The Cincinnati Reds will go for the series win this evening as they try to win their 6th straight game over the St. Louis Cardinals. First pitch is set for 7:10pm ET.

Starting Lineups

St. Louis Cardinals

Cincinnati Reds

Dylan Carlson – RF Jonathan India – 2B
Paul Goldschmidt – 1B Jesse Winker – LF
Nolan Arenado – 3B Joey Votto – 1B
Tyler O’Neill – LF Tyler Naquin – RF
Paul DeJong – SS Eugenio Suárez – 3B
Tommy Edman – 2B Kyle Farmer – SS
Harrison Bader – CF Tucker Barnhart – C
Andrew Knizner – C Shogo Akiyama – CF
Jake Woodford – SP Luis Castillo – SP

Starting Pitchers

Luis Castillo

After a disastrous start to the season, Luis Castillo has turned things around in a big way over the last two months. Since June began he’s made 9 starts with a 1.76 ERA in 56.1 innings and allowed just two home runs. Opponents have hit just .178/.277/.234 against him in that span.

His splits haven’t really been that much different on the season as a whole. Lefties have a .727 OPS against him while righties have a .695 OPS against him. Lefties do walk a lot more, but they hit for a little less power. His home ERA is 4.28 and his road ERA is 4.50 and the OPS difference is just .002.

Pitch usage from 2021

4-Seam 2-Seam Slider Change
Velo 96.9 97.2 85.9 87.9
Usage 28.5% 22.7% 19.0% 29.8%

Jake Woodford

Ah, yes, the guy that Nick Castellanos flexed on. Woodford will be getting just his second start of the year in the big leagues. He made 17 relief appearances with the Cardinals between April and the end of June, but did made three starts in Triple-A Memphis in early July before returning last week to St. Louis to start against the Cubs. He threw 5.2 innings of 1-run, 6-strikeout baseball in that start.

The splits for Jake Woodford are extreme. Right-handed hitters have a .158/.324/.246 line against him this season with 10 walks and 15 strikeouts in 74 plate appearances. They draw a ton of walks, but so far they haven’t made any sort of good contact against him. Lefties on the other hand are hitting .351/.400/.632 against him with 4 walks and 12 strikeouts in 65 plate appearances this year.

Pitch usage from 2021

4-Seam 2-Seam Slider Curve Change
Velo 92.3 91.9 83.0 76.6 84.9
Usage 28.8% 30.4% 23.0% 15.2% 2.5%

When and Where

  • Game time: 7:10pm ET
  • Where: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati
  • Watch: Bally Sports Ohio, MLB.tv,
  • Listen: 700 WLW AM (Cincinnati area)
  • Forecast: ­85°, partly cloudy, 1% chance of rain

News and Notes

Reds trade Mark Payton to the Mets

The Cincinnati Reds “traded” outfielder Mark Payton to the Mets today. Traded is a weird word to use given that New York sent $75,000 in cash to Cincinnati for Payton. The Reds designated him for assignment earlier this week and instead of hoping their claim went through, the Mets felt he was worth acquiring via a check instead.

Max Schrock called up

The Reds also made a roster move this afternoon, calling up Max Schrock from Triple-A Louisville. He’s taking the spot on the roster that was vacated by R.J Alaniz, who was placed on the 10-day injured list with a strained left calf.

NL Central Standings

Playoff odds via Fangraphs

Team W L GB Playoff %
Brewers 57 41 0 91.%
Reds 50 47 6.5 10.6%
Cardinals 49 49 8.0 3.1%
Cubs 48 50 9.0 2.5%
Pirates 37 60 19.5 0.0%

218 Responses

  1. Jeff in TN

    Cubs and Cardinals standings in the playoff odds section are reversed…

  2. Frankie Tomatoes

    As they say you can’t sweep them tomorrow if you don’t beat them today.

  3. Dennis Westrick

    Hope it’s hotter than Hades in Cincy! We all know LC pitches better when in warmer weather!

  4. JB

    Let’s score alot and give Hembree and Brach the night off.

  5. dhmorgan

    India must have a very discerning eye at the plate, because he seems to walk a lot.

    • Mark Moore

      Him and that other Kid. Both of them seem to have a good sense of the zone and what to do with pitches.

  6. Mark Moore

    3-up, 3-down (thanks to the DP) and a 5-pitch walk to open our half.

