Eugenio Suarez leads the sim Cincinnati Reds (13-16) in two key statistical categories: home runs and errors. Both occurred in today’s game, and the error proved very costly as the Atlanta Braves (17-15) capitalized on it to score four unearned runs in the ninth inning on their way to an 8-6 win.
That was the result today as Strat-O-Matic games of Glen Head, N.Y., continued its announced plan to simulate the entire 2020 Major League Baseball season on a day-by-day basis for as long as actual game play is on hold.
Help set the lineup, batting order for the simulated Reds:
Have you ever dreamed of your opportunity to “manage” the Reds? Now is your chance. Learn more below!
Despite the disappointing ending, the game started great for the home team. Luis Castillo put down the Braves in order in the top of the first, and the sim Reds jumped on Braves starter Max Fried for four in the bottom of the inning. The runs scored on two-run homers by Suarez (his ninth) and Aristides Aquino (his first).
The Reds scored one in the fifth, but it could have been more. Suarez and Phillip Ervin walked to start the inning, and then Nick Castellanos doubled to send Suarez home and Ervin to third. Aquino hit a fly ball that looked like it might score Ervin from third, but alas, Ervin was thrown out at the plate trying to score. So what looked it was going to be a 6-2 lead with a runner on second and one out was erased.
Then, the fateful ninth inning, with Raisel Iglesias on in hopes of closing things out. The first batter he faced, Nick Markakis, hit a grounder to third that Suarez booted for his seventh error in the young sim season. Ronald Acuna followed with a single, and then a wild pitch advanced both runners. Adeiny Hechavarria, who came in earlier to play second after an injury to Ozzie Albies, then singled to score both runners and tie the game at 5.
Later in the inning with now two out and the bases loaded thanks to an additional single and walk, Iglesias again uncorked a wild pitch to score the go-ahead run and move the other two runners to second and third. Ender Inciarte then lined a base hit which Phillip Ervin errored, allowing both runners to score easily, before commenter-manager Gonzo Reds came and took the ball from Iglesias.
Shogo Akiyama hit a solo home run in the bottom of the ninth, but it was not enough.
The Cubs and Cardinals both won their games, thereby creating more room between them and the rest of the pack in the NL Central. The Reds and Brewers, tied for third, are now six and a half games behind the first-place Cubs, and 2.5 games behind St. Louis.
Here is the sim Reds box score, as provided by Strat-O-Matic:
A-Subbed Defensively (2B) For Albies In 3rd Inning
C-Pinch Hit For Dayton In 7th Inning
E-Pinch Hit For Jackson In 9th Inning
B-Pinch Hit For Castillo In 6th Inning
D-Subbed Defensively (1B) For Stephenson In 8th Inning
F-Subbed Defensively (1B) For Iglesias In 9th Inning
G-Pinch Hit For Senzel In 9th Inning
H-Pinch Hit For Ervin In 9th Inning
Standings following the April 28 games:
The 2020 schedule as currently constituted has the Reds wrapping up their homestand Wednesday by hosting the Atlanta Braves for the rubber game of the three-game series. Sonny Gray will pitch for the sim Reds, while righthander Mike Foltynewicz will pitch for the visitors.
Help set the lineup, batting order for the simulated Reds:
Have you ever dreamed of your opportunity to “manage” the Reds? Now is your chance.
Strat-O-Matic has agreed to allow Redleg Nation to submit the Cincinnati Reds’ lineups for each day’s simulated game. We want all of our readers who want to participate to get involved.
Here is how it will work:
- In each wrap up of that day’s simulated game, Redleg Nation will post the opposing starting pitcher for the next game. You will know who the pitcher is and whether he is left-handed or right-handed, and you can use that information in creating a lineup for the next game, and submitting it in the comments below. “Splits” such as performance vs. left-handers or right-handers are replicated in the Strat-O-Matic game algorithm, and therefore should be considered.
- We will accept lineups from every reader who wants to submit one. The lineup that will be submitted to Strat-O-Matic each day will be the one that receives the most positive replies (in effect, “yes” votes) from readers other than the submitter. In case of ties:
- First tiebreaker: Lineup submitted by the reader who has had the fewest number of opportunities as a “manager.”
- Second tiebreaker: Lineup submitted earliest in the comment thread. (So get your lineup in “early” each day.)
- What is “early?” Redleg Nation posts these articles daily between 5 and 6 p.m. Eastern time. Strat-O-Matic’s deadline for us to submit a lineup for the next day’s game is midnight. On most days, we’ll do this before “bedtime,” which is typically between 10:30 and 11 Eastern time.
Have fun with this! If you have any questions, please post them in the comment string below. Here are the “managerial records” of our Redleg Nation participants to date:
Strat-O-Matic has been in the sports simulation business since the 1960s. A USA Today article contained this explanation:
Strat-O-Matic and other baseball simulations use statistics from the previous season to create “cards” for each player on a roster. The team managers select the batting order and the starting pitcher. From there, a series of dice rolls and calculations determines the outcome of each at-bat.
Strat-O, as it’s known to longtime players, first gained its immense popularity as a board game. The company has since expanded to a downloadable Windows version and one that’s played online. A few years ago, it introduced Baseball Daily – a new iteration that combined the player cards from the previous season with statistics from the real season being played at the same time.
