Final 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Reds 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 11 1
Padres 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 3 4 4 1

Another day in San Diego and another blown game by the Cincinnati Reds bullpen – though today’s bullpen implosion was helped out by poor defense as a walk-off home run by Jurickson Profar doomed the Reds (35-39) on Wednesday against the Padres (42-33)

That was the result today as Strat-O-Matic games of Glen Head, N.Y., continued its announced plan to simulate the entire 2020 Major League Baseball season on a day-by-day basis for as long as actual game play is on hold.


Help set the lineup, batting order for the simulated Reds:

Have you ever dreamed of your opportunity to “manage” the Reds? Now is your chance. Learn more below!


The Reds got things going early on, loading the bases with a single and back-to-back walks to begin the game. An Eugenio Suarez sac fly made it 1-0 and Mark Payton came through with an RBI single to make it 2-0. The next inning saw Cincinnati pad their lead with another run, making it 3-0.

In the 3rd inning, the Padres got their lone run against Sonny Gray on an Eric Hosmer single. Gray would strike out eight batters in 6.0 innings before turning the game over to the bullpen. Amir Garrett and Pedro Strop kept San Diego off the board for the 7th and 8th innings.

Then the 9th inning happened. Again. Raisel Iglesias came out to start the inning an quickly got Wil Myers to ground out. But then Eugenio Suarez made an error and Iglesias walked Josh Naylor to put two runners on. Austin Hedges lined out before San Diego sent pinch hitter Jurickson Profar to the plate. He came up clutch and crushed a walk-off homer much to the disdain of all the simReds fans watching.

Here is the sim Reds box score, as provided by Strat-O-Matic:

Standings following the June 17 games:

NL Central WON LOST PCT GB
Cardinals 40 33 .548 0.0
Cubs 40 34 .541 0.5
Brewers 38 35 .521 2.0
Reds 35 39 .473 5.5
Pirates 31 42 .425 9.0

The 2020 schedule has the Reds taking on the San Diego Padres for Thursday. The Padres will send right-handed pitcher Michel Baez to the mound. Cincinnati will counter with Wade Miley.

News/Notes from around baseball

One of the things we would have during the season in the game threads was a section comprised of news and notes for the day. While there’s a lot less going on these days in the baseball world than usual for this time of year, there still are some things that are worth highlighting. When there are, we’ll be adding them to these daily simulation threads.

A look back to the 1940 World Series

This clip isn’t even a minute long, but there’s a lot going on. 10 seconds into the clip they cut to a pre-game view of the field. The grounds crew is working on getting everything ready to go. The starting pitcher is warming up in foul territory, and behind him is a miniature boxing ring for some pre-game entertainment? The pitcher warming up is tossing from flat ground – anyone know when the “bullpen” areas actually started having actual mounds? Around the 30 second mark we get into some actual game footage. Nothing too exciting from that, but it was an interesting look.

Help set the lineup, batting order for the simulated Reds:

Have you ever dreamed of your opportunity to “manage” the Reds? Now is your chance.

Strat-O-Matic has agreed to allow Redleg Nation to submit the Cincinnati Reds’ lineups for each day’s simulated game. We want all of our readers who want to participate to get involved.

Here is how it will work:

  • In each wrap up of that day’s simulated game, Redleg Nation will post the opposing starting pitcher for the next game. You will know who the pitcher is and whether he is left-handed or right-handed, and you can use that information in creating a lineup for the next game, and submitting it in the comments below. “Splits” such as performance vs. left-handers or right-handers are replicated in the Strat-O-Matic game algorithm, and therefore should be considered.
  • We will accept lineups from every reader who wants to submit one. The lineup that will be submitted to Strat-O-Matic each day will be the one that receives the most positive replies (in effect, “yes” votes) from readers other than the submitter. In case of ties:
    • First tiebreaker: Lineup submitted by the reader who has had the fewest number of opportunities as a “manager.”
    • Second tiebreaker: Lineup submitted earliest in the comment thread. (So get your lineup in “early” each day.)
  • What is “early?” Redleg Nation posts these articles daily between 5 and 6 p.m. Eastern time. Strat-O-Matic’s deadline for us to submit a lineup for the next day’s game is midnight. On most days, we’ll do this before “bedtime,” which is typically between 10:30 and 11 Eastern time.

