The Cincinnati Reds (17-22) are going for win number two in the series against the Pittsburgh Pirates (12-25) on Saturday night. The Reds will be sending Anthony DeSclafani to the mound to face off against Trevor Williams at 7:05pm ET.

Starting Lineups

Cincinnati Reds

Pittsburgh Pirates

Joey Votto – 1B Erik Gonzalez – 3B
Nick Castellanos – RF Adam Frazier – 2B
Jesse Winker – DH Bryan Reynolds – LF
Eugenio Suárez – 3B Colin Moran – DH
Mike Moustakas – 2B Gregory Polanco – RF
Brian Goodwin – CF Josh Bell – 1B
Shogo Akiyama – LF Kevin Newman – SS
Jose Garcia – SS Anthony Alford – CF
Tucker Barnhart – C Jacob Stallings – C
Anthony DeSclafani – SP Trevor Williams – SP

The Reds are running out a lefty heavy lineup against Trevor Williams today. Historically, lefties have found more success against him than righties – but this year right-handed hitters are basically Coors Field version of Larry Walker against him. We’ll see how this plays out tonight.

Starting Pitchers

Pitcher IP ERA WHIP BB% K%
A. DeSclafani 21.0 7.71 1.67 11.1% 14.1%
Trevor Williams 34.1 5.50 1.54 7.7% 20.6%
Links: Anthony DeSclafani’s Stats | Trevor Williams’ Stats

Anthony DeSclafani

Taking on Pittsburgh for the second time this season, Anthony DeSclafani is hoping that things will go better for him this time around. If you’ve forgotten, or purposefully pushed it out of your memory, the Pirates scored 9 runs in 2.0 innings against DeSclafani on August 13th.

2020 Splits

RHH 39 7 2 0 1 10.2% 12.8% .212 .308 .364
LHH 60 17 1 1 3 11.7% 15.0% .327 .417 .558

Things haven’t gone well for Anthony DeSclafani this season, particularly against left-handed hitters, who have treated him like they were MVP candidates and he was a swing-man starter. He’s not missing bats against lefties or righties this year. He’s also walking a lot of guys from both sides of the plate.

Pitch Usage in 2020

4-Seam 2-Seam Curve Slider Change
Velo 95.4 95.3 82.1 87.0 88.7
Usage 35% 18% 10% 30% 7%

Trevor Williams

It was Williams that was the beneficiary of the start on August 13th from Anthony DeSclafani where he allowed 9 runs in 2.0 innings. It’s been a tough season for Williams for the most part, though. He’s had three solid starts, but he’s had more than a few clunker in there, too. Over his last two starts at the White Sox and at the Brewers he’s thrown 10 innings, allowed 17 hits, 4 home runs, 4 walks, 11 earned runs (and 13 runs total).

2020 Splits

RHH 63 18 2 0 6 9.5% 23.8% .333 .413 .704
LHH 92 23 4 0 1 6.5% 18.5% .277 .341 .361

In 2020, Trevor Williams is showing big time reverse platoon splits. Right-handed hitters are obliterating the ball against him. Left-handed hitters are being very “all-star shortstop from 1988” against him, though – good average, good ability to get on base, but not much power so far. Righties are averaging a home run once every 10 plate appearances against him. Last season that wasn’t the case, so we may just be dealing with some small sample size stuff here – but that’s how things have gone in 2020 for Williams.

Pitch Usage in 2020

4-Seam 2-Seam Curve Slider Change
Velo 91.9 89.9 78.0 82.9 85.6
Usage 45% 7% 5% 26% 17%

When and Where

  • Game time: 7:05pm ET
  • Where: PNC Park, Pittsburgh
  • Watch: Fox Sports Ohio,
  • Listen: 700 WLW AM (Cincinnati area)
  • Forecast: 76°, sunny, 0% chance of rain

NL Central Standings

Team Wins Losses GB
Cubs 23 15
Brewers 18 19 4.5
Cardinals 14 15 4.5
Reds 17 22 6.5
Pirates 12 25 10.5

News and Notes

 Remembering the Terrific Tom Seaver

Jay Jaffe wrote an excellent piece on Tom Seaver over at Fangraphs this week. Seaver, who passed away this week, is arguably the greatest pitcher post integration we’ve ever seen.

Remembering the Terrific Tom Seaver (1944-2020)

The Reds pick up two free agent pitching prospects

With a 5 round draft, the international signing period for newly eligible prospects pushed back, and a minor league season cancelled, it’s been a weird summer for non-Major League baseball players (it’s been weird for them, too). While business isn’t as usual, the Reds are still out there looking to pick up talent, and they did so this past week by signing two free agents. Carson Rudd pitched for Stanford over the last three seasons before signing with the organization. Nicolo Pinazza signed as an international free agent (he is not a newly eligible player so the pushed back 2020 class didn’t affect him) out of Italy.

Cincinnati Reds sign Carson Rudd and Nicolo Pinazzi

Updated Playoff Odds

After the split of games on Friday evening in Pittsburgh, Fangraphs now projects the Cincinnati Reds to finish 28-32 and gives them a 38.2% chance of making the playoffs. Baseball Reference has their playoff odds down to 18.2% on the season.