The Cincinnati Reds will be looking to turn things around on this road trips as they hit Minnesota to take on the Twins in interleague action with an 8:10pm ET first pitch.
|Jonathan India – 2B||Luis Arraez – 3B|
|Jesse Winker – DH||Byron Buxton – CF|
|Nick Castellanos – RF||Trevor Larnach – LF|
|Tyler Stephenson – C||Nelson Cruz – DH|
|Joey Votto – 1B||Max Kepler – RF|
|Eugenio Suárez – 3B||Jorge Polanco – 2B|
|Aristides Aquino – LF||Alex Kirilloff – 1B|
|Kyle Farmer – SS||Ryan Jeffers – C|
|Scott Heineman – CF||Andrelton Simmons – SS|
|Tyler Mahle – SP||J.A. Happ – SP|
This evening Tyler Mahle will take the mound for the first time coming off of a 12-strikeout performance against the Brewers. He’s made 14 starts this season and posted a 3.39 ERA in 74.1 innings with 23 walks and 90 strikeouts.
I feel like I type this every week, but teams are still trying to stack lefties against Tyler Mahle this season despite the fact that they are hitting just .192/.286/.300 against him (147 plate appearances) while righties are hitting .229/.279/.403 against him (157 plate appearances). There are some very big home and road splits for Mahle this season. On the road he’s made nine starts and held batters to a .177/.258/.274 line and has a 1.63 ERA with just two home runs allowed in 49.2 innings.
Pitch usage from 2021
It’s been a tough season for J.A. Happ. Through 12 starts this season he’s posted a 6.12 ERA in 60.1 innings where he’s allowed 69 hits – 11 homers – while walking 18 batters and striking out just 44 of the hitters he’s faced this year. It’s been particularly over the last five weeks as he’s made seven starts and posted a 9.84 ERA in 32.0 innings while allowing 53 hits. Hitters have hit .371/.414/.692 against him in that stretch.
When it comes to the splits for Happ, things are a bit interesting. As a lefty, teams rarely play left-handed hitters against him. He’s made five starts this year where he didn’t face a single lefty. In 44 plate appearances this season against him lefties have hit .268/.318/.415. Righties have found plenty of success against him and they’ve hit .287/.342/.545 in 222 plate appearances against him this season. It’s not just the righty/lefty splits, though. There are some big home and road splits, too. At home hitters have just a .235/.299/.426 line against him where his ERA is 4.35. On the road he’s been crushed to the tune of a .983 OPS and a 7.98 ERA.
Pitch usage from 2021
When and Where
- Game time: 8:10pm ET
- Where: Target Field, Minneapolis
- Watch: Bally Sports Ohio, MLB.tv
- Listen: 700 WLW AM (Cincinnati area)
- Forecast: 66°, Partly Cloudy, 0% chance of rain
News and Notes
Winker and Castellanos still 2nd and 3rd in AS Voting
MLB released the update for All-Star game voting and Jesse Winker and Nick Castellanos are 2nd and 3rd among National League outfielders this week and both gained votes on Mookie Betts who was in 4th place last week and still remains there this week. No other Red looks like they have a chance of making it to “Phase 2” of the voting that will determine the starters for the game next month in Denver.
Bob Castellini is Rachel Phelps….
Or at least that’s what Mo Egger of The Athletic is suggesting in his latest piece.
What we do have in Cincinnati in real life is a similar dynamic to the one in the film. The Reds are a likable, possibly overachieving bunch that spent most of the spring playing just well enough to remain on the fringes of contention. They enter the heart of the summer having thrust themselves into the thick of the National League Central race, juxtaposed against an owner who spent the months leading up to the season undermining their chances.
It’s worth a read if you’ve got a subscription to The Athletic.
NL Central Standings
Playoff odds via Fangraphs