The Cincinnati Reds and the San Diego Padres will wrap up their 3-game series in Cincinnati tonight. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm.
Starting Lineups
San Diego Padres
|
Cincinnati Reds
|
| Trent Grisham – CF | Jonathan India – 2B |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. – SS | Jesse Winker – LF |
| Jake Cronenworth – 2B | Nick Castellanos – RF |
| Manny Machado – 3B | Tyler Stephenson – C |
| Eric Hosmer – 1B | Joey Votto – 1B |
| Wil Myers – RF | Alejo Lopez – 3B |
| Jurickson Profar – LF | Aristides Aquino – CF |
| Webster Rivas – C | Kyle Farmer – SS |
| Ryan Weathers – SP | Luis Castillo – SP |
Starting Pitchers
Luis Castillo
June was an outstanding month for Luis Castillo. After struggling int he first two months of the year, the right-handed starter made five starts in June and posted a 1.71 ERA while throwing 31.2 innings and allowing just one home runs.
He hasn’t shown much in the way of splits this season when it comes to total production. Righties are hitting .277/.335/.434 against him, while lefties are hitting .266/.359/.396 against him. The OPS difference is just 15 points, but how they get there is different. Righties hit for a little bit more power, while lefties draw more walks (and strikeout a lot more). His ERA at home is a bit lower, 4.89, than on the road, 5.40.
Pitch usage from 2021
| 4-Seam | 2-Seam | Change | Slider | |
| Velo | 96.8 | 97.0 | 87.8 | 85.5 |
| Usage | 29.9% | 20.7% | 31.6% | 17.7% |
Ryan Weathers
The son of former Reds closer David Weathers returns to Cincinnati. Ryan Weathers is in his rookie season and the 21-year-old has done more than hold his own, he’s been downright outstanding as he’s split time between the rotation and bullpen, making eight starts and six relief appearances for the Padres this year. He’s posted a 2.47 ERA in 47.1 innings with 13 walks and 34 strikeouts.
As a left-handed pitcher you’d expect him to handle lefties better, and so far in his career he’s done just that. Lefties are hitting just .214/.254/.250 against him in 59 plate appearances. Righties are hitting just .205 with a .274 on-base percentage against him – but when they do get hits, they go for extra-bases as they’re slugging .420 thanks to six doubles and six home runs out of the 23 hits he has allowed to righties in 125 plate appearances. He has pitched better as a reliever, but he’s been good as a starter with a 2.78 ERA in 32.1 innings.
Pitch usage from 2021
| 4-Seam | 2-Seam | Slider | Change | |
| Velo | 94.0 | 93.6 | 86.6 | 86.8 |
| Usage | 46.3% | 13.2% | 32.2% | 8.2% |
When and Where
- Game time: 7:10pm ET
- Where: Great American Ball Park
- Watch: Bally Sports Ohio, MLB.tv, MLB Network (out of market)
- Listen: 700 WLW AM (Cincinnati area)
- Forecast: 76°, cloudy, 19% chance of rain.
News and Notes
Eugenio Suárez gets another day off
For the second day in a row, Eugenio Suárez is not in the starting lineup and Alejo Lopez is getting the start at third base for the Reds. Lopez, a switch-hitter, has stepped up to the plate 57 times this year and faced a left-handed pitcher. He’s struck out one time. He’s hit .388/.474/.490 against lefties this season between Triple-A and the big leagues.
Michael Lorenzen to begin his rehab assignment
The Reds officially sent Michael Lorenzen on a rehab assignment today. He’ll join the Arizona Complex League Reds in Goodyear. Lorenzen will be working his way back with the plan to join the Cincinnati bullpen following the All-Star break.
NL Central Standings
Playoff odds via Fangraphs
| Team | W | L | GB | Playoff % |
| Brewers | 48 | 33 | 0 | 86.6% |
| Cubs | 42 | 39 | 6.0 | 13.7% |
| Reds | 39 | 40 | 8.0 | 8.6% |
| Cardinals | 40 | 41 | 8.0 | 4.3% |
| Pirates | 29 | 50 | 18.0 | 0.0% |
I like this lineup save Farmer, although I will admit it seems he hits better than the stats would indicate. Hope to see Barrero soon. Every game is big. Let’s have fun and win. 🙂
Farmer vs LHP 2o2o = .238/.333/.405
Great line up. Is tonight the night we beat SD? It looks right to me
Swap AA and Votto. JV can’t hit lefties anymore.
hahaha Now where have I heard that before. I know. lol Let’s hope he starts proving us wrong tonight buddy.