Unlike many video games, the Strat-O-Matic results are based on algorithms that account for players’ performance based on statistics that their statistical experts project for each player in the 2020 season. It’s not a game played with a joystick that relies more on the skill of the person with the video game controller in his or her hand.
The simulation software will keep comprehensive statistics for all teams for the season, so we’ll be able to track year-to-date leaders in many statistical categories. Our current plan is to provide statistical leader summaries here at Redleg Nation each Sunday. You can follow the season at Strat-O-Matic.com, where they plan to post the results from each day’s schedule at 2 p.m. Eastern time.
News/Notes from around baseball
One of the things we would have during the season in the game threads was a section comprised of news and notes for the day. While there’s a lot less going on these days in the baseball world than usual for this time of year, there still are some things that are worth highlighting. When there are, we’ll be adding them to these daily simulation threads.
Ticket Refunds for 2020 games coming soon?
Bill Shaikin of the Los Angeles Times is reporting that Major League Baseball reversed their policy that was restricting refunds on games that have already been “postponed”. The previous policy was that fans must hold onto those tickets and await for the re-scheduled game. At this point no one is yet offering refunds, but it sounds like this change in policy clears the way to allow them to happen. So if you had tickets and are looking to get some of your money back, that may be an option for you very soon – so keep your eyes peeled.
What it means to say “there will be a season this year”
NBC Hardball Talk’s Craig Calcaterra wrote a bit this afternoon about the “news” from yesterday from Jeff Passan of ESPN and Ken Rosenthal of The Athletic’s reports about MLB’s confidence in having a baseball season this year and what it meant. He poses the question:
But what does that even mean?
I ask that because both of those reports say, right up front (and in the middle, and at the end), that baseball has no idea how it will play the season. None at all. Zero set plans. Zero tangible framework for a plan, even.
It’s an interesting point he’s making. Even if we don’t necessarily like it.
I am sticking with slumping players who has a track record of being a good hitter.
you have my vote
I like this lineup too.
Hello, all commenter-managers! 🙂 I got a note this morning from Strat-O-Matic that because the sim Reds play 17 days straight after Thursday’s off day, we will need to recall an eighth reliever and option a position player. I asked who can we choose from for both a recall and a send-down, and they said, the players on the current 40-man roster.
The players they say are eligible for us to recall as the eighth reliever are:
* Matt Bowman
* Ryan Hendrix
* Joel Kuhnel
* Tyler Mahle
* Justin Shafer
* Josh D. Smith
Position players who they say have options remaining are:
* Aristides Aquino
* Kyle Farmer
* Nick Senzel
* Josh VanMeter
* Jesse Winker
I am asking for all of your votes on both which pitcher will be recalled and which position player will be sent down. Please post your choices as replies immediately below this comment post. I will likely send our group’s choices to Strat-O-Matic on Thursday evening, along with our lineup for Friday. Thanks!
Call up Hendrix – I want to see what his card would look like.
Send down Farmer – They don’t need a 3rd catcher.
Farmer is the only one who can backup SS, he has to stay up.
I agree Bowman and Aquino. Bowman was good for the most part when he got a chance. HRs just not a big part of this simulation and that’s all Aquino offers plus no position flexibility.
I agree Bowman up, Aquino to AAA
I don’t really have a preference who is brought up. I guess I’ll go with Hendrix to give Doug a shot. I agree with BK in as crazy as it sounds, Senzel should be the one going down. If he could play short in this simulation I might think otherwise. He has over four times more AB (74) than Aquino (18) with only one more RBI and one more BB to show for it. His average is not much better either.
I’m with Doug on Hendrix, but think I’d send Aquino down.
And what does Strat-O-Matic have against Castillo?
Agree with this
A few thoughts of discussion on Aquino. I think we’ll all agree that in the month of August last year he was at the top of his game doing unbelievable record breaking things. I also think that most would assume that in September he was close if not at the bottom of his game. However, in that month, he still had 5 HR, 14 RBI, and 5 SB. Of course projecting that out in a six month season, even at his “bottom level”, he would have 30 HR, 84 RBI, and 30 SB. Not bad for a guys worst.
Like this one because it doesn’t have Aqi leading off. In this format he’s our best player, wasted leading off. He needs to be in the heart of the order to give us a shot. He homered yesterday and we scored 6. D and Iggy let my lineup down.
for anyone whom is following the francise bracket at mlb.com the Reds beat the Cards 4 games to 3 with George Foster hitting the go ahead HR in the top of the 12th of Game 7.
Myers, Chapman, Dibble and Franco had 6 shutout innings of relief with 11 Ks out of the 18 outs.
Reds vs Dodgers to reach the finals on Friday
Here’s a lineup for tomorrow if anyone likes it. I’m a firm believer in having a very good hitter and OBP guy leading off for several reasons not the least of which he gets more at AB than anyone else (which is why it was so insane having Billy Hamilton bat leadoff most of the time for several years).
We had four lineups that each received one endorsement. Congrats to all for your good ideas. Our rules state that in a tie situation like this, the person who has had the least opportunities to be a commenter-manager is the one selected, so congrats, AirborneJayJay,
Regarding the players to be recalled and sent down, I will check the thread on this page for a final tally on all of your votes before I submit those transactions to Strat-O-Matic on Thursday evening.
Take on the Braves with this lineup. Let’s take 2 out of 3.
I vote Bowman up and Aquino down to AAA.