Final 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Cubs 1 1 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 5 6 0
Reds 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 4 0

Eleven walks by Cincinnati Reds (31-34) pitching, including seven by starting pitcher Sonny Gray, contributed mightily to the Chicago Cubs (36-30) scoring a 5-2 victory at Great American Ball Park.

That was the result today as Strat-O-Matic games of Glen Head, N.Y., continued its announced plan to simulate the entire 2020 Major League Baseball season on a day-by-day basis for as long as actual game play is on hold.


Help set the lineup, batting order for the simulated Reds:

Have you ever dreamed of your opportunity to “manage” the Reds? Now is your chance. Learn more below!


Three of the five Cubs who scored reached base via walks, and the other two scored because they hit the ball over the GABP fence. The big blow was Albert Almora Jr.’s three-run homer in the top of the fifth inning, scoring Jason Heyward and Kris Bryant, who both had walked.

Shogo Akiyama continued his amazing sim season by batting 2-for-4, with both hits being solo home runs. His homer total for the season is now 10. He now has an OPS of 1.088, and extended a hitting streak to 14 games. Jesse Winker and Mike Moustakas were the only other Cincinnati batters who reached safely via the base hit.

The defeat was the Reds’ fourth straight.

Here is the sim Reds box score, as provided by Strat-O-Matic:

A-Subbed Defensively (CF) For Souza Jr In 1st Inning
C-Pinch Hit For Wieck In 8th Inning

B-Pinch Hit For Sims In 7th Inning

Standings following the June 6 games:

NL Central WON LOST PCT GB
Cardinals 38 27 .585 0.0
Cubs 36 30 .545 2.5
Brewers 33 31 .516 4.5
Reds 31 34 .477 7.0
Pirates 27 37 .422 10.5

The 2020 schedule as currently constituted has the Reds on Sunday hosting game four of the four-game set with Chicago, with Trevor Bauer pitching for the Reds, and lefthander Jon Lester pitching for the Cubs.

News/Notes from around baseball

One of the things we would have during the season in the game threads was a section comprised of news and notes for the day. While there’s a lot less going on these days in the baseball world than usual for this time of year, there still are some things that are worth highlighting. When there are, we’ll be adding them to these daily simulation threads.

What about the managers and coaches?

There’s a whole lot of focus on the back-and-forth between the owners and the players and who wants what and for how long. But one thing that has seemingly not been talked (publicly – I believe the players and owners/MLB are taking this very seriously) about nearly enough is the managers and coaches, specifically when it comes to their health and safety upon a return to the field and the dugout. Jayson Stark of The Athletic wrote a little bit about “high-risk” managers on Friday. Ron Gardenhire, who has recovered from cancer, is 62-years-old, and has blood-sugar issues was asked if he had thought about the option of not participating in 2020:

Yeah,” is what he said. “I mean, obviously, when we start talking about health concerns and all those things, and how this thing is going to go down, and we know baseball’s not going to be normal, I think about that an awful lot. But I also have committed to this team. And I’m not one to shy away from things like this.

“I respect my players,” he said. “They want to play. And my coaches – they all want to get back to baseball. But things do go through your mind when you’ve been through some of this stuff.”

How are the simReds performing?

The Hitters

The Pitchers

Help set the lineup, batting order for the simulated Reds:

Have you ever dreamed of your opportunity to “manage” the Reds? Now is your chance.

Strat-O-Matic has agreed to allow Redleg Nation to submit the Cincinnati Reds’ lineups for each day’s simulated game. We want all of our readers who want to participate to get involved.

