Final 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Reds 0 0 0 5 0 3 3 0 2 13 16 0
Padres 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 6 8 0

The Cincinnati Reds (36-39) got out to a terrible start, giving up five runs in the first inning, but the bats went to work – clubbing four homers on the day and racking up 16 hits in a blowout win over the San Diego Padres (42-34) on Thursday.

That was the result today as Strat-O-Matic games of Glen Head, N.Y., continued its announced plan to simulate the entire 2020 Major League Baseball season on a day-by-day basis for as long as actual game play is on hold.


Help set the lineup, batting order for the simulated Reds:

Have you ever dreamed of your opportunity to “manage” the Reds? Now is your chance. Learn more below!


On a designated bullpen day the Reds turned to Michael Lorenzen to start the game, hoping to get a few innings of out their reliever. Things didn’t go as planned as he gave up five runs in the 1st inning and didn’t return for the second. The Reds bullpen clamped down from there, though, as Cody Reed struck out four batters in 2.0 shutout innings to keep the score at 5-0 heading into the 4th inning.

That’s when the Reds offense came to life. Joey Votto led off with a walk and Mike Moustakas was hit by a pitch. He left the game and was replaced by Nick Senzel. Eugenio Suarez and Nick Castellanos would both single before Mark Payton homered to get Cincinnati right back into things. Freddy Galvis and Shogo Akiyama would both follow with walks before Joey Votto capped off the inning with an RBI single that tied the game up at 5-5.

Lucas Sims came out for the next two innings and kept the Padres offense off of the board. In the top of the 6th the Reds offense got going again. Shogo Akiyama singled with one out and Joey Votto followed up with a 2-run homer to put Cincinnati in front 7-5. Eugenio Suarez would hit a 2-out homer later in the inning to make it an 8-5 lead. The next inning saw another rally as back-to-back walks from Tucker Barnhart and Phillip Ervin got things started. Freddy Galvis and Akiyama would both single before a Votto sac fly and Suarez single made it 11-5 with a second straight 3-run inning.

In the top of the 9th the Reds put together two more runs when Eugenio Suarez clobbered his second homer of the day, bringing in Nick Senzel who had doubled earlier in the inning. San Diego would get a run of their own in the bottom of the 9th, but it was too little, too late in the Reds 13-6 win.

Here is the sim Reds box score, as provided by Strat-O-Matic:

Standings following the June 18 games:

NL Central WON LOST PCT GB
Cardinals 41 33 .554 0.0
Cubs 40 35 .533 1.5
Brewers 38 35 .521 2.5
Reds 36 39 .480 5.5
Pirates 31 42 .425 9.0

The 2020 schedule will see the Reds take on right-handed pitcher Jack Flaherty and the St. Louis Cardinals on Friday. Mike Moustakas is out for one game and can not be in the lineup on Friday. Cincinnati’s starting pitcher could be either Wade Miley or Anthony DeSclafani. Today’s Redleg Nation winning commenter/manager Gonzo Reds will be setting the lineup.

News/Notes from around baseball

One of the things we would have during the season in the game threads was a section comprised of news and notes for the day. While there’s a lot less going on these days in the baseball world than usual for this time of year, there still are some things that are worth highlighting. When there are, we’ll be adding them to these daily simulation threads.

The players submit a proposal for a 70-game season

MLB teams filing for bankruptcy? Being forced to sell?

Jayson Stark of The Athletic takes a look at the short-term future of Major League Baseball, and some of the questions and answers don’t exactly look great for the sport.

Asked what he would do if he were an owner who had borrowed as much as he could afford to borrow, one of the agents quoted earlier replied: “Then sell that big house you built on the corner. You can’t live on that street. Sell it. It’s not my obligation to keep you in it. It’s not your lawn man’s responsibility to keep you in it. These are difficult times. We all have problems. So figure it out. Don’t take it out on the lawn man.”

That’s certainly one way to look at it. Most of us have probably been at a point in our lives where we had to have a garage sale of some sort in order to get the funds we needed. There’s a whole lot more to the article by Stark than just the troubling finances that some teams are facing – the article looks at just how ugly things may get between the owners and players as they build towards an expiring CBA in December of 2021.