He has some proving to do. That’s for sure. Versus Lefties .563 OPS in 2021. wRC+ of 53 (100 is league average; lower is less). And before I get trolled, yes, he is still elite versus RH pitching. OPS of .909; wRC+ of 146 in 2021
It is very much in the both the team’s and his personal interests that they find somebody who is at least approaching league average versus RH pitching to platoon with him. He’d still start `70% of games and possibly be even better vs RH pitching thanks to the increased rest.
I’ll take a reversal of a 4 year trend for one night at least.
Yeah. I like what I’ve seen the past few games in his hitting though. Haven’t seen that in years. Hopefully it will start to transfer over to LH as well. We’ll see.
Votto has hit the ball hard, especially his last one to CF, twice tonight. I like what I’m seeing lately.
Happy get paid a million dollars for the rest of your life for being a met a while ago day!! Law of averages says we should take this one. LAw of everything else…. yeah. Glad to see benching Suarez not just lip service. I believe this is the first time we are seeing Lopez batting Right, Right? Lets hope LC return to form continues. ERA has plummeted reciently
Glad to see they are sending a message to Suarez, hope he responds like Votto did last year. Bring up Barrero soon. They can’t affor to run out Farmer anymore. 8 games back is teetering on collapse
Unrelated. Is not Mississippi State The Cowboy’s alma mater? If yes, then congratulations to him!
I was thinking that too
His 1985 team also had Will Clark, Bobby Thigpen and Rafael Palmeiro
Was one of the best teams in history, had will Clark Raphael palmiero, Bobby Thigpen and Jeff Brantley
SD is a very good team, playing all sides of the game.
Our chances is about what Castillo will show up tonight.
Votto is not hitting lefties lately. He’d fit better in 7th or 8th spot in the line up today.
Let’s see if Reds can win this game and avoid the sweep (btw, excepting 1 game against SD, Reds were just short in all of them)
we got 1 from the diamondbacks
Earth to the Red’s front office: GET A REAL SHORTSTOP!!!!
Castillo strikes out Tatis and Stephenson laser to catch grisham stealing
Kudos to the Padres for playing aggressive baseball
Better execution by the Reds.
How Tatis laid of the previous castillo 100 mph FB just up by an inch is beyond me.
Castillo has too much talent to waiver on him.
India 10 hbp))) I don’t get it? He’s not way up on the plate like Rizzo or something? He’s turned into a special leadoff man! Give credit to Bell for that. He had like 3-4 good games and boom….he was the leadoff man! It wasn’t like he was hot for a month or something.
Is Suarez hurt? I’m not criticizing. I love it. But I gotta know if it’s an injury or if Bell thinks Lopez could be better.
we need to get Lopez hitting, then he can sit
From what I could see yesterday, he has a major cramp in the hustle
Mental break
Good idea
Suarez has had 3 big changes
1.) shoulder surgery january 2020
2.) covid shutdown 2020 on top of shoulder surgery – unnatural rehab and no hitting reps
3.) unnatural off season and position change to SS
Suarez needs a mental break and needs to get back to his comfort zone.
I think Injury and lack or reps and covid impacted him big time. Hes not old or done. He is at his low point.
Agreed. Can be a tendency to see sitting as old school benching. I think this is just good management of Geno, the human being.
I feel like the Baseball Gods owe the Reds after last night’s game being called early! Who knows what would have happened with the Reds having 4 innings to overcome a 2-run deficit!
Or the Reds bullpen had 4 more innings to give up more runs.
Atta boy, López!
He’s the spark this inning
And Joey with his 3-0 swing snuffed the remaining embers of the inning
Sorry that was Stevenson no Votto.
And López is 2 for 2 now!
Another atta boy!
JR House failure yet again. Now LC gotta lean into one
Dumb?????? 3-0 and they green light w/bases loaded. I hate that? You’ll get the same 3-1 that you got on 3-0?
Wowowow… Castellanos intentional walk in the 2nd… that’s respect
Let’s see what is the payoff
Plain and simple not smart baseball to give a rookie the green light on 3-0, as was said he would still get a hitters pitch on 3-1. Just another example of Bell’s poor managerial skills.
I agree
Thats baseball now. River boat gambling. Guess and double down and hope you hit blackjack 21. Ironic we are in the “analytics” era
I would think analytics meant fundamentals. Get on base. Value players who extend at bats and innings and spray the ball to all fields so other teams cant predict.