Here is how it will work:

  • In each wrap up of that day’s simulated game, Redleg Nation will post the opposing starting pitcher for the next game. You will know who the pitcher is and whether he is left-handed or right-handed, and you can use that information in creating a lineup for the next game, and submitting it in the comments below. “Splits” such as performance vs. left-handers or right-handers are replicated in the Strat-O-Matic game algorithm, and therefore should be considered.
  • We will accept lineups from every reader who wants to submit one. The lineup that will be submitted to Strat-O-Matic each day will be the one that receives the most positive replies (in effect, “yes” votes) from readers other than the submitter. In case of ties:
    • First tiebreaker: Lineup submitted by the reader who has had the fewest number of opportunities as a “manager.”
    • Second tiebreaker: Lineup submitted earliest in the comment thread. (So get your lineup in “early” each day.)
  • What is “early?” Redleg Nation posts these articles daily between 5 and 6 p.m. Eastern time. Strat-O-Matic’s deadline for us to submit a lineup for the next day’s game is midnight. On most days, we’ll do this before “bedtime,” which is typically between 10:30 and 11 Eastern time.

All players’ batting stats

All players’ pitching stats

Batting and pitching player stats by team

Have fun with this! If you have any questions, please post them in the comment string below. Here are the “managerial records” of our Redleg Nation participants to date:

Commenter/
“Manager”
WON LOST PCT
Jon Davis 6 2 .750
Peter Onte 2 1 .667
BK 7 4 .636
James Owens 3 2 .600
Gonzo Reds 3 3 .500
Redsfan4life 3 3 .500
Doug Gray 1 1 .500
RedsEuphoria 1 1 .500
Tomn 1 1 .500
Melvin 1 4 .200
Don 1 4 .200
AirborneJayJay 0 1 .000
Jeff 0 1 .000
Mark Moore 0 1 .000
VaRedsFan 0 1 .000
Tom Mitsoff 0 2 .000

About Strat-O-Matic

Strat-O-Matic has been in the sports simulation business since the 1960s. A USA Today article contained this explanation:

Strat-O-Matic and other baseball simulations use statistics from the previous season to create “cards” for each player on a roster. The team managers select the batting order and the starting pitcher. From there, a series of dice rolls and calculations determines the outcome of each at-bat.

Strat-O, as it’s known to longtime players, first gained its immense popularity as a board game. The company has since expanded to a downloadable Windows version and one that’s played online. A few years ago, it introduced Baseball Daily – a new iteration that combined the player cards from the previous season with statistics from the real season being played at the same time.

Unlike many video games, the Strat-O-Matic results are based on algorithms that account for players’ performance based on statistics that their statistical experts project for each player in the 2020 season. It’s not a game played with a joystick that relies more on the skill of the person with the video game controller in his or her hand.

The simulation software will keep comprehensive statistics for all teams for the season, so we’ll be able to track year-to-date leaders in many statistical categories. Our current plan is to provide statistical leader summaries here at Redleg Nation each Sunday. You can follow the season at Strat-O-Matic.com, where they plan to post the results from each day’s schedule at 2 p.m. Eastern time.

56 Responses

  1. Don

    My Lineup vs Lester

    Akiyama – CF
    Ervin – LF
    Mouse – 2B
    Suarez – 3B
    Castellanos – RF
    Galvis – SS
    Farmer – 1B
    Casali – C
    Bauer – P

    • Don

      If there is agreement to bring up
      Tyler Stephenson, Nick Lodolo, Hunter Greene and Jose Garcia
      as brought up in yesterday’s game discussion.
      These would be the corresponding SIM roster moves (would not occur in reallife baseball) I would suggest.
      1) Stephenson up – designate for assignment Barnhart
      2) Garcia Up – Send down Senzel (has options)
      3) Lodolo up – Castillo down (has option and worst starting pitcher on Sim Reds)
      4) Greene up – Designate for assignment Miley (2nd Worst Starter)

      and if the Farmer Down – Aquino up discussion is agreed this would be my lineup vs Lester

      Akiyama – CF
      Ervin – LF
      Castellanos – 1B
      Suarez – 3B
      Mouse – 2B
      Stephenson – C
      Garcia – SS
      Aquino – RF
      Bauer – P

      I would think some bullpen changes are also needed.
      Sims – designate for assignment – Bring up Ryan Hendrix
      Lorenzen down (by far worst relief pitcher for Sim Reds) – Bring up John Kuhnel as the outfield is strong enough on offense and defense without Lorenzen.

