Final 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Reds 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 13 0
Pirates 0 2 0 2 0 1 0 0 X 5 9 0

The inability to get key hits with runners in scoring position was the undoing of the Cincinnati Reds (31-31) in a 5-2 loss to the Pittsburgh Pirates (26-35) at PNC Park.

That was the result today as Strat-O-Matic games of Glen Head, N.Y., continued its announced plan to simulate the entire 2020 Major League Baseball season on a day-by-day basis for as long as actual game play is on hold.


Help set the lineup, batting order for the simulated Reds:

Have you ever dreamed of your opportunity to “manage” the Reds? Now is your chance. Learn more below!


The sim Reds had 13 hits, but left 10 men on base in scoring only twice against Pirates pitching. Good news for the visitors was the return of Shogo Akiyama to the lineup. He smacked three hits in his return, and almost had a fourth in a key situation in the top of the ninth, but Pirates second baseman Adam Frazier made the “web gem” play of the game. He not only robbed Akiyama of a hit, but turned it into a double play — effectively short-circuiting a Reds rally because Mark Payton followed with a hit. Had Akiyama’s ball gotten through for a hit, Payton’s hit would have scored Derek Dietrich, and Reds would have had two men on base, still nobody out, and the heart of the order coming up.

Pittsburgh broke a 2-2 tie in the bottom of the fourth against Reds starter and loser Anthony DeSclafani. Catcher Luke Maile — who played high school baseball at Covington Catholic and college ball at the University of Kentucky — along with Frazier had RBI hits in the inning. Pittsburgh’s final run was unearned, assisted by a passed ball by catcher Curt Casali.

Payton, Mike Moustakas and Nick Castellanos joined Akiyama in the multi-hit club for the sim Reds. A key missed opportunity was in the top of the fourth, when Moustakas led off with a double, and Castellanos followed with a single, moving Moustakas to third. But with runners on first and third and nobody out, Freddy Galvis, Casali and DeSclafani took turns failing to drive in runs or even advance the runner from first. Another key opportunity in the eighth — bases loaded on singles by Jesse Winker, Castellanos and Galvis but with two out, Casali struck out against Pirates reliever Richard Rodriguez.

Here is the sim Reds box score, as provided by Strat-O-Matic:

B-Pinch Hit For Lorenzen In 7th Inning
E-Pinch Hit For Reed In 9th Inning

A-Pinch Hit For Stratton In 6th Inning
C-Pinch Hit For Rodriguez In 8th Inning
D-Subbed Defensively (RF) For Polanco In 9th Inning

Standings following the June 3 games:

Division-leading St. Louis was idle, and the Cubs fell for the second straight day to the Baltimore Orioles. Second-place Chicago is now three and a half back of the Cardinals.

NL Central WON LOST PCT GB
Cardinals 36 26 .581 0.0
Cubs 33 30 .524 3.5
Brewers 32 30 .516 4.0
Reds 31 31 .508 5.0
Pirates 26 35 .426 9.5

The 2020 schedule as currently constituted has the Reds headed home to Great American Ball Park to begin an important and challenging homestand featuring the Cubs and Dodgers. Thursday will mark the first game of a four-game set with Chicago, with Wade Miley pitching for the Reds, and lefthander Jose Quintana pitching for Chicago.

News/Notes from around baseball

One of the things we would have during the season in the game threads was a section comprised of news and notes for the day. While there’s a lot less going on these days in the baseball world than usual for this time of year, there still are some things that are worth highlighting. When there are, we’ll be adding them to these daily simulation threads.

Reds release 48 minor league players

Cincinnati has released 48 players from the minor leagues. There were a few interesting names among the group of players, including two guys who signed 7-figure bonuses.

Cincinnati Reds release 48 minor league players

Shogo Akiyama prepares for season despite unknown factors

Ed Odeven of Japan Forward wrote about Cincinnati’s new outfielder Shogo Akiyama in the latest Japan Sports Notebook. Akiyama talks about how he’s been trying to keep in shape, prepare for the season, what he’s expecting and more. It’s a good read that you should be sure to check out.

Physically, right when spring training was suspended, I started my training schedule just to treat it as if it’s an offseason, and so I’ve been ramping up as I’ve been expecting the season to resume soon

MLB has formally rejected the players 114 game plan

How are the simReds performing?

The Hitters

The Pitchers

Help set the lineup, batting order for the simulated Reds:

Have you ever dreamed of your opportunity to “manage” the Reds? Now is your chance.

Strat-O-Matic has agreed to allow Redleg Nation to submit the Cincinnati Reds’ lineups for each day’s simulated game. We want all of our readers who want to participate to get involved.

