Tommy Pham and Mike Moustakas combined with four extra base hits off the great Brewers starting pitcher Brandon Woodruff, but it wasn’t nearly enough to stop the Reds from piling on to their worst start in franchise history. Tyler Mahle only lasted 3.1 innings as he struggled with his command. The Reds have now lost 17 of 18 to fall to 3-20 on the season. The Reds are now 12.5 games back in the NL Central.

Final R H E
Milwaukee Brewers (16-8) 6 6 0
Cincinnati Reds (3-20) 3 6 1
W: Woodruff (3-1) L: Mahle (1-4) S: Williams (2)
FanGraphs Win Probability | Statcast | Box Score | Game Thread

Biggest Play of the Game


Source: FanGraphs

According to Fangraphs WPA statistic (winning percentage added), the biggest play of the game was Tyler Mahle allowing a 3-run home run to Willy Adames with 0 outs in the 3rd inning, giving the Brewers a 3-0 leadThat play decreased the Reds probability of winning by 19.3% (from 34.6% to 15.3%).

Positives

Tommy Pham continues his strong start to the 2022 season as he was a triple shy of the cycle.

Mike Moustakas had a really good night. He hit his first home run of the year, and it was a 429 foot bomb. He also had a 401 foot RBI double later in the game.

Alexis Diaz pitched a very impressive 1.2 scoreless innings of relief. He now has a 0.77 ERA/3.08 FIP on the season. He had 5 swing and misses and topped out at 97.6 MPH with his fastball. The Reds might have found something here.

Jeff Hoffman pitched 1.2 scoreless innings. Hoffman lowered his season ERA to 1.88 and his FIP to 2.17.

Negatives

Tyler Mahle really struggled tonight. He entered with some solid expected stats, but it was not pretty this evening. He gave up his first home run of the season, and the Brewers had a .369 xBA against him. His final line: 3.1 IP, 4 H, 4 ER, 3 BB, 2 K.

Tyler Stephenson was 0 for 4 with 4 strikeouts in his return from the IL. He did throw out a runner though.

Kyle Farmer was 0 for 3, and he is now 0 for his last 14. Tyler Naquin was 0 for 4 with 3 strikeouts.

Not so random thoughts……….

It looks like Tyler Mahle‘s next two starts age going to be against the Pirates. Outside of Opening Day against the Guardians, Mahle has faced a brutal schedule (Dodgers, Padres, Braves, Brewers, Cardinals). I’m hoping that Mahle can have two really good starts to get him back on track. Mahle has a 2.84 ERA in 7 starts against the Pirates since the start of 2019.

Up Next:

Reds at Brewers
Wednesday, 7:40 PM
TV: Bally Sports Ohio
Vladimir Gutierrez (7.41 ERA) vs Freddy Peralta (5.00 ERA)

73 Responses

  1. RedsFan11

    Every day you wake up thinking this is rock bottom, but every night your team sharpens the pick and digs deeper…

    What can we do Reds country?

    • LDS

      Nah, Bell can just announce that the Reds are forfeiting today – lessen the chance of injuries. One could argue it’s a brilliant strategy to get his name in the record books.

    • LDS

      If only the Reds had two pitchers like Spahn & Sain. The rain would be more tolerable.

  2. Doc

    Mahle has to be able to pitch against the best if he is to be a 1 or 2 starter. SanMartin proved that feasting on the Pirates only is not a ticket to success.

  3. Joe P.

    11 straight road losses. First time since 1945.

    • Votto4life

      And the 1945 team was decimated because of the war.

      • Jim Walker

        All things are relative; and, every team was decimated by the war.

      • Votto4life

        True to some extent…depends on the team and the military status of it’s players. The war ended in 1945 so the players were starting to return…but yeah many more would come home the following year. Some teams were more decimated than others…In 1945 the reds ended up 7th place (in a 8 team league) finishing 61-93.

      • GMan88

        This team won’t get anywhere close to 61 wins. They would have to go 58-81 from here on out. That’s way too ambitious.

      • Dennis Westrick

        If this is war, we are losing!

  4. MK

    Suarez 0 for last 22. Too bad management didn’t keep that guy to stem the tide.

    • CI3J

      Why not tell the full story?

      Even with Suarez’s recent slump, he would still be 3rd on this team in OPS and second in OBP. He has 10 extra base hits on the year (3 HR, 6 2B, 1 3B), which is more than anyone on the Reds. Heck, the Reds as a team have 51 extra base hits, so Suarez alone has nearly 20% as many as the Reds have, as a team.

      So yeah, if we’re cherry-picking small sample sizes, I would like to have him back right about now.