Castillo settling in
9 batters after 3 innings
Dont feel bad Lopez. There isnt a guy in that dugout who hasnt messed up on the basepaths.
2-2! I like guys that are just irritating to the other team. He won’t go deep, but you can hit-n-run with him and he can steal a base now and then. Long term though I would think he’d need to bat 8th or 9th when they play him.
He didnt hit that ball hard but he put it in play and good things happen when you do that. I dont believe he will ever strikeout 3 or 4 times a game like Suarez. Maybe Suarez can learn something here.
Lopez even got a hit on his walk-up music- Starway to heaven.
Interesting thought Brewers vs Padres = 5 and 1, Reds vs Padres 0 and 6 = 5 game difference. Sad but True, But when Brewers played them they were all banged up.
Yelich was out when they swept SD. Great pitching can overcome alot of things.
When they swept them in SD for 3
No-no stuff…..get it out of the way before the jinx kicks in. Sadak will say it 29 times anyway
If, by some miracle, the Reds are still close in the NL Central in early September, but ultimately fall short, they only have to look at their record versus the NL West. 1-5 against the D’Backs, 1-6 against the Giants and currently 0-6 against the Padres for a collective record of 2-17. A lot of losses to make up but a long way to go! At some point the Brewers will return to average once they finish playing the bottom feeders!
Is Lopez’ potential a comp to Nick Madrigal? Realize it may be premature, but that’s what struck me.
LC settled in and looking pretty good. I don’t think 2 is enough against these Friars, though. Hope we can hold out and get the W.
Rain again??? Well NUTS!!
couldn’t get another inning in so we can get the rain gods win?
My niece down in the Lex area posted pictures of her flooded back yard creek. We can’t catch a break here.
It will rain just long enough to get Castillo out and make sure Bell gets Doolittle in at some point))
Its just not our year
Well, poo. Castillo on fire, we have the lead, and the vaults of heaven open up above GABP. Hopefully a short delay …. but …
Yeah, lousy timing.
Three more outs and it could have rained until someone started building an ark.
An enemy has done this….
Aliens!
Going into today’s games
Games against Teams under 500
Milwaukee is 28-27
Cincinnati 22-16
Games against Teams 500 and over
Milwaukee is 20-6
Cincinnati is 17-24
It isnt just the crappy teams Milwaukee is beating but they have played far fewer good teams. Meanwhile the Reds need to play better against the good teams. San Diego has made that record look bad.
Thanks JB for those stats!
Pirates picked up one on Brewers 1-2 now in the 6th, naturally Pirate pitcher issues back to back walks leading off the 6th
oops 3-1 Brewers, still 0 outs and the .167 ‘hitting’ Jackie Bradley at the dish
Had JB jr 1-2, walks him on 3 straight, bases loaded, pitcher up
Pitching change!
WHIFF! 1-2-3 swings 1 out
sac fly, 2 outs, 4-1
Adames flies out on 0-2 pitch and Bucs up bottom 6th down 1-4
that is all
Game to resume 9:25 p.m. ET (per Mark Sheldon)
Of course ESPN does the NL all star outfielders last. It’s tough being a Cincinnati fan.
Castillo back on the mound.
Uh-oh. India might be hurt.
Staying in the game for now. Hopefully will not become a lingering issue (shoulder).
It will be sore tomorrow. Poor Senzel would be out for weeks. I can see it coming. Lopez to 2B next game. Suarez back to 3B.
because we cant get a break right
Nick C. and Wink both All-Star starters!
Excelsior … well deserved
Pretty impressive 2/3 starting NL outfielders in mlb are Reds
Don’t think AA read that well from what I saw. Our other CF’ers would have had that, I think.
I thought it should have been caught. I think he catches it most times. Just needs more experience in CF. He was there.
I forgot, who is up when we start up again
Stephenson
OK, damage limited. Need some crooked numbers in the worst way.
I’ve got about 30 minutes before I have to tap out tonight.
6’7″ rookie throwing some 99 mph RH heat
lol Kid don’t mess around … bring that stuff into my little kitchen!
Lopez with another hit. 3 for 3.
Lopez 3-3. Suarez getting a little uneasy in his seat.
.800 Ave not too bad. lol
Slacker
To heck with Lopez as a bench piece ! Play the guy !!!
he is forcing the issue quickly
THe punisher can destroy the inside of ballparks too
Nice hit by AA to drive in Lopez.