      • Tom Mitsoff

        We’ll need at least three votes for each player recalled and we will also need three votes for each corresponding player sent down. (Two in addition to the person proposing the move.)

      • Gonzo Reds

        For Stevenson, who is RH, I’d keep the LH and best defensive C we have in Barnhart, I’d substitute for Casali instead.

        For Garcia let’s send down Farmer (who should still be up since he couldn’t be sent down for Aquino).

        Let’s not bring up both Greene and Lodelo at the same time. Let’s just try one at a time in Miley’s slot. I think start with Lodelo as his stats likely will be stronger, just a hunch. We also have Santillian that can come up as well.

      • Melvin

        There are only two I’m comfortable with right now and will have to think about the rest.

        Stephenson up – Casali down. (Agree with Gonzo)
        Aquino up – Farmer down. (Aquino has far more potential to help us)

        Remember we have to keep in mind Votto will be back. That may be when we have to finally send Senzel down. At least he has options. I’m torn about Lorenzen as he’s been so good offensively. Wish we had more control of our pitching in game situations but just have to play the cards we have.

      • BK

        I am against promoting Aquino. He has no where to play. He should not get any starts over Akiyama, Lorenzen, Winker or Payton at this time. All are performing very well. Castellanos should be on the bench moving forward as well. We need some versatility on the bench as well as fire power. I believe Castellanos can provide equal to better production than Aquino. The fact that Castellanos is hitting so poorly thus far is a bit of a head scratcher.

        Stephenson is intriguing. Catcher is our worst offensive spot. If we move either Barnhart or Casali they are gone for good. We don’t know how Stephenson will perform, offensively or defensively. Hoping for a better outcome is usually not a good basis for a decision, especially a long-term decision. So I’m a “no” for that move at this point, but it’s one we should revisit frequently.

      • Melvin

        This may sound a little crazy since I’m a guy who likes to think outside the box and take chances. However, I’m going to try to be the voice of calm reasoning right now believe it or not. This is all new to us since we just found out yesterday we have all these options. I’m going to suggest this. I’m going to take back my vote for Stephenson for Casali. Instead I’m going to suggest we bring up Stephenson for Senzel and still bring up Aquino for Farmer. I’m not opposed to thinking about maybe Farmer for another pitcher if I’m talked into it. I like Aquino though and he along with Dietrich, as bench players primarily, will give us real potential. This way we can see how Stephenson is going to play at least a little while before we cut loose another catcher. We can do that any time. There won’t be much risk as the two we’re sending down have options to come back so we won’t lose anything and we’ll have time to think this through. If some disagree I would still suggest waiting at least a little while before losing anyone permanently. We can definitely think about replacing pitchers right away as long as they have options.

  2. Melvin

    Well guys. It’s hard to have a worse game than today at least offensively although pitching was pretty bad too. At least the bullpen held after Gray gave up the 5 runs. I wish Souza Jr. hadn’t gotten injured. We still may be playing in extra innings. His replacement Almora Jr. killed us. There is no explaining the offense. Only four hits with four walks. Pretty bad. Suarez particularly 0-4 with 4 strikeouts. There is no doubt, at least so far, that Akiyama in the sim world is a Hall Of Famer leaving everyone else in the dust. He just keeps on hitting and hitting no matter what. One small silver lining is we had no errors. I did notice Casali had another passed ball. That’s definitely not the first and makes me wander how many. I’m looking forward to calling up Stephenson. He’s hopefully our catcher of the future. We just have to forget about this one and move on. I will say I’m starting not to like the Cubs at all. They are moving up on my list near, if not at, the top of the teams I want to beat….bad. Let’s not get discouraged. Let’s go get em guys!

  3. Don

    Since the Sim Reds have not faced Lester this year in the SIM, I looked at the 2019 stats vs Lester and I misread Mouse’s stats. Off by one line at my first look, I thought he was 3-6 and when I looked again he is 0-6. So am I changing my proposed lineups.

