Final 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Reds 0 0 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 3 9 1
Rockies 0 0 3 2 1 0 0 0 X 6 15 0

Lack of offensive punch continued to plague the Cincinnati Reds (16-21), who fell to the Colorado Rockies (15-21) by a 6-3 score at Coors Field.

That was the result today as Strat-O-Matic games of Glen Head, N.Y., continued its announced plan to simulate the entire 2020 Major League Baseball season on a day-by-day basis for as long as actual game play is on hold.


Help set the lineup, batting order for the simulated Reds:

Have you ever dreamed of your opportunity to “manage” the Reds? Now is your chance. Learn more below!


The sim Reds scored first in the top of the third on a single by Kyle Farmer, a successful sacrifice bunt by losing pitcher Anthony DeSclafani, and a run-scoring hit by Shogo Akiyama. But the Rockies unloaded on “Disco” in the bottom of the inning with three consecutive doubles and an RBI single by David Dahl to take a 3-1 lead. Colorado extended the lead to 6-1 before the Reds next crossed the plate.

In the top of the sixth, the first three Reds sim batters singled, and Nick Castellanos followed with a sacrifice fly to pull the Reds within three. But Freddy Galvis grounded into a double play to end the inning and the scoring for Cincinnati.

Matt Bowman, recalled from the minors recently by Redleg Nation readers, pitched his third consecutive scoreless relief outing since joining the sim Reds.

The Reds and Brewers were the only NL Central teams in action today, and both lost. The Reds are now 6.5 games behind first-place Chicago, and only one-half game ahead of last-place Pittsburgh.

Here is the sim Reds box score, as provided by Strat-O-Matic:

A-Pinch Hit For Desclafani In 5th Inning
B-Pinch Hit For Sims In 7th Inning

C-Pinch Hit For Davis In 8th Inning

Standings following the May 7 games:

NL Central WON LOST PCT GB
Cubs 23 15 .605 0.0
Cardinals 20 18 .526 3.0
Brewers 17 21 .447 6.0
Reds 16 21 .432 6.5
Pirates 15 21 .417 7.0

The 2020 schedule as currently constituted has the Reds playing game 2 of the four-game series at Coors Field Friday against the Colorado Rockies. Wade Miley will pitch for the sim Reds, while right-hander Antonio Senzatela pitches for Colorado.

Help set the lineup, batting order for the simulated Reds:

Have you ever dreamed of your opportunity to “manage” the Reds? Now is your chance.

Strat-O-Matic has agreed to allow Redleg Nation to submit the Cincinnati Reds’ lineups for each day’s simulated game. We want all of our readers who want to participate to get involved.

Here is how it will work:

  • In each wrap up of that day’s simulated game, Redleg Nation will post the opposing starting pitcher for the next game. You will know who the pitcher is and whether he is left-handed or right-handed, and you can use that information in creating a lineup for the next game, and submitting it in the comments below. “Splits” such as performance vs. left-handers or right-handers are replicated in the Strat-O-Matic game algorithm, and therefore should be considered.
  • We will accept lineups from every reader who wants to submit one. The lineup that will be submitted to Strat-O-Matic each day will be the one that receives the most positive replies (in effect, “yes” votes) from readers other than the submitter. In case of ties:
    • First tiebreaker: Lineup submitted by the reader who has had the fewest number of opportunities as a “manager.”
    • Second tiebreaker: Lineup submitted earliest in the comment thread. (So get your lineup in “early” each day.)
  • What is “early?” Redleg Nation posts these articles daily between 5 and 6 p.m. Eastern time. Strat-O-Matic’s deadline for us to submit a lineup for the next day’s game is midnight. On most days, we’ll do this before “bedtime,” which is typically between 10:30 and 11 Eastern time.

All players’ batting stats

All players’ pitching stats

Batting and pitching player stats by team

Have fun with this! If you have any questions, please post them in the comment string below. Here are the “managerial records” of our Redleg Nation participants to date:

Commenter/
“Manager”
WON LOST PCT
Gonzo Reds 2 1 .667
Peter Onte 2 1 .667
BK 4 3 .571
Redsfan4life 2 2 .500
Doug Gray 1 1 .500
James Owens 1 1 .500
RedsEuphoria 1 1 .500
Tomn 1 1 .500
AirborneJayJay 0 1 .000
Don 0 1 .000
Jeff 0 1 .000
Mark Moore 0 1 .000
Tom Mitsoff 0 1 .000
VaRedsFan 0 1 .000
Melvin 0 2 .000

About Strat-O-Matic

Strat-O-Matic has been in the sports simulation business since the 1960s. A USA Today article contained this explanation:

Strat-O-Matic and other baseball simulations use statistics from the previous season to create “cards” for each player on a roster. The team managers select the batting order and the starting pitcher. From there, a series of dice rolls and calculations determines the outcome of each at-bat.

