A season where nothing has gone right for the Cincinnati Reds continued on Friday night in Denver. Hunter Greene was fine through the first four innings despite another dip in velocity, but gave up a 3-run home run in the fifth inning. The Reds offense had chance after chance, but grounded into four double plays. The Reds bullpen made this final score even more lopsided as the Reds fell to 3-17. The Reds are now one loss away from matching their 3-18 start in 2018 – which was their worst start in franchise history through 21 games. The Reds have lost 8 straight games on the road.
|Colorado Rockies (11-9)||10||14||0|
|Cincinnati Reds (3-17)||4||12||2|
|W: Senzatela (2-1) L: Greene (1-3)|
|FanGraphs Win Probability | Statcast | Box Score | Game Thread|
Biggest Play of the Game
According to Fangraphs WPA statistic (winning percentage added), the biggest play of the game was Hunter Greene allowing a 3-run home run to Ryan McMahon with 1 out in the 5th inning, giving the Rockies a 4-1 lead. That play decreased the Reds probability of winning by 20.9% (from 34.8% to 13.9%).
Tommy Pham had a pair of doubles and 4 hits overall to continue his strong play of late. He had a nice piece of baserunning after one of the doubles in the 4th. He advanced to third on a tricky bloop single by Votto that looked like it was going to get caught, and then scored on Farmer sac fly.
Jonathan India had 3 hits, but 5 hard hit balls according to Statcast. India has a hit in each of his four game since returning from the IL, and he has a 5-game hit streak overall.
Nick Senzel also had a 2-hit night, including a double. Senzel is 6-14 with 1 walk in the last 4 games.
Exit velocity on the last five batted balls for Nick Senzel:
Hopefully starting to come around.
— Matt Wilkes (@_MattWilkes) April 30, 2022
Luis Castillo had a solid rehab start this evening for Louisville.
Not bad for Luis Castillo’s Triple-A debut ?
Final Line: 3.2 IP, 2 H, 0 ER, 5 K pic.twitter.com/XtMxNDW19k
— Louisville Bats (@LouisvilleBats) April 29, 2022
Hunter Greene had a fairly good looking start go by the wayside in the 5th inning when he gave up a 3-run home run to Ryan McMahon. The biggest thing that stuck out from his start was that his velocity was down for a second straight start. His average fastball velocity was around 96 MPH, but he did touch 99.1 in the 5th inning (the ball was smoked for a double however). He was throwing his slider much more tonight as well (47% of his pitches, his season average is 25%). Greene’s final line for the night: 4.1 IP, 6 H, 4 R, 4 BB, 6 K, 2 HR. The Rockies had 8 hard hit balls off Greene according to Statcast.
I'd be a liar if I said watching Hunter Greene throw 96-97 for a second start in a row didn't leave me feeling concerned.
Said it after his last start – I don't recall a game in the minors where he was in this range.
— Doug Gray (@dougdirt24) April 30, 2022
Phillip Diehl‘s return to Denver did not go nearly as well as his debut in Cincinnati. He got hit very hard and allowed the Rockies to put the Reds to bed. His final line: 0.2 IP, 5 H, 4 ER, 2 BB, 0 K.
The Reds officially only had 1 error – by Kyle Farmer of all players, but they had several plays that could have been made that really helped make this final score more lopsided. Pham had a rough night in leftfield.
Not so random thoughts…………
It’s not a lot of fun right now. I’m sure few want to hear it, but it will get better. The Reds are just one loss from matching the 2018 team’s 3-18 start. The positive is that despite that 2018 team losing 95 games, they had a really good stretch in June and July, going 28-22. A good stretch like that certainly wouldn’t change the course of this season, but it would at least be more enjoyable than what we are watching now.
Reds at Rockies
Saturday, 8:10 PM
TV: Bally Sports Ohio
Connor Overton (2.84 ERA/2.89 FIP*) vs Chad Kuhl (1.10 ERA/2.76 FIP)
*numbers at AAA-Louisville