The Cincinnati Reds (23-28) will try for another series win in 2019 against the Chicago Cubs (30-20) at Wrigley Field this afternoon. First pitch is at 2:20 ET.

Starting Pitchers

Tanner Roark 51.1 3.51 3.16 4.61 22.30% 10.30%
Jose Quintana 57.1 3.30 3.73 3.66 22.60% 7.50%

Tanner Roark has quietly been someone the Reds can rely on as a middle of the rotation pitcher that can eat innings. In eight of his ten starts this season, he’s gone five innings or more. This is not out of the ordinary for Roark as he has pitched more than 180 innings in each of the past three seasons. What is out of the ordinary is that his Hard% sits at 39.2%. That’s up from 28.7% in 2018 and 27.8% in 2017. Roark is known for avoiding hard contact, so it’s interesting that it’s so high.

Roark’s BB% is also higher than in previous years. He’s walked 23 batters already this season and has issued a walk in every appearance. However, it hasn’t come back to haunt him too much yet. That’s probably because he’s been excellent at working around runners on base. Roark’s only allowed two home runs all season, even though his FB% is at 36.3%. One might wonder if that’s due to pitching away from GABP, but Roark has actually made six starts at GABP, compared to four on the road. Hopefully the wind will be blowing in at Wrigley today.

Kris Bryant will be the one to watch against Roark, as he is 7-for-14 with a double and a home run off him.

Aside from one start against the Brewers, Jose Quintana has been a solid part of the Cubs rotation this season. His ERA, FIP and xFIP are all below 4.00, making him a better than average pitcher through the first two months of the season. With a 50.6 GB% in 2019 and a career 44.4 GB%, Quintana is very much a ground ball pitcher. However, the last couple of years, and in particular this season, his HR/FB% has increased steadily. In 2016 with the Chicago White Sox, it was at 9.5%. It jumped to 13.2% in 2017 and this season sits at 15.2%. Quintana doesn’t give up a lot of fly balls–his career FB% is 34% (in 2019, it’s only 28.0%)–but when he does, those fly balls will go over the fence.

Quintana faced the Reds last week as well and gave up three runs on six hits in five innings. Joey Votto has had the most success against him, going 8-for-17 with four doubles. Eugenio Suarez and Jose Peraza each have a home run off him.


Wandy Peralta has pitched both games this series, so he’s probably not available today. Michael Lorenzen pitched two innings Saturday. The Reds had to use a good number of pitchers out of the bullpen on Friday, but aside from Peralta, no one who pitched Friday also pitched Saturday.

After using five relief pitchers Friday, the Cubs used only three relievers on Saturday, and Joe Maddon used none of them two days in a row.  Both bullpens appear to be almost at full strength going into the third game of the series.


Cincinnati Reds

  1. Nick Senzel – CF
  2. Joey Votto – 1B
  3. Eugenio Suarez – 3B
  4. Yasiel Puig – RF
  5. Jose Iglesias – SS
  6. Jesse Winker – LF
  7. Jose Peraza – 2B
  8. Curt Casali – C
  9. Tanner Roark – P

Chicago Cubs

  1. Kyle Schwarber – LF
  2. Kris Bryant – RF
  3. Anthony Rizzo – 1B
  4. Javier Baez – SS
  5. Willson Contreras – C
  6. Jason Heyward – CF
  7. David Bote – 3B
  8. Daniel Descalso – 2B
  9. Jose Quintana – P

News and Notes

-All signs point to Lucas Sims starting on Tuesday night at GABP.

-Joey Votto doesn’t care about bad takes on his offense. He’s 7-for-18 in his last four games and currently owns a four-game hitting streak. He’s also batting 9-for-22 against the Cubs in 2019.

-Reds prospect Ibandel Isabel is at it again.

-This team has fun. It may be frustrating to watch them lose games they should be winning right now, but the Reds are still fun to watch. How many times have you been able to say that the last couple of years?

Highlight of the Day

-And speaking of fun, José Iglesias makes some of the smoothest defensive plays I’ve ever seen.

30 Responses

  1. Roger Garrett

    Winker should play every day.Just pretend he was Billy and is Peraza and give him 4 or 5 years(just kidding) to prove he can’t do it.Winker has 550 at bats in the big leagues,has always hit,is coming off of shoulder surgery and isn’t doing any worse stat wise then anybody else not named Suarez and is 25 years old.Yes he had a lousy day yesterday and he will have more lousy days but give him 600 at bats this year and lets see what happens.

    • Indy Red Man

      That was Iggy on the dp. Wink does need to start hitting lefties though? He’s better then this?

