Final 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Reds 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1
Dodgers 3 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 X 5 7 1

For the second time in three days, the Cincinnati Reds (42-45) were limited to one hit by Los Angeles Dodgers (58-29) pitching in a 5-0 loss at Dodger Stadium.

That was the result today as Strat-O-Matic games of Glen Head, N.Y., continued its announced plan to simulate the entire 2020 Major League Baseball season on a day-by-day basis for as long as actual game play is on hold.


Help set the lineup, batting order for the simulated Reds:

Have you ever dreamed of your opportunity to “manage” the Reds? Now is your chance. Learn more below!


Nick Castellanos’ seventh-inning single off Dodgers starter and winner David Price — activated from the injured list just before the game — was the only Cincinnati hit in the game. Price walked one batter, and the Reds had only three base runners total. (Michael Lorenzen reached on a first-inning error by shortstop Corey Seager.)

Los Angeles scored three in the first off starter and loser Sonny Gray, and that was all they would need. With two out and nobody on, Gray issued a walk to Max Muncy (one of nine walks issued by Reds pitchers). That triggered the three-run rally, highlighted by a two-run double by A.J. Pollock. Gray fell to 1-7 for the season.

Milwaukee reassumed sole possession of first place in the NL Central by scoring seven runs in the ninth inning to defeat the Cubs, 9-3, at Wrigley Field. The Reds are five games behind and in fourth place.

Here is the sim Reds box score, as provided by Strat-O-Matic:

A-Pinch Hit For Gray In 5th Inning
C-Pinch Hit For Stephenson In 8th Inning
D-Pinch Hit For Lorenzen In 9th Inning

B-Pinch Hit For Price In 7th Inning

Standings following the July 1 games:

NL Central WON LOST PCT GB
Brewers 46 39 .541 0.0
Cubs 46 41 .529 1.0
Cardinals 45 42 .517 2.0
Reds 42 45 .483 5.0
Pirates 35 51 .407 11.5

The 2020 schedule has the Reds at Dodger Stadium Wednesday for the final game of the four-game series, hoping to avoid the sweep. Wade Miley pitches for the sim Reds, and righthander Dustin May will start for LA.

Help set the lineup, batting order for the simulated Reds:

Have you ever dreamed of your opportunity to “manage” the Reds? Now is your chance.

Strat-O-Matic has agreed to allow Redleg Nation to submit the Cincinnati Reds’ lineups for each day’s simulated game. We want all of our readers who want to participate to get involved.

Here is how it will work:

  • In each wrap up of that day’s simulated game, Redleg Nation will post the opposing starting pitcher for the next game. You will know who the pitcher is and whether he is left-handed or right-handed, and you can use that information in creating a lineup for the next game, and submitting it in the comments below. “Splits” such as performance vs. left-handers or right-handers are replicated in the Strat-O-Matic game algorithm, and therefore should be considered.
  • We will accept lineups from every reader who wants to submit one. The lineup that will be submitted to Strat-O-Matic each day will be the one that receives the most positive replies (in effect, “yes” votes) from readers other than the submitter. In case of ties:
    • First tiebreaker: Lineup submitted by the reader who has had the fewest number of opportunities as a “manager.”
    • Second tiebreaker: Lineup submitted earliest in the comment thread. (So get your lineup in “early” each day.)
  • What is “early?” Redleg Nation posts these articles daily between 5 and 6 p.m. Eastern time. Strat-O-Matic’s deadline for us to submit a lineup for the next day’s game is midnight. On most days, we’ll do this before “bedtime,” which is typically between 10:30 and 11 Eastern time.

All players’ batting stats

All players’ pitching stats

Batting and pitching player stats by team

Have fun with this! If you have any questions, please post them in the comment string below. Here are the “managerial records” of our Redleg Nation participants to date:

Commenter/
“Manager”
WON LOST PCT
Peter Onte 2 1 .667
Jon Davis 9 5 .643
BK 9 6 .600
James Owens 3 2 .600
Gonzo Reds 6 5 .545
Redsfan4life 5 5 .500
RedsEuphoria 1 1 .500
Tomn 1 1 .500
Doug Gray 1 1 .500
Don 2 5 .286
Melvin 1 4 .200
AirborneJayJay 0 1 .000
Jeff 0 1 .000
VaRedsFan 0 1 .000
Mark Moore 0 2 .000
Tom Mitsoff 0 2 .000

About Strat-O-Matic

Strat-O-Matic has been in the sports simulation business since the 1960s. A USA Today article contained this explanation:

Strat-O-Matic and other baseball simulations use statistics from the previous season to create “cards” for each player on a roster. The team managers select the batting order and the starting pitcher. From there, a series of dice rolls and calculations determines the outcome of each at-bat.