Here is how it will work:

  • In each wrap up of that day’s simulated game, Redleg Nation will post the opposing starting pitcher for the next game. You will know who the pitcher is and whether he is left-handed or right-handed, and you can use that information in creating a lineup for the next game, and submitting it in the comments below. “Splits” such as performance vs. left-handers or right-handers are replicated in the Strat-O-Matic game algorithm, and therefore should be considered.
  • We will accept lineups from every reader who wants to submit one. The lineup that will be submitted to Strat-O-Matic each day will be the one that receives the most positive replies (in effect, “yes” votes) from readers other than the submitter. In case of ties:
    • First tiebreaker: Lineup submitted by the reader who has had the fewest number of opportunities as a “manager.”
    • Second tiebreaker: Lineup submitted earliest in the comment thread. (So get your lineup in “early” each day.)
  • What is “early?” Redleg Nation posts these articles daily between 5 and 6 p.m. Eastern time. Strat-O-Matic’s deadline for us to submit a lineup for the next day’s game is midnight. On most days, we’ll do this before “bedtime,” which is typically between 10:30 and 11 Eastern time.

All players’ batting stats

All players’ pitching stats

Batting and pitching player stats by team

Have fun with this! If you have any questions, please post them in the comment string below. Here are the “managerial records” of our Redleg Nation participants to date:

Commenter/
“Manager”
WON LOST PCT
Jon Davis 6 1 .857
Peter Onte 2 1 .667
BK 7 4 .636
James Owens 3 2 .600
Gonzo Reds 3 3 .500
Redsfan4life 3 3 .500
Doug Gray 1 1 .500
RedsEuphoria 1 1 .500
Tomn 1 1 .500
Melvin 1 3 .250
Don 1 4 .200
AirborneJayJay 0 1 .000
Jeff 0 1 .000
Mark Moore 0 1 .000
Tom Mitsoff 0 1 .000
VaRedsFan 0 1 .000

About Strat-O-Matic

Strat-O-Matic has been in the sports simulation business since the 1960s. A USA Today article contained this explanation:

Strat-O-Matic and other baseball simulations use statistics from the previous season to create “cards” for each player on a roster. The team managers select the batting order and the starting pitcher. From there, a series of dice rolls and calculations determines the outcome of each at-bat.

Strat-O, as it’s known to longtime players, first gained its immense popularity as a board game. The company has since expanded to a downloadable Windows version and one that’s played online. A few years ago, it introduced Baseball Daily – a new iteration that combined the player cards from the previous season with statistics from the real season being played at the same time.

Unlike many video games, the Strat-O-Matic results are based on algorithms that account for players’ performance based on statistics that their statistical experts project for each player in the 2020 season. It’s not a game played with a joystick that relies more on the skill of the person with the video game controller in his or her hand.

The simulation software will keep comprehensive statistics for all teams for the season, so we’ll be able to track year-to-date leaders in many statistical categories. Our current plan is to provide statistical leader summaries here at Redleg Nation each Sunday. You can follow the season at Strat-O-Matic.com, where they plan to post the results from each day’s schedule at 2 p.m. Eastern time.

29 Responses

  1. Melvin

    Tough loss today. I know 13 hits should generally produce more than two runs. Don’t take it too hard Don. It’s not your fault of course. I understand as the same thing happened to me. Everyone pretty much contributed today with the exception of Suarez. Akiyama looks like he picked up where he left off. I wander if the guy who made his card is Japanese. Not asking for any particular reason. Just curious. haha Moustakas is on fire. Castellanos two hits playing 1B, no errors. 🙂 Good to see Dietrich come in and get a pinch hit as that’s what we mainly need him for. Strato had Ervin pinch hit for Lorenzen of all people? That’s a head scratcher for sure. Have to beat up on the Cubs next.

  2. Tom Mitsoff

    Some of the folks here invited me to submit a lineup, so here goes:

    Lorenzen RF
    Akiyama CF
    Ervin LF
    Suarez 3B
    Moustakas 2B
    Casali C
    Castellanos 1B
    Galvis SS
    Miley P

    Brief explanation:

    1) I sort all of the players on the roster by OBP and OPS
    2) Lorenzen had the top OBP for a righthanded batter, and since the opposing pitcher is a lefty, he bats leadoff
    3) The rest of the batting order is based on the rest of the players sorted by OPS. I pick the players who I think will be the best matchups against a lefthanded pitcher and then bat them in declining order of their OPS. The one exception is that I bumped Castellanos ahead of Galvis because I don’t believe Galvis, even though he is a switch-hitter, is very good batting righthanded against lefties.

    • Redsfan4life

      Tom as I said last night you have my vote. Bring us a long winning streak.

    • BK

      I like it! A couple of considerations … Moustakas only has 2 hits in his last 17 ABs (spans 3 years) against Quintana. Likewise, Casali has really struggled as well against Quintana (lifetime .505 OPS in 17 ABs). This could be a good day to slide Senzel in at 2B in lieu of Moose and Farmer in at C in place of Casali. Both Senzel and Farmer logged hits in starting roles against sim Quintana last week. Either way, you have my vote!