Help set the lineup, batting order for the simulated Reds:

Have you ever dreamed of your opportunity to “manage” the Reds? Now is your chance.

Strat-O-Matic has agreed to allow Redleg Nation to submit the Cincinnati Reds’ lineups for each day’s simulated game. We want all of our readers who want to participate to get involved.

Here is how it will work:

  • In each wrap up of that day’s simulated game, Redleg Nation will post the opposing starting pitcher for the next game. You will know who the pitcher is and whether he is left-handed or right-handed, and you can use that information in creating a lineup for the next game, and submitting it in the comments below. “Splits” such as performance vs. left-handers or right-handers are replicated in the Strat-O-Matic game algorithm, and therefore should be considered.
  • We will accept lineups from every reader who wants to submit one. The lineup that will be submitted to Strat-O-Matic each day will be the one that receives the most positive replies (in effect, “yes” votes) from readers other than the submitter. In case of ties:
    • First tiebreaker: Lineup submitted by the reader who has had the fewest number of opportunities as a “manager.”
    • Second tiebreaker: Lineup submitted earliest in the comment thread. (So get your lineup in “early” each day.)
  • What is “early?” Redleg Nation posts these articles daily between 5 and 6 p.m. Eastern time. Strat-O-Matic’s deadline for us to submit a lineup for the next day’s game is midnight. On most days, we’ll do this before “bedtime,” which is typically between 10:30 and 11 Eastern time.

All players’ batting stats

All players’ pitching stats

Batting and pitching player stats by team

Have fun with this! If you have any questions, please post them in the comment string below. Here are the “managerial records” of our Redleg Nation participants to date:

Commenter/
“Manager”
WON LOST PCT
Jon Davis 6 3 .667
Peter Onte 2 1 .667
BK 9 5 .643
James Owens 3 2 .600
Redsfan4life 5 4 .556
Doug Gray 1 1 .500
RedsEuphoria 1 1 .500
Tomn 1 1 .500
Gonzo Reds 4 4 .500
Melvin 1 4 .200
Don 1 4 .200
AirborneJayJay 0 1 .000
Jeff 0 1 .000
Mark Moore 0 2 .000
VaRedsFan 0 1 .000
Tom Mitsoff 0 2 .000

About Strat-O-Matic

Strat-O-Matic has been in the sports simulation business since the 1960s. A USA Today article contained this explanation:

Strat-O-Matic and other baseball simulations use statistics from the previous season to create “cards” for each player on a roster. The team managers select the batting order and the starting pitcher. From there, a series of dice rolls and calculations determines the outcome of each at-bat.

Strat-O, as it’s known to longtime players, first gained its immense popularity as a board game. The company has since expanded to a downloadable Windows version and one that’s played online. A few years ago, it introduced Baseball Daily – a new iteration that combined the player cards from the previous season with statistics from the real season being played at the same time.

Unlike many video games, the Strat-O-Matic results are based on algorithms that account for players’ performance based on statistics that their statistical experts project for each player in the 2020 season. It’s not a game played with a joystick that relies more on the skill of the person with the video game controller in his or her hand.

The simulation software will keep comprehensive statistics for all teams for the season, so we’ll be able to track year-to-date leaders in many statistical categories. Our current plan is to provide statistical leader summaries here at Redleg Nation each Sunday. You can follow the season at Strat-O-Matic.com, where they plan to post the results from each day’s schedule at 2 p.m. Eastern time.

35 Responses

  1. Jon Davis

    Current Roster
    (* = player has NO options)
    (+ = LHP or LHB)
    (^ = Switch Hitter)

    Our current 26 man roster is:
    C – *+Barnhart, *Casali
    IF – *+Votto, *+Moustakas, *Suarez, *^Galvis, *+Dietrich
    OF – +Akiyama, Lorenzen, *Ervin, *Castellanos, +Payton, +Winker, Senzel
    SP – *Desclafani, *Gray, *+Miley, Castillo
    RP – *+Reed, Iglesias, *+Garrett, *Sims, *Strop, *R. Stephenson, Lorenzen, *Jones, Kuhnel
    DL – *Bauer (Can return 6/24)