Strat-O, as it’s known to longtime players, first gained its immense popularity as a board game. The company has since expanded to a downloadable Windows version and one that’s played online. A few years ago, it introduced Baseball Daily – a new iteration that combined the player cards from the previous season with statistics from the real season being played at the same time.

Unlike many video games, the Strat-O-Matic results are based on algorithms that account for players’ performance based on statistics that their statistical experts project for each player in the 2020 season. It’s not a game played with a joystick that relies more on the skill of the person with the video game controller in his or her hand.

The simulation software will keep comprehensive statistics for all teams for the season, so we’ll be able to track year-to-date leaders in many statistical categories. Our current plan is to provide statistical leader summaries here at Redleg Nation each Sunday. You can follow the season at Strat-O-Matic.com, where they plan to post the results from each day’s schedule at 2 p.m. Eastern time.

24 Responses

  1. Melvin

    Akiyama CF
    Votto 1B
    Suarez 3B
    Moose 2B
    Winker LF
    Castellanos RF
    Barnhart C
    Miley P
    Galvis SS

    • Jon Davis

      This was the lineup I was initially thinking so I vote for Melvin.

    • Don

      Melvin, You have my vote.

      Agree with all the players

    • Gonzo Reds

      Looks good Melvin. You have my vote. Let’s see what we can do to salvage the road trip.

    • BK

      Alright Melvin … get us a streak going.

  2. Jon Davis

    Current Roster
    (* = player has NO options)
    (+ = LHP or LHB)
    (^ = Switch Hitter)

    Our current 26 man roster is:
    C – *+Barnhart, *Casali
    IF – *+Votto, *+Moustakas, *Suarez, *^Galvis, Rodriguez
    OF – +Akiyama, Lorenzen(18), *Ervin, *Castellanos, +Payton, +Winker, Senzel
    SP – *Bauer, *Desclafani, *Gray, *+Miley, Castillo
    RP – *+Reed, Iglesias, *+Garrett, *Sims, *Strop, *R. Stephenson, Lorenzen, Kuhnel

    Guys on the 40 man roster not on active roster
    C – Stephenson, Farmer
    IF – Garcia, +Vanmeter, Blandino
    OF – Aquino, +Jankowski, *+Schebler
    SP – Mahle, Santillan, DeLeon, Antone
    RP – Bowman, Hendrix, Shafer, +Smith

    Finally here is a list of relevant non 40 man players
    C – Chris Okey
    IF – India, Davidson, Colon
    OF – +Friedl, +Powell, Barnes, Fairchild, +Hannah, +Siani
    SP – +Lodolo, Greene, Gutierrez, +Naughton, +Raley, Solomon, Lillie, +Sanmartin
    RP – Thornburg, +Biddle, Romano, +Finnegan, Carpenter, Alaniz, Powers

  3. Melvin

    Man, the LA pitching has really been good lately. Second time in three games we’ve had one hit and one walk. The only highlight for us was a Lorenzen defensive play. I guess Kuhnel did go one inning without giving up an ER. We can’t give up though. I know things look bleak. Remember seven of our last ten games are at home starting with the Indians for just two then our last eight games are against the Pirates @ home for three, the Cubs away for three, and then the Mets for two @ home to finish. The Brewers don’t have any easy games left. They finish at SD for three then in LA for three and don’t have a break until then. I think we need to focus on the Cards and Cubs. The Cards don’t have it easy until their last series @ home for three against the Giants. The Cubs get to play the Whitesox four games in two separate series H/A before they finish but they do have to play us, the Rays and the Braves. If the Brews play that well against their remaining schedule nobody is going to stop them anyway.
    It ain’t over till it’s over. I just made that up. Feel free to use it if you want. Seriously we still have a shot. Just have to get to work in our last game in LA and three in AZ. Our guys are definitely do for an offensive breakout. We KNOW we’er much better than that. I believe we still have a winning streak in us that very well could pull us through.