      • Melvin

        BK always has good comments and suggestions. Just don’t forget Moose has been pretty hot lately. Either way it’s a good lineup.

      • Tom Mitsoff

        Many, MANY years ago I managed a company men’s softball team, and did the lineups very similarly to what I explained above. (Except nobody really knew about OBP and OPS way back then.) The lineup was based on the stats we kept on how people hit. If someone asked why they were hitting in a certain spot in the order, the answer was because the players ahead of you are hitting better. 🙂 I always want the best possible hitters getting the most possible plate appearances without sacrificing defense up the middle.

      • Melvin

        I like that philosophy A LOT. Dusty Baker drove me crazy when he would take a poor hitter and place him right above Votto so the poor hitter would get better pitches to hit. NUTS to me!

      • Melvin

        Does Billy Hamilton come to mind when talking about your best hitters getting the most AB? LOL He definitely was the FASTEST runner back to the dugout I’ve ever seen. hahaha

      • BK

        Exactly, Tom. I agree with your methodology 100% and look forward to sweeping the sim Cubbies!

      • Jon Davis

        You know BK I am starting to think you are spying on me, although you commented first so never mind forget I said anything.

    • Jon Davis

      I just saw this and completely support Tom so I will not be making a lineup. Go Tom!

    • Jon Davis

      Ok I couldn’t help myself so I just have a few suggestions, either way I vote for Toms lineup. Farmer and Senzel performed in our last meeting with Quintana so I would play them over Moustakas and Casali, although I feel much stronger about Senzel over Moustakas than I do about the catcher. The only other thing is the OF alignment I would go Akiyama in LF, Lorenzen in CF and Ervin in RF. Ok that’s all I got thanks for listening, good luck and ALL HAIL THE REDS CZAR!

      • Tom Mitsoff

        One of the many things fun about doing this is thinking about various options. None of us can see the defensive ratings they give players on the Strat-O-Matic cards, so it is my guess that Akiyama is better than Lorenzen in center — though Lorenzen is very good. And it is my belief that Ervin is the weakest of the three outfielders defensively, so he goes to left field. And I have little confidence in Senzel and Farmer (their cards, not their actual abilities! 🙂 ) based on what we’ve seen for 62 games.

      • Jon Davis

        That is true we don’t know for sure and even less with Akiyama since we have barely seen him. I think the only thing we know for sure is Lorenzen has the strongest arm. The more I think about it the weaker my opinions are on my suggestions. At this point I could see it going either way, so ok fair enough your points are well received and I fully support your lineup.

    • RedsEuphoria

      I like this,

      one thing to note though. Castellanos actually had the highest OBP of any current Reds player last season against LHP (.425) if I remember correctly, which beats even the monster that is Phillip Ervin vs. LHP. I personally think the 7 spot might be a little low for him, but still like this lineup overall!

  3. Melvin

    Several of us were talking yesterday on here expressing our desire for Tom to make out the next lineup after a loss. He did come back and say he would like to do that so I’m officially opening up a vote right now. I suggest we all show our appreciation and support in a small way today for what he has done for us. So do you support Tom Mitsoff making out tomorrows lineup and continuing until he loses 30-40 games from now? 🙂

  4. Melvin

    Wow! He beat me to it. LOL Good job Tom!

  5. Tom Mitsoff

    Be sure to check out the link in the article above to Doug Gray’s article about the Reds releasing 48 minor leaguers today. Important news.

  6. Redsfan4life

    Tom, I was player manager of a softball teams for years. I was always batted first. Not because I was the best player. I was a good hitter and I walked a lot. I did my job getting on base for the middle of the order guys.
    I never really had to many complaints about the lineups. I miss those times. But age caught up to me and I haven’t played in several years nor has most of my teammates.

  7. Don

    Tom’s lineup has my vote.

    13 hits vs 9, 14 ON base vs 12, 4 with a multiple hit game, everyone that started but Suarez had a hit with 10 left on base. tough, tough loss, just not the hits at the right time.
    Lorenzen’s run he gave up was a lead off single, stolen base (does not he always pick people off with a great move???), passed ball, Sacrifice fly. Talk about snake bit.

    Hopefully Tom wins a bunch in a row

    • Tom Mitsoff

      Don, all you or any of us can do is put the players in the best position possible to have success. Clearly with 13 hits you had the right guys in there, but they just didn’t do it when the heat was on. Hopefully you made them run 50 laps around PNC Park as punishment. 😉

  8. Tom Mitsoff

    I just noticed that Anthony Rizzo will miss the entire series against the Reds with an injury.

    • Melvin

      Definitely a Reds killer. Let’s take advantage.