    No Roster changes

    Akiyama – RF
    Lorenzen – CF
    Ervin – LF
    Suarez – 3B
    Castellanos – 1B
    Galvis – SS
    Senzel – 2B
    Casali – C
    Bauer – P

    If there are roster moves, this would be my lineup if all the players are available

    Akiyama – CF
    Ervin – LF
    Castellanos – 1B
    Suarez – 3B
    Stephenson – C
    Galvis – 2B
    Garcia – SS
    Aquino – RF
    Bauer – P

  4. BK

    How has it worked out playing Castellanos at 1B?
    Defensively, it has been worth the risk in my opinion. He’s now made 11 starts and played most of a twelfth game at 1B. He’s made 2 errors (one cost us a game). His defense hasn’t helped, but it hasn’t been too costly either. Of note, Castellanos has made two starts at 3B, with no errors, but he only had one fielding chance. Suarez has started one game at SS and made 1 error in 3 fielding chances.

    Is Castellanos bat good enough to warrant the risk of starting him out of position? I don’t think so. Based on OPS, Castellanos is in the bottom 46 percentile of sim position players. Before going 0 for 3 with a walk, today, sim-Castellanos production was:

    .266 AVG (MLB average is .263)
    .299 OBP (MLB average is .327)
    .406 SLG (MLB average is .426)
    .705 OPS (MLB average is .754),

    For comparison, Akiyama (top 2%), Ervin (top 9%), Lorenzen (top 2 percent—small sample size), Winker (top 19 percent) and Payton (top 19 percent—small sample size) are all out-performing Castellanos.

    Conclusion. Outfield hitting is our team strength. If we are going to accept the lowest possible defensive rating, 1B is where we should accept it. Winker, our worst defensive outfielder, should be the player we move. He’s never played on the dirt as a pro, and the Reds would likely not attempt this mid season, but the play of Castellanos at 1B shows we are likely okay with a poor defender there.

    • Melvin

      I have no problem with Winker playing more there at 1B. In my mind he’s probably the only one worse than Castellanos in the outfield as he has no arm or speed.

  5. BK

    Jon Lester is off to a tough start to his 2020 sim season after a rough 2019 campaign. His splits are quite narrow, so we should just put the best lineup possible out there, tomorrow. As you may recall, Lester is afraid to throw to 1B so perhaps we can run on him. Accordingly, I’m recommending we keep our speedier guys together)

    RF – Akiyama (our best hitter and in the conversation for MVP)
    LF – Ervin (biggest surprise this year; he gives us
    CF – Lorenzen (O for 4 yesterday, but he’s been lights out with the bat)
    3B – Suarez (6 career HR vs. Lester in 42 PA, including 3 last year)
    1B – Winker (some defensive risk, but we need his bat in the lineup)
    2B – Moustakas (OPS is just under .800)
    C – Casali (good #s against Lester)
    P – Bauer
    SS – Galvis (he’s been “steady Freddy” … batting him 9th keeps our speed together)

    • Melvin

      After what happened today, the way we hit, rather the way we did not hit, it’s anyone’s guess how things are going to go. However I’m going to endorse this lineup tonight. This one looks the best to me. Others are all good though too guys.

  6. BK

    We’ve been playing Lorenzen in the field a lot and for good reason. I suggest that we start treating him like an outfielder and call up another pitcher.

    Our bullpen could use a boost. I suggest we option Senzel and promote Kuhnel. Kuhnel has some big league experience, throws strikes and should give us a little boost. If he doesn’t work out, we can option him and try someone else.

    Sim-Senzel and sim-Farmer are both sniffing dust with the lizards with OPS in the low 500s (places them in the bottom 14-15 percent of all sim position players). Senzel can play OF and 2B. Farmer can play any IF position or C. Both are the last guy on the bench and have nearly indistinguishable performance. I suggest we retain Farmer’s versatility.

    • Melvin

      Isn’t there a problem in that Strato will still use him as a pitcher though no matter how bad he is? That’s the part I wish we had control of.