      • greenmtred

        He’s probably better than what we’ve got, so far, but band-aids won’t fix this year, not even several of them. They might play a little better at some point–they almost have to–but we don’t need aging vets. We have to hope that this bad dream is a transition to a younger team.

    • TR

      Not kept but the tide has not been stemmed.

  5. Jim Walker

    At least there was a little bit of life in Pham and Moose.

    Eh, maybe they should have sent Stephenson out for some rehab swings? It is not like this was the 7th game of the LCS or World Series.

  6. LDS

    Well, the good news is, a Cardinal style winning streak would get them back to .500. If they start tomorrow.

  7. MBS

    I am finding myself much more productive without the draw of watching the game. Even when I do watch, I’m usually done within a short period of time. Thanks Phil, the yard is looking good. Pressure washing the driveway might actually happen this weekend.

    • Steven Ross

      Same here MBS. I watch but by the 4th or 5th inning, I’m usually turning the channel or doing something more productive because I know it’s over.

      Speaking of the 4th or 5th inning, that seems to be Mahle’s limit. 90 pitches by the bottom of the 4th. Sheesh.

    • Daytonnati

      Agreed. How about that “Ozark” ending!?? Heartbreaking.

  8. Cyrus

    5.1 innings’ worth of strikeouts tonight. Let that sink in a minute. Imagine if Votto would have played…probably 6 full innings of K’s.

    A somewhat fun exercise might be to have a pool where we all guess what the team’s longest winning streak will be this year.

    I’m going to say 4 games will be the max and may happen when we play the Orioles, my 2nd favorite team.

    Boy, do I know how to pick winners.

    • JB

      My second favorite team as well. Both owners are idiots.

  9. GreatRedLegsFan

    The starting rotation is really struggling. No pitcher has had a quality start since Lodolo against the Cards on April 25. With three starting pitchers currently injured (Castillo, Minor and Lodolo) and only one free spot, I wonder what roster moves will be made including the possible promotion of Ashcraft.

  10. Jim t

    Castillo has a rehab start today. Should be his last one before re-joining reds rotation.

  11. William

    Castillo is greatly needed in this rotation.

    • Dk072257

      Problem is will he be the same ol Castillo? Have you ever looked at his before All Star Game stats as opposed to his after All Star Game stats?

  12. William

    I still think the Reds will be much better this year. No, I do not expect them to make the playoffs. Go ahead and laugh.

    • Dk072257

      Ok I’m laughing. Better meaning 4-20 over the next 24 games? I think the Reds are headed for 120 losses this year. Thank you Phil

    • CI3J

      How? Their entire offense is made up of retreads, over-the-hill has beens, or never-weres.

      There is reason to have some optimism about the young pitching, but from what we have seen, it looks like they are not being coached properly.

      It will be a struggle to avoid 100 losses.

  13. Pablo

    Mary Beth Ellis wrote an article a few weeks back about a turd……………..

    • Mark Moore

      Only this turd is just a turd (and a steaming pile most days) rather than a key to past civilizations.

  14. Klugo

    You think Phil and Bob are still watching?

    • redsfan4040

      Phil said himself this was a very entertaining team! Why wouldn’t he watch?

    • CI3J

      They were never watching. They don’t actually care about the game of baseball. They just see it as a business investment.

  15. Votto4life

    The Reds might as well trade Castillo, Mahle, Stephenson, India and Greene. None of these guys will be around by the time the Reds are competitive again. They are at peak value right now. Hopefully, Krall can get someone back who is not old, broken down and expensive in return. It’s truly the only way out now.

    • Luke J

      I don’t think a single one of the players you listed is at peak value right now.

      • greenmtred

        I don’t think so, either. You could make a case for trading Castillo and Mahle if they pitch well for a while, but who could you get back for India, Greene and Stephenson who would be better?

    • CI3J

      Trade them for what? A bunch of mediocre AA players? That’s all Krall seems to be able to get when trading his best assets.

    • Gonzo Reds

      Zero World Series championships and choked in every big playoff series which should keep him out of the Hall Of Fame unless you consider he’s the first black manager to win 2000 games. Some will debate that point in deeming him worthy but I think focus should remain on his post season history.

      Bochy from the Giants will be in of course when he can be enshrined with his 2000 wins and multiple WS championships.

      • Still a Red

        “…choked in every big playoff series…”… you mean his teams lost because of something he did (or didn’t do?)…you mean it was his fault the Reds couldn’t hit and lost 1-0 on Bailey great game against S.F. and that ‘what’s his name” gives up a grand slam to Posey to that series for the Giants? Of course he screwed again last year with the Astros…only I forget what he did or didn’t do to lose that series.

      • Votto4life

        I’m confused is this a Blue Jay blog?

