Despite last night’s home run barrage by the Dodgers, the Cincinnati Reds pitching staff still ranks second in the majors in the least round-trippers allowed this season. Only the Tampa Bay Rays (37) have allowed fewer four-baggers than the 41 surrendered by Reds pitching this season in 45 games.

It’s just another indicator of just how much improved the Reds pitching is in 2019. Last season, Cincinnati pitchers allowed 228 gopher balls, or 1.4 per game. This season’s home-runs-allowed-per-game rate so far is 0.9.

AND …

The Reds pitching staff has the highest combined WAR (Wins Above Replacement, 3.8) of any pitching staff in the majors. Second place in team pitching WAR is the Rays at 3.4. On the other hand, in team WAR among non-pitchers, the Reds are 22nd at -2.6. More than any other statistic, this demonstrates how important the pitching staff has been in the Reds’ 20 wins this season.

It will be again today, as the Reds face a tough young righthander who is rounding into form in game two of a three-game series against LA at Great American Ball Park. Game time is 4:10 p.m. Eastern time.

Starting Pitchers

Name IP ERA xFIP K% BB%
Walker Buehler 43.1 4.15 3.95 22.8% 5.9%
Tyler Mahle 45.1 3.97 3.01 26.8% 4.9%

Righthander Buehler, born in Crestview Hills, Ky., got off to a very slow start this season, but in his past few starts he has shown signs of the fantastic form he displayed in 2018. In five starts since April 11, he has not allowed more than three runs in any of them. Mahle has arguably been the number two starter, in terms of effectiveness, on the Reds staff this season. The trend to date is that he gets no run support from his teammates. He’ll need to keep the Dodger bats quiet for the Reds to have a shot today.

Bullpen

Zach Duke pitched two innings Friday night, making his availability for any more than perhaps a LOOGY situation questionable. The other seven bullpen occupants should be available at Manager David Bell’s beck and call.

Starting Lineups

Dodgers Reds
LF Joc Pederson CF Nick Senzel
3B Max Muncy 1B Joey Votto
RF Cody Bellinger 3B Eugenio Suarez
SS Corey Seager LF Jesse Winker
CF Alex Verdugo RF Yasiel Puig
1B Matt Beaty 2B Derek Dietrich
2B Chris Taylor SS Jose Iglesias
C Austin Barnes P Tyler Mahle
P Walker Buehler C Tucker Barnhart

Additional insights into the statistical history of the players in today’s game are available all season long at BaseballSavant.com.

News and Notes

Another one-appearance-and-gone stay with the Reds for Cody Reed …

Ervin is hitting .228/.333/.315/.649 at Louisville.

This eye-catching video gives some indication of the length of time that Luis Castillo’s changeup and fastball look the same coming out of his hand … and also how little time batters have to react …

More on Castillo …

Scooter Gennett update …

7 Responses

  1. Indy Red Man

    The Reds have had this pattern for many years now. They can gear up for the elite heaters and can’t hit the guys throwing 91?

    Gerrit Cole (throws 97-99 like Buehler)

    2015 0-3 5.95 era
    2016 0-2 6.10 era
    2017 1-2 4.13 era

  2. Indy Red Man

    Encouraging outing for Mahle! His curve had some actually bite to it today.

    Joey 3-0 popout? Those days are over and they aren’t coming back? Try to work the walk.

  3. Roger Garrett

    Mahle was great .Good curve with some depth as Indy said.Kept them off the fastball and at times hit 94/95.Great job against a really good and deep lineup.

    • Indy Red Man

      96 mph on his 97th pitch….that shows some effort on his conditioning! Its a warm day too. I think if he’s your 4th best starter then you could have an elite staff. 3rd best starter and you could have a good rotation!

  4. Roger Garrett

    Buehler is really good.He has that power arm that keeps on bringing it.He just overpowered Peraza on his last pitch of the day.Puig two out two run single was huge.

    • Indy Red Man

      1 earned run for our Reds. Haven’t done much, but that was a huge hit for Puig. Took advantage of what they were given! Buehler is electric, but man the offense has to wake up at some point? Maybe Puig and Winker will be driving the ball when Scooter gets back and they can put a streak together?