Tonight the Cincinnati Reds (10-12) head to St. Louis to take on the Cardinals (6-7) in a match up of the National League Central teams that wear red. Both teams will be running out outstanding starting pitching as we’ll get the treat of Sonny Gray and Adam Wainwright facing off.

Starting Lineups

Cincinnati Reds

St. Louis Cardinals

Joey Votto – 1B Kolten Wong – 2B
Nick Castellanos – RF Tommy Edman – SS
Jesse Winker – LF Paul Goldschmidt – 1B
Eugenio Suárez – 3B Matt Carpenter – DH
Mike Moustakas – 2B Brad Miller – 3B
Shogo Akiyama – CF Tyler O’Neill – LF
Josh VanMeter – DH Dexter Fowler – RF
Freddy Galvis – SS Yadier Molina – C
Tucker Barnhart – C Dylan Carlson – CF
Sonny Gray – SP Adam Wainwright – SP

Left-handed hitters have historically had much more success against Adam Wainwright than right-handed hitters have, and the Reds have stacked the lineup with seven left-handed hitters to begin the game.

Starting Pitchers

Pitcher IP ERA WHIP BB% K%
Sonny Gray 30.2 2.05 0.91 4.2% 37.2%
Adam Wainwright 11.0 1.64 0.82 9.5% 19.1%
Links: Sonny Gray’s Stats | Adam Wainwright’s Stats

Sonny Gray

In 2020, the fact that Sonny Gray hasn’t been the best starter on the Reds staff is more about how insanely good Trevor Bauer has been than anything about how Gray hasn’t been something else. Gray has a 2.05 ERA with one of the best strikeout rates in the league, while the team has gone 4-1 in his five starts.

2020 Splits

RHH 52 9 1 0 1 3.8% 46.2% .184 .231 .265
LHH 69 10 2 1 2 10.1% 30.4% .164 .261 .328

This season has seen Sonny Gray outclass both lefties and righties, but he’s on a different level against right-handed hitters this year so far. He’s got a 12-to-1 strikeout-to-walk ratio against them and he’s striking out an absurd 46.2% of them. Against left-handed hitters the strikeout rate is still impressive at 30.4%, but the walk rate is pretty high at 10.1%. They aren’t doing much damage when they do get the bat on the ball, but lefties have found more success than righties thus far.

Pitch Usage in 2020

4-Seam 2-Seam Slider Curve Change
Velo 93.7 93.2 83.4 81.2 89.0
Usage 29% 26% 20% 24% 1%

Two fastballs. Two breaking balls. Two change ups per game. That’s what you’re going to get from Sonny Gray on a typical day.

Adam Wainwright

The St. Louis Cardinals have only played 13 games this season, and Adam Wainwright has made just two starts. The first one came on July 25th, and then the last one came five days ago. He’s thrown a total of 150 pitches on the year – but the results in both starts have been strong as he’s given up just one run in each.

2019 Splits

With just two starts this season, current splits don’t mean much of anything. Here’s how his splits break down for last season:

vsRHH 402 97 21 1 8 4.7% 22.6% .262 .310 .389
vsLHH 343 84 17 2 14 13.1% 18.1% .288 .380 .503

Left-handed hitters saw the ball much better against Wainwright, showing nearly three times the walk rate, a lower strikeout rate, and significantly more power than right-handed hitters showed against him in 2019.

Pitch Usage in 2020

4-Seam 2-Seam Cutter Curve Change
Velo 89.8 89.9 86.2 74.2 83.0
Usage 11% 33% 27% 27% 3%

The pitch usage in 2020 isn’t much different than it has been in past seasons for Adam Wainwright, which is why we went ahead and used the 2020 data. You’re not going to see much change up, or much velocity from the Cardinals right-handed pitcher.

When and Where

  • Game time: 8:15pm ET
  • Where: St. Louis’ Busch Stadium
  • Watch: Fox Sports Ohio,
  • Listen: 700 WLW AM (Cincinnati area)
  • Forecast: 79°, sunny, 0% chance of rain.

NL Central Standings

Team Wins Losses GB
Cubs 16 8
Brewers 11 11 4.0
Cardinals 6 7 4.5
Reds 10 12 5.0
Pirates 4 16 10.0

News and Notes

Joey Votto has had some success against Adam Wainwright in their careers, as shown by Joel Luckhaupt.

Trevor Bauer’s good

We’ll let our tweet from earlier today speak for itself:

Multiple Reds players speak out