    Guys on the 40 man roster not on active roster
    C – Stephenson(Can Return 6/28), Farmer
    IF – Garcia(Can Return 6/23), +Vanmeter, Blandino
    OF – Aquino(Can Return 6/20), +Jankowski, *+Schebler
    SP – Mahle(Can Return 6/24), Santillan, DeLeon, Antone
    RP – Hendrix, Shafer, +Smith, Bowman(Can Return 6/23)

    Finally here is a list of relevant non 40 man players
    C – Chris Okey
    IF – India, Davidson, Colon, Rodriguez, Trahan
    OF – +Friedl, +Powell, Barnes, Fairchild, +Hannah, +Siani
    SP – +Lodolo, Greene, Gutierrez, +Naughton, +Raley, Solomon, Lillie, +Sanmartin
    RP – Thornburg, +Biddle, Romano, +Finnegan, Carpenter, Alaniz, Powers

  2. Redsfan4life

    Good job Gonzo put us on a long winning streak.

  3. Melvin

    Man! Who’s idea was it to play Suarez today? Whoever it was sure made a good call. Hahaha! Good job Gonzo. Keep it going buddy.

    • BK

      Yes, thanks for not picking my lineup, yesterday; sitting Suarez would not have helped the cause!

      • Melvin

        You’re not the only one. I heard of a guy, can’t remember his name, who actually suggested to start Castellanos at 3B today instead of Suarez. Can you believe that? smh

    • Gonzo Reds

      From what I hear there was some sports writer, Melvin something, saying he was playing hurt and should ride the pine. Apparently, it fired him up! LOL all good, we all are looking for any angle to win some games. And good thing we called Senzel up as he was needed at 2B. Senzel will obviously play Friday while Moose is out.

      And Reed/Sims/Kuhnel/Jones 7 IP of 3 hit scoreless baseball? Keep this game in mind next time we get an opp for a bullpen game. Kudos to Mark for also suggesting we go with a bullpen game and swaying my decision.

      BK you got any of those great stats to throw at me? I’d really like to get my first two game streak of the season and I’m facing one of the best in the NL RHP Flaherty of the hated Cardinals so this one is as of now our most important game of the season!

      Does anyone have any strong opinions on whether to throw Miley or Disco Friday? Not only for Friday but for how the rotation will line up over the weekend.

      • Don

        Flaherty has a 3.89 ERA and is average 5 2/3rds innning per start in the SIM
        He is giving up on average 1 hit an inning plus has 21 walks but only 8 HRs.
        My advice is to put together a patient hitting lineup whom will work the count and go deep into the count and get him out of the game early.

      • Jon Davis

        My initial thought was to send Miley against their ace to optimize the chances of winning the other games but the more I think about it the more I hate that idea and me for thinking it. I say go with Disco gives us the best chance to win this game and as Don mentions below that was the plan. So it would be Disco, Miley and Castillo.

      • Melvin

        Yeah I heard about that crazy guy Melvin too. Sure glad you didn’t listen to him although maybe we should wisper in the ear of Suarez before every game that he might be in danger of losing some PT and he would probably be just fine. Amazing how that helps a players performance even in sime world. 🙂

      • Melvin

        Yeah I heard about that crazy guy Melvin too. Sure glad you didn’t listen to him although maybe we should wisper in the ear of Suarez before every game that he might be in danger of losing some PT and he would probably be just fine. Amazing how that helps a players performance even in sim world. 🙂

      • Melvin

        Oops. Sorry for the double message. Not sure how that happened.

      • BK

        Gonzo,
        First off, congrats on the win. You nailed the lineup, today and it paid off big-time. Now for the bad news … Flaherty is going for the Cards and he’s their ace. He’s awfully tough: doesn’t walk too many, doesn’t give up too many hits, doesn’t give up too many HRs. The good news, is he’s not doing as well in sim world as he did last year. LH do better than RH hitters and I like the idea of sending guys to the plate that like working the count to try to get to the bullpen early.

