The Cincinnati Reds (15-21) will look to rebound after last night’s loss to the St. Louis Cardinals (14-13) in the second game of their three game series. The Cardinals are sending a rookie to the mound to make his third career start with Johan Oviedo. Cincinnati will send out Tyler Mahle, hoping to get back on the correct side of the ledger.

Starting Lineups

St. Louis Cardinals

Cincinnati Reds

Kolton Wong – 2B Joey Votto – 1B
Tommy Edman – RF Nick Castellanos – RF
Paul Goldschmidt – 1B Jesse Winker – DH
Brad Miller – DH Eugenio Suárez – 3B
Paul DeJong – SS Mike Moustakas – 2B
Yadier Molina – C Brian Goodwin – CF
Matt Carpenter – 3B Jose Garcia – SS
Tyler O’Neill – LF Shogo Akiyama – LF
Lane Thomas – CF Tucker Barnhart – C
Johan Oviedo – SP Tyler Mahle – SP

Brian Goodwin gets his first start with the Reds tonight and he’ll be in center field and hitting 6th. Jesse Winker is back after serving his 1-game suspension last night.

Starting Pitchers

Pitcher IP ERA WHIP BB% K%
Tyler Mahle 23.0 3.91 1.13 10.3% 33.0%
Johan Oviedo 10.0 3.60 1.00 10.3% 12.8%
Links: Tyler Mahle’s Stats | Johan Oviedo’s Stats

Tyler Mahle

The 25-year-old will be making his 5th start of the season, and his 6th overall appearance. His control has taken a bit of a step backwards from where it was in 2019, but his strikeout rate is up significantly as he’s striking out 12.5 batters per 9-innings pitched in 2020.

2020 Splits

Split PA H 2B 3B HR BB% K% AVG OBP SLG
RHH 41 9 1 0 2 9.8% 41.5% .250 .317 .444
LHH 56 7 0 1 2 10.7% 26.8% .149 .268 .319

In another way that things just don’t make sense in 2020 for the Cincinnati Reds or their players, Tyler Mahle’s walked fewer righties and struck out significantly more of them than lefties, but righties have had far better results against him this season.

Pitch Usage in 2020

4-Seam Cutter Slider Splitter
Velo 94.3 87.2 85.7 88.5
Usage 51% 27% 7% 14%

Johan Oviedo

The 22-year-old rookie has only pitched in two games in his Major League career. He has thrown 5.0 innings in both starts, and both came in the second game of double headers. In 2019 he spent most of his season in Double-A Springfield where he posted a 5.65 ERA in 23 starts that spanned 113.0 innings with 64 walks and 128 strikeouts.

2019 MINOR LEAGUE Splits

Split PA H 2B 3B HR BB% K% AVG OBP SLG
RHH 308 66 11 1 7 11.4% 24.0% .249 .350 .377
LHH 347 83 17 3 3 11.8% 25.6% .277 .370 .383

We’re looking at last years minor league splits because 10.0 innings in the big leagues this year just doesn’t give us any useful information. His splits weren’t that large. His groundball/flyball ratios were league average, just in case you were curious about that, too.

Pitch Usage in 2020

4-Seam Curve Change Slider
Velo 96.0 77.4 89.1 85.1
Usage 56% 11% 2% 31%

When and Where

  • Game time: 6:40pm ET
  • Where: Great American Ballpark, Cincinnati.
  • Watch: Fox Sports Ohio, MLB.tv
  • Listen: 700 WLW AM (Cincinnati area)
  • Forecast: 79°, cloudy, 15% chance of rain

NL Central Standings

Team Wins Losses GB
Cubs 21 14
Cardinals 14 13 3.0
Brewers 16 19 5.0
Reds 15 21 6.5
Pirates 10 23 10.0

News and Notes

Updating the rotation for the weekend

Updated Playoff Odds

After the loss last night to the Cardinals, the Cincinnati Reds playoff odds are now at 34.1% according to Fangraphs, who projects them to finish 28-32 on the season at this point. Baseball Reference projects the playoff odds for the Reds at 14.5.%.