The Cincinnati Reds will look to bounce back from Friday night’s loss to the Milwaukee Brewers behind Luis Castillo. First pitch is set for 7:10pm ET.
|Kolten Wong – 2B||Jonathan India – 2B|
|Christian Yelich – LF||Jesse Winker – LF|
|Willy Adames – SS||Tyler Stephenson – C|
|Omar Narváez – C||Joey Votto – 1B|
|Avisaíl García – RF||Tyler Naquin – RF|
|Jace Peterson – 1B||Eugenio Suárez – 3B|
|Luis Urías – 3B||Shogo Akiyama – CF|
|Jackie Bradley Jr. – CF||Kyle Farmer – SS|
|Brandon Woodruff – SP||Luis Castillo – SP|
Since June began we’ve seen a very different Luis Castillo on the mound. His ERA in eight starts since then is 1.97 across 50.1 innings with 30 hits, 22 walks, 2 home runs, and 48 strikeouts. Opponents are hitting just .171/.268/.234 against him in that stretch in 200 plate appearances.
There are some details in his splits worth paying attention to. Righties are hitting .253/.310/.397 against him. Lefties are hitting .256/.361/.372 against him. Left-handed hitters are drawing significantly more walks, but they also do less damage when they make contact. Righties rarely walk against him, but they do a bit more damage when they do put the bat on the ball. Castillo’s home and road splits are similar – the OPS difference is .014.
Pitch usage from 2021
The other side of the dynamic duo, Brandon Woodruff has dominated through 18 starts for the Brewers this season. The All-Star has posted a 2.06 ERA in 113.1 innings while allowing just 68 hits, walking 25, and striking out 129.
Somehow the Reds have only seen him once this season. It was in his last start when Cincinnati scored a run in 6.0 innings on nine hits while striking out four times.
As you can imagine with that overall line, his splits aren’t going to be favorable in any way. With that said, right-handed hitters are doing better as they have a .187/.235/.316 line against him compared to a .156/.218/.223 line from left-handed hitters. Righties show significantly more power, but still slug just .316….. He’s pitched significantly better on the road, holding hitters to an insane .122/.191/.193 line on the season. His ERA is only slightly lower on the road, though, sitting at 1.99 compared to 2.14 at home.
Pitch usage from 2021
When and Where
- Game time: 7:10pm ET
- Where: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati
- Watch: Bally Sports Ohio, MLB.tv
- Listen: 700 WLW AM (Cincinnati area)
- Forecast: 80°, party cloudy with a 10%
chance of meatballsrain
News and Notes
Jose Barrero is raking in the minors
Earlier today we looked at whether Jose Barrero’s performance this season in Double-A and Triple-A could leave the Reds inactive in the shortstop market at the trade deadline, and what that decision could mean the rest of the way.
Jeff Hoffman to start on Wednesday
Cincinnati will send Jeff Hoffman to the mound to start on Wednesday against the New York Mets. As we wrote about yesterday, this sounds like it’s simply a spot start in order to give the rotation a slight amount of additional rest to begin the second half of the season rather than a move to a longer term 6-man rotation or even Hoffman pushing someone out of the current 5-man rotation.
Nick Senzel getting some work in
From Charlie Goldsmith of the Cincinnati Enquirer
Today, Nick Senzel took grounders, did outfield drills with the Reds starters and took batting practice. He’s getting back to full strength after knee surgery. pic.twitter.com/7dYCN5IAuM
— Charlie Goldsmith (@CharlieG__) July 17, 2021
NL Central Standings
Playoff odds via Fangraphs