After splitting the first two games of the 4-game series the Cincinnati Reds and Washington Nationals get back to it this afternoon with someone earning at least a split of the series. The Reds will send Tyler Mahle to the mound to face off against Erick Fedde for the Nationals. First pitch is set for 4:10pm.
Starting Lineups
Here are the lineups for this afternoon’s match up:
Washington Nationals
|
Cincinnati Reds
|
| Cesar Hernandez – 2B | Nick Senzel – CF |
| Lane Thomas – CF | Brandon Drury – DH |
| Juan Soto – RF | Tommy Pham – LF |
| Nelson Cruz – DH | Joey Votto – 1B |
| Josh Bell – 1B | Tyler Stephenson – C |
| Yadiel Hernandez – LF | Kyle Farmer – SS |
| Keibert Ruiz – C | Mike Moustakas – 3B |
| Maikel Franco – 3B | Albert Almora Jr. – RF |
| Luis Garcia – SS | Matt Reynolds – 2B |
| Erick Fedde – SP | Tyler Mahle – SP |
Starting Pitchers
| Pitcher | IP | ERA | WHIP | BB | K |
| Tyler Mahle | 53.2 | 5.53 | 1.38 | 26 | 58 |
| Erick Fedde | 47.0 | 4.60 | 1.53 | 23 | 42 |
| Links: Tyler Mahle’s Stats | Erick Fedde’s Stats |
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Tyler Mahle
For a guy who has an ERA of 5.53 you would expect batters to have an OPS well over the .706 mark that Tyler Mahle has allowed this season, but that hasn’t been the case. He’s struggled with walks against lefties this season a little bit, but hasn’t given up many hits to them and has limited their power output as well. Right-handed hitters have had more hits against him and they are hitting for a little more power.
Splits
| Split | PA | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG |
| RHH | 113 | 26 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 31 | .252 | .301 | .418 |
| LHH | 123 | 22 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 27 | .214 | .333 | .359 |
Pitch Usage
| 4-Seam | Cutter | Slider | Splitter | |
| Velo | 93.4 | 86.2 | 83.9 | 85.5 |
| Usage | 49.3% | 9.6% | 14.9% | 26.2% |
Erick Fedde
This season the splits for Erick Fedde have basically not existed. Right-handed hitters have a small 20-point advantage in OPS. Not shown below, though, is that his home and road splits are showing some differences. On the road he’s pitched much better this season. Hitters have a 122-point disadvantage when he is outside of Washington and his ERA is almost a full run lower, too.
Splits
| Split | PA | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG |
| RHH | 96 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 21 | .271 | .354 | .424 |
| LHH | 112 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 21 | .265 | .339 | .418 |
Pitch Usage
| 4-Seam | 2-Seam | Cutter | Change | Curve | |
| Velo | 93.1 | 92.3 | 88.6 | 85.9 | 78.1 |
| Usage | 0.2% | 34.0% | 32.0% | 3.7% | 30.1% |
When and Where
- Game time: 4:10pm ET
- Where: Great American Ball Park
- Watch: Bally Sports Ohio, MLB.tv
- Listen: 700 WLW AM (Cincinnati area)
- Forecast: 82°, sunny, 0% chance of rain
News and Notes
Did MLB change the baseball, again?
Rob Manfred should be answering some tough questions right now.
For the first month of the season, actual HRs were about 35% below expected, which tracks with the introduction of this year’s dead ball.
However, it appears some clear change took place around May 14th that gave the ball about a 10-15 point boost: pic.twitter.com/VtNq6F4Z83
— Ballpark Pal (@BallparkPal) June 4, 2022
Reds sign T.J. Zeuch to a minor league deal
Cincinnati has signed T.J. Zeuch to a minor league deal. He spent time in Triple-A with the St. Louis Cardinals this year but we released a little over a week ago. Zeuch, from Mason, has spent parts of the previous three years in the big leagues with the Toronto Blue Jays.