    Let’s see if tonight’s HP ump can find the strike zone with both hands, a map, and a flashlight.

    And then Da Wink!

  7. Indy Red Man

    Shrock coming back. I like it! Hope he gets a start soon like Lopez did.

    Arenado .800 ops for $35 mil/year? No thank you. Good player and great defensively, but the Coors effect always clouds everything. Signing him never worried me for a second.

  8. Mark Moore

    That was a pretty good pitch. Just froze JV in place.

  9. dhmorgan

    If Suarez is going to hit his once a week home run, now would be a good time.

  10. Bet on Red

    ALright, Suarez a grand slam will get RLN to stop talking smack about you for at least 5 minutes

  11. Mark Moore

    Make or break here for Geno. He just needs to go with a pitch and find green or at least deep enough to plate India.

  12. Rex

    that is a weird at bat for geno…I was thinking double play all the way for some reason

  13. MBS

    Really don’t understand why Barnhart is to batting ahead of Suarez and Farmer. He’s been a much better hitter than those 2 guys.

    • Mark Moore

      I was baffled as well. Maybe Farmer, but not Suarez. No reason at all to bat him ahead of most anyone (including Shogo).

  14. Mark Moore

    Only pushed him to 18 pitches to boot.

    Warm night, so let’s see LC work some magic and then pile on with crooked numbers.

  15. Bet on Red

    Not good. Need to exploit opportunities like that. I got Schrock on a travel day, but yet again Lopez is on the bench in a place where LH batters have the advantage.

    • MBS

      To be fair LHB have the advantage 80% of the games. That shouldn’t be the primary reason for who starts. After saying that, yes Suarez needs some pine time.

  16. Mark Moore

    No productive AB and then THAT? Sorry, I’m really soured on him. I think his head is totally messed up at this point all the way around. He needs to sit for several games and “think about what he’s done (or not done)”.

    • Arthur

      My vote would be for him to sit and think about things from now thru the end of September.

  17. Mark A Verticchio

    Bells allegiance to Suarez is really hurting this team, Schrock or Lopez would have made sense tonight.

    • RedAlert

      Can’t fix managerial cluelessness – follows Bell like a dark cloud

      No MLB manager in their right mind would continue to run Suarez out there no bat him fifth in the lineup on top of that

      How does performance not matter – just unbelievable !!!!!

  18. Indy Red Man

    2-0 count and 92 mph right.down.broadway and Geno pops it up. This guy wears me out. All the pointless/time wasting stats in baseball and they don’t give you runners stranded. Wink/Nick/Joey in front of him….he has to be on some kind of record pace? Every week he has 2-3 games where he strands 6-9 guys!

    Also worn out with India going station to station. Both those hits were right at guys, but whats wrong with hit-n-run once in a blue moon? Guys only throwing 92? He’s not missing bats.

    Bright note…Naquin 13 for his last 42 (.309). Good ballplayer….not great, but useful!

  19. Bet on Red

    Cant assume the Double play but COMMON MAN

    • Mark Moore

      Yeah. That last camera angle showed just how bad the throw was.

    • RedAlert

      Reds NEVER TRY TO SCORE ON BASE HITS – not sold on third base coach at all – dude is way to conservative for me

      Make sure we play from
      Behind again – every stinking game , every game

      • RedAlert

        Bout sick of Harrison Bader killing this team

  20. MBS

    Who’s expecting an error by TB now? Lol

    • Mark Moore

      No, really, now would be a great time for another.

  21. VaRedsFan

    India needs to learn to eat those no chance DPs. Slowly hit to 3rd, and you are never turning 2 unless molina or Votto are running.

  22. Indy Red Man

    2 bases on a single? Is that legal?

  23. Old-school

    Suarez and farmer worst left side of infield in mlb and its not close

    Reds should have 3 runs

    Farmer is a 26th roster guy

    Suarez needs to sit

    He just needs to sit

  24. Indy Red Man

    Mike Mou$takis…another wonderful signing. $16-18/mil a year for a guy in his 30s with a .750 career ops. Almost to the level of paying David Dimwit bailey $50/mil apiece for 2 no-nos

  25. Bet on Red

    got to appreciate the speed of Shogo there

  26. JB

    Why not send Akiyama. If he gets out India leads off the 3rd.

