The Cincinnati Reds will look to ruin Fathers Day for The “Fathers” out in San Diego today. The Padres will be without superstar Fernando Tatis Jr. after he left the game yesterday with what appeared to be at least a tweaking of his shoulder injury he’s been playing with all year.
San Diego Padres
|Jonathan India – 2B||Trent Grisham – CF|
|Jesse Winker – LF||Manny Machado – 3B|
|Tyler Naquin – RF||Jake Cronenworth – 2B|
|Joey Votto – 1B||Eric Hosmer – 1B|
|Tucker Barnhart – C||Wil Myers – RF|
|Eugenio Suárez – 3B||Jurickson Profar – LF|
|Shogo Akiyama – CF||Ha-Seong Kim – SS|
|Kyle Farmer – SS||Victor Caratini – C|
|Luis Castillo – SP||Dinelson Lamet – SP|
Is Luis Castillo back? It’s probably too early to say that for sure, but in his last four starts he’s been able to keep runs off of the board, posting a 2.28 ERA in 23.2 innings while allowing just 11 hits and striking out 22 in that stretch. His groundball rate is way up in that span, too. In the first 10 starts of the year his groundball rate was just 40.1%, but it’s 52.9% over his last four games – right in line with where he’s been in the rest of his career.
On the season lefties have hit .282/.368/.430 against him with 21 walks and 41 strikeouts in 173 plate appearances. Right-handed batters have hit .267/.333/.427 with 9 walks and 26 strikeouts in 147 plate appearances against Castillo this year.
Pitch usage from 2021
Despite making seven starts and two relief appearances, Dinelson Lamet has thrown just 27.0 innings this season. He’s posted a 3.33 ERA with 27 hits, two homers, 10 walks, and 30 strikeouts in that time. Until June he had not gotten an out in the 4th inning all season. But in three starts this month he’s gone 4.0 innings twice, and 5.0 innings another time – and reached the 6th in that game but recorded no outs.
We’re dealing with a small sample size in 2021 for Lamet. Lefties are hitting .286/.352/.388 against him with four walks and 16 strikeouts in 54 plate appearances. Righties are hitting .236/.306/.382 against him with six walks and 14 strikeouts in 62 plate appearances. He’s essentially a 2-pitch guy. Lamet will throw a 4-seamer and a 2-seamer, but both are fastballs and he rarely throws the 2-seamer. He also throws a slider, and he throws it more than the fastball.
Pitch usage from 2021
When and Where
- Game time: 4:10pm ET
- Where: Petco Park, San Diego
- Watch: Bally Sports Ohio, MLB.tv
- Listen: 700 WLW AM (Cincinnati area)
- Forecast: 71°, partly cloudy, 1% chance of rain. SAN DIEGO AMIRITE
News and Notes
Earlier today I wrote about Jesse Winker, Joey Votto’s ejection, and the terrible bullpen re-emerging. But one of the fun parts of that article was noting that Jesse Winker is about to play in his 63rd game of the season and at no point following the completion of any game this year has his batting average been lower than .338.
Brad Brach and the longshots
It’s only been 13 games, but Brad Brach has actually performed well in the Cincinnati Reds bullpen. The 35-year-old has a good track record in the Majors, though his 2019 and 2020 seasons weren’t very good. Still, he’s spent 11 seasons in MLB with a 3.38 career ERA. Bobby Nightengale of the Cincinnati Enquirer wrote about Brach’s journey yesterday, and how the 42nd round draft pick represents and impossible situation today as the 42nd round in the draft no longer even exists.
NL Central Standings
Playoff odds via Fangraphs