      • BK

        Not if we keep him in the lineup until he proves he doesn’t belong. What I am suggesting is let’s get one of the minor leaguers up for the bullpen and get some info on them. Second, let’s see if we have stumbled onto something with Lorenzen in the OF. He has speed, defense, an arm and power. He’s currently in the top 2 percent of sim hitters with 44 PAs. Let’s take a week or so and see if he can continue to produce at a high level–right now he’s up there with Mike Trout.

    • Melvin

      Well I agree he has 5 tool potential. I’ve thought that all along. I guess I get what you’re saying in that if we use him in the outfield more Strato won’t pitch him as often. I also think I get what you’re saying, correct me if I’m wrong, is to use him, Ervin, and Akiyama on the regular basis in the outfield and use Winker at 1B at least until Votto comes back. Of course Payton and Castellanos will be virtually bench players.

  7. Gonzo Reds

    I’ll second that Aquino for Farmer as we do need more RHB available. I’m hoping for one more person approving that so I can finally get him in our lineup!

    Since everyone is on board with Stephenson going to include him in my lineup and loading up RH against the LHP:

    Aqi – CF
    Castellanos – 1B
    Suarez – 3B
    Aquino – RF
    Moustakas – 2B
    Senzel – LF
    Stephenson – C
    P
    Galvis – SS

  8. Jon Davis

    I was so sure that we were going to have multiple errors in this game but of course nothing. There is just so much to consider as far as roster moves are concerned, my head is spinning a bit. I am also getting very frustrated with the lack of patterns and the complete randomness. I get that it’s a simulation and thus is random but there should be some patterns emerging this far in but it just seems to be getting more and more random. Because of this I am going to a numbers based system and try to ignore names. As far as who to bring up I don’t really care since we don’t know how they will do. Here are my thoughts and suggestions, in the OF we are currently set Akiyama starts everyday and we have 2 LHB, Winker/Payton, and 2 RHB, Castellanos/Ervin. In the IF Galvis is better than expected but meh Moustakas and Suarez set and when Votto gets back he is set too. If we bring up Garcia that covers the IF backups with him and Dietrich for now. At C we have been ok with Barnhart/Casali but should try Stephenson since he could be better. Pitching wise I think everyone has been at least ok except Miley, Lorenzen, Stephenson and Castillo, so send them out. So we need 2 SP and 2 RP as I mentioned I don’t really care who takes those places at this time but I would go with Mahle and Lodolo as SP then Hendrix and Greene as the RP. For anyone questioning the Mahle pick I just figure give him a shot he was in the bullpen and a small sample so far. So Here they are

    1. Castillo down and Lodolo into rotation
    2. Lorenzen down and Greene into Bullpen
    3. Miley down and Mahle into rotation
    4. Stephenson down and Hendrix into Bullpen
    5. Farmer down and Garcia up
    6. Casali down and Stephenson up (fine with Either C going down)
    7. Senzel would be next Aquino up ok or wait for Votto

  9. Jon Davis

    As far as my suggested lineup Whew so many variations. Ok

    1. Akiyama – CF
    2. Ervin – RF
    3. Castellanos – 1B
    4. Suarez – 3B
    5. Moustakas – 2B
    6. Senzel – LF
    7. T. Stephenson – C (Casali if Stephenson not called up)
    8. Bauer – P
    9. Garcia – SS (Galvis if Garcia not called up)

    If Lorenzen is still here then I would put him in OF and move Senzel to 2B. Same for Aquino if Senzel is around if not then Moose at 2B if both Lorenzen and Senzel are gone. Any questions just ask.

  10. Jon Davis

    After reading everyones comments I am feeling crazier. This is why I need BK as my bench coach a soothing presence would be welcomed right now. I was so frustrated and just wanted to make moves just to make moves that I barely gave any thought to which guys would be gone permanently. So after a quick run back through the options I believe my suggestions would lead to us losing Casali, Miley and Stephenson permanently well for the rest of the simulation. Is that correct Tom? Anyone?