  27. Old-school

    Only way reds win game is gabp homers

    Castellanos isnt there
    Someone has to homer

    • Mark Moore

      Or do what we just did there … 🙂

  28. RedAlert

    Guy pitching for stupid Cards ain’t got squat

  29. Mark Moore

    That’s what I’m talking about!!!

  30. VaRedsFan

    Winker emerging from slump…..vs righties at least.

    • Arthur

      Big hit by Winker going the other way vs the shift – something he was not doing during his slump.

      But don’t forget – those 2 runs scored because Shogo hustled and beat out an infield hit. He isn’t a burner, but I don’t think any other Red beats that throw.

  31. Mark A Verticchio

    Lets recap Suarez so far tonight, Bases loaded 1 out, short fly out on 2-0 pitch. Second inning error to lead off inning, cost run and drives up pitch count. Would somebody please wake Bell up.

    • MBS

      Suarez is part of what will be know as the Lost Season of 2021 for the Reds. The Reds can’t afford to let seasons like this slip away, but they did. A few small moves could have made a huge impact.

      • Indy Red Man

        Its mostly been injuries though. Moose/Senzel hurt as well so they’re not getting average production at 3B with or without Geno.

        Bullpen? Lorenzen 1 inning on the year. Antone/Sims both hurt. Warren’s hurt. Sonny has been on the IL 3 times too. No way they could catch Milw with their pitching and superior health. Wong is about their only key guy thats missed time.

      • Rex

        Bell is an analytics guy who follows the numbers

      • Indy Red Man

        Small moves though…..yes you’re right imo! They could’ve sat Geno in June and got some improvement from Schrock/Lopez/Barrero (SS) and Farmer to 3B and 1-2 decent arms from somewhere. Wouldn’t have cost them that much and we’d be 3-4 games better atleast

      • MBS

        Without MM getting hurt India might be our best prospect in AA right now. But you’re right, injuries have hurt us this year. I was referring to trading for 1 good BP arm, or 2 decent ones. Also the Crew grabbed the most obvious SS on the market in Adames. It cost the Brewers a couple of BP arms, we could have given a comparable value in prospects out of ur top 10 guys.

      • LDS

        Sorry folks but Bell may claim to be an ‘analytics’ guy but there is no real evidence.

  32. Indy Red Man

    Not a Shogo fan, but his hustle led to 2 runs there. He hit that ball fairly hard so even with the SS taking his time, it was impressive to beat it out. Otherwise its a 1-2-3 inning. He could be a solid defensive OFer which can really help the Reds on the road in the bigger parks.

  33. Mark Moore

    Yes, yes, YES!!! Love our DP combo!

  34. Old-school

    Gabp is packed
    India and Winker solid at 1/2

  35. Bet on Red

    Nick…. “oh I would have lunch with Woodford”. Isnt that a flex ontop of a flex

  36. Dennis Westrick

    Speaking of Nick, gotta hold the fort until he comes back! A 6 game lead can disappear in a week!

    • Mark Moore

      Are you allowed to watch tonight, Dennis?

      Asking for some friends …

      • Dennis Westrick

        Don’t have TV coverage here in Florida! Following the game on ESPN website and checking comments on this blog! My heart couldn’t take it if I could actually watch a game live!

      • JB

        The GoFundMe isnt going well. We got a wooden nickel, a used match stick and a bottle cap.

  37. Indy Red Man

    Farmer hitting .340 in July! He could slide to 3B and be a defensive improvement over Geno. That leaves Barrero vs Geno and Barrero is hitting .301 overall in the minors with 11 hrs/11 steals. So right off the bat you’re improving defensively and with your team speed before you even factor in their bats.

    • Old-school

      Senzel is the replacement

      Moose interview looks like 3-4 weeks

      Suarez is just awful

      • Mark Moore

        At least 3-4 weeks. Even at that, he won’t be ready for full-time service anyway. It’s a nagging kind of injury.

  38. MBS

    I’m with Larkin, no pitcher ever should be MVP, unless that pitcher is Shohei Ohtani

    • Bet on Red

      whom the reason he would be MVP is not due to Pitching alone

      • MBS

        The 34 HR, and the 1.030 OPS sure help, lol

    • Indy Red Man

      Didn’t hear the conversation, but you would think Lark would remember the one exception to that because they played at the same time. Orel Hershiser that one year was everything. Won every game regular season and playoffs. He was unbelievable

  39. JB

    Cant believe Delong didnt score on that double. Reds will trade for him at the deadline. His base running will fit right in.