@Votto4life. (commenting on your post earlier about the 1940 team. I have a copy of a book called “Underrated Reds” By Leo Bradley (a professor @ Xavier University). Tells the story of the 39-40 Reds-and the tragic story of Willard Hershberger. I ran across some black and white BB cards a couple of years that has most of the players (including Willard) but missing the big names. I actually contacted the professor once as his book shows the team picture minus Ernie Lombardi, but I have a copy of the Enquirer page that shows Lombardi in it. Turns out, the Enquirer had super imposed Lombardi for their championship edition. (old school Cut and Paste 🙂
Taking Votto, Farmer, and Mahle today. Also taking a hit an inning again today. Also taking the Reds to Score first. Think Mahle is going to Pitch himself to trade worthy so he should be good.
Did you figure out a way to watch it? I’m in again courtesy of my Norton VPN feature.
I am seeing if I can do it through MyBookie. I was able to last night but waiting to see now. Radio until then
and, no I will be religated back to not watching it.
I was surprised that my stock Norton VPN function blocks my address enough to defeat the blackout. I’m figuring that may work for anybody, anywhere. The blackout regions are a bit stupid from where I sit anyway. I get the “why” they originally were designed, but that time is mostly gone.
Not happy to see Mr. Moose with a glove today. Frankly, not overly happy to see him in the line-up given his production the past few times I’ve seen him.
Looks like it’s time to Kick this Pig!!
20 pitches and losing the first batter to a BB seems a little nibbly to me …
But no damage, so that’s good.
I’m puzzled as to why, if Drury is playing, Mr. Moose has a glove.
A bad zone that is consistent isn’t all that bad. A bad zone that continues to “flex” is a problem. Kind of like what we just saw there with Pham.
But … but … but … SO CLOSE!!
I was seriously close to winning 100 dollars if that had gone over.
Mr. Votto has to eat some more Wheaties.
Got to like Kyle Farmer, especially when he’s hitting like this.
Kyle Farmer pulls through. I need him to get at least one more single or better later in the game but I win my Reds score first bet
and I have the TV feed come through
+500
@Bet on Red Congrats!!!
And he raises our hopes by crushing that one foul while following up with the weak garbage to ground out. The pop-up foul to start seems a little too familiar as well.
Money plays no matter what, right?
Farmer at 3B, Barrero at SS, and Moose DFA’ing
@LDS I’d like that with Barrera getting a few more at bats in AAA and Moose DHing only against RH pitchers
Maybe DH but trade or DFA may be more fruitful. He doesn’t look like he wants to get in shape for the game.
Yup.
2 for 26
Oh and a Hit every inning is alive through 1
Got to start somewhere, right?
I don’t know why they bother having the bear writers on radio in the second inning when all they do is yuck it up.
*beat
Yep. Charlie didn’t add anything to the broadcast. The yellow hair bit was a dud.
That was a pretty efficient inning. Mr. Mahle throwing some strikes. Always a good thing when the outcome is another goose egg on the board.
Kyle Farmer can play baseball. He looks like one of us walking out there, but he gets the job done. I agree that he should moved to 3B when Barrero comes up. Moose can DH.
Farmer is A very steady player. Not flashy but produces.
He’s quietly become the veteran leader that this team needed
Letting Fedde off easy here. Had him battling in the 1st and now on the brink of an easy inning.
At least Nick worked him a bit.
@mark his approach is a bit to passive for me but he does see a lot of pitches
Hit every inning dies at 2…. sad face
I thought about you when that happened. Sorry.
Can’t stand Rob Manfred.
Any particular reason? I mean, I rate him as a complete tool and puppet for the owners, but that’s just me.
Franco hitting 3-0. Thank you sir.
Nice work by Votto to get the lead runner.
Wow we caught a break there.
How does TySteve hold on to that snow cone and still make the tag?
Nice throw by Pham to beat the runner to the plate.
Great play. Pham showing some worth.
JV getting the lead runner kept that awesome throw and tag in play. Otherwise, it’s an easy score.
Would love to see TS get going again
We have to make them pay for that
Not a great start to this inning by Mr. Mahle. Two hits on opposite ends of the spectrum.
Need a GIDP here.
What is this… Feazel roofing is new. This means that the Reds can find new sponsers. Maybe we can finally be Rid of Miami Valley Gaming
I’d wager against that happening … 🙂
Not.Good.
Really need that GIDP here.
A little bad luck, some nibbling, and a couple of solid hits … have I mentioned that GIDP we need here?
