Final R H E
Chicago Cubs (50-52) 4 8 0
Cincinnati Reds (52-49) 7 11 0
W: Gutierez (5-3) L: Alzolay (4-11)
FanGraphs Win Probability | Statcast | Box Score | Game Thread


37 year old, Joey Votto continues to defy all logic with his 2021 season. The future first ballot hall-of-famer hit two home runs and made an incredible defensive play. Votto now has 17 home runs on the season in just 72 games. That is a 38 home run pace over 162 games.

Jesse Winker got the offense started with his 21st home run in the first inning.

Vladimir Gutierez gave the Reds a much needed deep start. He only allowed two runs through 6.1 innings. He also struck out five batters in his return to the rotation.

The Cubs brought the tying run to the plate in both the 7th and 8th innings, but the Reds went deep into their bullpen as Sean Doolittle and Jeff Hoffman got out of the jams. The Reds added three big insurance runs in the top of the 9th. Amir Garrett finished off the Cubs in the bottom of the 9th, and left Javier Baez in the on-deck circle.

Biggest Play of the Game


Source: FanGraphs
According to Fangraphs WPA statistic (winning percentage added), the biggest play of the game for the Reds was Joey Votto’s second home run of the day, a solo home run with 2 outs in the 3rd inning, giving the Reds a 4-2 leadThat play increased the Reds probability of winning by 11.0% (from 57.9% to 68.8%).

Positives

What more can you possibly say about Joey Votto? What he is doing this year is just special. Make sure that you are truly enjoying this man and his career in a Reds uniform.

Vladimir Gutierrez was sensational. He gave David Bell and the Reds 6.1 innings of 2-run baseball. The most impressive part of his start was that he only allowed 3 hard-hit balls all night according to Statcast (that is coming on the heels of Miley allowing 8 hard-hit balls yesterday in 4.1 innings, and Gray allowing 7 hard-hit balls in 3.1 innings on Sunday). Vlad’s final line: 6.1 IP, 5 H, 2 R, 3 BB, 5 K.

If for some reason you were worried about Jesse Winker‘s struggles around the all-star break, fear no more. Winker hit his 21st home run of the season. He entered play hitting .433/.485/.733 in his previous 7 games.

Eugenio Suarez hit a solo home run and played some fantastic defense tonight. That was great to see.

Kyle Farmer played fantastic defense and collected 3 hits. His OPS is now to .707. You can’t say enough good things about the job that he has done.

Sean Doolittle and Jeff Hoffman got the job done tonight. It wasn’t pretty (both guys allowed a walk), but they did it.

Aristides Aquino doubled in a big insurance run in a pinch-hit spot in the top of the 9th. Aquino collected two more bases this evening than the guy that started over him, in three less trips to the plate.

Amir Garrett came in after Garcia struggled and finished off the Cubs. The Cubs left Javier Baez in the on-deck circle. You hate to see it.

Negatives

The Pirates traded their scheduled starting pitcher tonight, Tyler Anderson. They proceeded to get beat 9-0 by the Brewers. Reds remain 7.0 back in the division.

Edgar Garcia gave up two solo bombs in the 9th. His ERA is now up to 16.62. The Reds might want to get a fresh arm for Edgar.

Not so random thoughts………………

You certainly did not need any additional reasons to admire Joey Votto, but here is another one. I don’t know about you, but I am darn proud that he has worn a Reds uniform for 15 seasons.

Up Next:

Reds at Cubs
Wednesday, 8:05 PM
TV: Bally Sports Ohio
Tyler Mahle (3.92 ERA/3.73 xERA) vs Zach Davies (4.30 ERA/5.69 xERA)

55 Responses

  1. Bet on Red

    I believe the Anderson trade has hit a snag. Still close enough they dont want to run him out there, but its not complete yet.

    • Jim Walker

      Latest I’ve seen is that Anderson now looks to be going to the Mariners instead of the Phillies but like the prior rumored deal with the Phils, this is not official as of Midnight Tuesday into Wednesday.

    • Bet on Red

      Correction, SEA swooped in there and got him

    • JayTheRed

      Where is he going or supposedly going?

  2. kevinz

    Wonderful sight to see for Votto.
    Change made is surely creating damage.
    Which is what he was striving for.
    He is reminding us how Great he can be.

    • JayTheRed

      Even when Votto had his down seasons I have always thought of him as a great hall of fame potential player.

      Also shout out to Farmer defying everyone’s expectations. 3rd best fielding percentage in the game at SS. I’ll take that.

      • Maloney63

        I did not know that! Great job Farmer! And he’s getting some big clutch hits! He’s actually performing better than most of the SSs everyone wanted us to go after in the offseason. And for FAR less money!

      • kevinz

        Same here was always Hopeful Votto would be a HOF.
        Thought HR total might hurt his Case.
        Yea saw during TV broadcast tonight.
        Shocked about Farmer.
        But has made some Nice Plays.
        Now his Hard hit balls finding Holes.
        Plus more power as well.