    • Mark Moore

      I’d take him if we can get Bader as well to play CF.

      • Dennis Westrick

        +100 Bader has been a thorn in the side of the Reds ever since he was acquired by the Cards!

  40. Dennis Westrick

    One change in the MLB rules that, as a baseball traditionalist, didn’t bother me was the intentional walk no longer requiring the pitcher to throw 4 useless pitches! Plus, it speeds up the game!

    • Mark Moore

      Agreed. The actual pitching was wasted activity on the off chance that something crazy might happen.

      • Bet on Red

        but it was worth it for the occasional wild pitch and lean over and hit.

    • LDS

      Totally disagree. I remember Pete Rose smacking a ball down the line on an IBB, not to mention the opportunity for a PB or a WP. None of these happen frequently but they do. Speeding up the game is a lousy reason for rule changes.

      • Mark Moore

        Pete was a unicorn in that way. I’d still rather skip the theatrics. But that’s just me.

    • DataDumpster

      There was also a key play in the WS or playoffs when there was a 3-1 count on Bench and they (Oakland?) called for the IBB. They fooled Johnny and threw a low outside edge screamer that Bench struck out on.
      It’s amazing they can’t find better ways to speed up the game. The 3 man rule has been the only rule change that makes sense thus far. And don’t even talk about this ghost runner garbage unless you’re in favor of the 10 run forfeit.

  41. Bet on Red

    Mahle take notes… this is how you pitch into the 6th

    • Dennis Westrick

      Has Joey discovered the Fountain of Youth?

      • MBS

        I think he discovered leverage. The further down the bat handle the more power he can generate on a swing.

        Meanwhile Suarez needs to learn the opposite, choke up a bit Suarez, couldn’t hurt.

  42. Dennis Westrick

    LC at 79 pitches thru 5 innings! Hope for a 1-2-3 6th! In the meantime, time for a Crooked Number!

    • Mark Moore

      Well, Joey heard you and delivered.

      • Dennis Westrick

        I’m greedy Mark! Want more!

  43. Mark Moore

    I’ll give Geno a bit of a “tough luck” on that one. But even that’s probably a bit of a stretch at this point.

    • MBS

      I’ve been one of Suarez’s biggest defenders, but that ship has sailed. I still think the best solution for him is to fix him. I just don’t think it’s going to happen in 2021. I’d start platooning him with Lopez right now, and Moustakes when he comes back. I’d also put Senzel at SS to get him some real time at the position. Then when 22 comes around reassess who’s the fit where. There should be a DH, so that should help.

      • Mark Moore

        Other than Senzel as the regular SS (maybe that’s not what you meant; Farmer does need a break not named Freeman), I’m in agreement. Time to platoon him and drop him WAAAAY down the order.

      • MBS

        The only thing we can count on with Senzel is that we can’t count on Senzel. To me that makes him a reserve / utility player type. So yes, if he can add SS to CF, 2B, and 3B, I think he becomes very valuable. Being a utility would also give him some extra rest, and hopefully keep him healthy longer through the year. I just don’t want the Reds to have Senzel as plan 1A at any starting position.

  44. Bet on Red

    But but but….. Joey should retire….. lol

  45. Mark Moore

    OK, we all “hate” the Dirty Birds (less tonight with The Neck Tattoo nowhere in sight). But you have to give props to their outfielders. They are making the plays tonight. We’re hitting. Just not finding enough margin on many of them.

    But at least we’re up and our SP is performing.

  46. Bet on Red

    Feliz 1IP, 2K and a hit. Louisville

  47. Bet on Red

    And my LC will have 7 Ks bet comes through

  48. Mark Moore

    Pitchers can go 6+ that aren’t named The Hulk?

  49. JB

    I think Akiyama will be the guy who hits the sign and somebody wins the truck.

    • Mark Moore

      +500 for that thought and the laugh that goes with it!