Heading back to the worst team in baseball. Time to trade Mahle.
Mahle The Nibbler at his best in the 4th inning! And, just like that, the lead is gone!
I had to look it up. The trade deadline this year is August 2nd, in case anybody wants to know.
Good news is outfield defense remains very good.
I have to break for dinner. Hoping we can hold them down and get a couple of crooked numbers. What felt pretty good to start is feeling a bit more iffy at this point.
Need 2 more Ks from Mahle, another Total base from Farmer, and two hits, run or RBI from Votto. Would also appreciate not being the worst team in baseball either. So get some runs.
Nats are bad but we are worse and that’s about it for today.Go for the split tomorrow
Mahle needs to go and Castillo needs to stay!!!!! Mahle is becoming junk. Pitch Castillo Ashcraft Greene Lodolo and Overton
+1,000
This would be my preference as well. However, I do think that they will get rid of Castillo as well.
If the Reds dealt both Mahle and Castillo (which I am not in favor of), would they consider making Lucas Sims a starter, or is there someone else, or do they pick up another potential starter via one of those trades? I ask that because it looks like Overton is going to be out for awhile.
Overton is on 60 day IL. Can’t pitch until late July at earliest.
Mahle made it through 5 today. 🙂
Some interesting verbal & non-verbal communication between Mahle and Soto.
Wonder what that was about?
Screw Soto. What in the heck got into him? I guess he’s trying to win the attitude battle but man quit being a jerk and just play the game.
Why is Pham still batting 3rd
Because he is 2nd on the team in fWAR.
Reds fWAR
Stephenson 0.9
Pham 0.8
Drury 0.7
Reynolds 0.6
Naquin 0.6
Farmer 0.3
Why am I hearing Quacking
ALMORA!!!!! Lower linup slam
Well Done Albert, Well Done
He’s hitting consistently. Got to leave him in there.
Man, did we need that!
Almora takes a hanger and does what mLB players do.
+1000
Nice! He turned on that one! Wouldn’t have been possible without that fine AB (FINALLY) from Moose!
I was going to say he gutted it out. Also forced the Broadcast staff to put their money where there mouth is regarding a foul ball
Tyler Naquin over here losing his Job
Forget fWar. My eyes tell me there are probably 3 other guys that should be batting 3rd. Those sabremetrics have worked real well. ?Wish Sparky and Lou were privy to technology.
Which 3? Cant shuffle Votto at 4 or Drury at 2- that’s not a significant change.
I will give you Stephenson at 5 for Pham at 3 straight up. But other than Drury 2 and votto 4, who are your other 2 #3 hole hitters for the Reds.
Don’t get me started….again. 🙂
3 – Stephenson
4 – Votto
5 – Pham (I hope he’s gone soon)
or
2 – Stephenson
3 – Votto
4 – Pham
Your eyes lie, Stephenson is the only other hitter who’s a better hitter right now. To me that means.
1 Drury
2 Stephenson
3 Pham
All kinds of biases affect eyeball test and recollection. Analytics are data.
Quality start by MAhle and in line for a win if bull pen nails it down.
Yeah…at home no less.
Berroros rehab window closes this Wed. Jim Day inferring that he will probably be optioned after that. If that is the case then the club is doing him a solid. While in Rehab he would get paid Big league money. once optioned its back to Triple-A money
Hie’s shown some pop, I was worried about that with the surgery on his hamate. Once that bat heats up bring him up an play him every day.
This is not good
Get Diaz out! Now!
That was a great at bat by Cesar Hernandez to get their rally started.
ok Diaz doesnt have it today, lets stall
It seems that a game is never over with this bullpen.
Four (4) run lead gone with one swing of the bat by the Nationals’ best hitter! You play with fire you’re gonna get burnt!
Diaz sucks it up and comes thru
At the end of the day, it just looks like the Nats are much better than their record. And the Reds? Well, probably not.
Man Juan Soto is some kind of player…. dude is only 23 years old too! If he stays healthy…..he is going to be right up there with some of the best to ever play the game, I believe. I am just praying for the day when the Reds get a young prospect close to being as good as him!
