Final 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Reds 0 1 0 0 2 0 9 0 0 12 11 1
Cubs 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 7 0

A nine-run seventh inning broke open a close game and sent the Cincinnati Reds (30-29) to a convincing 12-2 victory over the Chicago Cubs (32-28) at Wrigley Field.

That was the result today as Strat-O-Matic games of Glen Head, N.Y., continued its announced plan to simulate the entire 2020 Major League Baseball season on a day-by-day basis for as long as actual game play is on hold.


Help set the lineup, batting order for the simulated Reds:

Have you ever dreamed of your opportunity to “manage” the Reds? Now is your chance. Learn more below!


The sim Reds held a 3-2 lead going into the top of the seventh inning, and then unloaded on three Cubs relievers for nine runs on six hits and four walks. Jesse Winker had a big inning, leading off with a single and then capping the scoring with a two-run home run. Other big hits in the inning came off the bats of Freddy Galvis, a bases-clearing double just before Winker’s home run, and a two-run pinch-hit single by Phillip Ervin. In Saturday’s Redleg Nation discussion looking ahead to today’s game, winning commenter/manager Gonzo Reds was only slightly off when he said, “Ervin will come up in a key spot and hit a pH HR anyway.” It was a key spot and Ervin knocked in two runs with a pinch-hit.

Leadoff hitter Winker (three hits) and Mark Payton (two hits) were sim Reds batters with multiple-hit games. The Reds benefitted from 11 walks issued by Chicago pitchers.

The victory was a nice bounce-back from back-to-back walk-off losses in an important early-season series against a fellow NL Central Division contender.

Luis Castillo pitched one of his better games of the sim season, going five innings and allowing the only two Cubs runs.

Here is the sim Reds box score, as provided by Strat-O-Matic:

A-Pinch Hit For Castillo In 6th Inning
D-Pinch Hit For Dietrich In 7th Inning
E-Pinch Hit For Garrett In 7th Inning
F-Pinch Hit For Sims In 9th Inning

B-Pinch Hit For Descalso In 6th Inning
C-Pinch Hit For Sadler In 6th Inning
G-Pinch Hit For Mills In 9th Inning

Standings following the May 31 games:

Division-leading St. Louis defeated Pittsburgh, so the Reds remain three and a half games off the first-place pace.

NL Central WON LOST PCT GB
Cardinals 34 26 .567 0.0
Cubs 32 28 .533 2.0
Brewers 31 28 .525 2.5
Reds 30 29 .508 3.5
Pirates 25 34 .424 8.5

The 2020 schedule as currently constituted has the Reds back in Chicago Monday for the final game of the four-game series against the Cubs at Wrigley Field. Sonny Gray will pitch for the sim Reds, while right-hander Yu Darvish pitches for the Cubs.

News/Notes from around baseball

One of the things we would have during the season in the game threads was a section comprised of news and notes for the day. While there’s a lot less going on these days in the baseball world than usual for this time of year, there still are some things that are worth highlighting. When there are, we’ll be adding them to these daily simulation threads.

Hunter Greene working with Trevor Bauer

Reds top prospect Hunter Greene is back in Arizona and he’s working with Trevor Bauer. Greene, who is nearly 14 months out from having Tommy John surgery, is spending time with Bauer to try and improve his secondary offerings.

Reds prospect Hunter Greene is working with Trevor Bauer

Some owners willing to shut down the season

Buster Olney of ESPN is reporting that he’s hearing from sources that some owners are willing to shut down the season because it will allow them to save more money.

Sources say there is a group of owners perfectly willing to shut down the season, to slash payroll costs and reduce losses, and the disparate views among the 30 teams have been reflected in the decisions to fire and furlough. The Pirates’ Bob Nutting used the shutdown as an avenue to suspend team contributions to employee 401K plans — savings best measured monthly in the tens of thousands of dollars rather than the millions that would actually be difference-making for a franchise probably worth at least $1 billion. The Oakland Athletics’ John Fisher decided to eliminate the $400 weekly salaries of minor leaguers, which might save the franchise about the amount of the team’s unpaid stadium rental bill.

MLB versus the other leagues…..

How are the simReds performing?

Every day we link over to Strat-O-Matic’s simulated stats, but there’s a lot of information in these posts and you probably gloss over the links and don’t click them. Well, today we’re just going to share the stats here for how everyone is performing so you don’t need to click the link and it’ll be a bit harder to gloss over, too.

The Hitters

The Pitchers

Corrected Tyler Mahle’s ERA, which was incorrect in the original posting.

Help set the lineup, batting order for the simulated Reds:

Have you ever dreamed of your opportunity to “manage” the Reds? Now is your chance.

Strat-O-Matic has agreed to allow Redleg Nation to submit the Cincinnati Reds’ lineups for each day’s simulated game. We want all of our readers who want to participate to get involved.