    • Bet on Red

      I laughed too.. I will laugh louder if it happens

      • JB

        You should put all your money on it. The odds have to be astronomical

      • Bet on Red

        yea betting Shogo will hit a home run does not sound like a sound investment. Shogo robbing home runs…. that’s another matter

      • dhmorgan

        Will they allow him to hit from second base?

    • Mark Moore

      After that catch, maybe he can pull it off tonight.

  50. Mark Moore

    Oh.My.Word!!!!

    Thought that was going out. What a catch!

  51. VaRedsFan

    Typical GABP camera work….tracking that ball like it was over the power stacks.

  52. MBS

    Shogo knows Defense, maybe we can get nike to start a new Bo Jackson like ad.
    Shogo knows OBP, ok, maybe it’s not as exciting as Bo knows.

    • Mark Moore

      Bo was another unicorn. Sad he only played that short time.

  53. Mark Moore

    I’d say Wink’s slump is over. Anybody else care to weigh in?

      • Mark Moore

        Sharp grounder up the middle. Pitcher might have nipped it, but nobody else did.

  54. VaRedsFan

    Jesse off a lefty…now we’re cooking!

    • Arthur

      He is squaring up the ball. And he hit that double hard into left-center.

      If the slump isn’t dead, it’s got a foot in the grave. A few more ropes into LF, and he might carry this team for a week or two.

  55. Indy Red Man

    Guys are playing hard and feeding off the crowd! I still think Milw is too good, but you never know.

    • Mark Moore

      I agree. The Bernies seem to be doing the majority of things right this year while everybody else is waffling around. Stupid Cubs are mailing it in and trying to sell off pretty much everything not nailed down and/or walking away come October.

      The NLW is going to be tough to beat in the end. Still thinking 3 of them make the dance.

  56. Bet on Red

    Jesse Breaks the Back of the dirty bird

    • Mark Moore

      Pulls the feathers out of their wings.

  57. Mark Moore

    So Brock then Hembree tonight? Santillan ready if needed?

    • MBS

      I’d save HH if it’s not a save. TS would be a good option

      • MBS

        That didn’t take long to change 🙁

  58. MBS

    Naquin attempts his best Shogo, but it was a no go.

    • Arthur

      Compare Shogo’s play to how Naquin played those two balls.

      When I see Naquin (or Winker, for that matter) track a well-struck ball, images of a monkey and a football come to mind for some reason.

      • RedAlert

        What the heck is Bell waiting for

        STUPID

  59. Mark Moore

    Goldy is a ball player. He just is.

  60. Chris Holbert

    Suarez 3-0 ground out to SS..

  61. Bet on Red

    alright…. lets not let this slip away.

  62. Mark Moore

    Not sure Brach has it tonight. He’s looking a little lost right now.

  63. Indy Red Man

    Brach doesn’t have it. 3 batters and goodnight. Of course Bell will leave him in

    • Indy Red Man

      I’m completely done with Bell too. C- at best. Yeah he has a garbage pen, but he has no feel for guys at all? Brach is 35. He can’t pitch 3-4 times a week.

      Its obvious?

  64. Bet on Red

    So kyle Crick has become available…. think he would do any good?

  65. Mark Moore

    Doolittle warming? Have they completely lost their minds???

  66. JB

    Is Bell in the dugout or up in Bob’s office counting receipts

    • RedAlert

      Bailed Bell out – what a moronic move leaving him in

  67. RedsMonk65

    Bullpen on verge of letting another one slip away ….

  68. RedsMonk65

    Nice double play saves the day (or the inning, at least)

    • RedsMonk65

      Well, the call is reversed. No DP. Still a great play.

  69. Bet on Red

    Alright Geno…. your off the hook tongiht

  70. Mark Moore

    And then Geno does that. Let’s see if it holds up.

    • Mark Moore

      The one camera angle looked like it would have gone foul had he not snagged it (or touched it).

    • JB

      At least it gives time for Doolittle to warm up. Brach is getting ripped.

  71. Arthur

    Credit where it’s due.

    That was a whale of a play, Geno. Probably not a DP, but a good play.

  72. Mark Moore

    Good overturn. Got to get one more and at least Bader is out.

    • RedAlert

      Stupidity

      And now bringing DOO DOO in

  73. Bet on Red

    Last batter either way for Brock.

  74. Indy Red Man

    This makes no sense? I’m trying to pull up yesterdays box score to see what the pitch counts were. Santillan? Brach is getting lit up and Bell has Doolittle?

