Final 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Phillies 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 6 9 3
Reds 7 1 0 0 0 0 2 4 X 14 16 0

The simulated Cincinnati Reds offense awoke from its season-long slumber Thursday.

A seven-run first inning explosion made the rest of the game a relative cakewalk, as the Reds (5-7) toppled the Philadelphia Phillies (5-8) by a score of 14-6 in the opener of a four-game series at Great American Ball Park.

That was the result today as Strat-O-Matic games of Glen Head, N.Y., continued its announced plan to simulate the entire 2020 Major League Baseball season on a day-by-day basis for as long as actual game play is on hold.


Help set the lineup, batting order for the simulated Reds:

Have you ever dreamed of your opportunity to “manage” the Reds? Now is your chance. Learn more below!


Seven of the first eight Cincinnati batters in the first inning reached base safely in an apparently brilliant bit of lineup creation by Redleg Nation sim Reds manager of the day Peter Onte. Shogo Akiyama led off with a double, then Nick Senzel, Nick Castellanos and Eugenio Suarez each followed with singles off Phillies starter Vince Velasquez. Mike Moustakas then cleared the bases with his third homer of the young season.

After singles by Tucker Barnhart (the first of his three hits) and Freddy Galvis, and a sacrifice bunt by winning pitcher Trevor Bauer, Akiyama hit a slow roller to second baseman Nick Walker which went as an infield hit — his second hit of the first inning. When Walker mishandled the grounder and it squirted away from him, that allowed Galvis to score as well on the error.

The Phillies closed to within 10-6 after scoring four in the top of the eighth off Tyler Mahle, but the Reds sealed things in the bottom of the same inning with two-run homers by Suarez and Galvis.

Moustakas was hit by a pitch in the seventh inning and was removed for pinch-runner Josh VanMeter, but his injury will not force him to miss any additional game action.

Bauer went six innings, allowing only four hits and a walk while striking out six. Mahle’s ugly outing was the only blemish on the bullpen’s performance on this day.

The Reds’ stand three and a half games behind the first-place Cubs in the NL Central, and are tied with the Brewers in the division basement.

Here is the box score, as provided by Strat-O-Matic:

A-Pinch Hit For Arano In 5th Inning
C-Pinch Hit For Liriano In 7th Inning
F-Pinch Hit For Guerra In 8th Inning

B-Pinch Hit For Bauer In 6th Inning
D-Pinch Ran For Moustakas In 7th Inning
E-Pinch Hit For Stephenson In 7th Inning

Standings following the April 9 games:

NL Central WON LOST PCT GB
Cubs 9 4 .692 0
Cardinals 8 5 .615 2
Pirates 7 6 .538 2
Brewers 5 7 .417 3.5
Reds 5 7 .417 3.5

The 2020 schedule as currently constituted has the Reds and Phillies playing game two of the four-game series Friday. Anthony DeSclafani pitches for the home team, and righthander Aaron Nola goes for the Phillies.

Help set the lineup, batting order for the simulated Reds:

Have you ever dreamed of your opportunity to “manage” the Reds? Now is your chance.

Strat-O-Matic has agreed to allow Redleg Nation to submit the Cincinnati Reds’ lineups for each day’s simulated game. We want all of our readers who want to participate to get involved.

Here is how it will work:

  • In each wrap up of that day’s simulated game, Redleg Nation will post the opposing starting pitcher for the next game. You will know who the pitcher is and whether he is left-handed or right-handed, and you can use that information in creating a lineup for the next game, and submitting it in the comments below. “Splits” such as performance vs. left-handers or right-handers are replicated in the Strat-O-Matic game algorithm, and therefore should be considered.
  • We will accept lineups from every reader who wants to submit one. The lineup that will be submitted to Strat-O-Matic each day will be the one that receives the most positive replies (in effect, “yes” votes) from readers other than the submitter. In case of ties:
    • First tiebreaker: Lineup submitted by the reader who has had the fewest number of opportunities as a “manager.”
    • Second tiebreaker: Lineup submitted earliest in the comment thread. (So get your lineup in “early” each day.)
  • What is “early?” Redleg Nation posts these articles daily between 5 and 6 p.m. Eastern time. Strat-O-Matic’s deadline for us to submit a lineup for the next day’s game is midnight. On most days, we’ll do this before “bedtime,” which is typically between 10:30 and 11 Eastern time.