Reds manufacture a run
This is how your new #2 hitter should operate … get on, disrupt
haha I like that combo with short guy and GIANT getting the job done.
Would have liked more than 1, but at least we turned the lineup over. Hope India is OK.
and we do have an ‘official game’ now
but no 4 hr rainstorm
11 pitch inning, JC at 79 pitches/5o strikes
Castillo ERA down to 4.90 .
Man, India is one of the most savvy rookies in memory.
The kid is good … and I’m high on TySteve as well.
Reds need more runs. 3 is not enough with their bullpen.
That sets the table, JB
Two men on. No outs.
Come on Reds. Bust this thing open.
Are you kidding, Votto up when we need a hit. He Cannot get a hit when we need one, Sure when it dosn’t mean anything but when we kneed it. NO. How many LOB does he have this year. Big Numbers!!! A lot of Loses go along with his LOB
Does sadack realize this isnt radio?
He doesbt need to say jihnsin delivers and ball 1
Then talk incessantly with obscure stats-
Worst announcer in cincinnati sports ever. Please shut up
Reds baseball is unlistenable
Anyone sync the tv with radio?
I love cowboy and thrall is good
Earlier, I had the WLW audio feed playing for that exact reason. I really hope he’s on a 1-year deal and we’re rid of him next season.
Is there a delay though ?
Sadack is unwatchable
Sadak is bad, but I like Larkin. I know Larkin gets some guff from fans, but he has good insights.
>>>Worst announcer in cincinnati sports ever.
I concur. Wish someone would stick a sock in his mouth. He’s also a JINX!!!!
Why was Winker still planted at first base after that wild pitch?
I believe Larkin explained it well. You have to see the missed catch, have to check the runner on second so you don’t end up a TOOTBLAN, and then determine if you can still make it. I have to think they wouldn’t have actually thrown on him and risked India scoring from third.
OK, I’ve got to head for bed. Hope this holds up and LC gives us at least the 7th.
Impressive AB by Stephenson even if it was an out … such plate discipline and eye for the strike zone battlting back from o-2
Alright .. JC throwing 98 mph sinkers and 7 & 8 due up this could still work
4 out of 5, changeups?
LC ran out of gas. Tie game.
Still throwing 98, 99 mph & that was a good pitch he hit, 98.4 mph sinker in on the hands and a strike
That rain delay had an effect I think. There was some resettling after that. Mother nature not being favorable over the last week with the reds.
Yeah, he didn’t look quite as sharp after the delay. Velocity still good. Location not so much.
….and, I might add, the Padres just have darn good hitters.
Pads attack is deep.No easy outs.
They are a good team. The Reds have played well against them. Just can’t get over the hump.
AG gets out of the jam. Good work. Need to plate some more runs.
Amir is starting to get his Mojo back.
4 for 4… teach him SS every day
Now there’s your Robin to the 2 Batmen!
Give Lopez two more weeks of starting and he might have more hits this year than Suarez. Ok, maybe 3 weeks.
I like Lopez, I hope they find a way to get him playing time.
Farmer is almost an automatic out . Dude can’t hit squat and playing everyday due to ineptitude of front office . Terrible
Come on Akiyama. Take one for the team.
and he did
6 sliders away and Zorro draws the walk!
And now is when the submariner hits your lefty batter *gently* on the gluteus maximus
guess not … lol
WHY? Why do you take Aquino out? Bell can’t help himself. I’m not sure, but I don’t think Aquino has played an entire game. 1 for 1 RBI double with 2 BB. I’m not even a Bell hater, but he is infuriating at times.
Naquin stays in for defense, that’s defensible
Naquin is a good player, but I wouldn’t care if it was Winker pinch hitting for him. My issue is Bell won’t let Aquino play a whole game. Naquin would be either a lateral move defensively or a slight step down from Aquino.
Also depends on which relievers SD has left which Bell would be anticipating
If it makes you feel any better I too feel like Bell pours cold water on Aquino at times. it’s very hard for him to get in a groove and feel comfortable. When he took over for Puig he played every day and after awhile we were able to see great things that no one else has ever done. Never understood why Bell doesn’t try harder to tap in to that. Maybe soon. Who knows? We won the game. Let’s do it again tomorrow.
Tatis tootblan.
Wow alot of San Diego fans there. Obviously Bandwagon fans. Couldn’t find a Padre fan for 40 years until the last couple of years. They’ve stunk forever.
Reds – the gift that keeps on giving …
This team finds ways to lose …..not ways to win … ALWAYS WAYS TO LOSE
Losing culture.
