The Reds (65-57) open a 4 game series tonight at GABP versus the Miami Marlins (51-70). Game time is 7:10pm.
There is good news and bad news to report on the playoff front. The Reds are still just 1.5 games arears of the Padres and 2.5 games ahead of the Cardinals in the Wild Card chase. That’s the good news. The bad news is they are now 9.5 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central. But thank the Brewers for beating the Cardinals the last 2 nights to keep them behind the Reds.
Following 2 losses to the Cubs, it behooves the Reds to get the ship righted and back on course post haste starting tonight.
Reds ace Luis Castillo will face off against righthander Nick Neidert for the Marlins
April and May went badly for Castillo; but, come June he found his groove. In 12 starts from June 4 through August 4, Castillo was a true ace. During this run, he allowed an ERA/FIP of 1.91/3.23 over 75.1 innings. After hitting a speed bump in his second August start on the 9th, Castillo bounced back with a strong effort in his most recent start.
Reds fans well know Castillo’s key by now. When he throw strikes and controls his location within the strike zone, he is virtually unhittable. When misses locations within or out of the zone, he struggles.
By way of review, expect Castillo to throw his 97MPH 4 seam fastball about half the time. His real money pitch is his 87MPH change up which he uses just less than a third of the time. It dives and often backs up like a screwball as it does. He fills out with 85MPH slider. This is his favorite to get righthand batters chasing out of the zone.
Nick Neidert, a not quite 25year old right hander, was a late announcement as the Marlins starting pitcher. Neidert was the #60 overall (2nd round) pick by Seattle in the 2015 draft and subsequently traded to the Marlins in December of 2017. He will be making his 6th start tonight in his 7th MLB appearance of 2021. Neidert throws a 92MPH 4 seam fastball on about half of his pitches and an 85MPH slider on just less than a third of his offerings. He fills out with a change up and a curve. The change comprises about 14% of his offerings at around 84Mph and the curve about 9% at 74MPH.
Pitching Tale of The Tape
Reds need to jump all over that BB% of Neidert
Jeff Hoffman worked 2 innings (22 pitches) on Wednesday. Sean Doolittle and Justin Wilson each worked an inning. Hoffman threw 22 pitches on the heels of throwing 13 on Tuesday. Count him as unlikely tonight. Wilson added 18 pitches to the 5 he had thrown on Tuesday and is questionable. Doolittle threw just 10 pitches and should be available.
The Marlins used 5 relievers on Wednesday to cover 6 innings of work. 3 pitchers threw over 20 pitches each topping out with Luis Madero at 47. Old friend former Red Dylan Floro has not worked since Sunday.
|1. Miguel Rojas (SS)
2. Isan Diaz (2B)
3. Jesus Aguilar (1B)
4. Jesus Sanchez (RF)
5. Brian Anderson (3B)
6. Jorge Alfaro (LF)
7. Alex Jackson (C)
8. Bryan De La Cruz (CF)
9. Nick Neidert (P)
|1. Jonathan India (2B)
2. Tyler Naquin (CF)
3. Nick Castellanos (RF)
4. Joey Votto (1B)
5. Tyler Stephenson (C)
6. Mike Moustakas (3B)
7. Kyle Farmer (SS)
8. Aristides Aquino (LF)
9. Luis Castillo (P)
News, Notes and Thoughts
New Prospect List!
Things are looking up in the Reds minor league system where Cincinnati has 4 prospects in the MLB Pipeline Top 100 list. As always Doug Gray has them covered at RedsMinorLeagues.com.
Not so great news on Jesse Winker
This is not the news Reds fans had hoped to hear about Jesse Winker…. but it sounds like he’s going to be out longer than initially expected. We covered it, as well as an update on Tejay Antone and his return here.
Sad but true the Reds have fallen -9.5 games to the Brewers. Increasingly the Reds only true shot at the post season appears to be the second NL Wild Card position. Thus we give you:
National League Wild Card Standings
(Top 2 teams qualify for wild card play in)
WHEN: 7:10pm EDT
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