    • Tom Mitsoff

      I am not sure how they are going to handle us sending down players without options left. Strat-O-Matic is running the other 29 teams except the Angels, who are being run by one of the team’s newspaper beat writers. They mentioned previously anyone without options who was sent down would be eligible for waivers, but frankly I have no idea how that would work.

    • Don

      if we are playing by MLB rules for roster moves, the players without options are designated for assignment and waived. If the player is not claimed by another team, I believe the players can choose to report to the minor and take the assignment or decide to be a free agent. Romano went through this over the winter to make room on the 40 man for one of the signings. Noone claimed him and he took the assignment.

      If Strat-o-matic lets them be claimed by another team or is making the assumption that no players would accept the minor league assignment then yes they would be lost to the team forever.

  11. Tom Mitsoff

    Lots of great discussion here guys! At 7:36 p.m. Eastern time, here’s what we have on the transaction front (# of votes in parenthesis; need at least 3 votes for consideration)

    Up: Aquino (4 yes, 1 no, net of 3) T. Stephenson (4 yes, 1 no, net of 3), Garcia (3), Lodolo (3)
    Down: Farmer (5), Casali (3), Miley (3)

    I’ll cut this off at 8 p.m. Eastern so we can let Strat-O-Matic know of new cards we need made in advance of submitting a lineup for Sunday. Currently, if the voting stays as is, we’d be sending down three players and calling up Aquino (for Farmer), T. Stephenson (for Casali) and Lodolo (for Miley). Can’t bring up a fourth player since we are sending down only three.

    • BK

      If these haven’t gone through I’m a “no” for Garcia, Stephenson, Lodolo or Greene being promoted. I’m a no for DFA for Casali or Miley. These are big, big changes. A lot changed during dinner tonight–I’m not sure what the process should be, but I predict a lot of “buyers/sellers remorse” coming to the sim Reds

  12. Melvin

    That might be a good way to start. I know we’re confusing you to death but just want to say again I’m taking back my vote to send down Casali but instead Senzel (for Stephenson). Thanks Tom

  13. Tom Mitsoff

    Got it, Melvin. So the final result with your change of vote is:

    Recall Aquino, Tyler Stephenson and Lodolo
    Send down Farmer, Senzel and Miley

    I will send a note now to Strat-O-Matic to let them know we’d like cards made for Tyler Stephenson and Nick Lodolo. I will ask them if they will be able to have them ready for Sunday. I have no idea if they are working Saturday night, so I will let you know what I learn, if anything.

    • BK

      So, Casali is gone permanently since he had no options, correct?

      • Tom Mitsoff

        No, Casali did not get sent down. The only one at risk is Miley.

    • Melvin

      I’m glad we restrained ourselves today for the most part. There’s plenty of time to think about it and make the correct moves. Hopefully we’ll get pleasantly surprised and not lose Miley.

  14. Don

    Tom, Thanks for doing all this.

    My reasoning for wanting a lot of roster changes is that the team as currently constructed (or how being managed buy us) has proven after 40% of the season that they are not SIM playoff material.
    7 out of the division lead and 4.5 out of 2nd WC spot and fading fast.

    Maybe we as managers need to look at ourselves and we are causing the team to not play up to its potential. A lot of us complain that Bell over manages and maybe we are doing the same.

    The top 10 in the league all have 300+ plate appearances.

    Suarez (285) ,Galvis and Moose have the most PAs of any SIM Red.
    They are 39th,82nd and 114th in PAs for the league.

    My best guess is that the other teams being managed by Strat-o-Matic are starting mostly the same 7-8 players everyday since there is no concept of needing days off in this sim.

    Mouse is 70 PAs and Castellanos is over 100 PAs behind the league leaders. I do not think that would have been the plan of the Reds front office (or the players) when they were signed to the high $ contracts in the off season. I do not think the team would have given up Castellanos playing every day and pinch hitters a few times a week after 200 PAs.

    Maybe a managerial style change needs to occur and we pick players to start every game at a specific position for an extended period (2 to 3 weeks) and see what happens. Our best strategy to winning could be to stop managing so much.

