Final 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Giants 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 0 0 3 7 0
Reds 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 9 1

Faced with yet another chance to reach the .500 mark, the Simcinnati Reds again failed to convert the opportunity.

The San Francisco Giants (7-12) came up with a 3-2 win over the Cincinnati Reds (8-10), as the home team lost the rubber game of a three-game series for the fourth straight time in the young season.

That was the result today as Strat-O-Matic games of Glen Head, N.Y., continued its announced plan to simulate the entire 2020 Major League Baseball season on a day-by-day basis for as long as actual game play is on hold.


Help set the lineup, batting order for the simulated Reds:

Have you ever dreamed of your opportunity to “manage” the Reds? Now is your chance. Learn more below!


Cincinnati struck early against Giants lefthander Drew Smyly, with single runs in innings two and three. RBI hits by Freddy Galvis and Phillip Ervin got the job done. However, Ervin was caught attempting to steal second base after that hit, which proved costly because Kyle Farmer followed immediately with a double.

Reds starter Wade Miley held the Giants down for the first four innings, but thereafter the visitors came back and took the lead they would not relinquish. Darin Ruf struck for a solo home run in the fifth, and Hunter Pence and Donovan Solano delivered RBI hits in the sixth, knocking out Miley.

The Reds had two late chances to at least tie, but they came up short. Shogo Akiyama doubled with two out in the seventh, and advanced to third on a passed ball, but Nick Senzel struck out to end that inning. In the bottom of the ninth, Galvis reached on a two-out hit, but Giants reliever Tony Watson struck out pinch-hitter Michael Lorenzen to end it.

The loss dropped the Reds back into the NL Central cellar by themselves, 4.5 games behind the first-place Cubs. Milwaukee defeated the Phillies to climb back over the Reds into fourth place.

Here is the box score, as provided by Strat-O-Matic:

A-Pinch Hit For Smyly In 7th Inning
C-Pinch Hit For Ruf In 8th Inning
D-Subbed Defensively (LF) For Coonrod In 8th Inning
F-Subbed Defensively (2B) For Cahill In 9th Inning

B-Pinch Hit For Stephenson In 7th Inning
E-Pinch Hit For Farmer In 9th Inning
G-Pinch Hit For Sims In 9th Inning

Standings following the April 16 games:

NL Central WON LOST PCT GB
Cubs 13 6 .684 0
Cardinals 10 9 .526 3
Pirates 9 10 .474 4
Brewers 9 10 .474 4
Reds 8 10 .444 4.5

The Reds finished the nine-game homestand with a record of 5-4. The 2020 schedule as currently constituted has the Reds moving on the road for the first game of a three-game series at Yankee Stadium on Friday. Luis Castillo will pitch for the Reds, and righthander Gerrit Cole will pitch for New York.

Help set the lineup, batting order for the simulated Reds:

Have you ever dreamed of your opportunity to “manage” the Reds? Now is your chance.

Strat-O-Matic has agreed to allow Redleg Nation to submit the Cincinnati Reds’ lineups for each day’s simulated game. We want all of our readers who want to participate to get involved.

Here is how it will work:

  • In each wrap up of that day’s simulated game, Redleg Nation will post the opposing starting pitcher for the next game. You will know who the pitcher is and whether he is left-handed or right-handed, and you can use that information in creating a lineup for the next game, and submitting it in the comments below. “Splits” such as performance vs. left-handers or right-handers are replicated in the Strat-O-Matic game algorithm, and therefore should be considered.
  • We will accept lineups from every reader who wants to submit one. The lineup that will be submitted to Strat-O-Matic each day will be the one that receives the most positive replies (in effect, “yes” votes) from readers other than the submitter. In case of ties:
    • First tiebreaker: Lineup submitted by the reader who has had the fewest number of opportunities as a “manager.”
    • Second tiebreaker: Lineup submitted earliest in the comment thread. (So get your lineup in “early” each day.)
  • What is “early?” Redleg Nation posts these articles daily between 5 and 6 p.m. Eastern time. Strat-O-Matic’s deadline for us to submit a lineup for the next day’s game is midnight. On most days, we’ll do this before “bedtime,” which is typically between 10:30 and 11 Eastern time.