All players’ batting stats

All players’ pitching stats

Batting and pitching player stats by team

Have fun with this! If you have any questions, please post them in the comment string below. Here are the “managerial records” of our Redleg Nation participants to date:

Commenter/
“Manager”
WON LOST PCT
Jon Davis 6 3 .667
Peter Onte 2 1 .667
BK 9 5 .643
James Owens 3 2 .600
Redsfan4life 5 4 .556
Doug Gray 1 1 .500
RedsEuphoria 1 1 .500
Tomn 1 1 .500
Gonzo Reds 3 4 .429
Melvin 1 4 .200
Don 1 4 .200
AirborneJayJay 0 1 .000
Jeff 0 1 .000
Mark Moore 0 2 .000
VaRedsFan 0 1 .000
Tom Mitsoff 0 2 .000

About Strat-O-Matic

Strat-O-Matic has been in the sports simulation business since the 1960s. A USA Today article contained this explanation:

Strat-O-Matic and other baseball simulations use statistics from the previous season to create “cards” for each player on a roster. The team managers select the batting order and the starting pitcher. From there, a series of dice rolls and calculations determines the outcome of each at-bat.

Strat-O, as it’s known to longtime players, first gained its immense popularity as a board game. The company has since expanded to a downloadable Windows version and one that’s played online. A few years ago, it introduced Baseball Daily – a new iteration that combined the player cards from the previous season with statistics from the real season being played at the same time.

Unlike many video games, the Strat-O-Matic results are based on algorithms that account for players’ performance based on statistics that their statistical experts project for each player in the 2020 season. It’s not a game played with a joystick that relies more on the skill of the person with the video game controller in his or her hand.

The simulation software will keep comprehensive statistics for all teams for the season, so we’ll be able to track year-to-date leaders in many statistical categories. Our current plan is to provide statistical leader summaries here at Redleg Nation each Sunday. You can follow the season at Strat-O-Matic.com, where they plan to post the results from each day’s schedule at 2 p.m. Eastern time.

48 Responses

  1. Gonzo Reds

    With all the talk we’ve had about defense… Votto error yesterday, Suarez today, but those are two of our better defenders and playing at their regular positions so really can’t do anything about it at all.

    I vote again for bringing up Senzel and sending out Casali. Senzel can be used against lefties and will be a good late game defensive player at multiple positions. Casali not starting over Stephenson against lefties for us right now so might as well have another player up that we can use.

    • Don

      I agree with this move – Casali down and Senzel up.

    • BK

      In his 13 ABs, Stephenson has not proved himself an upgrade over Casali. If Casali is sent down, Strato may not make him available for recall. Just like with the actual Reds, we do not know that Casali would clear waivers. My guess is that he would not. If we need a roster spot for Senzel, something I would support, Stephenson should be optioned. It’s tough carrying 3 catchers. We would have likely won today if the manager could have made a defensive substitution in the 9th inning for Suarez.

      As for overall defense, I agree there aren’t many options to improve.

    • Melvin

      Yes. We’ve had pretty good starting pitching but our defense hasn’t done us any favors the past two games in particular. Three errors yesterday (Suarez, Moose, and Votto = 1 unearned run). Suarez with an error today = 3 unearned runs. You’re right Gonzo these are people who have normal starting jobs.

      • Melvin

        I’ll vote for Senzel coming up and sending Casali down. I’d rather have Stephenson because I think he’s better defensively. Frankly I have very little concern at all about losing Casali especially after the post Don made last night. He’s not doing us any good right now. We have to remember this is sim world. We’re not going to really lose him forever and we’er nearly at the half way point of the sim season. Even if we do somehow lose him in sim season it won’t be that great of a loss. Should Stephenson or Barnhart get injured we have a backup we could bring up in Farmer.

      • BK

        Melvin, Casali was +0.8 in defensive bWAR last year which is excellent. Most scouting reports on Stephenson highlight his hitting. He’s 6’4” which is huge for a catcher. In terms of fWAR, Casali rated #27 last year making him starting caliber as a MLB catcher. Stephenson is a top 100 prospect on some list, but not all. Casali’s sim production is tracking closely with his 2019 performance. Help me see what I’ve missed; I just want to keep the best players.

      • Melvin

        BK – the things that come to mind off the top of my head are Casali’s past balls, Stephenson’s potential being much greater, and the fact we could bring up Farmer if necessary (not to mention we most likely wouldn’t lose Casali).

      • Don

        BK, not sure if you saw his yesterday

        I did look at the transactions last week and there are players without option just listed as sent down (not waved or DFA).

        Like
        June 10
        NYM- OF Yoenis Cespedes activated from IL, 1B Matt Adams sent down
        June 12
        DET- RHP Alex Wilson activated from IL and sent down. OF Christin Stewart sent down, OF Travis Demeritte called up

        There is no way Matt Adams has an option and Alex Wilson has 5+ years of MLB experience so he has no options.

