Final 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Brewers 0 3 0 4 0 0 0 3 0 10 14 1
Reds 4 3 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 9 14 1

Pedro Strop surrendered two home runs by Milwaukee Brewers (24-21) batters in the top of the eighth inning, allowing the visiting team to score a 10-9 come-from-behind victory over the Cincinnati Reds (20-24) at Great American Ball Park.

That was the result today as Strat-O-Matic games of Glen Head, N.Y., continued its announced plan to simulate the entire 2020 Major League Baseball season on a day-by-day basis for as long as actual game play is on hold.


Help set the lineup, batting order for the simulated Reds:

Have you ever dreamed of your opportunity to “manage” the Reds? Now is your chance. Learn more below!


Strop came on in the top of the eighth with the sim Reds holding a 9-7 lead. With one out, Luis Urias singled, and Christian Yelich then homered to tie the game at 9-9. With two out, Avisail Garcia hit a pinch-hit homer to give the Brewers what turned out to be the final margin of victory — their seventh straight win.

Cincinnati unloaded early and often against Milwaukee starter Eric Lauer, knocking him out of the game in the third inning after scoring eight times over the first three frames. Tucker Barnhart continued his hot hitting by knocking in three of the eight early runs with a two-run double and an RBI single.

Unfortunately, Luis Castillo could not stand prosperity. He surrendered seven runs over five innings, and three runs were unearned thanks to a critical error he committed. In the fourth inning, Milwaukee scored four, but three of those would not have scored if Castillo had cleanly fielded and recorded an out on a grounder hit back to him by Ryan Braun. Instead, Braun reached on the error, and after what should have been the third out, Keston Hiura stepped up and homered off of Castillo.

While Castillo’s defensive gaffe let his team down, Yelich prevented what could have been a bigger Reds rally in the third inning. Freddy Galvis led off with a single, one of his three hits, and one out later Phillip Ervin doubled. With runners on second and third and one out, Nick Castellanos launched one to deep left field. Yelich made a stellar catch, robbing what could have been an extra-base hit. Instead of two Reds runs in and a runner on second with only one out, Yelich’s grab became a sacrifice fly that scored only Galvis. Ervin was left at second when Eugenio Suarez then lined out against reliever Josh Lindblom.

The NL Central-leading St. Louis Cardinals were off today. Milwaukee’s win over Cincinnati and a Chicago defeat at San Diego left the Brewers and Cubs tied for second, a game and a half behind. The Reds fell to five games off the pace.

Here is the sim Reds box score, as provided by Strat-O-Matic:

A-Subbed Defensively (LF) For Lauer In 3rd Inning
D-Subbed Defensively (1B) For Claudio In 6th Inning
E-Pinch Hit For Black In 8th Inning

B-Pinch Hit For Castillo In 5th Inning
C-Pinch Hit For Lorenzen In 6th Inning
F-Pinch Hit For Strop In 8th Inning

Standings following the May 14 games:

NL Central WON LOST PCT GB
Cardinals 25 19 .568 0.0
Cubs 24 21 .533 1.5
Brewers 24 21 .533 1.5
Reds 20 24 .455 5.0
Pirates 18 24 .429 6.0

The 2020 schedule as currently constituted has the Reds hosting the Milwaukee Brewers at Great American Ball Park Friday for the second game of the four-game series. Sonny Gray will pitch for the sim Reds, while righthander Adrian Houser pitches for Milwaukee.

Help set the lineup, batting order for the simulated Reds:

Have you ever dreamed of your opportunity to “manage” the Reds? Now is your chance.

Strat-O-Matic has agreed to allow Redleg Nation to submit the Cincinnati Reds’ lineups for each day’s simulated game. We want all of our readers who want to participate to get involved.

Here is how it will work:

  • In each wrap up of that day’s simulated game, Redleg Nation will post the opposing starting pitcher for the next game. You will know who the pitcher is and whether he is left-handed or right-handed, and you can use that information in creating a lineup for the next game, and submitting it in the comments below. “Splits” such as performance vs. left-handers or right-handers are replicated in the Strat-O-Matic game algorithm, and therefore should be considered.
  • We will accept lineups from every reader who wants to submit one. The lineup that will be submitted to Strat-O-Matic each day will be the one that receives the most positive replies (in effect, “yes” votes) from readers other than the submitter. In case of ties:
    • First tiebreaker: Lineup submitted by the reader who has had the fewest number of opportunities as a “manager.”
    • Second tiebreaker: Lineup submitted earliest in the comment thread. (So get your lineup in “early” each day.)
  • What is “early?” Redleg Nation posts these articles daily between 5 and 6 p.m. Eastern time. Strat-O-Matic’s deadline for us to submit a lineup for the next day’s game is midnight. On most days, we’ll do this before “bedtime,” which is typically between 10:30 and 11 Eastern time.