If you are planning to submit a lineup for Friday, remember that because the game is an interleague game in an American League park, the Reds will have the DH in their lineup.

Have fun with this! If you have any questions, please post them in the comment string below. Here are the “managerial records” of our Redleg Nation participants to date:

Commenter/
“Manager”
WON LOST PCT
Peter Onte 2 1 .667
BK 1 1 .500
Doug Gray 1 1 .500
Redfan4life 1 1 .500
Tomn 1 1 .500
Mark Moore 0 1 .000
VaRedsFan 0 1 .000
Tom Mitsoff 0 1 .000

About Strat-O-Matic

Strat-O-Matic has been in the sports simulation business since the 1960s. A USA Today article contained this explanation:

Strat-O-Matic and other baseball simulations use statistics from the previous season to create “cards” for each player on a roster. The team managers select the batting order and the starting pitcher. From there, a series of dice rolls and calculations determines the outcome of each at-bat.

Strat-O, as it’s known to longtime players, first gained its immense popularity as a board game. The company has since expanded to a downloadable Windows version and one that’s played online. A few years ago, it introduced Baseball Daily – a new iteration that combined the player cards from the previous season with statistics from the real season being played at the same time.

Unlike many video games, the Strat-O-Matic results are based on algorithms that account for players’ actual past performance. It’s not a game played with a joystick that relies more on the skill of the person with the video game controller in his or her hand.

The simulation software will keep comprehensive statistics for all teams for the season, so we’ll be able to track year-to-date leaders in many statistical categories. Our current plan is to provide statistical leader summaries here at Redleg Nation each Sunday. You can follow the season at Strat-O-Matic.com, where they plan to post the results from each day’s schedule at 2 p.m. Eastern time.

News/Notes from around baseball

One of the things we would have during the season in the game threads was a section comprised of news and notes for the day. While there’s a lot less going on these days in the baseball world than usual for this time of year, there still are some things that are worth highlighting. When there are, we’ll be adding them to these daily simulation threads.

Updates on getting baseball in 2020

Over at The Athletic Aaron Portzline spoke with several expert in the field of infectious disease about what they would need to see before sporting events could allow spectators. It sounds like it’s going to be quite a while before we do get to that point in this whole situation. Many governors around the country are also saying the same thing – events like sports and concerts with fans in attendance are going to be among the last things that we see as we begin to walk back on some of the restrictions we’ve all be taking.

Ken Rosenthal and Evan Drellich of The Athletic also had a story this afternoon about Major League Baseball potentially asking players to take less pay. That would be strange given that both Major League Baseball and the Major League Baseball Players Association already agreed to a pay structure a three weeks ago with regards to how the season would play out with regards to pay, service time, and benefits for 2020. Apparently there’s some debate, though, as to whether or not that agreement included what would happen if there were no fans allowed in the stands.

How the rich teams may get richer from TV money

Craig Edwards looked at the TV revenue around Major League Baseball at Fangraphs earlier today. The exact details of every team’s deal isn’t known, and in the specific case of the Cincinnati Reds very little is known. One thing he dialed in on is how teams that have ownership stakes in their regional sports networks could really come out ahead over the teams that don’t.

For argument’s sake, let’s say there’s $150 million left at the end of the year for NESN; the Red Sox get $120 million of that amount on top of their rights’ fees and they don’t have to include that amount in revenue sharing. For teams like the Red Sox, Yankees, Mets, Mariners, and Orioles, this is a potentially significant amount of money. These revenues and profits are also in line with Sinclair’s statement that they expect $40 million to $50 million from the Cubs and Marquee (an expectation that assumed carriage by Comcast, which they don’t currently have). The Dodgers have the potential to reap money from their ownership share, though carriage issues have likely prevented an extra revenue stream. Even the teams with smaller ownership stakes can still receive some rewards, with the Nationals yearly dividend in the $5 million to $10 million range.