Here is how it will work:

  • In each wrap up of that day’s simulated game, Redleg Nation will post the opposing starting pitcher for the next game. You will know who the pitcher is and whether he is left-handed or right-handed, and you can use that information in creating a lineup for the next game, and submitting it in the comments below. “Splits” such as performance vs. left-handers or right-handers are replicated in the Strat-O-Matic game algorithm, and therefore should be considered.
  • We will accept lineups from every reader who wants to submit one. The lineup that will be submitted to Strat-O-Matic each day will be the one that receives the most positive replies (in effect, “yes” votes) from readers other than the submitter. In case of ties:
    • First tiebreaker: Lineup submitted by the reader who has had the fewest number of opportunities as a “manager.”
    • Second tiebreaker: Lineup submitted earliest in the comment thread. (So get your lineup in “early” each day.)
  • What is “early?” Redleg Nation posts these articles daily between 5 and 6 p.m. Eastern time. Strat-O-Matic’s deadline for us to submit a lineup for the next day’s game is midnight. On most days, we’ll do this before “bedtime,” which is typically between 10:30 and 11 Eastern time.

All players’ batting stats

All players’ pitching stats

Batting and pitching player stats by team

Gonzo Reds has the priority for lineup selection for Monday because he was the winning commenter/manager today. Have fun with this! If you have any questions, please post them in the comment string below. Here are the “managerial records” of our Redleg Nation participants to date:

Commenter/
“Manager”
WON LOST PCT
Jon Davis 6 1 .857
Peter Onte 2 1 .667
BK 7 4 .636
Gonzo Reds 3 2 .600
James Owens 3 2 .600
Redsfan4life 3 3 .500
Doug Gray 1 1 .500
RedsEuphoria 1 1 .500
Tomn 1 1 .500
Melvin 1 3 .250
AirborneJayJay 0 1 .000
Jeff 0 1 .000
Mark Moore 0 1 .000
Tom Mitsoff 0 1 .000
VaRedsFan 0 1 .000
Don 0 3 .000

About Strat-O-Matic

Strat-O-Matic has been in the sports simulation business since the 1960s. A USA Today article contained this explanation:

Strat-O-Matic and other baseball simulations use statistics from the previous season to create “cards” for each player on a roster. The team managers select the batting order and the starting pitcher. From there, a series of dice rolls and calculations determines the outcome of each at-bat.

Strat-O, as it’s known to longtime players, first gained its immense popularity as a board game. The company has since expanded to a downloadable Windows version and one that’s played online. A few years ago, it introduced Baseball Daily – a new iteration that combined the player cards from the previous season with statistics from the real season being played at the same time.

Unlike many video games, the Strat-O-Matic results are based on algorithms that account for players’ performance based on statistics that their statistical experts project for each player in the 2020 season. It’s not a game played with a joystick that relies more on the skill of the person with the video game controller in his or her hand.

The simulation software will keep comprehensive statistics for all teams for the season, so we’ll be able to track year-to-date leaders in many statistical categories. Our current plan is to provide statistical leader summaries here at Redleg Nation each Sunday. You can follow the season at Strat-O-Matic.com, where they plan to post the results from each day’s schedule at 2 p.m. Eastern time.

25 Responses

  1. Don

    glad they got a win, bar for Castillo is pretty low in this sim when 2 runs, 4 hits and 4 walks in 5 innings is an average outing for him which slightly lowered his ERA and WHIP.

    4 scoreless inning from the relievers is a great change.

    Senzel has hits each of his last 2 Pinch hit chances and 1-3 in start yesterday. 3 for last 5. Maybe the dice are starting to roll his way.

    Hope Gray pitchers even better on Monday so the team gets a split

  2. Melvin

    Yep. Hope you’re right about Senzel and the dice continue to roll his way and ours. At least Castillo gave us a chance to win. If the bullpen was this good the past two games we’d have a four game winning streak wouldn’t we?

  3. vegastypo

    The thought of not having a season is doubly sad given that the CBA expires after the 2021 season. Fans might be more willing to forgive this season because of the pandemic. Personally, any season we could have would be somewhat hollow anyway.

    But multiple years of no baseball, or a few occurrences within three years? How many fans would never return after that ???

    • Melvin

      It took a LONG time to recover after 94 and probably lost some fans who will never come back. We need some real baseball in any form.

    • BK

      Both sides have lots of reasons to come together … keep the faith. Don’t let a little “tweet” from “sources” get you down!

  4. Jon Davis

    Good game and great job by Gonzo. Here is my suggested lineup just in case or if Manager Gonzo “Nostradamus” Reds is interested in my thoughts.

    1. Lorenzen – CF
    2. Votto – 1B
    3. Ervin – RF
    4. Suarez – SS
    5. Payton – LF
    6. Moustakas – 3B
    7. Dietrich – 2B
    8. Barnhart – C
    9. Gray – P

    • Don

      that is an interesting lineup against a pitcher whom warrants all lefties with his splits.

      I understand the play Lorenzen so he does not pitch strategy.
      Darvish’s splits in 2019 Lefties +62 AVG, +35 OBP, +113 SLG

      My lineup would be.

      Winker – LF
      Payton – CF
      Votto – 1B
      Moustakas – 3B
      Galvis – SS
      Ervin – RF
      Dietrich – 2B
      Barnhart – C
      Gray – P

      • Jon Davis

        Yeah but also he just hits so I figure I would play Lorenzen until he isn’t at the top of the stat sheet.

