Final 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Padres 2 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 8 2
Reds 0 0 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 4 6 0

The San Diego Padres (28-24) built an early 5-0 lead and made it stand up for a 5-4 victory over the Cincinnati Reds (26-25) at Great American Ball Park.

That was the result today as Strat-O-Matic games of Glen Head, N.Y., continued its announced plan to simulate the entire 2020 Major League Baseball season on a day-by-day basis for as long as actual game play is on hold.


Help set the lineup, batting order for the simulated Reds:

Have you ever dreamed of your opportunity to “manage” the Reds? Now is your chance. Learn more below!


The sim Reds defeat ended a six-game winning streak, led by Redleg Nation commenter/manager Jon Davis. Adding injury to insult, Cincinnati’s MVP candidate Shogo Akiyama suffered another injury, his second this month, and will be out of action for eight games. He was injured while running out a ground ball in the seventh inning.

San Diego reached sim Reds starter Trevor Bauer, who was clearly not on his game, for five runs over the first three innings. Bauer walked five and allowed six hits. The Reds scored two in the bottom of the third on Akiyama’s seventh homer of the season, and then added two more in the fourth on a bases-loaded single by Freddy Galvis. But with runners on first and second and one out, Padres starter and winner Dinelson Lamet bowed his back, retiring Akiyama on a lineout and Mark Payton on a groundout to prevent any further runs from scoring.

As it turned out, there would be no further scoring over the final five innings, as both bullpens pitched shutout baseball. Over the final five innings, the Reds had no more than one runner reach base in any inning. There was a moment of hope in the bottom of the ninth inning when Galvis reached on an error by third baseman Manny Machado. But Padres reliever Emilio Pagan induced Curt Casali to hit into a game-ending double play.

Despite the loss, the sim Reds have won six of their last seven and nine of their past 11 games.

Akiyama will be placed on the 10-day injured list, and Redleg Nation readers will be asked to vote below on which player they believe should be brought up to replace him:

  • Aristides Aquino
  • Alex Blandino
  • Derek Dietrich
  • Travis Jankowski
  • Scott Schebler

First-place St. Louis also lost, so the Reds’ deficit remains at two games. The Cubs beat the Brewers, resulting in both of those teams being also two games behind the Cardinals. Technically, the sim Reds have a one percentage point lead over the Cubs and Brew Crew for second place.

Here is the sim Reds box score, as provided by Strat-O-Matic:

B-Pinch Hit For Lamet In 6th Inning
E-Pinch Hit For Pomeranz In 8th Inning

A-Pinch Hit For Bauer In 4th Inning
C-Pinch Hit For Sims In 6th Inning
D-Subbed Defensively (CF) For Lorenzen In 8th Inning
F-Pinch Hit For Strop In 9th Inning

Standings following the May 23 games:

NL Central WON LOST PCT GB
Cardinals 29 24 .547 0.0
Reds 26 25 .510 2.0
Brewers 27 26 .509 2.0
Cubs 27 26 .509 2.0
Pirates 22 29 .431 6.0

The 2020 schedule as currently constituted has the Reds playing game three of the four-game series against the Padres Sunday at Great American Ball Park. Anthony DeSclafani will pitch for the sim Reds, while lefthander Joey Lucchesi pitches for the Padres.

News/Notes from around baseball

One of the things we would have during the season in the game threads was a section comprised of news and notes for the day. While there’s a lot less going on these days in the baseball world than usual for this time of year, there still are some things that are worth highlighting. When there are, we’ll be adding them to these daily simulation threads.

MLB expected to propose a new economic plan on Tuesday

Evan Drellich of The Athletic reported yesterday that MLB is expected to propose a new economics plan to the MLBPA on Tuesday. There’s long been the rumor that MLB wants a 50-50 split with the players on the 2020 season among baseball revenue, but that has never actually been offered to the players. Maybe that’s what is coming, or maybe they’ve seen enough to know that it’s not going to be accepted and they’ve got something a little bit different in the pipeline. We’ll find out soon enough.

Fangraphs releases their Reds top prospects list

Eric Longenhagen got around to the Cincinnati Reds this week over at Fangraphs as they’ve been releasing their updated prospect lists. The top five guys in the organization are the same as everywhere else, just in a bit of a different order. But after that is where we start seeing some differences from the other lists we’ve seen. It’s a good read, though, so go check it out.

Help set the lineup, batting order for the simulated Reds:

Have you ever dreamed of your opportunity to “manage” the Reds? Now is your chance.

Strat-O-Matic has agreed to allow Redleg Nation to submit the Cincinnati Reds’ lineups for each day’s simulated game. We want all of our readers who want to participate to get involved.

Here is how it will work:

  • In each wrap up of that day’s simulated game, Redleg Nation will post the opposing starting pitcher for the next game. You will know who the pitcher is and whether he is left-handed or right-handed, and you can use that information in creating a lineup for the next game, and submitting it in the comments below. “Splits” such as performance vs. left-handers or right-handers are replicated in the Strat-O-Matic game algorithm, and therefore should be considered.
  • We will accept lineups from every reader who wants to submit one. The lineup that will be submitted to Strat-O-Matic each day will be the one that receives the most positive replies (in effect, “yes” votes) from readers other than the submitter. In case of ties:
    • First tiebreaker: Lineup submitted by the reader who has had the fewest number of opportunities as a “manager.”
    • Second tiebreaker: Lineup submitted earliest in the comment thread. (So get your lineup in “early” each day.)
  • What is “early?” Redleg Nation posts these articles daily between 5 and 6 p.m. Eastern time. Strat-O-Matic’s deadline for us to submit a lineup for the next day’s game is midnight. On most days, we’ll do this before “bedtime,” which is typically between 10:30 and 11 Eastern time.

