The Cincinnati Reds (24-26) go for the series sweep over the Pittsburgh Pirates (14-33) at 6:40pm ET at Great American Ballpark. With the final three series coming against the White Sox, Brewers, and Twins – winning tonight feels like a must for the Reds as things won’t be easy moving forward as they try to grab a playoff spot. Cincinnati will send Luis Castillo to the mound to try and get things done, while the Pirates will be countering with JT Brubaker.

Starting Lineups

Pittsburgh Pirates

Cincinnati Reds

Adam Frazier – LF Shogo Akiyama – LF
Ke’Bryan Hayes – 3B Nick Castellanos – RF
Colin Moran – DH Joey Votto – 1B
Josh Bell – 1B Jesse Winker – DH
Erik Gonzalez – SS Mike Moustakas – 3B
Kevin Newman – 2B Nick Senzel – CF
Gregory Polanco – RF Freddy Galvis – 2B
Cole Tucker – CF Jose Garcia – SS
John Ryan Murphy – C Curt Casali – C
JT Brubaker – SP Luis Castillo – SP

Cincinnati’s going with a bit of a balanced lineup against right-handed pitcher JT Brubaker. There are four left-handed hitters, four right-handed hitters, and a switch hitter among the starting nine (hitters). The top of the lineup is stacked with the lefties, though, with four of the first five batters swinging from the left side.

Starting Pitchers

Pitcher IP ERA WHIP BB% K%
Luis Castillo 52.1 3.44 1.32 8.9% 29.5%
JT Brubaker 30.1 5.34 1.48 9.6% 23.5%
Links: Luis Castillo’s Stats | JT Brubaker’s Stats

Luis Castillo

On Monday we wrote about how we were seeing a bit of a different version of Luis Castillo in 2020 than we have in the past. Today he’ll take the mound looking to help the Reds sweep the Pirates. He’ll be hoping for something close to a repeat from his last start against Pittsburgh on September 4th when he allowed two runs in 6.0 innings, though a repeat of his last start when he allowed just one run in a complete game against St. Louis would also work just fine.

Pitch Usage in 2020

4-Seam 2-Seam Slider Change
Velo 97.8 97.9 87.1 88.6
Usage 28% 23% 18% 31%

JT Brubaker

The 26-year-old is in his rookie season. He’s made six starts and two relief appearances for the Pirates this year. As a starter his ERA is 6.39, and in his last start he allowed seven runs in 5.1 innings against the White Sox.

Lefties had an .814 OPS against him with 10 walks and 16 strikeouts this season. Righties have a .703 OPS against him with three walks and 16 strikeouts.

Pitch Usage in 2020

4-Seam 2-Seam Change Slider Curve
Velo 93.9 94.3 88.4 88.2 81.4
Usage 14% 34% 3% 36% 13%

When and Where

  • Game time: 6:40pm ET
  • Where: Great American Ballpark, Cincinnati
  • Watch: Fox Sports Ohio, MLB.tv
  • Listen: 700 WLW AM (Cincinnati area)
  • Forecast: 77°, partly cloudy, 0% chance of rain

NL Central Standings

Team Wins Losses GB
Cubs 29 20
Cardinals 21 22 5.0
Reds 24 26 5.5
Brewers 22 25 6.0
Pirates 14 33 14.0

News and Notes

The Reds have added 1st round pick Austin Hendrick to the player pool

Cincinnati had an open spot in the 60-man player pool and they decided to bring in 19-year-old outfielder Austin Hendrick. The Reds 2020 1st round pick (12th overall) was assigned to Prasco Park and the alternate roster this afternoon. He’s currently rated as the organization’s #5 overall prospect, and is the #76 overall prospect in baseball according to Baseball America.

The Reds are really good if they can score even a little bit

Updated Playoff Odds

Fangraphs has the Cincinnati Reds playoff odds up to 44.9% after the win over Pittsburgh on Tuesday night. Baseball Reference has their playoff odds up to 42.1%.

47 Responses

  1. Mark Moore

    Let’s take this one and reduce the pressure for the coming games. WC#2 isn’t enough. We need NLC #2.

    Reply
    • doofus

      Yo Mark! What is your icon? It looks like someone ran a lawn mower into a wall.

      Doug, no need to censor. I am just engaging a fellow Reds fan.

      Reply
      • Mark Moore

        It’s my zero-turn lawn mower. That’s the normal parking spot. It usually has a cover over it.

  2. doofus

    Doug, how do I create an icon? I am technologically inept. Please keep it simple for me.

    Thanks,
    doofus

    Reply
    • Doug Gray

      Go to Gravatar.com – create an account. Use the same email address there that you use when you leave a comment here. Viola – Icon.