12 teams own zero percent of their regional sports network. The Cincinnati Reds do own part of Fox Sports Ohio – but how much is unknown. It’s mentioned by Edwards that the Nationals yearly dividend is $5-10M. They own 21% of their RSN. This ownership stake many of these teams have been taking over the last decade is a way to have the team benefit from TV contracts without having to claim it’s “baseball revenue”, and thus another way they can claim they are “breaking even” or “not making as much as you think”.

Devin Mesoraco’s 2010 season gets the nod

Over at RedsMinorLeagues.com Doug Gray looked back at the Reds farm system’s offensive season of the last decade. It was Devin Mesoraco’s 2010 season that got the nod over several other big years. Mesoraco hit 26 home runs across three levels that season while playing for Lynchburg, Carolina, and Louisville.

Reds farm system season of the decade: Devin Mesoraco’s 2010

33 Responses

  1. TBD

    So who’s up next on the manager-go-round?

    • Tom Mitsoff

      It’s open to anyone, based on the guidelines outlined above.

  2. Peter Onte

    I’m suggesting a return to the lineup that scored 14 runs a week ago:

    Akiyama – LF
    Senzel – CF
    Castellanos – RF
    Suarez – 3B
    Moustakas – 2B
    Votto – 1B
    Barnhart- C
    Galvis – SS
    Castillo – P

    • Peter Onte

      amended with DH….

      Akiyama – LF
      Senzel – CF
      Castellanos – RF
      Suarez – 3B
      Moustakas – 2B
      Votto – 1B
      Winker- DH
      Barnhart- C
      Galvis – SS

  3. Redsfan4life

    Akiyama Lf
    Votto 1b
    Suarez 3b
    Moose 2B
    Castellanos Rf
    Winker DH
    Senzel Cf
    Galvis SS
    Barnhart C

  4. Don

    Other than Senzel, load up on left handed bats vs Cole see if they can hit over short right field wall in Yankee stadium.

    Akiyama – LF
    Senzel – CF
    Votto – 1B
    Moustakas – 2B
    Winker – RF
    VanMeter – 3B
    Barnhart- C
    Galvis – SS
    Castillo – P

    • Don

      Forgot about DH in
      Akiyama – LF
      Senzel – CF
      Votto – 1B
      Moustakas – 2B
      Castellanos – DH
      Winker – RF
      VanMeter – 3B
      Barnhart- C
      Galvis – SS

  5. Melvin

    I’ll give it another shot at being a first time manager. Haven’t got a chance yet. Just need some endorsements. LOL

    Akiyama CF
    Votto 1B
    Saurez 3B
    Aquino RF
    Moustakas 2B
    Castellanos LF
    Galvis SS
    Barnhart C
    Castillo P

    • Melvin

      Thanks for the tip about the DH. Amended lineup.

      Akiyama CF
      Votto 1B
      Suarez 3B
      Aquino RF
      Moustakas 2B
      Castellanos LF
      Winker DH
      Galvis SS
      Barnhart C

      • Mark Moore

        I’m in with this. You can’t do worse than guys like me who went Oh-For in our attempt.

      • Mark Moore

        But put Senzel in CF and Shogo in RF given Aquino isn’t on the roster.

      • Melvin

        Thanks for your endorsement. I appreciate it. I did just check on reds.com and Aquino is on the 40 man and active roster so I’ll just go ahead and leave him on there unless Tom says that’s not an option. Thanks for your input though.

      • Peter Onte

        I would vote for this lineup if Votto was not slotted in the #2 hole….sorry, his 2019 numbers (which is what stratomatic is basing all the results on) just don’t warrant being in the top half of the lineup. As with every other batter, his “card” is entirely based only on 2019, not on his career numbers, etc.

      • Melvin

        Hey. Thanks for your input. This is good discussion. I just checked the stats from last year to make sure I’m not mistaken. Among the regulars last year Votto was second in OBP (.357) to Suarez (.358). I think we’ve all been spoiled by an OBP of over .400 for Votto. However .357 is still pretty good by most standards and in my opinion what you want at the top of a lineup especially with the big bats we have now after him.

      • RedsEuphoria

        I like this lineup, and I think it would be cool to have someone new take the reins. So I will vote for this lineup.