    • Grand Salami

      And he’s the oldest NL player to homer in 4 straight, not ‘since’ anyone, bc we all know about the other guy.

  3. Melvin

    Good job Nick. Seeing Votto IS special and we should enjoy it. He’s a Hall Of Famer on the field but more importantly, and much harder, off the field too. I like what you said about AA as well.

  4. JayTheRed

    This is a little off topic but has anyone heard any whisper whine or rumor about anyone the Reds are looking at. I can’t find anything anywhere. Trade Deadline is almost here. Reds need to fix the bullpen, or at least attempt to make some changes there.

    • Indy Red Man

      I saw where the Phillies are asking about Buxton/Twins. Eric Davis type talent, but guy is hurt as much as Senzel. How do you pay a guy like that big money?

      I doubt the Reds do much. They can look at 2021 as a lost season and say “what if” about all the pitching injuries. Why give up the future when you’re atleast 20-1 to make the playoffs. Who do you sell if you think you’ll be close in 2022?

      That equals nothing getting done imo. We’ll see? We could use a lefty thats signed thru next year

  5. Indy Red Man

    I remember listening to ESPN or somebody on the radio this spring and they said Joey was a longshot for the HOF. I hope not? He’s been a great hitter and a great guy either way!

    Aquino should be playing every day! We’re not catching Milw so find out what you don’t know. Look at how much confidence India gained by getting to play every day. He didn’t look that great thru May.

    • Jim Walker

      Aquino is at a window of opportunity right now physically and mentally. I’ve been right about many guys and wrong about many guys being the next great thing; so, I don’t know any more than anyone else about how AA will turn out if they give him a clear shot over this time Castellanos is injured.

      However, there may never be another time for him when everything seems so in sync to succeed if he ever is going to succeed, at least not as a Red. Never forget Edwin Encarnacion’s long and winding way to stardom and how the Reds missed out on him.

      • Jim Walker

        Above was meant to say:
        ….. if he ever is going to succeed, at least as a Red.

      • Slicc50

        What I like about Aquino is he has a short memory. He may look bad for an AB or two. He seems to be able to put those behind him and be ready for the next one. He has a knack for getting big hits!

      • CI3J

        The only reason EE never made it with the Reds was because Jerry Narron seemed to have some personal vendetta against him and looked for any reason at all to bench him instead of encouraging him and letting him play. As soon as he went somewhere that just let him play and not feel like he had to always be looking over his shoulder, suddenly he became the star the Reds thought he could be.

        Bell’s treatment of Aquino thus far has reminded me a little of that. I sincerely hope Aquino makes the most of this opportunity where Bell’s hand has been forced into playing him.

      • Jim Walker

        @Slicc50, I think AA does have or at least is developing constructive memory though. He seemed agitated the 2nd time when Hendricks got him Monday on the same pitch as 1st time. I think he had guessed right what was coming and thought he had it covered only to foul tip it into the catcher’s glove for strike 3. BTW it was also some effort by Contreras to control that foul tip.

      • Scott C.

        I remember. Some guys take a little time.

      • Roger Garrett

        I agree about AA.I know nothing about nothing but I just never though he got much of a chance.He is more then a home run guy although his power is awesome.He can run,he will take a walk.hit the ball the other way,and yes he does strike out a lot.He could walk on water right now though and he will still share time with Shogo and will set once Nick returns cause the Reds don’t believe in him but would not expose his to waivers in fear he would kill it some place else.He is no different then India or Ty Steve in that you give him 450 at bats and lets see but it won’t happen.Dude is 27 and can play so let him play.Shogo is a slap hitting dude at 32 on the downside of his career and is in no way comparable to AA.Its not even close.

    • Steve

      Don’t listen to anyone that says Votto is a longshot for the Hall of Fame. 25th All-time in career OBP, 1 MVP award and two other top 3 finishes…he’s in the hall of fame

  6. Indy Red Man

    Will Clark .303 career, 284 HRS, .880 ops
    Playoffs .333, 5 HRs, .956 ops, 1 WS got swept

    Joey .303 career, 310 HRS, ..934 ops
    Playoffs .178, 0 HRs, .401 ops. Joey did hit 7-18 (.389) in 2012 when we should’ve beat SF

    I doubt Clark gets in, but Candlestick did him no favors. Joey? I hope so. Will his career batting average fall under .300? Thats seems like a statistical thing that the nerds voters live for.