Strat-O, as it’s known to longtime players, first gained its immense popularity as a board game. The company has since expanded to a downloadable Windows version and one that’s played online. A few years ago, it introduced Baseball Daily – a new iteration that combined the player cards from the previous season with statistics from the real season being played at the same time.

Unlike many video games, the Strat-O-Matic results are based on algorithms that account for players’ performance based on statistics that their statistical experts project for each player in the 2020 season. It’s not a game played with a joystick that relies more on the skill of the person with the video game controller in his or her hand.

The simulation software will keep comprehensive statistics for all teams for the season, so we’ll be able to track year-to-date leaders in many statistical categories. Our current plan is to provide statistical leader summaries here at Redleg Nation each Sunday. You can follow the season at Strat-O-Matic.com, where they plan to post the results from each day’s schedule at 2 p.m. Eastern time.

News/Notes from around baseball

One of the things we would have during the season in the game threads was a section comprised of news and notes for the day. While there’s a lot less going on these days in the baseball world than usual for this time of year, there still are some things that are worth highlighting. When there are, we’ll be adding them to these daily simulation threads.

NL Teams stand to lose out with a DH in 2020

Craig Edwards of Fangraphs looked at how having a DH for 2020 tends to harm National League teams. The Cincinnati Reds, however, weren’t one of those teams. As we’ve discussed before, the Reds seem to be a team that would benefit the most from the situation. Edwards used Jesse Winker as the Reds DH in the model and article, and with that option, it makes the Reds the second most beneficial team in the National League.

MLB teams expected to try and cut player payroll

Buster Olney had a tweet this afternoon noting that at least one MLB ownership group, which was unnamed, has instructed the front office to cut payroll for 2021. This isn’t entirely surprising given that revenues will be down for all teams in 2020, and probably 2021, too. We may take a bit of a deeper dive into this one in the near future.

MLB to send a formal plan to the MLBPA to get the season started

Earlier today we discussed that Major League Baseball seems set to send formal plans to the Major League Baseball Players Association within the next week about a plan to try and get baseball started back up again. There are a lot of things that still need to happen before that plan could be finalized, and some unknowns that could potentially derail it, too. But MLB is moving forward with what they know and can control and will see what the Players Association has to say about it soon enough.

MLB will soon send a formal offer to get the season started

23 Responses

  1. James Owens

    CF Akiyama
    LF Winker
    RF Castellanos
    3B Suarez
    1B Votto
    2B Moustakas
    C Barnhart
    SS Galvis

    • Don

      Let everyone down, 8 hits (no walks) but only 3 runs vs the Rookie starter so could not get the timely hit, had opportunities.

      Go with James Lineup

  2. AirborneJayJay

    1. Winker – RF
    2. Votto – 1B
    3. Akiyama – CF
    4. Castellanos – LF
    5. Moustakas – 2B
    6. Suarez – 3B
    7. Senzel – SS
    8. Barnhart- C
    9. P

  3. Aaron B.

    Wow, talk about an exercise in futility. Yes Stratomatic I am sure is being totally legit in it’s simulation with the entire lineup posting career lows with the exception of Freddy Galvis and the new guy from Japan. Totally legit.

    • Doug Gray

      What purpose would it serve to cheat a team here? I’m confused as to the reasoning it would happen they way you are presenting it.

      • Aaron B.

        I have no idea if it is cheating or if we are just as unlucky as virtual baseball fans as we are as real baseball fans. But if you are asking me to concoct a scenario where or why cheating is occurring… I guess I would have to say some programmer hates the Reds (or loves the Cubs / Cardinals) and sabotaged the data somehow. Or if not the data just the code… something along the lines of if team == REDS and name != GalvisF then hitting = hitting – .50. I mean it would be bad for business but you are talking about one of the smallest markets out there and maybe the bosses are unaware of it. Unfortunately there are cheaters in this world (see Astros, Houston for a real example) and there are some people that would cheat at checkers if they could.

        Or we are just the unluckiest fans in the world, where a would-be golden season was destroyed by a freak virus and then we endure a simulation where everyone on the team has career lows in hitting despite having a home ball park that is the friendliest to hitters.

        But seriously… who envisions Suarez coming off a 49 home run campaign struggling like this? They probably didn’t even factor in his injury so how does it make sense? Just the roll of the dice? And everyone else on the team too (except the one guy that catches the most flak Freddy Galvis). I think even Occam’s razor would say someone is screwing with us.

      • Doug Gray

        It’s literally a game where you roll the dice to get the outcome. So yeah, it’s just a roll of the dice. There’s no reason to believe someone is messing things up on purpose. Heck, maybe a part of the problem is that WE are screwing up the game by having sub-optimal lineups every day. That’s far more believable than some person deciding to cheat the Reds in a simulation.

      • Tom Mitsoff

        Any intentional cheating of any kind could only hurt Strat-O-Matic if word got out that it was happening. They would never take the risk. Users of the game are nationwide, not just focused on one or a handful of MLB teams.