All players’ batting stats

All players’ pitching stats

Batting and pitching player stats by team

Have fun with this! If you have any questions, please post them in the comment string below. Here are the “managerial records” of our Redleg Nation participants to date:

Commenter/
“Manager”
WON LOST PCT
Peter Onte 2 1 .667
BK 7 4 .636
Gonzo Reds 2 2 .500
James Owens 2 2 .500
Redsfan4life 2 2 .500
Doug Gray 1 1 .500
RedsEuphoria 1 1 .500
Tomn 1 1 .500
AirborneJayJay 0 1 .000
Don 0 1 .000
Jeff 0 1 .000
Mark Moore 0 1 .000
Tom Mitsoff 0 1 .000
VaRedsFan 0 1 .000
Melvin 0 2 .000

About Strat-O-Matic

Strat-O-Matic has been in the sports simulation business since the 1960s. A USA Today article contained this explanation:

Strat-O-Matic and other baseball simulations use statistics from the previous season to create “cards” for each player on a roster. The team managers select the batting order and the starting pitcher. From there, a series of dice rolls and calculations determines the outcome of each at-bat.

Strat-O, as it’s known to longtime players, first gained its immense popularity as a board game. The company has since expanded to a downloadable Windows version and one that’s played online. A few years ago, it introduced Baseball Daily – a new iteration that combined the player cards from the previous season with statistics from the real season being played at the same time.

Unlike many video games, the Strat-O-Matic results are based on algorithms that account for players’ performance based on statistics that their statistical experts project for each player in the 2020 season. It’s not a game played with a joystick that relies more on the skill of the person with the video game controller in his or her hand.

The simulation software will keep comprehensive statistics for all teams for the season, so we’ll be able to track year-to-date leaders in many statistical categories. Our current plan is to provide statistical leader summaries here at Redleg Nation each Sunday. You can follow the season at Strat-O-Matic.com, where they plan to post the results from each day’s schedule at 2 p.m. Eastern time.

News/Notes from around baseball

One of the things we would have during the season in the game threads was a section comprised of news and notes for the day. While there’s a lot less going on these days in the baseball world than usual for this time of year, there still are some things that are worth highlighting. When there are, we’ll be adding them to these daily simulation threads.

More details on MLB’s Safety Plan

Earlier today we discussed some of the news learned about Wednesday’s meeting between MLB and the MLBPA and some of the safety plans put in place to try and make bringing baseball back as safe as possible. But since that piece was published we’ve had more information come out from that meeting.

Tom Verducci of Sports Illustrated reported earlier this afternoon about the testing of players and staff, which was missing a lot of information from the previous reports. MLB is partnering with The Sports Medicine Research and Testing Laboratory to provide the tests that would be used for players and staff required to play a game (including ballpark workers).

Keefe Cato’s 1.33 ERA in 1979 for the Billings Mustangs

In his ongoing series that looks back at the best season of the decade among position players, starting pitchers, and relievers – it’s the 1970’s for starting pitchers that Doug Gray took a look at this morning, and he concluded that Keefe Cato’s 1.33 ERA for the Billings Mustangs that came with a 12-to-1 strikeout-to-walk ratio was worthy of the best season on the farm among the 1970’s starting pitchers.

Reds Farm System Season of the Decade: Keefe Cato’s 1979

1975 and 1990 Reds represent Cincinnati in MLB’s Dream Bracket

MLB.com and Out of the Park Baseball are teaming up for another Dream Bracket. This time they are using a team, or multiple teams from a franchise in a 64-team tournament. The Cincinnati Reds will be represented by the 1975 and 1990 versions in this one. In the first round the 1975 Reds are matched up with the 2007 Colorado Rockies. The 1990 Reds get a tough match up as they take on the 1994 Montreal Expos.

14 Responses

  1. Redsfan4life

    Payton CF
    Ervin of
    Suarez 3b
    Moustakas 2b
    Castellanos rF
    Votto 1b
    Galvis so
    Barnhart c
    Gray p

  2. Melvin

    Tough loss today guys. We almost pulled it out. Our pitching is struggling a little right now. The good new is our hitting is really picking up. Even though we lost today we have some momentum going and need to keep it going. When it comes to making out lineups I know match ups are important. What’s more important to me than that though is how a hitter is seeing the ball. Sometimes the ball looks like a beach ball other times it looks like a golf ball. The guys that are seeing beach balls, they are the ones that need to be in the lineup and near the top if possible. Fortunately we have several guys like that or are getting close. I will make some comments about a particular player before submitting my proposed lineup. We can no longer keep Galvis at the bottom of the order. He had three more hits today and scored two more runs. He’s now batting .292 and he’s tied for first in hits, he’s first in runs scored, and third in RBI. Tell me that you think guys. It’s fun to have a little discussion without real baseball.

    Payton CF ( .333 BA – .400 OBP)
    Ervin RF ( .324 BA – .412 OBP)
    Galvis SS ( see above)
    Castellanos RF ( Coming on like a train)
    Barnhart C ( 3 hits today, 3 RBI. BA .284. Third time in last few days with 3 hits)
    Moustakas 2B ( Several multi hit games recently. Starting to look like himself)
    Suarez 3B (Cooled down but still very valuable)
    Votto 1B ( Starting to get going but not there yet)
    Gray P

    Let’s keep the hitting going, get the pitching back on track, and keep winning consistently. 🙂

  3. Don

    Scoring 9 runs and leaving 12 on base is a hard way to loose.