All players’ batting stats

All players’ pitching stats

Batting and pitching player stats by team

Have fun with this! If you have any questions, please post them in the comment string below. Here are the “managerial records” of our Redleg Nation participants to date:

Commenter/
“Manager”
WON LOST PCT
Jon Davis 6 1 .857
Peter Onte 2 1 .667
BK 7 4 .636
Gonzo Reds 2 2 .500
James Owens 2 2 .500
Redsfan4life 2 2 .500
Doug Gray 1 1 .500
RedsEuphoria 1 1 .500
Tomn 1 1 .500
AirborneJayJay 0 1 .000
Don 0 1 .000
Jeff 0 1 .000
Mark Moore 0 1 .000
Tom Mitsoff 0 1 .000
VaRedsFan 0 1 .000
Melvin 0 2 .000

About Strat-O-Matic

Strat-O-Matic has been in the sports simulation business since the 1960s. A USA Today article contained this explanation:

Strat-O-Matic and other baseball simulations use statistics from the previous season to create “cards” for each player on a roster. The team managers select the batting order and the starting pitcher. From there, a series of dice rolls and calculations determines the outcome of each at-bat.

Strat-O, as it’s known to longtime players, first gained its immense popularity as a board game. The company has since expanded to a downloadable Windows version and one that’s played online. A few years ago, it introduced Baseball Daily – a new iteration that combined the player cards from the previous season with statistics from the real season being played at the same time.

Unlike many video games, the Strat-O-Matic results are based on algorithms that account for players’ performance based on statistics that their statistical experts project for each player in the 2020 season. It’s not a game played with a joystick that relies more on the skill of the person with the video game controller in his or her hand.

The simulation software will keep comprehensive statistics for all teams for the season, so we’ll be able to track year-to-date leaders in many statistical categories. Our current plan is to provide statistical leader summaries here at Redleg Nation each Sunday. You can follow the season at Strat-O-Matic.com, where they plan to post the results from each day’s schedule at 2 p.m. Eastern time.

17 Responses

  1. Don

    Tough loss.

    Lucchesi did not have a huge split difference in 2019 but MLB managers had many more right handed hitters (3.3 times) vs him that Lefties in 2019.
    Only player changes are give Senzel (9-hole) a start in CF for Payton and give Casali start vs lefty.
    Rest of lineup are same players which have been playing

    RF Akiyama
    LF Ervin
    2B Moustakas
    3B Suarez
    1B Votto
    SS Galvis
    C Casali
    P Disco
    CF Senzel

    • Tom Mitsoff

      Don and others: Akiyama is injured for the next eight games.

      • Don

        missed that Akiyama to IL bring up Travis Jankowski

        updated lineup

        RF Payton
        LF Ervin
        2B Moustakas
        3B Suarez
        1B Votto
        SS Galvis
        C Casali
        P Disco
        CF Senzel

  2. Melvin

    haha. Strato does not like our hot hitters and doesn’t make it easy on us. Votto is slowly coming around usually getting at least one hit and one walk every game. Galvis continues to be the unsung hero of the Cincy sim season.

  3. RedsEuphoria

    How is Akiyama the one getting hurt consistently? He should be the most durable one. He has played 5 straight years of a full 143-season schedule in Japan, without injuries. I’d like to know where they are getting their formula for injuries, because he sure isn’t the one that should be getting hurt given those statistics.

  4. redfan4life

    Bring up Aquino

    1.Votto 1b He is getting on base. Lead him off even against a LHP as we have limited options right now.
    2. Ervin lf
    3. Suarez 3b
    4. Aquino RF
    5. Galvis ss
    6. Farmer 2b
    7. Casali C
    8.Desclafani p
    9.Senzel CF
    Giving Payton the day off as he has cooled off a bit.

  5. Jon Davis

    Well I guess I shouldn’t have really expected to win every game but yet that is exactly what I was thinking. I am in complete agreement with RedsEuphoria and can’t believe Akiyama is hurt again. This is where we are though so I vote to bring Aquino up in Akiyama’s absence. Also, now that we know we can send Dietrich down if need be, would like to open a vote up for sending down Vanmeter and that we bring up Dietrich.

    My vote:
    1. Aquino up & Akiyama to the DL
    2. Dietrich up & Vanmeter down

    • Melvin

      I like your thinking Sparky.

      Aquino up – Akiyama on the DL (which is now the IL I guess)

      Dietrich up – VanMeter down

  6. Jon Davis

    As far as the lineup goes Dietrich/Vanmeter won’t play a part but if Aquino is the one who gets the callup then I would play him against Lucchesi. So my lineup will reflect my vote and will make adjustments if needed.

    1. Lorenzen – CF
    2. Votto – 1B
    3. Ervin – LF
    4. Galvis – SS
    5. Suarez – 3B
    6. Casali – C
    7. Aquino – RF
    8. Desclafani – P
    9. Senzel – 2B

    • Melvin

      I’m pretty sure Tom did find out that we can send him down if need be and not be stuck. He would just be in danger of being claimed which in the sim season would not be a problem.

    • Melvin

      I like this with Galvis near the top with Lorenzen getting some PT. I vote for this one.

  7. Redsfan14

    I vote to bring Dietrich up and send VanMeter down. What good is having him if we don’t take a chance on using him. At worst we send him down and end up losing him off waivers. Also, bring up Aquino in Akiyama’s absence.

  8. Tom Mitsoff

    Okay, guys:

    1) James Owens had two endorsements, so his lineup is going to Strat-O-Matic for Sunday

    2) Vote was conclusively for Aquino to be recalled to replace Akiyama, as well as for Dietrich to come up and VanMeter to go down

  9. Aaron Bradley

    We lost? It must be rigged! LOL… j/k boys, but let’s get another streak going shall we?