Hope I eat crow ….
I can never understand an infielder throwing side arm to first base. The ball will sink and land in the dirt. They should be throwing from a 3/4 angle.
Most of Suarez throws are in the dirt.
I agree with both of you.
Curious to see if Lopez gets to hit. He had an error there and Bell might sit him now and go back to old reliable.
Winker also is in the game so how would he be PH for Aquino? Bell is trying to win this game …
I think you missed the point of what I was saying again. Also, I was using a hypothetical (Winker as a PH) to emphasize that the issue was not Naquin. Naquin is the number 3 OF on this team, he’s earned that, and I’m glad, I am a big fan of Naquin. My issue is Aquino gets yanked out of every game he plays, for a pinch hitter. Aquino’s splits are not an issue, save the pinch hitter for a pitchers spot, and let Aquino continue to get AB’s.
Also, no crap Bell’s trying to win. I don’t think he tinkers so much because he thinks it’s going to hurt the game.
OK well i guess that’s the difference between being into the game and looking to be a nattering nabob of kneejerk negativism …? Looks like Bell got lefty Naquin on righty Melancon in the 9th even if he didn’t get a hit off him …
”You think that a manager pinch hits in the 7th for a possible 9th inning match up? That is hilarious. That’s almost as brilliant as “Bell is trying to win the game”. Bell’s move was for the current match up not the 9th.
BTW Criticism is not negativity. Saying we can’t do this, or I bet we’ll lose is negativity. Criticism is pointing out pros and cons of something, it’s why they called Siskel and Ebert “Movie Critics”, and not “Movie negativist.”
Error on Lopez of course, but Joey’s got to smother that ball! We’ll get this one though. This team fights atleast!
Totally agree. I didnt think it was that bad to scoop.
I was gone but watched the replay. The way the ball bounced it was very hard to handle. Not a normal scoop. Glad we were able to overcome and win anyway. I like Lopez by the way.
Had to take the roommate to work, didn’t see the error til now, poor throw he will learn, looks like it took a hard weird bounce on Votto as well. Oh well. Ultimately we all knew this game would come down to Suarez being the hero with a PH walk-off
No homer,no score.Twelve hits in 8 innings with numerous chances to score and now fall 9 games off the pace.Just one of those games I guess
Well I don’t think it will be much better next year, but all the young guys will be fully battle tested by 2023 and then Votto/Moose are gone after that.
Hopefully by 2023, they’ll have Hunter Greene and Lodolo in the rotation and the future should be bright from there! I don’t see that much young talent in the rest of the division.
Oh and the Radio guys say that the Padres on second are feeding signs to the batters and have been for some time
Well it didnt matter against Warren.
That *is* something that Bell needs to clean up .. his pitchers being indiffernt to too many runners running wild & free … and the little nuance stuff like sign-stealing gamesmanship
I liked Warren, but I didn’t think he’d look this good! Sometimes you wonder how some of these guys get hit at all in the minors? He’s 28 so he should have a chance to be productive for 3-4 more years!
He had a high ERA at Louisville too. Obviously he found something .
7 pitchers for the Padres in this game and none of them with an ERA over 3.28 and most under 3.00. Pretty impressive. Reds have had chances, but got to take advantage bc you don’t get many against that type of staff.
Farmer 3 hits. Yeah he is an automatic out. Lol
They wouldn’t if they pitched in gabp all the time. I was hoping that ball would get down in the gap. Shocked it went out
Reds seem to have Melancon’s number. 5 earned runs against them, 3 against the rest of the league.
FARMER!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Well at least Farmer made me eat crow ! GO REDS !
Glad he did !
Maybe TV doesn’t do him justice.
But he looks like he’s 45 years old.
Why can’t these guys hit him?
Well, someone did.
He reminds me of David Weathers. He was better then I thought he was, but I thought he sucked)))
Hit number 13 is a homer and it’s tied.
what is the Toolban reference for the entire Defense disappeared cause that is what happened
Nice job ! Do it the hard way !
That HR by India in SD will be our high water mark for the season! We were on a 13-3 run and that HR put us up 4-2 on a pitcher that hadn’t blown a save. For a brief moment I didn’t think we would lose again)))
Lordy. Everything India touches turns to gold
WALK OFF!
Finally beat the Padres.
Good game.
These rookies!
YES!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!WALKOFF!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Boom. Loving Stephenson. Seems like catcher should be sewn up for the next 10 years for the Reds.