      Reply
  3. Mark Moore

    We’ve got to get something rolling here. La Piedra needs some support. He’s doing his part so far.

    C’mon guys … you did it for the past couple days.

    Reply
  4. Sliotar

    58 pitches through 5 innings.

    Another complete game for Castillo?

    Reply
    • Jefferson Green

      I’ll vote yes on that. Castillo is being remarkably pitch-efficient, with 7 K’s, to boot.

      Reply
  5. Mark Moore

    A nice hit, RBI, and a combo TOOTBLAN!!

    Well, we did score.

    Reply
  6. Matt WI

    That’s on the 3rd base coach… he waved Casali around and then thre up the stop sign after he was digging for home.

    Reply
  7. Tom Mitsoff

    Wonder when the last time a Reds starting pitcher threw 16 straight shutout innings over two starts was?

    Reply
    • Mark Moore

      Unique year causing the situation of a 9+7 … both being complete games.

      It’s possible the way he’s dealing.

      Reply
    • Mark Moore

      The number is 14. Not bad from where I’m sitting.

      Reply
      • Tom Mitsoff

        You are correct. I thought his previous complete game was a shutout.

      • earmbrister

        Definitely a Moose in the equation, though I wish he’d had factored in more to date.

        I used to call a client named Justin, Jughead behind his back. Bit me in the arse when I passed him in the hallway and called him Jughead by mistake. I was appalled by my slip.

        Guess I’m the Jughead.

        Oh look, the Reds have 5 hits. It must be late in the game.

  8. Woodrow

    It would be so awesome to get at least one more run here.

    Reply
    • earmbrister

      I’d be happy to second that.

      But of course our bullpen doesn’t need but a run to work with …

      Reply
  9. Jack

    Offense looking not much better even against Pirates, playing a real team like the White Sox might be a rude awakening.

    Reply
    • Tom Mitsoff

      As others have said here before, one game at a time. 🙂 Doesn’t matter how you win them, just so you win them.

      And yes, that White Sox series is going to be a good measuring stick.

      Reply
    • JB

      Sox have won 6 in a row too. Hopefully Bauer can win one and somebody else can get lucky.

      Reply
  10. Gonzo Reds

    Another great start by our SP, another lead squandered by.. what? Oh sorry too early!

    Reply
  11. Don

    Sweep, Yes.

    Enjoy the day of team after this 4 games of success.

    Reply
  12. Mark Moore

    And that friends is a sweep, a 5-streak, and 6 of the last 7.

    Reply
  13. earmbrister

    As Tom said, a win is a win (assuming no injuries).

    The Little Red Machine just keeps on chuggin’

    Reply
    • Mark Moore

      Debbie fully supports a win regardless of the score. Double down if the WLB’s lose.

      Reply
      • earmbrister

        I see that someone asked the question that I asked you earlier in this short season.

        Cover that machine. Rust Never Sleeps

      • Mark Moore

        It’s covered earmbrister. Found a $40 cover on Amazon. It’s brand new (less than 15 hours) and given the $3K I shelled out for it, I’m not about to take chances.

  14. Gonzo Reds

    Whew! 5 more and Jim Grey will dye his hair like Suarez! Yes he said it on air!

    Reply
    • earmbrister

      Just For Men will get the grey out of Day’s hair

      Reply
  15. Colorado Red

    Cards losing in the 6th.
    2nd game. For tonight only. Go Crew.

    Reply
  16. Don

    Cards Magic number is 12 to finish higher than the over the Reds

    Reds Magic number is 12 for finishing higher than Brewers

    Cards have 13 games after tonight
    Brewers have 11 games left
    Reds have 9 games left

    The Cards need to lose 4 more than the Reds lose and Brewers need to lose 3 more games than the Reds.

    Reds need the Brewers to win game 2 tonight and then have the Pirates end their losing streak this weekend and take 2 or 3 of the 5 vs the Cards.

    Root for the Cards to lose.

    Reply
    • earmbrister

      Reds are officially in second place in the NLC. Gotta finish strong, for as Don points out, we’ve got a lot less games left.

      Go Reds Go

      Reply
  17. Charlie Waffles

    Peaking at the right time, going down the stretch.
    Winker and Senzel have been non-contributors since returning. That has to change this weekend. Need 2 wins out of the next series. This will be the weekend that Tyler Mahle grows up. If he can shut down the White Sox it could propel going forward.

    Reply
  18. TR

    IMO the Reds have the look of the reappearance of The Nasty Boys of 1990 with Bradley, Iglesias, Garrett, Sims, Antone and others.

    Reply

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