13 days ago, the Cincinnati Reds woke up with a 20-26 record and a 17.1% chance of reaching the postseason.
Tonight, the Reds beat the Minnesota Twins to reach the postseason. The Reds have won 10 of their last 12 games with their backs against the wall.
The Twins were 23-5 at home this season. They had their stud Jose Berrios on the mound tonight. Reds starter Tyler Mahle only lasted 2.1 innings. None of that mattered to this team, they’re on a mission.
Mike Moustakas has been a guy who got off to a really slow start and battled injuries. He hit two home runs on the night. Michael Lorenzen was a guy some wanted DFA’d after a miserable start to the season, but David Bell continued to believe in him. Lorenzen pitched 3.2 brilliant innings to stabilize the game for the Reds.
Soak this in Reds fans. It’s been a long road to get this point, but we are here. The Cincinnati Reds are going to play postseason baseball again, and they are hotter than any other team on the planet.
|Minnesota Twins (35-23)||2||8||1|
|Cincinnati Reds (30-28)||7||9||0|
|W: Lorenzen (3-1) L: Berrios (5-4) S: Iglesias (9)|
|FanGraphs Win Probability | Statcast | Box Score | Game Thread|
Biggest Play of the Game
According to Fangraphs WPA statistic (winning percentage added), the most important play of the game was Mike Moustakas 2-run home run with 1 out in the 4th inning to give the Reds a 2-1 lead. That play increased the Reds probability of winning by 20.5% (from 38.6% to 59.1%).
Mike Moustakas hit his 7th and 8th home run of the year. He entered play today with a .900 OPS in September. The Moose is getting hot at the right time.
Freddy Galvis hit his 7th home run of the year. That is very impressive for a guy that was benched for Jose Garcia while the Reds were trying to find a spark from a season fading away. It looks like it will be a Galvis/Farmer platoon going into the postseason, which seems fine to me.
Michael Lorenzen was a guy wrote off by just about everyone. He might have been the Reds most important player down the stretch not named Trevor Bauer. He threw 3.1 brilliant innings tonight.
Raisel Iglesias just continues to dominate. He might have saved the game after Lucas Sims left the game early after a scary situation where he hit Buxton in the the head. Raisel is having the best season of his entire career. Imagine reading that after the first week of the season.
There might be some typos tonight. Sorry, I did the best I could. My hands were shaking the entire night.
Not so random thoughts……….
How about some love for David Bell? Just about everyone wanted him fired. Bell’s optimism and positivity was driving everyone insane when the Reds were 20-26. That optimism and positivity likely helped keep a sinking ship afloat to have this incredible late season run. Just about every string that Bell pulled down the stretch passed with flying colors.
David Bell becomes the first Reds manager since Jack McKeon to lead the Reds to a .500 record in one of his first two season as skipper.
The Giants won the first game of their doubleheader, and they are losing 3-2 in the second game as I type this. The Reds would be 1.0 game up on the Giants for the #7 seed if that holds. Whoever finishes 7/8 is a big deal as the #8 plays the Dodgers. NL Central #2 is still in play for the Reds. There is certainly still things to play for, but the big hurdle has been passed.
Reds at Twins
Saturday, 7:10 PM
TV: FOX Sports Ohio / FS1
Luis Castillo (2.86 ERA/2.73 FIP) vs Michael Pineda (3.18 ERA/1.99 FIP)