        So based on this just sending down a player without options looks like it is possible as they are doing that with other teams.

        So based on these transactions, I would think we could bring up Casali if needed in the future.

        The roster is not a good balance with 3 catcher only players.

      • BK

        Don, I believe Tom has explained that once players are sent down, Strato will decide whether they are lost or not. Remember, they pushed back on our attempt to outright Miley. As I recall went asked this question of Strato several weeks back when someone first suggested purchasing Dietrich’s contract. While they aren’t using precise language on their transactions, or holding us strictly to the 40-man roster, they are trying maintain some semblance of integrity in transactions.

      • Melvin

        If it makes you feel any better Don I agree with your point about players being sent down. haha BK and I like to have these “friendly” conversations with respect for each other. Maybe that makes it more interesting for others i don’t know. I believe the Miley thing was a special case since, as they said, we just signed him to a two year contract and he was pitching basically as he was projected to pitch. As you might recall they said that didn’t like it and would wait a few days. They didn’t say they wouldn’t do it. I’m glad we didn’t though btw and for the record I didn’t vote for it. I do think we’re way too afraid of losing someone. We should just concentrate on what’s best for our team and not worry about it at least until it happens once. We have plenty of players to replace our reserves/backups if it does and then we can think about it.

  2. Jon Davis

    Current Roster
    (* = player has NO options)
    (+ = LHP or LHB)
    (^ = Switch Hitter)

    Our current 26 man roster is:
    C – T. Stephenson, *+Barnhart, *Casali
    IF – *+Votto, *+Moustakas, *Suarez, *^Galvis, *+Dietrich
    OF – +Akiyama, Lorenzen, *Ervin, *Castellanos, +Payton, +Winker
    SP – *Desclafani, *Gray, *+Miley, Castillo
    RP – *+Reed, Iglesias, *+Garrett, *Sims, *Strop, *R. Stephenson, Lorenzen, *Jones, Kuhnel
    DL – *Bauer (Can return 6/24)

    Guys on the 40 man roster not on active roster
    C – Farmer(Can Return 6/17)
    IF – Garcia(Can Return 6/23), +Vanmeter, Blandino
    OF – Senzel(Can Return 6/17), Aquino(Can Return 6/20), +Jankowski, *+Schebler
    SP – Mahle(Can Return 6/24), Santillan, DeLeon, Antone
    RP – Hendrix, Shafer, +Smith, Bowman(Can Return 6/23)

    Finally here is a list of relevant non 40 man players
    C – Chris Okey
    IF – India, Davidson, Colon, Rodriguez, Trahan
    OF – +Friedl, +Powell, Barnes, Fairchild, +Hannah, +Siani
    SP – +Lodolo, Greene, Gutierrez, +Naughton, +Raley, Solomon, Lillie, +Sanmartin
    RP – Thornburg, +Biddle, Romano, +Finnegan, Carpenter, Alaniz, Powers

  3. Gonzo Reds

    My suggested lineup… getting Casto a start as we talked about not giving up on him and think Peyton needs a break…

    Akiyama – CF
    Votto – 1B
    Moustakas – 2B
    Suarez – 3B
    Winker – LF
    Castellanos – RF
    Barnhart – C
    P
    Galvis – SS

    • Don

      This is one of the decision day’s for the pitching. Start Miley or start DeLeon or have a bullpen day vs Padres on the 18th and save Miley for Cards on the 20th.

      The Cards have 3 lefties in the normal starting lineup and the Padres have 2 so saving Miley vs the Cards (and it is a division game) seems like the right thing to do instead of having DeLeon or a bullpen day vs Cards.

      So I suggest demote Kuhnel and bring up DeLeon for this start on the 18th.

      I vote for the GonzoReds lineup and start DeLeon as the pitcher instead of Miley

      • Gonzo Reds

        I agree with Kuhnel down and DeLeon for the start, or I might say I second the motion!

        Would love to get back to .500, personally and for the team, and go from there!

        Close friend just let me know he’s going to hospice for his leukemia relapse so these Reds simulations are helping me keep my mind off things. Should be real baseball but we won’t go there…

      • Melvin

        Gonzo, I’m sorry to hear about your friend. My prayers are with him and you during this difficult time. I hope this Strato season is helping you feel better.

      • Melvin

        I’m okay with Kuhnel down and DeLeon for the start (my vote).

      • Don

        Gonzo Reds, Sorry to hear about your friend.

      • Gonzo Reds

        Thanks Don. He must have heard all of us typing as he called tonight and we talked for awhile.