    Houser has sim ERA of 5.5 and a 1-5 record. Won last outing giving up 3 runs in 6 innings.
    2019 splits are LH are +60 point average and +8 OPS and +120 SLG.
    His strike out rate is 1 in 4 against both righties and lefties.
    He walks LHB at a rate 2X of RHB.
    Ideal batters a lefties with a high OBP which takes walks and sit righties whom strike out a lot.
    Ideal players would be Akiyama and Winker vs Houser but have to play whom is available.

    Without any more left handed outfielders there 8 players in the lineups posted so far are the only real option, the batting order is the only difference and options to do.

    Need to have a great game by Gray

  4. Mark Moore

    Half of me is totally miffed that we blew a lead. Half of me is not surprised because it was Yellich and that’s what the man does. Half of me is hopeful that the strato-sim-redlegs can turn a corner based on the last few games. Half of me is concerned we won’t see any MLB this season.

    I’d say that’s enough halves of me … and I’m still way too invested in this stuff. But all of me is happy Tom is doing it right along with us.

    • Melvin

      haha I know what you mean. Just make sure your cup stays half full instead of half empty buddy. Definitely appreciative for Tom doing this for us all. I’ve never met him but it’s easy to tell he’s a good guy. Maybe we can all get together some time and talk him in to submitting a lineup every now and then at least once every 1/4 of a season. 🙂

  5. Jon Davis

    At this point I’m just wishing we had more control over the pitching side of things. Although I don’t think there is really anything that we could or should do. Of the guys with an ERA at or above 4.50, Stephenson, Garrett, Castillo, Lorenzen, Miley & Mahle, all but the last 2 are stick with thems. So I guess we just have to just keep at it, and to that end here are my thoughts on the lineup. This was the easiest lineup to put together so far, at least with regards to who should play. Payton and Ervin are obvious and with Castellanos coming around that sets the OF. Galvis and Barnhart are hot so they are in, Moustakas and Votto are starting to come around so they are in. That just leaves Suarez who has cooled off and Houser does have a hefty traditional split but he is Suarez and has 2 HRs in 7 ABs vs Houser so he is in. So the only question is what order do they go in? Here is what I am going with

    1. Payton – CF
    2. Ervin – LF
    3. Castellanos – RF
    4. Galvis – SS
    5. Barnhart – C
    6. Moustakas – 2B
    7. Suarez – 3B
    8. Votto – 1B
    9. Gray – P

    • BK

      This was a really tough choice for me tonight after being summarily dismissed for putting together a lineup that produced 14 baserunners in the first 3 innings. But as my mother always told me, “welcome to the real world … life isn’t fair!”

      But in all fairness, @Melvin and @Jon Davis have been pillars of strength during our last 3 game win streak. I have a lot of confidence that both can manage a victory, tomorrow. They’ve both posted great lineups. It’s not fair that I have to pick either one. Logic for the lineups is excellent and strikingly similar.

      But I’m going to vote for Jon as he hasn’t had a chance to manage, yet–it’s the fair thing to do. But whoever gets the nod from GM Tom, know, I’ll be dialed in on simMLB TV cheering you on.

      • Melvin

        Yeah. Don’t feel bad. Nothing you could do and definitely not your fault. At least you have several wins. I’m 0-2 with what I thought were two really good lineups. I’m not sure but I think I lost by a total of 3 or 4 runs combined for the two games with the second game in extra innings only scoring 2 runs with 13 hits. LOl Just “the way the ball bounces”.

      • Gonzo Reds

        Yeah, I hear ya. Both of my two losses we had a big lead and a meltdown by the bullpen, one of those 5 in the 9th doomed me. You just can’t control that. Not like we can send down our top SP or RP just because this game seems to ignore their real life stats! Bowman btw who we brought up seems to have pitched well so far I’ve noticed. Mahle is the only one we can and should leave in the minors in favor of someone else.

  6. Jeff

    CF Payton
    SS Galvis
    RF Castellanos
    LF Ervin
    C Barnhart
    2B Moustakas
    3B Suarez
    1B Votto
    P Gray

  7. Tom Mitsoff

    Both Melvin and Jon Davis had one endorsement each for their respective lineup submissions. The tiebreaker after that is who has had fewer chances as a commenter/manager, and that is Jon. Best of luck, Jon, and get us back on the winning track!

    Thank you to those of you who had kind words to say above. I’m glad everyone is enjoying this. I had a hunch that maybe we would get some Reds fans who, like me, are desperate for Reds baseball and would enjoy this.

    Several years ago, I entered a Strat-O-Matic online league in which you drafted players and then submitted lineups each day like we as a group are doing. Like this current sim league, they would use a computer to simulate the games and post the daily results on their website at a specific time. Whenever I could, I always logged on to check the results as early as possible. It certainly isn’t as good as the real thing, but it’s fun while we’re waiting.

    • BK

      Tom, you deserve all our gratitude for providing us this fun distraction during a trying time. I’d be remiss if I didn’t thank you as well for ALL you do at RLN. Everything you produce here is always well worth the read. Thanks Tom!