After an offensive struggle in last night’s 2-1 game, the Cincinnati Reds and Chicago Cubs will take the field this afternoon with the winner taking the 3-game series. First pitch is set for 12:35pm today.
|Rafael Ortega – CF||Jonathan India – 2B|
|Frank Schwindel – 1B||Joey Votto – 1B|
|Ian Happ – LF||Nick Castellanos – RF|
|Matt Duffy – 3B||Mike Moustakas – 3B|
|David Bote – 2B||Aristides Aquino – LF|
|Michael Hermosillo – RF||Tyler Naquin – CS|
|Robinson Chirinos – C||Jose Barrero – SS|
|Sergio Alcantara – SS||Tucker Barnhart – C|
|Adrian Sampson – SP||Tyler Mahle – SP|
What started in 2020 as a breakout for Tyler Mahle has continued through the 2021 season. He’s made 24 starts this year, going 10-3 with a 3.58 ERA, walked 45 batters, and struck out 155 in 130.2 innings. He’s really been on a roll over the last month, making five starts and posting a 2.40 ERA.
There are rather large splits when it comes to pitching for Tyler Mahle. Righties have hit him well, posting a .266/.336/.512 line against him with 15 home runs in 287 plate appearances. Lefties, though, have hit just .177/.260/.268 with three home runs against him in 259 plate appearances. Night and day. His home and road splits are almost identical. He’s given up 15 home runs in Cincinnati and just three on the road despite making two more starts on the road. The OPS difference is 303 points higher in Great American Ball Park. His ERA at home is 5.74 and just 1.86 on the road.
Pitch usage from 2021
Today will mark the first time that Adrian Sampson will pitch in the big leagues since September 27th of 2019. He spent all of 2019 with the Texas Rangers posting a 5.89 ERA as he split time between the rotation and the bullpen. In 2020 he played in Korea where he made 25 starts with a 5.40 ERA. This season the 29-year-old has pitched in Triple-A Iowa where he’s had a 4.96 ERA with 33 walks and 61 strikeouts in 81.2 innings and given up 19 (!) home runs.
IN the minors this year righties have hit .310/.383/.573 against him. Lefties have hit .265/.347/.490 against him. On paper, the Cincinnati Reds offense should be able to crush a low strikeout, high home run allowing in Triple-A pitcher. But they play the games for a reason.
When and Where
- Game time: 12:35pm ET
- Where: Great American Ball Park
- Watch: Bally Sports Ohio, MLB.tv,
- Listen: 700 WLW AM (Cincinnati area)
- Forecast: 81°, cloudy, 5% chance of rain
News and Notes
Despite the loss on Tuesday, the Reds did not lose ground in the wild card race as the San Diego Padres also lost last night.
Joey Votto is going into the Hall of Fame
This morning C. Trent Rosecrans and Jayson Stark of The Athletic teamed up to write about Joey Votto and how he’s a Hall of Famer who just hasn’t yet been inducted.
Hunter Greene ejected, 2nd rounder debuts
Last night saw Hunter Greene ejected after throwing a 102 MPH fastball behind a batter following the 3rd home run allowed in the first three innings of the game. Down in Arizona at the complex league level the Reds 2nd round pick Andrew Abbott made his professional debut. More details on both of those things at RedsMinorLeagues.com if that’s something you’re interested in reading more about.
NL Central Standings
Playoff odds via Fangraphs