  75. MBS

    Oh is it time Bell? Sweet! It’s Doolittle 🙁

  76. Bet on Red

    Dolittle better get carpenter out. Get out the inning and get to the ninth.

  77. Indy Red Man

    Only 2 outs were 390 feet to CF and a screamer to Geno. Cmon? This doesn’t take a genius to figure out. We’re lucky Bader didn’t give them the lead

  78. vared

    Brach saw 7 batters. 7. Managerial malpractice.

    • Bet on Red

      got to warm up the next pitcher though

  79. RedAlert

    What in the heck is Bells decision making process – he’s pitiful !!!!!

  80. Mark Moore

    Not just Doolittle. But against a righty.

    Maybe tonight it will work out.

  81. LDS

    Didn’t the bullpen rob Castillo of a win in his previous start? Doolittle really needs to man up here.

    • Indy Red Man

      2-0 after 6 last Sat with Castillo
      6-1 after 7 vs KC with Castillo

      They lost both

  82. Mark Moore

    And a marginal call on top of all this. It just never ends, does it?

  83. Mark Moore

    Last night’s hero camps out under the can of corn. It worked out this time.

  84. LGR

    Alright everyone. We can breathe again.

  85. VaRedsFan

    Dennis must have stopped watching/following

    • JB

      Lmbo. I was wondering. Maybe somebody should sit with him every night.

  86. Mark Moore

    Now if they’d stop playing that stupid Jägermeister commercial …

  87. JB

    3-2 count bases loaded and 2 outs. Doolittle gets him. I can die now. I’ve seen it all.

  88. Indy Red Man

    Santillan threw 10 pitches last night. No reason he couldn’t come in after Brach’s 3 hitters.

    • Mark Moore

      Perhaps Bell forgot he was out there in the pen?

  89. MBS

    Who gets to AAA first, Lodolo or Ashcraft? Didn’t think I’d be pondering that question 2 months ago. Ashcraft is dominating AA. 7 more scoreless tonight 8K’s

    • Mark Moore

      I may need to take a little trip to go see them play. My daughter is in Rome and that’s only about 90 minutes away.

      • MBS

        Unfortunately I’m too far away for that, but yes it could be a fun 2 nights of baseball. I really think both will be up sooner than later in Louisville. If Lodolo was being inched back from his blister IL stint, he’d already be in AAA. Ashcraft seems to be a man on a mission. I’d like to see these guys get the chance to face AAA batters soon, so they can find their weaknesses like Hunters doing now.

      • Moon

        They will be back in Huntsville, Alabama August 17-22 including a double header on the 19th. Fun place to watch a ballgame.

  90. Mark Moore

    Time for Shogo to hit the Tundra sign

  91. vared

    Still can’t believe Bell stuck with Brach that long. He’s darn lucky. Anyway, I’ll let it go now – maybe.

  92. Bet on Red

    Padres have lost so we are making some progress

  93. Mark Moore

    Somebody wake up Dennis. This place is about to get rocking!!

  94. Indy Red Man

    HH pitching to contact. I like it!! You can still K guys, but its so much easier to make them hit it rather then throw it by them. Lorenzen is 30 and he hasn’t figured it out yet

  95. Mark Moore

    This makes me smile. Even more that we didn’t see The Neck Tattoo (and probably won’t tomorrow).

    Buckled down and played some ball tonight. Way to nail it down, Heath!

  96. Bet on Red

    Not Dead Yet. Take another series… potential sweep tomorrow. Gain a game in the WIld Card chase, and there is still a chance that the white sox wake up their bats

  97. Mark Moore

    Jesse a well-deserved Jim Day spot tonight. Been too long since we’ve seen him there.

    • Mark Moore

      I love they didn’t bleep him on the lefty/lefty response 🙂

      • Bet on Red

        you need a slight delay on the broadcast to get a filter in. Not going to happen when its live.

      • Indy Red Man

        Somehow I don’t think any 8 year olds heard that and then immediately were scarred for life or jammed bobbleheads into each eye and jumped into the Ohio river.

  98. Mark Moore

    Sleep tight, all. Back at it in 15 hours. Bring your brooms.

  99. Indy Red Man

    Wink,

    Final warning on RLN!! You’ve been around long enough to know the rules)))))