Cincinnati’s win on Saturday night tied the series up and the Reds will look to win on Sunday to take the series victory over the Detroit Tigers and hold onto the top spot in the wild card race.
|Akil Baddoo – CF||Jonathan India – 2B|
|Jonathan Schoop – 1B||Tyler Naquin – CF|
|Robbie Grossman – LF||Nick Castellanos – RF|
|Jeimer Candelario – 3B||Joey Votto – 1B|
|Eric Haase – C||Mike Moustakas – 3B|
|Niko Goodrum – SS||Kyle Farmer – SS|
|Victor Reyes – RF||Tucker Barnhart – C|
|Willi Castro – 2B||Max Schrock – LF|
|Casey Mize – SP||Luis Castillo – SP|
Outside of that one disastrous start in Cleveland on August 9th, Luis Castillo’s been one of the best pitchers in baseball over the last three months. Even accounting for that 8-run, 3.1 inning outing his ERA since the start of June is 2.84.
The splits for Luis Castillo are similar, but different. Righties have hit .260/.313/.421 against him this season. Lefties have hit .248/.353/.378 against him this season. The difference in OPS is just 4 points, but righties get there with more power and far fewer walks. Lefties show less power but draw walks more than twice as often. He’s pitched significantly better at home. His OPS against is 72 points lower in Cincinnati and his ERA is 3.57 (5.07 on the road).
Pitch usage from 2021
The 1st overall pick in the 2018 draft, Casey Mize is having a heck of a rookie season for Detroit in 2021. He’s made 25 starts and has a 3.59 ERA while throwing 135.1 innings. He doesn’t walk many batters, giving up just 39 free passes on the season, but he also doesn’t miss many bats – he has just 104 strikeouts on the season.
The splits are dramatic for Mize. Lefties have hit him well, posting a .258/.331/.533 line against him on the season with 16 home runs in 252 plate appearances. He has dominated righties, though, holding them to a .215/.281/.328 line with just 7 home runs in 299 plate appearances. His home and road splits are quite similar when it comes to OPS against and ERA. The one thing notable between the two, though, is that he’s allowed 15 home runs on the road in 74.2 innings and just 8 at home in 60.2 innings.
Pitch usage from 2021
When and Where
- Game time: 1:10pm ET
- Where: Great American Ball Park
- Watch: Bally Sports Ohio, MLB.tv
- Listen: 700 WLW AM (Cincinnati area)
- Forecast: 74°, cloudy, 17% chance of rain
News and Notes
Brad Brach activated, Alejo Lopez optioned
Prior to the game today the Cincinnati Reds activated Brad Brach from the 10-day injured list and optioned Alejo Lopez to Triple-A Louisville. You can read more about that here if you’re interested.
— Cincinnati Reds (@Reds) September 5, 2021
NL Central Standings
Playoff odds via Fangraphs