The Reds offense had a big night against an NL Cy Young contender for the second time in 12 days. The Reds scored 4 runs off Corbin Burnes. He entered the game having only allowed 1 run in his last 3 starts (21.0 IP). Unfortunately for the Reds, Michael Lorenzen did not have it for the first time in 2021. The Brewers scored 4 runs in the 7th inning to erase the Reds 4-1 lead.
The lead being lost was not even the worst thing to happen to the Reds. Tejay Antone pitched for the first time since June 24th. He only threw a couple pitches and had to leave the game win an injury. The Reds are now 8.5 games back in the NL Central, but still hold the second wild card spot.
|Milwaukee Brewers (77-49)||7||10||0|
|Cincinnati Reds (69-58)||4||7||0|
|W: Strickland (3-1) L: Lorenzen (0-1) S: Hader (27)|
|FanGraphs Win Probability | Statcast | Box Score | Game Thread|
Biggest Play of the Game
According to Fangraphs WPA statistic (winning percentage added), the biggest play of the game was Mychal Givens allowing an RBI double to Omar Navarez with 2 outs in the 8th inning to give the Brewers a 5-4 lead. That play decreased the Reds probability of winning by 14.3% (from 73.2% to 87.5%).
Tyler Mahle pitched like the big time pitcher that he is. He had a long 31-pitch first inning, but he was able to survive with just allowing 1 run. Mahle completely dominated the Brewers after that. He finished the night with the following line: 5.2 IP, 5 H, 1 R, 1 BB, 8 K.
Mike Moustakas had a massive, much needed hit in the 4th inning. The Reds had the bases loaded with 0 outs. Moustakas got behind 1-2 on a pair of really bad swings at pitches outside of the zone. Moustakas fought back and ripped a RBI single. The Moose would double in his next at-bat against Burnes. Moustakas really needed this night.
Kyle Farmer drove in a big run off Corbin Burnes to push the lead to 2-0.
Michael Lorenzen has been just incredible since coming back. He did not have it tonight. Mychal Givens retired 3 of the 4 batters that he faced, but the Brewers tied and took the lead in the process. It was a tough spot for Givens tonight.
You just have to feel completely awful for Tejay Antone. He was on the verge of turning into a star reliever and just has not been able to find a way to stay healthy.
Not so random thoughts………..
The Reds lack of a reliable left-handed reliever really showed tonight. The Brewers first three hitters in the lineup when the Reds bullpen came in were all left-handed. You don’t blame Bell for going Michael/Mychal, but it would have been a perfect spot for a good lefty reliever. You have to wonder if tonight will make the Reds think long and hard about using Lodolo in the bullpen sometime very soon.
Reds at Brewers
Wednesday, 8:10 PM
TV: Bally Sports Ohio
Luis Castillo (3.84 xERA) vs Brandon Woodruff (3.12 xERA)