Have fun with this! If you have any questions, please post them in the comment string below. Here are the “managerial records” of our Redleg Nation participants to date:

Commenter/
“Manager”
WON LOST PCT
Peter Onte 1 0 1.000
Doug Gray 1 1 .500
Tomn 1 1 .500
Mark Moore 0 1 .000
VaRedsFan 0 1 .000
Tom Mitsoff 0 1 .000

About Strat-O-Matic

Strat-O-Matic has been in the sports simulation business since the 1960s. A USA Today article contained this explanation:

Strat-O-Matic and other baseball simulations use statistics from the previous season to create “cards” for each player on a roster. The team managers select the batting order and the starting pitcher. From there, a series of dice rolls and calculations determines the outcome of each at-bat.

Strat-O, as it’s known to longtime players, first gained its immense popularity as a board game. The company has since expanded to a downloadable Windows version and one that’s played online. A few years ago, it introduced Baseball Daily – a new iteration that combined the player cards from the previous season with statistics from the real season being played at the same time.

Unlike many video games, the Strat-O-Matic results are based on algorithms that account for players’ actual past performance. It’s not a game played with a joystick that relies more on the skill of the person with the video game controller in his or her hand.

The simulation software will keep comprehensive statistics for all teams for the season, so we’ll be able to track year-to-date leaders in many statistical categories. Our current plan is to provide statistical leader summaries here at Redleg Nation each Sunday. You can follow the season at Strat-O-Matic.com, where they plan to post the results from each day’s schedule at 2 p.m. Eastern time.

News/Notes from around baseball

One of the things we would have during the season in the game threads was a section comprised of news and notes for the day. While there’s a lot less going on these days in the baseball world than usual for this time of year, there still are some things that are worth highlighting. When there are, we’ll be adding them to these daily simulation threads.

Today was supposed to be the start of the minor league baseball season. Over at RedsMinorLeagues.com Doug Gray looked at three players who won’t be starting play today that could (and still may) have seen 2020 be quite important ones for them.

What should have been: Reds Minor League Opening Day

Craig Edwards of Fangraphs wrote about what is happening in South Korea right now with their professional baseball league, how they are hoping to open their season in early May, and what the country has done that could lead to that happening. He also notes how, at least right now, following that model in the US seems a bit further down the road – but that there is a bit of a road map to seeing it happen.

Despite the tough times many of us seem to be going through with regards to our current, or perhaps concerns over our future income – that may not be the case for everyone. Tom VanHaareen of ESPN reported yesterday that a game used bat of Lou Gehrig sold for $1,025,000 last week. [Editor’s Note from Doug] I wonder what I could get for my cracked, but autographed Jose Guillen bat these days? Maybe the non-autographed Homer Bailey cracked bat I’ve got could get half of that cool million?

35 Responses

  1. Tom Mitsoff

    In yesterday’s thread, some readers expressed that they would like to see any commenter/manager whose lineup results in a win be allowed to continue to submit the daily lineup as long as the team is on a winning streak. Please reply to this comment to let us know, yes or no, whether you would like us to begin that practice.

    • Melvin

      I think that makes a lot of sense. I like it. It could make it more fun. We like to see “wins”. Even in fantasy land. haha Anything positive and encouraging these days is good. lol

    • IndyRedsFan

      I think it would be fun to try this. (winning Mgr keeps on managing) Go for it.

    • JayTheRed

      The fact I also voted for this same lineup means Yes I would like to see that happen from now on.

      One suggested rule – If that manager loses a single game it should not count against him. Everyone loses some games. Only if the person loses three in a row should they have to give up the lineup duties.

    • TBD

      Sounds great !
      be given the option to continue as long as the team performs for them.

  2. RedsEuphoria

    CF Shogo Akiyama
    1B Joey Votto
    LF Nicholas Castellanos
    3B Eugenio Suarez
    2B Mike Moustakas
    RF Nick Senzel
    SS Freddy Galvis
    C Tucker Barnhart
    P Wade Miley?