  4. Melvin

    Out pitching hasn’t been that bad with a 3.88 ERA but our offense is only scoring about 3.7 runs per game. Five games under and fourth place 6.5 back. I think we have to cater more to Strat-O-Matic rather than our own logic. Stacking our lineup against right and left handed pitching hasn’t worked. Even in simulation it’s all about winning and getting a hot. With that in mind here’s my lineup.

    Akiyama CF (Has to play every day)
    Winker 1B (Hitting well and needs to play)
    Ervin RF (Same as Winker)
    Suarez 3B (Not much BA but leads in HR, RBI, And BB)
    Galvis SS (2nd in hits and 3rd in RBI)
    Castellanos LF (3rd in hits and with two yesterday may be starting to warm up)
    VanMeter 2B (Hitting pretty good and needs to play)
    Casali C (Hitting .271 and needs regular playing time to see what he can do)
    Miley P

    It’s been my observation that the program often subs in our “regulars” who aren’t starting fairly early in the game so it’s not like they’re not getting playing time anyway.
    So what do you think guys?

    • Mark Moore

      Do it this way. It can’t hurt.

    • BK

      The one area where I disagree is playing Winker at 1B. When he played there a few days ago, no balls were hit to him, so it worked out. However, he has no starts at 1B in his professional career. Chances he makes an error are high.

      I started Castellanos at 1B earlier this week. He’s 500+ big league starts at 3B, but none at 1B. One would think, playing 1B would be in the realm of possible for him, but he committed an error on the only ball hit to him.

      My take-away, we should never play anyone at a position where they have no MLB experience.

      • Aaron B.

        Oh yea any simulation will penalize for out of position… doesn’t matter if the guy in real life played the position everyday in the minors or in college or whatever, or is a tremendous athlete, it’s just a simple line of code that penalize him for being out of position.

      • Melvin

        I thought he had played there once or twice when Votto was out at least as a sub but I can’t find when. The program makes it hard to get who we want in the lineup doesn’t it?

  5. Jon Davis

    I am not completely sure who the backup SS is But Galvis could use a day off, bonus he is 1 for 9 vs Senzatela. I am guessing it is Kyle Farmer, which works since he is 2 for 4 in previous ABs against
    Senzatela. I really want to see Senzel get more playing time, but at this point Akiyama is a must start and you didn’t pay Castellanos to be a part time player. Winker or Senzel hmmm gotta go with Winker here. Do I try to move pieces around like Suarez to SS and Moustakas to 3B to get Senzel in place of Farmer? No that feels like more risk than reward. Ok then here is my lineup

    CF – Akiyama
    3B – Suarez
    2B – Moustakas
    RF – Castellanos
    LF – Winker
    1B – Votto
    SS – Farmer
    C – Barnhart
    P – Miley

    • Gonzo Reds

      We did determine that Farmer, 1 game played, is our only other SS on the roster. I’m ok with the hitting/fielding roster as it is (Aquino in minors for now). Is there anyone that could play SS now in the minors that could be called up at some point, especially if the game hits us with an injury?

      • Melvin

        Well I was thinking about that. I would never move Suarez to short in real games but this is different. At the beginning of the sim season we were thinking that everything was based on a players performance in 2019 but since found out that it’s based on projections for 2020. Although Suarez hasn’t played there recently he does have playing experience there and shouldn’t give us the worst defensive rating possible. It still probably wouldn’t be great but at least would give us more options in moving people around in order to get the right bats in the lineup. The more we’re not being put “in a box” with more flexibility the better. It’s a challenge with the Strat-O-Matic format that we have to adjust to and overcome. Under these circumstances the “Great Eight” might never have happened as I’m not sure Rose ever played 3rd base before ’75. LOL

      • Gonzo Reds

        Looking at the spring training stats before the shutdown… Blandino was hitting .458 and is listed as a SS but not sure he’d qualify there off previous stats being used in the simulation even though he is on the 40 man roster and will likely be the backup in 2020. Alfredo Rodriguez was hitting .364 and is our SS of the future but he’s not on the 40 man roster and was slated to be in the minors this year. With expanded rosters it would likely make sense to have him up whenever we get going though since I don’t see much if any minor league baseball being played this year, just doesn’t do us any good for the simulation.

      • Gonzo Reds

        p.s. Should mention Jose Garcia as a SS of the future as well. He hit 4 HRs in spring training although those likely against the late inning scrub pitchers. The position’s future is bright, just not for this year.

      • Melvin

        Yes Garcia was the best in Spring Training and had several starts. He was the most impressive and biggest surprise for sure. Like you said the future is bright but that will not help us in simulation. That’s why my previous comment above.

  6. Jeff

    Akiyama CF
    Votto 1B
    Winker RF
    Suarez 3B
    Ervin LF
    VanMeter 2B
    Barnhart C
    Miley P
    Galvis SS

    • BK

      I like the inclusion of Ervin…time to give him more playing time.

  7. Tom Mitsoff

    James had two endorsements, so we’re sending his lineup to Strat-O-Matic!