        Crazy world out there. You probably saw the news story on the wire about the 16 friends going to a bar in Jacksonville Beach and getting covid (along with 7 bar workers and who knows how many others that were in there). That’s practically in my back yard, about 5 miles down the beach from me. Half the beach is shutting down to deep clean currently. Restaurants doing a pretty good job of keeping folks apart, bars… well that’s a different story entirely. And it just shows that we’re no where near being able to attend my two favorite thing to do, concerts and sporting events. Sigh…

    • Mark Moore

      This lineup and a BP pitching day.

    • Melvin

      Gonzo, I was thinking about Suarez and all of his errors (15 now). Mabye Strato does take into consideration his injury and maybe we are over playing him since it hasn’t been that long and we’er wearing him out since he hasn’t fully recovered. I was thinking about making out a lineup giving Suarez a day off with Castellanos at 3B (can’t do any worse right?) and with Payton in RF. Do you think that would be a good idea in your lineup?

      • Gonzo Reds

        Think that would be playing Casto out of position which we’ve been trying to avoid since it was pointed out? I’m not so sure about the theory of Suarez playing hurt either, wasn’t aware that was factored in and you’d think strato would have mentioned that to Tom if it was the case. If anyone qualified at 3B it should be Senzel since that is actually his natural position rather than 2B or CF but since he didn’t play at 3B last year he likely lost that.

        Thank you for your kind words. Glad he got to see his Nationals win the WS last year. Bought him a WS hat for Xmas. 🙂

      • Melvin

        Gonzo, at least Casty has played 3B before. As far as Suarez I’m just trying to understand things better about his errors and that maybe we might be partly to blame. I think he does have pretty good range for a 3B. Was just thinking that it might be a good day to give Suarez a day off just in case with a costly error in each of the past two games. I know you wanted to give Casty more PT so it might be “killing two birds with one stone” so to speak.

      • Melvin

        It’s cool your friend is a National’s fan and that he got to see that. 🙂

    • Melvin

      I vote for this lineup….even without the possible changes we talked about.

      BK has a good lineup too. However with all of the talk and emphasis on defense lately especially up the middle I don’t feel comfortable with Dietrich at 2B since I believe him to be a below average infielder.

      • BK

        Remember when I pulled a reversal and started playing Castellanos out of position at 1B after preaching defense? Somebody called me out. Remember?

        Now you just suggested Castellanos at 3B. Afterall, he was a starting 3B in 2017 when he had a -1.9 bWAR for defense for the year. So bad, the terrible Tigers moved him to the outfield.

        P.S. The only position where Dietrich had a positive defensive rating last year was … 2B. Thanks for keeping me on my toes. I’m sincerely enjoying the fake baseball dialogue everyday.

      • Melvin

        haha I called you out on that because just a day or two before you said I shouldn’t do it but then you did yourself. LOL As far a Castellanos at 3B for a game my point was Gonzo wanted to get him in the lineup and Suarez just made two costly errors in the two previous games so he probably needed a day off and Castellanos wasn’t likely to do any worse since he does have a history of playing 3B.

  4. BK

    LH hitters enjoyed a 180 point OPS advantage against Baez last year while logging just a .200 BABIP indicating LH hitters were very unlucky against him. We should load up with LH, tomorrow.

    CF Akiyama
    1B Votto
    3B Moustakas
    LF Winker
    RF Payton
    2B Dietrech
    C Barnhart
    P Miley
    SS Galvis

    • Jon Davis

      This is what my lineup was going to look like so I vote for BK.

  5. Mark Moore

    When I saw the box score it felt like a real Reds game … really solid starting pitching … good transition to the bullpen … and our closer (who we should have traded when the value was high) issues a walk and a dinger to barf all over the place!

    I know, it didn’t happen all the time. But it sure seems like a familiar story. Plus Strat-o-matic hates us … 🙂

  6. Mark Moore

    The Shogo stats and streak are BIG FUN to watch … I’m wondering when we see this in reality?

    • Gonzo Reds

      I agree, hope we aren’t disappointed and he’s the second coming of Ichiro!

    • Melvin

      Yes. That’s definitely one of the most fun things to watch in this sim season. Aki just keeps on going. Must be running on Duracells. 🙂

  7. Redsfan4life

    Senzel up Stephenson down is my vote.
    I will vote for BK lineup Suarez gets a rest.
    Roll with Miley.
    Also when can we get Bowman back up and get rid of Nate Jones?
    Bowman deserves to be on the team when his 10 days are up.

    • Mark Moore

      I’m good with Senzel for Stephenson as well. Seems like the safer move.

    • Melvin

      I agree. Bowman definitely needs to be up ASAP.