    • Tom Mitsoff

      Perhaps. But I’ve noticed that whoever does the Cubs lineups (someone at Strat-O-Matic) makes changes every day, and they seem to work out (at least against us). 😉 By this point (65 games), we have a pretty decent idea of how each player’s card will produce (or not produce). Small sample size isn’t a legitimate rationale any more, IMO.

      What we’re seeing is the majority of players in the general vicinity we’d expect to see statistically. Ervin, Akiyama, Senzel and Lorenzen (hitting) are outliers, as certainly is Castillo. At this point, I believe you have to chalk it up to the way the card was constructed.

      The pitching has been a big disappointment, and I definitely believe the real Reds pitching will produce better than the sim Reds pitching.

      The fun aspect of all of this is trying to find ways to make changes that will make a positive difference, based on what we know.

      • Tom Mitsoff

        All of that being said, you might be absolutely right, Don. Maybe a set lineup would make a difference.

      • Don

        I was looking through all the team PAs.

        Most seem to have a player 2 players @ 280 + PAs, 2 more in the 260 to 279 range some have a 5th player in the 250s and then they usually fall off to the 220s.

        Also looking at games played.

        My assessment is that most teams have 2 players that start virtually every game, 2 or 3 others that start 95%+ of the time and then there is 4 or 5 that play 66% of the games and then there is 2 or 3 which have under 10 games played.

        Atlanta has 4 with 61+, 5 with 52+ games and then everyone else is under 36.
        Cubs seem to have a more balanced where Baez, Bryant (and Rizzo before injury) played every game and then the other 6 do look like they are rotated a lot with games played at PAs

        More data mining to see if there is any pattern to the managing of the teams.

    • Melvin

      Don. I think there is something to what you said. If you’ve listened to me talk on here, not that I have everything figured out by any means any more than anyone else, I’ve always advocated keeping the guys who are “hot” in the lineup more than matchups. Matchups don’t always tell the whole story. There’s all kinds of factors as to why a guy may or may not have had success against a certain player in the past. We can’t get too hung up on those. Those factors could have changed in a lot of ways we don’t even know about and everything be the exact opposite now. For example if we “right off” a guy because he’s had poor success against someone in the past we could be holding him down and therefore our team down by doing that. As I’ve said before, stats are good and important but we can’t live by them. Every sport is a game of momentum and baseball is no different. We have to keep guys going who “have it going”. What we can’t do, since we are in a pennant race, is afford to play people or “carry” people who are slumping badly. Players who are not contributing we probably have to think about a change one way or another. If we were rebuilding it would be different. However we are in the “win now” mode so every game counts. I’d be happy to have a regular “eight” that we could pretty much play every day. I think we’re getting closer to that. I like to have Aquino and Dietrich but just as bench players as a strong bench is very good. I don’t think we should try to work them in the lineup very often though. Having a regular “eight” is very unusual these days. If you look back in Reds history and the Big Red Machine many think Sparky just penciled in the “Great Eight” every game. They were a very unusual bunch and in my opinion was one of the greatest teams ever. As a side note you might want to go to Reds.com and look at the stats from 75 and 76 especially 76. That team led not just the National League in virtually every offensive but the Major Leagues. I think there was only one category that they only led the National League and were second to a team in the American League. My point is even as good as they were, those “Great Eight” only played together 88 times including playoffs in those two years. So yes I agree it is good to have as many “regulars” as we can but still have to be flexible. I do agree though that we can get caught up too much in stats and matchups so we have to find the right balance. We do have to remember though this is only sim baseball so stats are all we have to go by since we can’t actually see or talk with the players. We have to take all these things into consideration and again, find balance. Sounds a lot like life doesn’t it? 🙂

  15. Don

    while looking through the league hitting stats I noticed something I found interesting.

    Billy Hamilton has the same number of PAs as Joey Votto.(220).
    Hamilton has a 292 avg and 352 OPS, 57 hits and 19 walks in 220 PAs (140th in the league), he has played in 54 of the 64 games SF has played.

    Suarez, Galvis, Votto and Akiyama are the only sim Reds which have gotten on base more times than Hamilton.