  5. Melvin

    Congratulations to Gonzo with the win and making out a good lineup. My compliments on your willingness to switch the outfield alignment too. It shows humility and the desire for everyone to win. I didn’t realize your original lineup had Winker in CF (which is kind of scary for me personally) until BK mentioned it. LOL After all that I noticed Payton had an error today in CF. Life is funny isn’t it? It looks like you took my advice when I said lets hit the snot out of the ball. You must be a great motivator. Good call on Dietrich too. No hits but two walks. As Tom said you made the call on Ervin coming in for him with a bit hit. I guess the short rest you have him worked already. Speaking of walks it looks like our guys showed great patience today and took advantage of Cubs poor pitching with 11 walks. Good to see Winker and Payton over .300 again. Votto another hit, another walk, another run scored with two RBI and still inching up closer to himself (no 1B controversy today) LOL. Suarez still doing his thing. Galvis another hit, another walk, another run scored and three RBI. He’s possibly been the most steady dependable player this year (.281 BA) and always pushing Suarez for the team RBI lead. Team leader in runs scored and hits basically playing every day. He’s been like a rock … Good win. Let’s do it again and start a new streak. Thanks to Tom for posting the updated team stats to make it easier on us.

    • BK

      Yep, I have to take responsibility for that error!

      • Melvin

        haha Somehow I don’t think it was your fault for Payton making an error. It was the right move to put him there. Remember you have to actually get to a ball before making an error something Winker has a hard time doing with his lightning speed. LOL

  6. Gonzo Reds

    Well, Darvish can be tricky and not automatic that lefties can hit him. Winker 0-8 lifetime and Ervin is 0-3 so we’ll leave them to pinch hit later in the game. Aquino is 2-5 with both those hits being HRs and Senzel hitting .333 against him so those two make the lineup today.

    Senzel – CF
    Peyton – LF
    Votto – 1B
    Aquino – RF
    Suarez – 3B
    Moustakas -2B
    Barnhart – C
    P
    Galvis – SS

    Let’s make the most of this simulated season. It’s becoming increasingly clear that it’s the only baseball we’re going to get this year.

    • Melvin

      I believe Aquino is not up at the moment if I’m not mistaken.

      • Gonzo Reds

        Thought he was the last call up but Tom can let us know. I’ll adjust if necessary of course.

      • Don

        Melvin, you are correct, Aquino was sent down when Castellanos came of IL.

        Payton, Winker, Ervin, Senzel, Castellanos are the 5 outfielders with Lorenzen and Dietrich (LF) as possibles.

  7. Gonzo Reds

    Tom Mitsoff 05/23/2020

    2) Vote was conclusively for Aquino to be recalled to replace Akiyama, as well as for Dietrich to come up and VanMeter to go down

    ===

    Believe these were our last transactions.

    • Tom Mitsoff

      Aquino was sent down when Castellanos was activated from the injured list.

    • Gonzo Reds

      Ok, I went back and see where Aquino was sent back instead of Farmer ruining a perfect chance to get an Aquino HR against Darvish. :< Must have missed that night.

      So, then it comes down between Lorenzen and Ervin to stick out there (Casto 0-6 against Darvish and mentioned Winkler 0-8). I'd lean towards Ervin but since the game does use him as a PH and won't use Lorenzen I'm sure I guess Lo gets the nod. A speed OF it is!

      Senzel – CF
      Peyton – RF
      Votto – 1B
      Lorenzen – LF
      Suarez – 3B
      Moustakas -2B
      Barnhart – C
      P
      Galvis – SS

      • Gonzo Reds

        p.s. I should note the schedule has the next two against the Pirates and then the Cubs again back in Cincy… I suggest we get Aquino back up for someone before we face Darvish again next turn in the Cubs rotation next Saturday I’m guessing?

      • Melvin

        If you have Tom set up a vote to bring him up and send Farmer down I’ll vote for it. As a thing to remember Akiyama will be coming back soon so if we do that (bring up Aquino that is) we may have to choose between Senzel or Dietrich to send down.

  8. Redsfan4life

    Yes Aquino up Farmer down.
    We can stick Suarez at SS should Galvis get hurt. At least to just finish the game out. Till we could replace Galvis from minors.

    • Tom Mitsoff

      Okay, that’s two people other than the person suggesting it, so we’ll bring Aquino up and send Farmer down.

      Gonzo Reds, let me know if you can before 11 p.m. Eastern time which of your lineups you’d like to submit. If you haven’t checked in by then, I’ll submit the most recent one.

      • Tom Mitsoff

        It’s 11:15 p.m. Eastern. I have the second lineup and will submit it.

      • Gonzo Reds

        Yeah, I’m up at 5am for work here in Florida, made it to about 10 and called it a night so didn’t see the transaction and further lineup question until now. At least Aquino another good PH option if Darvish pitches long enough to get called on against him.

      • Tom Mitsoff

        Got this note from Strat-O-Matic early Monday morning:

        We can’t bring Aquino back yet, we just sent him down on the 27th, need 10 days down before being recalled.

        Can bring him back June 6th at earliest unless there’s an IL move, then they can bring him back earlier