On Wednesday night in Los Angeles, Raisel Iglesias racked up his seventh loss of the year to go along with two blown saves. Despite still being a well above average pitcher, this year feels like Iglesias has been more vulnerable and cost the Reds more wins. What is really going on with the Reds reliever?
In full disclosure, I have been a proponent of the Reds trading Iglesias for about the past three years. Not because I do not like him, but simply because he has value that I thought the Reds could have taken advantage of. With the Reds being closer to fielding a competitive team than in years prior and Iglesias down to 2+ years left on his contract, I am not sure how I should feel anymore.
For that reason, I have provided facts, statistics and graphs to let you, the reader, decide how you feel. Is Iglesias still the best option in the Reds bullpen? Should he be replaced as the closer? Should Dick Williams and Nick Krall ship him off to a playoff contender (let’s be real, the Reds are not one) as soon as they get an opportunity? Only you can decide. Have fun!
- Raisel Iglesias is 29 years old. He is under contract through the 2021-2022 season and will earn just over $9MM per year.
- Based on current contracts in place, he will be the 16th highest paid relief pitcher in baseball next season. (FYI, the Cubs have $51MM tied up in just three relievers for 2020)
- In 2019, his ERA is 3.86 in 32.3 IP. For his career, he has a 3.05 ERA in 354.1 IP.
- In 2019, his FIP/xFIP is 3.92/4.02. For his career, they are 3.50/3.53.
- In 2019, he has accumulated 0.5 WAR and -0.94 WPA (win probability added). For his career, he has accumulated 6.0 WAR and 5.65 WPA.
- His -5.58 -WPA (his cumulative negative WPA) for 2019 ranks 3rd worst among MLB relievers.
- Since 2015, his 5.65 WPA ranks 25th best among all MLB relievers.
- Since 2015, his 3.50 FIP ranks 59th out of 271 MLB relievers while his xFIP ranks 58th.
- Since 2015, his ERA- is 73, FIP- is 84, and xFIP- is 86.
- In 2019, his ERA- is 86, FIP- is 88, and xFIP- is 92.
Splits, Strikeouts and Walks
- Since 2015, his FIP vs LHH is 4.50 compared to 2.71 vs RHH
- In 2019, his FIP vs LHH is 7.29 compared to 1.78 vs RHH
- Since 2015, his K/9 is 23% above league average, his BB/9 is 5% above average and his K/BB is 29% above average.
- In 2019, his K/9 is 33% above average, his BB/9 is 24% below average, and his K/BB is 8% above average.
Batted Ball Profile
- Since 2015, his HR/9 is 8% above average. In 2019, it is 4% below average.
- Since 2015, his GB% is 9% below average and his FB% is 3% above average.
- In 2019, his GB% is 40% below average and his FB% is 20% above average.
- Since 2015, his barrel % allowed is 5.5%, his average exit velocity allowed is 86.4 mph and his hard hit % allowed his 29.4%
- In 2019, his barrel % allowed is 8.2%, his average exit velocity allowed is 89.1 mph and his hard hit % allowed his 34.1%.
- In 2019, league average barrel % is 6.3%, exit velocity is 87.4 mph and hard hit % is 34.3%.
- Since 2015, his xSLG against is 0.359, his xwOBA against is 0.290 and his xwOBACON against is 0.361
- In 2019, his xSLG against is 0.392, his xwOBA against is 0.310 and his xwOBACON against is 0.418
- In 2019, league average xSLG is 0.409, xwOBA is 0.318 and his xwOBACON against is 0.370
Below are graphs showing his change in pitch usage and the xwOBA for each pitch over time.