  4. Melvin

    Gentlemen, we have a decision to make. If we’re going with a four man rotation after tomorrow’s game, who do we put in the pen? The thought process all along has been Miley. However an argument could be made that he’s pitched better than Gray. Miley would give us a lefty in the pen but of course in the rotation too. I guess it may partly depend on how he does tomorrow. He pitched well last game. If he duplicates that we pretty much have to keep him in the rotation. Whatya all think?

    • Gonzo Reds

      Like in real life probably good to keep a lefty in the rotation. Rather than move someone to the pen we could skip Gray’s next start perhaps and then have options each day as we’d have two guys ready to go?

      • Melvin

        The next start after tomorrow that we will need one of them will be @ home vs. the Indians on the 7th and then the last game before the ASG on the 12th vs. the Pirates. I guess we have to weigh whether it’s better to have an extra arm in the pen or not. If we do want Gray to be the odd man out we could possibly make him available out of the pen for the final game in LA and then the D-Back series. After Miley’s start on the 7th we could reevaluate. Just kinda thinking out loud so to speak.

    • Tom Mitsoff

      Melvin and sim crew: What I’m going to do regarding starting pitching for the remainder of our season, about 20 days now, is give that day’s manager the opportunity to choose the starting pitcher from among all those who are eligible. That opportunity won’t begin until next Tuesday, because with no off-days until then, the starting rotation is locked in because of having to use a starting pitcher with four days minimum rest.

      This will give each commenter/manager something additional to strategize about. 🙂

      • Melvin

        That sounds good Tom. I was only thinking that if we want one of our starters to be available out of the pen we would have to tell Strato since they wouldn’t use him in that way. Maybe it’s better to just let things stand where they are with what we have already in our pen.

      • Tom Mitsoff

        After Sunday, there are seven off-days through July 23 because of the All-Star break, so there are going to be many, many options.

      • Gonzo Reds

        I’m 2-0 with bullpen days so you can imagine how I’m leaning if I get the chance again…

    • BK

      Gray has more bullpen time than Miley (Yankees used Gray from the pen some in 2018), but neither have much of a track record pitching in relief. I read Strato’s rule book last weekend. Pitchers are designated as starters or relievers (sometimes both). We may want to inquire if either has a “reliever” card as we know Strato likes players used as intended. Sorry, sometimes I have to remind myself we are playing against a computer.

      If there’s no game quirk to consider, I would push Gray to the pen as Miley is outperforming him. We’ve won our last two bullpen days, but both openers let us down. Coming from behind is not a good strategy. If we can’t use Gray in relief, I suggest we use matchups. No big deal if someone skips a start.

      • Melvin

        If I read what Tom is saying correctly we’re going to hold off moving any SP to the pen as a group for the next four games. That way each manager will have every option possible to decide for himself starting on the 7th.

  5. BK

    Our defensive BABIP in June finished at .287 … not bad. On the year we’re at .306.

    With a non-1B at 1B our BABIP is .324 (doesn’t kill us, but the difference is discernable and over a full season would be towards the bottom of the league.)

    Playing Winker or Castellanos in RF gives a BABIP of .301.

    • Gonzo Reds

      Not going to lie… I miss the days before analytics…

      Got an A in statistics at UF while earning my BSBA but I just want to play the game, just averages and home runs, no infield shifts and no DH rule!

      • Melvin

        Regarding the DH I’m kind of on the fence. I like what one writer said several weeks ago. His idea was to have it both ways. The DH would be in effect for the SP. When he leaves the DH leaves with him. That would actually add more strategy in some ways.

  6. Melvin

    Our defense has been better and has resulted in less runs from our opponents seems like. For those who like to look things up I wander how our ARPG given up looked in June compared to April and May. We do better if we don’t try to slug it out with teams. I’m all for trying new things at times to see how it might work. In crunch time now though I’m very hesitant. Every little thing, every play, is very important while we try and claw our way back. If I’m a CF in real baseball I’m not feeling too comfortable inbetween Winker and Casty out there. There would be a lot of weight on my shoulders. lol

  7. Tom Mitsoff

    Melvin has the solid support of his fellow Redleg Nation readers for Thursday’s lineup, so that is going to Strat-O-Matic. Gotta break this losing streak!

    • Melvin

      Thanks for your support gentlemen. Let’s win the rest together and go out the sim season with a bang! It would be a great way to transition to real Reds baseball. 🙂