  8. Melvin

    I also propose bringing ups Alfredo Rodriguez and sending down Dietrich.

    The talk about defense lately, according to mainly Don’s research, has been on giving up too many singles. We cannot do anything about errors other than taking a player out of the lineup. As has been pointed out recently giving up a lot of singles is a matter of defensive range. Rodriguez would give us more of that. While Senzel would be valuable in a lot of ways and could play about anywhere there is usually a reason a player has been put mostly in a corner spot in the infield (1B or 3B). Usually it’s because of his side to side range is not as good as others. Rodriguez has mainly been a pretty good middle infielder which is an upgrade we need on our team roster. I believe Strato would take into account, especially since he doesn’t have a major league card, all of the positions Rogriguez has played. Mostly it’s been SS. Has played two games at 3B with no errors. He also was playing 2B for the Reds in spring training and doing very well. By the way he too was having a pretty good spring training like Garcia in hitting and defense. He’s also older than Garcia having just turned 26 with more seasoning. If there’s one thing we’ve learned about Strato is that they are concerned about keeping the integrity of the game in tact in simulation but in a practical common sense way. The main reason, I believe, in discouraging us from putting players out of position is to keep some crazy guy who doesn’t care from playing someone like Winker at SS or Payton at 2B. I have a very hard time believing that Strato, with all of the stats it has at its’ disposal (probably more than us), with all of the intricate algorithms they use, wouldn’t take everything from a players past into consideration. Senzel would help us more than Casali. Rogriguez would help us more than Dietrich. Those are definitely two roster spots that we could upgrade and help our team. We are 4 games under .500 and 5 1/2 back. We need to upgrade where we can ASAP IMO as we’er almost halfway through the season. If real baseball starts in a month or so and this Strato seasons goes away then we don’t have that much time to catch the Cardinals if that’s our goal and I think it is from the comments everyone has made.

  9. Jon Davis

    If we are moving a catcher out I would vote for Stephenson since we didn’t keep playing him and don’t know if he is an upgrade or not. We should stick with Barnhart/Casali so we don’t risk losing that 3rd good catcher just in case of injury. If we did and lost Casali we could be looking at Farmer or worse. Who to bring up yeah Senzel makes the most sense. As far as the pitching goes I don’t really have a preference still feel we would have been better with keeping Bauer since he would have only missed 1 start then keeping Mahle since his start went well, so I am fine with whatever the group decides I just need to know what so I can update the roster. On a side note has anyone else noticed the lack of stat update from Strat, Mahle still listed with a 12.15 ERA with no starts.

    To recap I vote T. Stephenson down and Senzel up.

  10. BK

    I vote for Senzel up Tyler Stephenson down.

    I prefer Miley to start, tomorrow over DeLeon.

  11. Gonzo Reds

    Well, looks like my lineup was chosen 3-2 (and I have the tiebreaker since I’ve had half the lineups of BK to date).

    So… with that being said, I get the hard decision as manager as to who to start tomorrow. After giving it much thought and looking at all the opinions (some were for DeLeon and BK said Miley moved up a day) I’ve decided to go with Mark and do a bullpen day. My first choice would have been Sims but he pitched in the last two days so he’s not able to start. So… I’m going with Lorenzen as our starter since he didn’t pitch the last two days and he’ll add another bat in the lineup, kinda like having a DH I suppose also I hate that rule. Hopefully, he’ll pitch 2-3 innings, get at least one positive AB and then Sims will be brought in. I should note that given this decision I’m obviously withdrawing my support of Kuhnel down to leave him in the bullpen. I’m also sticking with Suarez at 3B but if I win I will think hard about giving him a day off the following day (with Senzel or Casto an option).

    If for some reason there is an issue with Strat-o-matic with the Lorenzen bullpen game my backup decision is to go with DeLeon and my third choice is Miley. So, I’m covered regardless, or rather Doug is since he’s submitting.

    • BK

      Good luck … very, very sorry to hear about your friend!

    • Melvin

      Go get me Gonzo. Take us on a winning streak buddy. 🙂

      • Northern Ky Reds

        Why isn’t Irvin Starting?

    • BK

      BTW, I really like the idea of using Lorenzen as an opener for the reasons you stated. Also, I think we’ll see Castellanos show at least some improvement based on his BABIP. His power numbers are also way down. He’s do for a a hot streak.

  12. Doug Gray

    Lineup submitted with Lorenzen starting for a bullpen day. Roster move submitted – Stephenson down, Senzel up.

  13. Northern Ky Reds

    Hey Doug , have you thought about a league on mlb20 the show?