        I would suggest DeSclafani against the Cardinals. He did well in his 3 starts last year against the pooping Redbirds holding them to an OPS under .700. Also, he got a hit vs. Flaherty in his two ABs, so let’s just pretend he has Flaherty’s number when in the batters box.

  4. Don

    good Win Gonzo, got yourself to 500

    I would suggest to start Disco on his normal 5 days cycle instead of Miley.

    whomever does not start tomorrow starts the next game.

    • Don

      This is what Tom put up for the Rotation before his vacation
      Friday:Disco
      Satruday: Miley
      Sunday: Castillo
      Monday: Off Day
      Tuesday:Gray
      Wesnesday: Bauer off IL and someone goes to the minors.
      Thursday, June 25 — DeSclafani
      Friday, June 26 — Castillo
      Saturday, June 27 — Miley
      Sunday, June 28 — Gray
      Monday, June 29 — Bauer
      Tuesday, June 30 — DeSclafani

  5. Don

    anyone else for Lorenzen down for Bauer, Lorenzen has been the weakest pitcher all year and is really the 6th outfielder.

    Today was I think the 3rd time Senzel has been put in at second as a substitute in the Start-o-Matic and only once into the outfield.

    • Jon Davis

      Yes I agree Don that’s what I was thinking as things stand right now that seems to be the most logical move to open up a spot for Bauer.

    • Jon Davis

      It just sucks with Lorenzen that the sim seems to be giving him the business. There is no way he would be this bad and he didn’t even get to bat today. I also just wish we could have gotten him to the 2-way player designation mark. Oh well we have to work with what we have and not dwell on what we do not have.

      • Melvin

        How many games does he need for two way status?

    • BK

      What stands out is the # of hits … could be a sign of bad luck. Unfortunately, Strato just doesn’t provide the stats in a manner that I can calculate a BABIP on the pitchers so I’ve got nothing to back up the theory. On the hitting side, I read this on the Strato website under their digital baseball game package (it may explain why he suddenly fell of the cliff as we increased his OF starts):

      “Throttle “Monster” Cards – An optional Max Rule has been added to throttle back the cards of players who accumulated “monster” statistical averages while playing less than full-time. For realism we have always recommended that these players should only be used in line with their real-life usage. However, the problem still remains that they can be used in game situations in unrealistic ways – for example, pinch-hitting for an all-star with a batter who had 2 home runs in 8 at-bats. To mitigate this we have introduced this new max rule. The throttling of these cards (which occurs to both “monster” batters and pitchers) occurs internally via the use of random numbers (using a similar methodology as is used by other Max Rules). While we do not disclose the exact method and amount of adjustment suffice it to say that these cards will not perform at the same level they would have without the use of this rule. The overall effect of using this rule will be to introduce some uncertainty regarding these players, which simulates what a real-life manager would experience. The frequency that a “Monster” player gets throttled relates directly to his real-life usage. Note that the more real-life usage a “Monster” player had the less often his card will be throttled. Players with significant real-life usage will never be throttled (again, we do not disclose the exact cut-off points).”

      • BK

        I’ll add, he may do great in the outfield if we use him sporadically.

      • Melvin

        This kind of reinforces the theory that there is a lot Strato doesn’t tell us doesn’t it?

    • BK

      If we had to make the decision, today, I would agree. Fortunately, we have a few more days.

  6. Jon Davis

    To my Manager Gonzo I humbly present my suggestions here to you.

    Lineup:
    1. Akiyama – CF
    2. Votto – 1B
    3. Suarez – 3B
    4. Winker – LF
    5. Payton – RF
    6. Galvis – SS
    7. Barnhart – C
    8. Desclafani – P
    9. Senzel – 2B

  7. Gonzo Reds

    Thanks for the suggestions, you guys are always very helpful and I enjoy your monologues very much. 🙂

    You guys would hate me if you knew that I’m sitting in a camper looking at a river that I’ll be kayaking on all weekend and that I have a healthy fire going. Trying to clear my head! Oh, wait… now you know… I have a camping trip to Key Largo scheduled for September where I was going to drive up to Miami to see one of the final Reds series of the year, where I thought they’d be playing to make the playoffs… I’ll still go but no Reds in Miami obviously. :<

    With that being said… let's get into Friday's matchup…

    First off, I agree let's go with Disco Friday night, he's pitched well lately, just been let down by the pen but think Lorenzen as a starter now won't be available. You really didn't have to twist my arm on that one… you see Disco and I are both Gators and I saw him pitch as a collegiate many times, excited that he's a Red, as I am about former Gator Jonathan India who I promise you is a fantastic hitter and hard nose player, just as he was expected to be when he was drafted where he was. What position he'll play I'm not sure… likely 2B rather than 3B when Moose moves on.