Not to look too far ahead, but Soto will get another at bat in this one. Diaz’s walk of Cruz after the Soto HR assured that.
Who’s the lady screaming at the top of her lungs for the Nats?
Natalie? 😉
I need Farmer and Votto to bat again maybe this was for the Best
I am not sold on Tony S as a high impact arm
He’s been ok, but agree that I don’t think he’s a back of the bullpen type of arm. Didn’t really understand moving him to the bullpen to begin with.
Do NOT give Soto ANYTHING to hit.
Big K
Huge
Exactly, I’m replaying the Brooklyn Dodgers 1946 season on baseball mogul. I’m walking Stan Musial every time he comes to the plate. Why would let a player like that beat you?
Whew!
Thank you Ross
Kinda feel sorry for Mahle! He gutted out 6 innings and left with a 7-3 lead. Reds bullpen is disaster, again!
I would feel sorry if Mahle was halfway consistent this year.
A lot of BP have ERAs fast approaching Greene’s.
All 3 in his “ugly” zones per GameDay
UGH!!!
The Nationals line up is much better than their record and also much better than the Reds line up. On a positive note it just shows you how well Ashcraft pitched Thursday, he may be special.
Not that I’m a big Detwiler fan but not sure why you take him out. Maybe the new rules with ghost runners plays into it because you assume the game will only go a few extra at absolute most. Still seems like a waste.
The Shift is dumb as….. smh
Our “shift” is killing us this inning.
I can’t wait for 2023 season where be no more shift allowed. I hate the shift and can’t wait for it get close to how ot use to be. Shift been hurting the reds a lot since has been started
plus all the points
What the heck is Larkin talking about? He said Votto has to worry about covering first base and that is his first play. Normally that would be true, but not with Cruz at the plate. Votto’s 1st job is to go get that ball that Cruz hit and toss it to the pitcher covering. Cruz is too slow to have to worry about covering first base first and letting the ball go.
Our announcers are employees of Bob. Votto is little league in the field.
Their pen dominated us.No hits since the 5th with 6 punch outs.Our pen had a bad day.Go for split tomorrow
This loss will go on the SHift, which goes on Bell. REally want the shift banned
Pretty much every team uses a version of the shift. The Reds’ bullpen, starting with Diaz–the darling of RLN–blew the game. Diaz is going to be good, Santillan probably will, too, but both are young and inconsistent. When players don’t execute, losses follow.
For those of you not keeping track, the Reds bullpen has given up seven (7) runs in three (3) innings!
This team is so frustrating
Hunter Strckland issues with pitching, allowing a bunch of hits this inning…
This is what happens when you pull a guy after 5 pitches. Reds down 4 runs, they usually rollover and play dead. Reds leading by 4, just wait for the next bullpen substitution. Give Bell time.
Yep. Keep switching until you find the guy that doesn’t have it. Rinse and repeat year after year under Bell.
How nice for you that you don’t have to make these decisions in real time. The Reds have quite a stretch without a day off and Diaz and Santillan are probably burned for tomorrow. Reds’ starters (and other team’s starters) rarely go beyond 6 innings. You can see where I’m going with this. Imagine if tomorrow arrives and Bell only has Warren and Cessa available. Win or lose, you guys would heap him with abuse.
I would say this is the worst of the 34 losses so far this season, the bull pen gave it away along with the shift. The Nationals are a better team, hopefully Castillo can pitch a gem for the split. That is not what I envisioned after Thursday night and Ashcrafts gem.
The suggestion that nationals are better than their record means Reds are better than their record. Both teams are more in likely better than what their records indicate
Perhaps, but the punchline is that the Nats appear to be vastly better than the Reds.
20-35 vs 18-34.
Not much difference at all.
There line up is just better position by position. The Reds have better top end starters with Castillo, Mahle and hopefully Ashcraft and the Nationals have a better bull pen.
Sorry KevinH, but it’s the head-to-head matchups that tell the tale. A split with the Cubs, a split with the Pirates, and at best a split with the Nats, though losing 3-4 is just as likely. KC is lamenting the fact that they don’t get to play the Reds.
No one said sorting is pleasant
It does require big change though
Frustrating season for sure. But hey Reds are playing 500 since May 1st, I may be off by a game or two…