The Cincinnati Reds begin a home stand this evening fresh off of a sweep of the St. Louis Cardinals. The Milwaukee Brewers come to town for a 3-game series with first pitch set for 7:10pm ET.
|Luis Urías – 2B||Jonathan India – 2B|
|Daniel Vogelbach – 1B||Jesse Winker – LF|
|Christian Yelich – LF||Nick Castellanos – RF|
|Avisaíl García – RF||Joey Votto – 1B|
|Omar Nárvaez – C||Eugenio Suárez – 3B|
|Travis Shaw – 3B||Tucker Barnhart – C|
|Willy Adames – SS||Kyle Farmer – SS|
|Jackie Bradley Jr. – CF||Shogo Akiyama – CF|
|Adrian Houser – SP||Sonny Gray – SP|
With a 1-4 record, Sonny Gray is the poster child for why won-loss record for a pitcher doesn’t tell the story on how a pitcher has performed. He’s made nine starts and has an ERA of 3.64 on the season. Gray has struck out 60 batters with 20 walks in 47.0 innings along the way and has, somehow, been credit with just one win.
There are some pretty big splits this season for Sonny Gray. Right-handed hitters are finding plenty of success against him as they are hitting .275/.347/.484 against him in 101 plate appearances with nine walks and 28 strikeouts. Left-handed hitters are struggling as they are hitting just .196/.282/.337 against him in 103 plate appearances with 11 walks and 32 strikeouts. Lefties simply aren’t hitting for the same kind of power, nor are they finding grass with the balls they do make contact with like righties are.
Pitch usage from 2021
Much like Sonny Gray, Adrian Houser hasn’t exactly racked up the win-loss record you would expect given his ERA. In 11 games he’s posted a 3.86 ERA but is just 3-5 on the season. In his 53.2 innings he’s given up nine homers, walked 23, and he’s struck out 48. He’s also posted a 60% groundball rate this year – tops in all of baseball among pitchers with at least 40 innings pitched.
His splits wind up with similar OPS numbers, but hitters are arriving at them quite differently. Right-handed hitters had a .218/.328/.386 line against Houser this year. Lefties are hitting .255/.305/.429 against him on the season. Lefties are making more contact and hitting for more power, but they get on base significantly less often. Righties make far less contact, but draw some walks and hit for similar power (the difference in slugging is due entirely to the rate of singles, not extra-base hits).
Pitch usage from 2021
When and Where
- Game time: 7:10pm ET
- Where: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati
- Watch: Bally Sports Ohio, MLB.tv
- Listen: 700 WLW AM (Cincinnati area)
- Forecast: 78°, partly cloudy, 24% chance of rain
News and Notes
Joey Votto’s back
Prior to the game the Reds announced that Joey Votto had been activated from the injured list. He’s taking the spot on the roster of reliever Michael Feliz who was placed on the injured list with an elbow injury.
Tyler Naquin just getting an extra day of rest
From Bobby Nightengale of the Cincinnati Enquirer:
Tyler Naquin is not in the lineup tonight, but David Bell said everything checked out OK after Naquin had his hamstring examined yesterday. Just an extra day as a precaution.
— Bobby Nightengale (@nightengalejr) June 8, 2021
NL Central Standings
Playoff odds via Fangraphs