The Cincinnati Reds welcome the 63-89 Washington Nationals to Great American Ball Park tonight for the start of a 4-game series. Every game from here on out is a must-win game for the Reds if they want to have any shot of making the playoffs. First pitch is set for 6:40pm tonight.
|Lane Thomas – CF||Jonathan India – 2B|
|Alcides Escobar – SS||Tyler Stephenson – C|
|Juan Soto – RF||Nick Castellanos – RF|
|Josh Bell – 1B||Joey Votto – 1B|
|Luis García – 2B||Kyle Farmer – SS|
|Keibert Ruiz – C||Eugenio Suárez – 3B|
|Carter Kieboom – 3B||Delino DeShields – LF|
|Andrew Stevenson – LF||Jose Barrero – CF|
|Patrick Corbin – SP||Luis Castillo – SP|
Since the beginning of June, Luis Castillo has made 20 starts and posted a 2.76 ERA in 124.0 innings with just 10 homers allowed and 133 strikeouts. Somehow he has only faced the Pirates once, in his second start of the season.
The splits for Luis Castillo are similar, but different. Righties have hit .259/.309/.422 against him this season. Lefties have hit .248/.349/.376 against him this season. The difference in OPS is just 7 points, but righties get there with more power and far fewer walks. Lefties show less power but draw walks more than twice as often. He’s pitched significantly better at home. His OPS against is 105 points lower in Cincinnati and his ERA is 3.19 (5.08 on the road).
Pitch usage from 2021
To say it’s been a tough year for Patrick Corbin would be an understatement. He is 8-15 with a 6.17 ERA and he’s given up a league worst 36 home runs in just 159.0 innings. In the last two years his strikeout rate has been in a free fall.
The lefty has had plenty of success against left-handed hitters, who have managed a .226/.287/.321 line with just 2 home runs in 152 plate appearances against him. But right-handed hitters have put up MVP caliber numbers, hitting .307/.361/.575 with 34 home runs in 546 plate appearances against him this season. On the road he’s posted a 6.05 ERA and hitters have an .821 OPS against him.
Pitch usage from 2021
When and Where
- Game time: 6:40pm ET
- Where: Great American Ball Park
- Watch: Bally Sports Ohio, MLB.tv
- Listen: 700 WLW AM (Cincinnati area)
- Forecast: 62°, cloudy, 15% chance of rain
Notes Worth Noting
Jesse Winker’s injury
David Bell noted pre-game that his intercostal injury is not as bad this time around as it was the previous time. The plan for the next few days is to start pushing forward to see how he responds.
Tyler Naquin update
He’s still struggling to improve. David Bell noted that he doesn’t foresee him returning in the regular season.
NL Central Standings
Playoff odds via Fangraphs