    • Jim Walker

      Votto: bWAR 61.8 and growing. one would hope this gets the job done by the time he is being voted on.
      Clark: bWAR 56.5

    • Indy Red Man

      Andres Gallaraga .288 career, 399 HRs, .846 ops. He’s not getting in either, but I don’t know what these veteran committees will do? Me and the Big Cat will probably be dead by then anyway so who cares

      • JB

        236 Homers came in Colorado. Voters wont put him in. Plus better players than him are in line still.

  7. Redhaze

    Reds just got Luis Cessa and Justin Wilson from the Yankees. HERE WE GO

      • Bet on Red

        MLBTR just breaking story Luis Cessa and Justin Wilson for PTBNL which is undoubtedly one of this years first rounders

      • Bet on Red

        One hundred percent. The PTBNL is a guess but what we are getting from the yankees is not

  8. Bet on Red

    Krall did it. 2 relievers from the Yankees for a PTBNL thataboy other Nick

  9. Indy Red Man

    Cessa is pretty good and homer happy gabp will be no shock after pitching in that tiny little park. I like it!!

    What does 2022 Arb & 2023 Arb indicate? That he goes to arbitration and the REds have his rights for the next 2 years?

  10. Indy Red Man

    Cessa’s last 12 innings = 2 earned runs

  11. Indy Red Man

    Yankee fans on youtube think they might be getting Castillo…..lollllllllllllllll

    Naquin maybe?

  12. Hanawi

    Can you trade someone that’s currently injured? Maybe that’s why it is a PTBNL. Like Rece Hinds (though he probably isn’t enough).

    • Bet on Red

      Yes, you can trade an injured player. Its not Nick C going back. I dont think its Naquin after the season either. Should be a prospect

      • Bob Purkey

        Can’t believe it’s Shogo. The Yanks dump Wilson’s salary to pick up Shogo? Have trouble thinking that is what the Yanks are doing.

    • Hotto4Votto

      Hinds is way too much to give up. The Reds did the Yankees a favor by taking on Wilson’s salary (and buyout on option) and helping them clear roster space. The PTBNL should be someone outside our top 30 prospects, likely a teenager in complex ball.

  13. Hanawi

    Sounds like Wilson was a salary dump so that had room to add other players, so maybe the Reds didn’t have to give up much for the two of them.

    • Bet on Red

      Maybe, but still better then Osach

    • Melvin

      Sounds like we’re adding to payroll doesn’t it? Makes me think we’re sending back someone we owe money to.

      • Bet on Red

        at the very least it disproves the we are not willing to add payroll narative

      • Melvin

        Kind of shocking. Unless there are more deals to come that will shed some.

  14. 2020ball

    Farmer has been very impressive for me, the team’s looked far better with him in there full-time, even when he wasnt hitting. If he can hit for a .700 OPS, that would be great. That said, his last 28 days he’s OPS’d 1.000. Would be a big boost if he can continue his breakout.

  15. CFD3000

    Vintage Votto last night. Loved the home runs of course, but loved his enthusiasm more. Votto having fun and Castellanos so focused and motivated seems to be inspiring the rest of the team as well. But the play I loved was the foul-out throw out DP to end the 3rd. The only way Votto makes that play is if he’s thought it all through in advance. IF there’s a pop-up down the line that I have to chase down or catch with my back to the plate then maybe the runner tags to score and I have to come up throwing. No chance that happens except Votto had envisioned it and was ready when it actually did. That’s a ball player! Great night for JDV and the Reds.

    • Melvin

      The thing that impressed me the most was his arm. I didn’t know he could throw that hard. He was drafted as a catcher from what I understand so I guess that makes sense.

  16. Klugo

    I though today seemed like a huge step forward for Vlad and his big league career. He was pitching with confidence.

    And yeah, Votto, man. What else can be said? He’s an all-time great Red.

  17. wkuchad

    No disrespect to Fangraphs WPA statistic (winning percentage added), but the biggest play of the game for the Reds IMO was Votto’s defensive gem. I screamed louder on that play than any of the homeruns. Go Reds!

  18. Hotto4Votto

    I’m here for the Hot Votto Summer! Very impressive what he’s done in the recent run, but really all season has been a consistent producer. Vlad with a much needed solid start in his return to the rotation. Way to step up. If anyone has followed Vlad’s minor league career, he tends to get better as the season progresses. Each of his three minor league seasons, his July/August ERA was lower than his ERA for the season. Hoping he continues that trend.
    That bullpen sure did wanna make it interesting in the 9th. Glad Garrett could shut this one down. Never sad to see Baez left waiting on deck.

  19. Scott C

    Nick, I agree with MR B in your post about Votto. WOW. What a guy!!!
    I also saw Joey calling down the little boy from the stands and giving him the baseball. WOW. What a guy!!! Let’s enjoy watching Joey.

  20. Dennis Westrick

    Unfortunately Nick, I don’t share your optimism about JV being a 1st ballot Hall of Famer! JV has the stats and meets the longevity criteria but he is not a big name outside the Cincy market I’m afraid. He’s not “flashy” but has a great attitude and works hard at his trade! I hope I’m wrong because I do believe he belongs in the HOF someday! We’ll see!