    • RedsEuphoria

      And I’m fine with continuing with the winning manager continuing to submit the winning lineup, but could foresee an issue if you are unable to reach a particular manager on the day they are supposed to submit a lineup.

      • Tom Mitsoff

        If that were to happen, we’d just revert to the current selection method.

      • JayTheRed

        Simple the lineup stays exactly the same unless that is the 3rd loss in a row. Then a new manager gets to take the helm.

      • VaRedsFan

        No Jay….Because the handed of the pitcher matters

  3. Tomn

    I’ll give it a go. I think Akiyama – Senzel could be an awfully interesting top of the order combo. Ooops, against all expert guidance, Senzel is being mistakenly put at the SS position. Makes me love the 1-7 spots in our order though.

    Ah! Experimentation!

    LF Shogo Akiyama
    SS Senzel
    3B Suarez
    1B Votto
    2B Mike Moustakas
    LF Castellano
    RF Winker
    C Barnhart
    P

    • Don

      I am for this order for the batting order but different infield positions.
      Senzel 2B
      Suarez SS
      Mouse 3B

      • Tomn

        Works for me! Not sure how Eugenio would feel about it!

  4. Hunt4RedsOctober

    Is there not a way to register? I’ve tried logging in with my old user, email address, etc. but it doesn’t work. There is no place to register, either.

    • Doug Gray

      No. We no longer have registered users unless they write for the site. It makes things run a little smoother/quicker.

  5. Hunt4RedsOctober

    Akiyama 8
    Votto 3
    Moustakas 4
    Suarez 5
    Castellano 7
    Winker 9
    Galvis 6
    Barnhart 2
    DeSclafani 1

    • Mark Moore

      This one gets my vote if our winning manager doesn’t submit.

  6. Tomn

    Per having the previous day’s winning mgr continue to be selected, I’m fine with that. Maybe in the unlikely event that that manager wins 10 in a row, we should lobby to have that person replace David Bell .

    • JayTheRed

      I like this idea too. but lets make it 12 in a row just to give benefit of the doubt.

  7. Redsfan4life

    As I said Yesterday I am fine with letting the winning manager to continue making the lineups.
    Another option would be to let each person on this site that would want to do lineups. Make a schedule and let everyone be manager for a weeks worth of games. Mon-Sun.

  8. Tom Mitsoff

    It looks like the readers have spoken — they would like winning “managers” to be able to keep control of the reins until they lose. So if Peter Onte submits a lineup before tonight’s cutoff of around 10:30 to 11 p.m. Eastern time, we’ll submit it. If not, we’ll go by the guidelines we have been using.

    • Melvin

      I hope he does submit one and keeps on winning. That would be cool for all of us. If not here’s my lineup should you decide to accept it.

      Akiyama RF
      Votto 1B
      Suarez 3B
      Moustakas 2B
      Castellanos LF
      Galvis SS
      Senzel CF
      Barnhart C
      DeSciafani P

  9. Peter Onte

    Hey, the boys did great yesterday, so let’s stick with what’s winning:

    Akiyama LF
    Senzel CF
    Castellanos RF
    Suarez 3B
    Moustakas 2B [just a bruise, he’s good to go!]
    Votto 1B
    Galvis SS
    Barnhart C
    DeSclafani P

    • Tom Mitsoff

      Okay, Peter, we are submitting your lineup again. Live long and prosper!

    • RedsEuphoria

      Let’s go!

      Definitely like your decision to put Castellanos in the three hole as opposed to Moustakas, and I honestly think that’s the best spot to put him in. With Castellanos in the 3 hole, I think it’s more ideal for getting the bases cluttered for Suarez and Moustakas to hit the bombs. The problem with Moustakas in the three hole is while he’s a great home run hitter, he isn’t exactly the best at getting on base, and so there may be wasted opportunities for Suarez/Castellanos in those instances.

      So I think it’s best to go in order of batting average, like you have: Castellanos –> Suarez –> Moustakas, and definitely think that is the best order for all lineups at the middle.