    Ok, the lineup… I agree patience and speed (and D) is important. I'm going to also try to alternate the L/R where I can to work against the Cards pen arms and not messing with the 13 run lineup of yesterday other than Senzel for Moose. Having Ervin and Peyton as a R/L first off the bench could also prove important.

    Akiyama – CF
    Votto – 1B
    Senzel – 2B
    Suarez – 3B
    Winker – LF
    Castellanos – RF
    Barnhart – C
    P
    Galvis – SS

  8. BK

    Geek stat of the day … over 35 games our BABIP with Castellanos or Winker in RF (.308) is identical to our BABIP with one of our “better” defenders in RF (.308)–no difference.

  9. Melvin

    Go for two in a row Gonzo. Take it to the Cards.

  10. Tom Mitsoff

    Hello, guys! Good win today! I’m checking results every day. 🙂

    • Melvin

      Hope you’re having a good time. 🙂

  11. Melvin

    Okay guys. I’m going to state the obvious here. If real baseball starts in about a month or so (and despite all the crap by the owners I think it will), and if that means that our Strato sim season will be officially over then, that means we are officially in CRUNCH TIME. This next month or so will be our “September”. We need to think of this time as being in a pennant race, 5 1/2 back, with a month to make it up. I know we’re always trying to win but now more than ever we need to take all of the stats, all of the things we’ve learned so far this season, and more than anything else all of our “gut feelings” in every decision that we make. Every game is crucial. We have to pull out all the stops. We have to unite as much as possible and help each other more than ever before. All of us have to dig down deep and make SURE that what we’re doing and saying is for the absolute best for the team and not just our own wishes (that’s not easy for any of us). We cannot afford to “try” things during this time. We really can’t afford to give a player slack. We have to use what “works” and go for it. When it comes to our roster the same philosophy has to apply. If we think we can improve it in any way we have to do it now. We can no longer afford to carry someone because we think we might “lose” them no matter who it is. If you guys aren’t comfortable with my philosophy that we really need to improve our defensive range at 2B potential that’s fine. Whatever you think is the right move. Now is the time to do it. Keeping a level head is always the right thing but at this point we are in more danger of being too cautious than being too aggressive. We’ve learned a lot. We have the talent. This can be the most fun we’ve had. We have to pull out all the stops and go for it NOW.

    • Don

      I agree, the players which had the highest expectations for the season should be starting every game baring injury, pretty much Gonzo’s lineup.

      Time to put get the thoroughbred’s running harder to the finish line.

      Akiyama – CF
      Votto – 1B
      Moose – 2B
      Suarez – 3B
      Winker/Ervin Platoon – LF
      Castellanos – RF
      Barnhart – C
      P
      Galvis – SS

      Castillo,Gray,Bauer,Disco must start every 5th day and if there is an Off Day Miley gets skipped so the other 4 stay on the every 5th day. If there is a chance to skip disco and Miley that should be done so the top 3 get every possible start.

  12. Tom Mitsoff

    The series against St. Louis is clearly the most important of the sim season to date. So here are some motivational quotes from various unreliable sources to motivate the sim team:

    “The light at the end of the tunnel has been turned off due to budget cuts.”
    “If the world didn’t suck we’d all fly into space.”
    “A diamond is merely a lump of coal that did well under pressure.”
    “The road to success is dotted with many tempting parking spaces.”
    “Think like a proton. Always positive.”
    “You can’t have everything. Where would you put it?”
    “The elevator to success is out of order. You’ll have to use the stairs, one step at a time.”

    Ha! I hope Gonzo will use some similar motivation (or maybe not) with his team Friday morning!