  2. Indy Red Man

    2 is nice, but you have to get more there? Bases loaded & nobody out. Really Puig’s ball was a hit off the bat and they looked to be playing him towards right-center. Hayward had to come a long way? If Votto/Suarez read it off the bat then JV scores and Suarez makes 3rd. I know they’re both slugs, but Hayward to come a long long way? Cost them a run because its then a 3 run inning on the double play

    • Slicc50

      You are right…..our base running could be ALOT better than it it

  3. Slicc50

    I like how Joey adjusted that ab. Looked not so good on first 2 pitches, got a curveball up and just put it into right field. He’s swinging much better now

  4. Slicc50

    Tanner Roark throwing pretty good for the Reds right now. So far a very nice pick up!

  5. Slicc50

    Gotta play add on here guys! Suarez gets the job done…..that guy is a pretty good baseball player!

  6. Indy Red Man

    Peraza! When he’s not hitting he makes up for it in othe…..never mind. I think Senzel just bailed him out? Replay might be interesting?

  7. Indy Red Man

    Roark is sneaky good sometimes! I thought he was just a Arroyo junkballer, but he’s hit 94 today with some run on it. Good curveball and working both sides of the plate! He’ll be 33 in October…..2 year deal maybe?

  8. Hanawi

    Man. Double plays absolutely killing them the last two days. Roark having another solid outing. Need to get this one. Series win against the division leaders on the road would be huge.

  9. The_Next_Janish

    No chance to watch the last few games but hopefully Votto has found his proverbial “wallet”

  10. Indy Red Man

    Farmer is a better hitter & fielder then Peraza. Big shocker to the Reds brass evidently

  11. Chris

    Love that we’re starting to slowly turn things around. I will HATE it if we “Red” this game and lose it.

  12. Indy Red Man

    Oops! Big win today!! LA beat the Pirates to death this weekend….maybe they’ll be worn out? I know they’re starting their #1 prospect in one of the games tomorrow

    • Indy Red Man

      Its a W as far as I’m concerned. If its not then I can just wait til football.

  13. Chris Holbert

    Great game for the Reds through 6. I am a little surprised a guy who pitched 2 innings yesterday is the first one out of the bullpen. I would think everyone else would be ahead of Lorenzen for today’s game…..Where is Robert Stephenson….especially if the Cubs rally at all…..bite my tongue….

    • Hanawi

      Agree. Would rather have seen Lorenzen for an extra inning yesterday than to come back today. Not sure what the thinking is with Stephenson. He seems to be the long man/garbage time reliever?

  14. TR

    It’s obvious Lorenzen doesn’t have it today. Keep this up in the 6th. inning and the Cubs will make this a tight ballgame.

  15. Hanawi

    I’d be fine if Votto turned into Tony Gwynn for the next five years. Still think he was trying too hard to bring some of the power back early this season and it affected his hitting overall.

  16. Indy Red Man

    Bryant has played alot of RF. They’ve never really found regular OFers besides Heyward. I know Zobrist played OF too, but didn’t they slide Baez over to 3B with Russell/BZ up the middle. That put KB in RF as well.

  17. Indy Red Man

    39 hits in the series for the Reds. We weren’t getting 39 hits in a week in April

  18. Hanawi

    Interesting. Both guys that pitched yesterday going again today. Maybe saving a couple of guys to go longer tomorrow during the DH if needed?

  19. Roger Garrett

    Hughes gets it done and gets us to the ninth.He and Lorenzen cover 3 innings and give up a couple of cookies but up 7-0 its ok.Need outs so here it is and the Cubs can hit.Good bounce back by Hughes and as it always is who knows what may happen when a reliever comes in.This series shows what this team could become if they hit.The Cubs three starters in this series are better then average major league pitchers so 3 more outs and a series win is well good.

  20. Hanawi

    Great series win for the Reds. Hopefully, they can get some momentum going and string a few wins together. Looks like they should have the pitching advantage in Pittsburgh.

  21. Indy Red Man

    Pirates have dropped 5 of 6. Cervelli is their leader imo and he’s on the DL. The Reds need 3 of 4!!! Then its the Nats for 3 and they’ve got the worst bullpen in the NL (or maybe MLB?). They need to go 2-1 there. That would put them on the doorstep of .500!

  22. Hanawi

    Looks like Stephenson can only throw his slider for strikes.

    • Reddawg12

      We might be seeing why Stephenson only pitches in mop up time.

  23. Don

    Great day for team win and series win. 6 & 5 in last 11 vs the 3 best teams in national league.

    Team starting to hit and not swing for fences every time which is good to see.

    Need a great start for #1 pitcher in game 1 on Monday to set up next 3 games against pirates. 3 and 1 gets a tie for forth in division. Go REDS.