|Washington Nationals (64-90)||7||9||0|
|Cincinnati Reds (79-75)||8||12||0|
|W: Warren (3-0) L: Thompson (0-2)|
|FanGraphs Win Probability | Statcast | Box Score | Game Thread|
The Cincinnati Reds fell behind 4-0 on Friday evening in a stadium that understandably felt lifeless. The Reds 2021 season is virtually over, but as this team has shown time and time again they never quit. They once again came roaring back.
Max Schrock got the Reds on the board with a 2-run home run. Then Delino DeShields made it a one run ballgame with his first home run as a Red. Nick Castellanos tied the game with his 30th home run of the season.
Eugenio Suarez continued his September resurgence and brought the Reds all the way back with his 28th home run of the season.
The Reds bullpen was really great, with the lone exception of Mychal Givens in the 9th. He gave up three runs to allow the Nationals to tie the game. Some poor execution from both teams got the game to the 11th inning, where Aristides Aquino leadoff with an infield single. TJ Friedl used his speed to score the winning run from second base. The Reds are now two wins away from finishing at least .500. It would be just the 4th time in the last 20 full seasons that the Reds finish at .500 or better.
Biggest Play of the Game
According to Fangraphs WPA statistic (winning percentage added), the biggest play of the game for the Reds was Eugenio Suarez 2-run home run with 2 outs in the 6th inning, giving the Reds a 6-4 lead. That play increased the Reds probability of winning by 27.5% (from 53.7% to 81.2%).
Max Schrock continued his impressive 2021 season with his third home run of the season. Schrock now has an .859 OPS on the season. Schrock looks like he could be a really nice utility guy for the Reds in 2022. If he keeps mashing RHP, he might find his way into a platoon role somewhere.
Delino DeShields hit his first big league home run since 2019. DeShields has been an easy target for criticism for the Reds September roster, but he has certainly played hard for a Reds team that has been searching for energy down the stretch.
Nick Castellanos hit his 30th home run of the season. He drove in another run with a single later. What a season for Nick.
Eugenio Suarez continued his monster September with his 5th home run of the month to put the Reds ahead in the 6th. Suarez had two hits on the night, and he is now hitting .318/.415/.727 in September.
Amir Garrett pitched a perfect inning against the heart of the Nationals order. Most impressively, he struck out Juan Soto to end his streak of reaching base in 12 straight plate appearances. Garrett has only allowed 2 runs in 8 innings in September (2.25 ERA). Let’s hope he has found something. The slider looked good tonight.
Michael Lorenzen pitched a perfect 7th inning. It was nice to see Lorenzen bounce back after the tough outing on Tuesday night.
Tony Santillan just continues to dominate as a reliever. He pitched a shutout inning to lower his ERA as RP this season to 1.94 in 19 appearances (23.2 IP, 10 BB, 32 K).
Lucas Sims is really looking like the dominant reliever that we thought he was going to be coming into the season. Over his last 13 games: 12.2 IP, 6 H, 2 R, 0 BB (!), 22 K (!), 1.48 ERA.
Aristides Aquino was 2 for 2 off the bench, and drove in the winning run.
TJ Friedl also had 2 hits tonight.
Sonny Gray had been rolling with a 2.25 ERA in his last 6 starts. He had massive control issues and only lasted 4 innings tonight (5 H, 4 ER, 4 BB, 3 K, 2 HR) against the tanking Washington Nationals. Baseball is stupid.
Mychael Givens did not have it in the 9th. He almost got out of his jam, but a single beating the shift with a .220 xBA tied the game.
Not so random thoughts……………..
-The Reds got their 79th win of the season tonight, which matches their pre-season projected win total by Fangraphs.
-The Cardinals swept a double-header today. That moves the Reds elimination number down to 3 (any combination of 3 Reds losses or Cardinals wins officially ends the Reds season). The Reds certainly made their own bed this September, but consider this:
*If the Cardinals had gone 8-6 instead of winning 14 straight, the Reds and Cardinals would be tied right now.
*If the Reds had gone 12-12 instead of 8-16 since August 28th, the Reds would still be within 2.0 games of the wild card despite the Cardinals 14 game win streak.
Just brutal that BOTH of those things happened simultaneously. #CardinalsDevilMagic
Nationals at Reds
Saturday, 7:10 PM
TV: Bally Sports Ohio
Vladimir Gutierrez (4.53 ERA) vs Erick Fredde (5.10 ERA)