      • Oldtimer

        Sparky lost WS in 1970 and 1972 plus NLDS in 1973. In two of those three years, the Reds had there better team.

        Reds were very fortunate to win WS in 1975.

        Baker and Sparky both deserve to be among the Top 12 in Most W by a manager.

  16. Mark A Verticchio

    3 and 20 is bad, what’s worse is no accountability. Someone has to take the fall for this, Krall, Bell, the hitting or pitching coach. The Reds are a national embarrassment and it would look better if they made someone take some blame whether true or not.

    • Steven Ross

      Bingo. No accountability yet if we get swept in Milwaukee, one would think changes will happen when they return home Friday. Someone has to take the fall for the debacle.

    • TR

      The spite of Phil C. for the fans on home opener day is the reason his father drags out making some kind of change for this disaster.

      • Votto4life

        I’m sure there is some of that going on. Fine let him ruin his own business. Let him go back to selling cucumbers.

  17. Gpod

    3-20 and yet not one person in a management/leadership position has lost their job….a perfect business model for continuous failure

    • Dennis Westrick

      Maybe the Reds can be like Amazon employees! Work from home and refuse to go back to the office (ballpark)!

  18. realist

    Is this rock bottom? You say Mahle has faced tough teams but this is the major leagues they all should be tough.

    • David

      No, things can get worse. And with the ownership/ “leadership” (ha!) that the Cincinnati Reds’ franchise has, I think things will get worse.
      More players “hurt”, more injuries, nobody at the games, nobody watching, nobody listening to the games.
      It’s painful, but the pain will pass in time.

  19. SellTheTeamBob

    Vlad pitching lol. 3-21. Storied franchise

  20. GMan88

    I am willing to bet the starting pitchers are not interested in blowing their arms out this year for this team. The ERAs aren’t coming down.

  21. JB

    The Reds end the year with 9 games against the Pirates and Cubs. Those games might decide if the Reds are worse than the 62 Mets.

  22. Pablo

    Had to laugh at the Reds radio ad I heard this morning, something along the lines of “treat Mom to a day at the ballpark this Sunday.” Why would I do something so cruel to my dear Mother??

  23. Rednat

    May as well go for broke and lose the rest of the games this season. see if the league would intervene. Although Manfred is so spineless i doubt he would say a word. This is more of an embarrassment to mlb than the reds in my opinion. There are just so many bad players and not enough good young position players in the league right now. The reds are just a reflection of the league this year and it ain’t pretty.

    • Gonzo Reds

      And the only one willing to call out Manfred was Bauer and Manfred just got even with him for that…

      • Doug Gray

        OR, you know, Bauer deserved his suspension.

      • David

        Effectively, Bauer’s career is over. Taking two years out of a player’s life.

        Isn’t that something?

  24. William

    Bauer deserves what he got. His career is over. Violence is not acceptable towards women period. Bauer has serious mental health problems. I hope he gets the help he needs. He is also in denial which is like Pete Rose saying he did not bet on baseball.

  25. William

    Moose looked good last night. He gives me a ray of hope for the Reds. If he stays injury free, he can help the Reds with his power. You know the Reds could never trade him, unless they wanted to eat salary, so he is here for two years. The Reds are paying him good. He needs to keep hitting the ball.

  26. William

    A lineup with India, Votto, Moose, Pham. Stephenson, Farmer and Senzel out to be fairly decent once they all get back to normal, if that does happen. There are some other players that can help.

  27. Old-school

    There are some articles detailing the Record low runs scored across baseball in April. It was the lowest scoring month since 1981 and HR were way down and its due to the baseball being changed and all 30 teams use humidors.

    Everyone plays with the same ball and the Reds pitchers, hitting and defense are bad, but some of these offensive numbers would be a lot different if they were playing with the 2019 baseball

    • Doug Gray

      Not everyone plays with the same ball, though. That’s one of the things that’s been talked about a lot this season. And we also know that last year there were definitely two very different baseballs in play during the season. This offense stinks, though, at least as it has been constructed to this point in the season.

    • Rednat

      i think it is more of a matter of the veterans getting older and the young players coming up from the minors not able to keep up with these power pitchers. there is just a void of good young position players in today’s game

  28. Indy Red Man

    Pirates with my boy Josh VanMeter batting 5th today. They’re not exactly loaded, but they’ll hammer the Reds. Vogelbach might hit one over the stands in RF

    This reliever/opener Dillon Peters is starting for the Bucs today. 14.1 shutout innings with 1 hit allowed so far. Our lefty SanMartin 14 hits in 1 inning I think?

    • JB

      Van meter and his 162 average would fit right in with the Reds.

  29. Votto4life

    Does anyone else read Joey Votto’s tweet “5 Months to go enjoy the Show” as a hint he is considering retirement?