    Hamilton has a great card for him in this SIM.

    • Melvin

      Hamilton…I wish we had him back now…..wait a minute….NO I DON’T. Hahaha!

  16. Tom Mitsoff

    They just asked if Lodolo will be a starter or a reliever, so I’m guessing someone is working on this. 🙂

    • BK

      My vote is Bullpen. He’s only pitched in Low A ball.

  17. Gonzo Reds

    Ervin not an outlier… we are using him only against lefties and his splits there are great.

    To be honest when we first mentioned Greene and Lodelo… I imagined them coming up to bolster our pen… just didn’t think that was an option. No that we know… Greene could be our Next Chapman (and then not allowed to ever start).

  18. Don

    with the roster changes, here would be my lineup

    Akiyama – LF
    Lorenzen – CF
    Ervin – RF
    Mouse – 2B
    Suarez – 3B
    Castellanos – 1B
    Galvis – SS
    Stephenson – C
    Bauer – P

  19. Gonzo Reds

    Voting for JD to give us a consensus and to get Lorenzen out of the everyday lineup.

  20. Tom Mitsoff

    My count at 11:06 pm Eastern is two endorsements for BK and one for Jon Davis. I’m submitting BK’s lineup and the three roster moves I outlined at around 8 p.m. Eastern.

  21. Melvin

    Thanks again Tom for all you do. I was thinking that when we get real baseball back and fans in the stands maybe it would be cool if all of us Reds Strato family got together at a Reds game.

    • Tom Mitsoff

      I would be all for that, but I live in Wisconsin, so logistics would be an issue for me. 🙂

  22. Melvin

    Go get em BK. Let’s turn this around and start winning again.

  23. Vegas Red

    I admire the passion you “regulars have for this exercise.

    It just baffles me how Gray could have 7 walks and Almoravid a three run home run. I guess I just don’t understand the program and the results seem fanciful but somehow based on statistics.

    Anyway, it seems clear you guys are having fun with this and figured enough of this out to keep it going.

    My sincere compliments to your fandom and passion!

    Go sim-Reds!!

    • Tom Mitsoff

      Vegas Red, feel free to participate if you wish!

  24. Tom Mitsoff

    Gentlemen, this message from Strat-O-Matic to me Sunday morning, FYI:

    ——

    Really don’t like the Miley move… would never happen. They just signed him to a 2 year deal and he’s pitching right in line with expectations, giving up more homers but also walking less… Can they move him to the bullpen instead? He would never get cut

    Then they can send Bowman down or cut Sims or Reed. I won’t make this move right now since it won’t matter until Wednesday, the next time Miley is scheduled to pitch.

    ——-

    We’ll need to reconsider how to get Lodolo on the roster, if indeed we still want to do that.

    • Melvin

      Some want to send down Castillo. I don’t know about that. Maybe I guess as a possibility as long as he has options. Kind of relieved we didn’t lose Miley to be honest.

    • Gonzo Reds

      Going back to what I said earlier about Lodelo/Greene… I think for this season we could try either as a power arm in the pen as we now know Strato ok with us doing that. Sub Lodelo for Sims (Reed doing pretty well and we do need lefties besides Garrett). If he does well we can still move him to the rotation and Miley or Castillo to the pen later but at least we have him up on the roster. Can do the same for Greene later, esp if we have an injury.

      • BK

        So, why would we expect Lodolo or Greene to perform well in Strato. I like the out of the box thinking, but can we really expect a good result from pitchers with no experience above Low A ball? Have you seen this work out in Strato?

        We have some guys on the 40-man that had really good minor league stats at AAA or AA (Kuhnel and Hendrix). We could go with Thornburg or Nate Jones–both have had big league success. Why shouldn’t we try those guys next?

    • BK

      Frankly, I’m glad we got a reprieve. Bauer is hurt and we’ll need to replace him for 1 or two starts. If we’re going to play Lorenzen in the OF, we need to bring up a pitcher to take his spot in the bullpen. We need to work through the second order effects of some of the moves.