts. The fastball was a blur but easier because it was swing or dont swing. The off-speed was paralyzing and dizzying and damaging to your psyche. Since I sucked, I got mostly fastballs.
I also played against David Bell. I was the second best 3rd baseman on the field that day by a LONG shot.
Nice!!!
Figures the bullpen does a good job today when we’re behind… yesterday we were ahead and they were awful.
Tying run on!!
Lopez needs to find a gap here and push Almora in.
But nope …
That is CLose
Double can win the game!!
Opps, following on gameday. Was he safe or out??
Safe, athough the call stood instead of confirmed
Senzel’s had a pretty good start to the month. He has shown basically no power though. I know he was never going to be a 30 HR guy but can’t be slugging under .300 either.
I hope he didn’t tweak his fingers on that
Bell never tagged Senzel
Well, that was a classic Reds ending. Lost 3-4 against a mediocre team.
Bell missed the tag. That BS.
But that’s also bad baserunning by Senzel.
Well a rough series, but Reds competed. This team has come along way from the 3-22 start.
Bell probably missed the tag, but so much dust on that play, who knows?
Senzel was napping, but the 1B coach should have smelled that play coming from the get go.
Open with a bang, finish with a whimper. 10-15 here we come.
Sloppy defense, poor base running and when will the Red’s front office realize that Moose is a liability in ever single aspect of the game?
Absolutely no excuse for Senzel on that play. If he is the tying run; or, if the score is tied and he is the winning run, maybe a fig leaf’s worth of cover. 1 run down, tying run at 3b, 2 outs. Zero excuse.
Agree. Not smart at all.
Two bad teams but one had more fortitude and desire than the other and took two games it should have lost. Saw David Bell with his hat off today for the first time since he tried to flight Clint Hurdle a few years ago. He didn’t look good and it wasn’t because his hair is bad. It’s not. He knew what his extension meant and while it’s always better to have a job than not, its got to be soul destroying after a while. Call it what you want, it was all about clearing the ledger for 2024 and having a compliant manager/GM for the interim. I assume they have a plan after that…trading season beckons.