    • BK

      Votto also had a much better slugging percentage against RHP last year. I think Melvin has him in a good spot. Since we are playing with last year’s baseball stat, we need Aquino in the lineup. His OPS+ of 122 was second behind Suarez (OPS+ 134) and just ahead of Castellanos (OPS+ 121).

  6. Tom Mitsoff

    Just a reminder to everyone — the game is being played in an American League park, so the DH is permitted for the Reds to use. Might not want to go against Cole without one. 😉

  7. redfan4life

    Melvin, I maybe wrong but I don’t think Aquino is on the active roster. Tom would know for sure.

      • Tom Mitsoff

        Based on my knowledge of Strat-O-Matic, Aquino would have to be accounted for in the game since he played one-third of last season. He has not appeared yet in a game, however. None of our managers have started him, and the computer has not brought him in as a pinch-hitter. I will write to Strat-O-Matic now and see if they will let us know for sure.

      • Tom Mitsoff

        They are checking for me right now.

  8. Gonzo Reds

    Cole starting so need guys that don’t strikeout (not Aquino) and can put the ball in play plus take advantage of the short right field porch in Yankee stadium (think Ken Griffey Jr). This is a really tough spot to use my first lineup and win, probably at best 25% chance regardless of lineup:

    Aki – CF (Jap stats working keep using at least against RHP)
    VanMeter – 2B (fast and makes contact good #2 – I’m a fan)
    Moustakas – DH (everyone here knows I hate the DH rule but using it here)
    Suarez – 3B (he’s our cleanup hitter – I will not submit a lineup this year otherwise)
    Votto – 1B (breaking up L/R middle of lineup to neutralize great Yankees pen)
    Castellanos – LF (paying him and Moose too much not to be in lineup)
    Winker – RF (good OBP)
    Barnhart – C (off season MVP for his charity work plus a great cook!)
    Galvis – SS (#9 with or without DH)

    Let’s bury Steinbrenner in style with a sweep!

  9. RedsEuphoria

    I want to experiment a little. This seems like a fun lineup, if it works. Let’s load the lineup with a bunch of good hitters since we’re facing a great pitcher (Gerrit Cole). Strikeout-prone or not, I’d rather have a bunch of strong hitters, and guys that can go yard here.

    CF Akiyama
    LF Winker
    3B Suarez
    RF Castellanos
    DH Aquino
    2B Moustakas
    1B Votto
    SS Senzel
    C Casali

  10. Tom Mitsoff

    I heard back from Strat-O-Matic. Aquino is in the Strat-O-Matic game, but he was optioned to Triple A because of roster limitations. They said their assumption was that Aquino would not make the team with the additions of Akiyama and Castellanos. I told them that if we submit a lineup with Aquino, that means we will be calling him up and sending Tyler Mahle down to Triple A.

    I’ll check back here in about 30 to 45 minutes and then send the lineup that best meets our criteria listed above.

    • Melvin

      Cool. Thanks for your work in checking on that. Correct me if I’m wrong but the way I understand that is that my lineup is okay then and I’ll leave it the way it is.

  11. Tom Mitsoff

    Thanks, everyone, for all of the participation. Melvin had the most endorsements tonight, so his lineup is being sent to Strat-O-Matic, and we’ll see the first of Aquino all season in Friday’s game.

  12. RedNat

    I liked sean hannity’s idea tonight. Start baseball at the stadiums. Fans over 60 or those with underlying medical issues have to stay home.
    You have to get your temperature taken at the gate. You have to wear masks and gloves. Limited concessions. Maybe limit the gate to 25k to allow social distancing as best as possible

    • vegastypo

      I thought a big part of the unknown is that people might not have symptoms (such as a fever?) but could still be spreading the virus. Purely anecdotal, of course, but I recall NBA announcer Doris Burke saying she was diagnosed with it several weeks ago and never had a fever or most of the typical symptoms. Mostly extreme fatigue.

      Thousands of people in one venue sounds risky to me.

    • PTBNL

      Hearing a crowd of 25,000 masked fans would be a surreal kinda sound.

  13. Redsfan4life

    This guy will stay home. I will not go to a baseball game wearing a mask.
    I wear one of those things for hours now at work.