Mike Moustakas’ three-run homer in the first inning off Yu Darvish felt like it was worth 25 runs. The Reds entered play having failed to score a run in 15 consecutive innings, and they had backed themselves into what was a must win game tonight. The three runs Moustakas drove in would prove to be more than enough for Trevor Bauer. He took a no-hitter into the fifth inning, and dominated the Cubs over 7.2 innings.
The Reds are about to get some much needed help (assuming the Braves don’t blow a 29-9 lead on the Marlins), and they are now 2.5 back for the final wild card spot and 3.0 back of the idle Cardinals for the NL Central #2 spot with 17 games to play.
|Chicago Cubs (25-19)||0||3||1|
|Cincinnati Reds (19-24)||3||4||1|
|W: Bauer (4-3) L: Darvish (7-2) S: Iglesias (6)|
|FanGraphs Win Probability | Statcast | Box Score | Game Thread|
Biggest Play of the Game
According to Fangraphs WPA statistic (winning percentage added), the most important play of the game was Mike Moustakas’ 3-run home run with 1 out in the first inning, giving the Reds a 3-0 lead. That play increased the Reds probability of winning by 24.4% (from 49.3% to 73.8%).
What more can you say about Trevor Bauer? If the Reds were better in the standings like they should be, everyone would be talking about what an absolute steal of trade this was for the Reds. Tonight’s ridiculous line: 7.2 IP, 3 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 10 K, 0.94 FIP.
So Trevor Bauer's ERA now 1.74, Darvish 1.77. deGrom 1.69.
— Jesse Rogers (@JesseRogersESPN) September 10, 2020
Mike Moustakas might finally be heating up. He now has .946 OPS in the month of September. If he can start hitting bombs every couple games, that would be huge for the Reds down the stretch.
Nick Castellanos and Jesse Winker had really good plate appearances in the first inning to draw walks off Yu Darvish to set up the 3-run Moose bomb. Darvish had only walked 8 batters all year entering tonight.
GOOD VIBES ONLY.
Reds at Cubs
Tuesday, 8:15 PM
TV: FOX Sports Ohio
Sonny Gray (3.19 ERA, 42.1 IP) vs Adbert Alzolay (2.08 ERA, 8.2 IP)